Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.42     7.42    69.85    66.36    89.15    97.74    99.41    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.65     8.24    48.70    14.46    45.53    79.48    91.70    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.32     8.02    47.32    17.82    55.33    84.02    93.84    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.38     8.49     5.08     0.07     0.66     3.35    11.49    39.65     0.28R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.38     8.50    18.48     0.72     4.46    15.28    40.56    77.03     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.67     8.89    14.69     0.40     3.16    11.79    32.48    68.79     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.07     8.44     0.50     0.00     0.12     0.68     3.21    16.32     1.84R    0.21  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.31     8.27   -11.15     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.85     6.06     5.97R    1.09  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.22     8.46   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.25    29.25R    8.95  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.13     8.32   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.27    24.68R    7.07  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.63     7.98   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    46.93R   18.50  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.50     8.41     2.35     0.00     0.04     0.32     1.81    10.75     3.39R    0.56  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.63     8.77    -0.03     0.01     0.11     0.77     3.96    18.52     1.90R    0.25  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.13     8.00   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.56    33.03R   10.28  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.27     8.71    13.28     0.16     1.43     6.34    19.72    55.20     0.16R    0.01  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.48     8.35    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33     2.90    13.46R    3.17  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.68     8.57   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     2.11    20.03R    5.58  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.58     7.84   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    50.25R   20.70  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.59     8.26   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.53    36.58R   12.81  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.69     8.49   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.85    32.20R   10.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.62    10.30    30.42    31.05    49.50    83.25    58.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.11     9.72    16.62     8.98    20.05    59.89    29.33P    0.18R    0.02  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.85     9.59    -3.89     0.94     2.71    17.37     5.11P    3.56R    0.49  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.58    10.24    26.53    21.28    37.67    75.30    49.42P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.39     9.97    -5.82     0.64     1.80    12.90     3.81P    7.05R    1.29  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.92     9.27     0.15     1.13     3.41    22.30     7.28P    1.93R    0.17  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      74.83    10.47    21.31    10.79    22.02    58.73    32.73P    0.41R    0.05  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.50     9.85    10.04     3.27     8.46    37.31    15.27P    1.05R    0.12  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.76     9.84    15.50     7.12    16.73    54.39    27.07P    0.33R    0.03  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.65     9.62    -7.82     0.47     1.58    12.29     3.45P    6.11R    1.06  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.66    10.35     6.01     2.58     6.84    31.14    12.23P    2.21R    0.35  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.50     9.31    -6.26     0.11     0.52     5.65     1.44P   11.81R    2.45  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      56.91    10.52    -8.02     0.29     0.95     7.56     2.15P   16.05R    4.45  
Burnley           9   12   +1      64.00    10.01     2.50     0.98     3.22    19.52     6.70P    4.18R    0.72  
Reading          10   12   +0      67.01     9.82     8.41     1.97     5.46    28.80    11.92P    1.85R    0.21  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.74     9.36    -8.01     0.09     0.36     4.12     1.05P   16.07R    3.77  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      73.06    10.77    14.96     7.95    17.29    51.71    27.95P    0.78R    0.12  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.73     9.84   -13.51     0.11     0.40     4.62     1.19P   17.90R    4.85  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.03     9.46    -4.61     0.12     0.45     5.27     1.48P   13.10R    2.98  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.57     8.96   -27.35     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   60.34R   28.41  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.08     9.62   -12.95     0.09     0.41     4.56     1.38P   16.42R    3.98  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.57     9.20   -16.80     0.01     0.03     0.66     0.15P   41.37R   14.85  
Millwall         10    7   -7      52.95     9.23   -11.21     0.02     0.12     2.02     0.51P   24.25R    6.58  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.23     9.39   -26.21     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.08P   52.93R   23.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        11   27  +14      87.43     9.62    32.75    28.46    50.04    90.71    61.03P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.41     9.81    25.16     8.35    19.83    70.06    32.87P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.76    10.73    26.57    19.80    36.41    80.27    48.51P    0.05R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       11   22   +4      75.99     9.84    12.73     4.35    11.50    55.31    20.85P    0.24R    0.01  
Huddersfield    11   21  +13      86.38     9.56    39.80    25.62    47.15    89.50    61.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.60    10.02    25.82    10.42    23.96    73.46    39.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Hartlepool      10   19   +8      68.72     9.69     8.26     0.89     2.87    27.36     7.17P    1.40R    0.10  
Notts_County    11   19   +4      66.96     9.50     3.86     0.50     1.86    20.97     5.30P    2.04R    0.16  
Brentford       11   19   +2      66.51     9.53     1.26     0.43     1.59    19.59     4.83P    2.37R    0.14  
Carlisle        11   17   -3      62.30     9.47    -7.71     0.14     0.57     9.84     2.24P    6.15R    0.55  
Colchester      11   16   +1      67.10     9.81     5.50     0.56     2.09    22.45     6.52P    2.43R    0.17  
Tranmere        11   15   +1      60.91     9.32    -1.66     0.07     0.35     7.74     1.69P    7.28R    0.74  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.31     9.37   -12.12     0.02     0.13     3.72     0.75P   14.95R    2.06  
Stevenage       11   13   +3      54.01     9.63    -7.73     0.02     0.10     2.23     0.49P   24.26R    4.59  
Scunthorpe      11   12   -1      63.44    10.28     3.74     0.27     1.15    14.37     4.26P    6.11R    0.78  
Chesterfield    11   11   -4      51.03     9.74   -17.22     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.22P   36.28R    8.82  
Rochdale        11   11   -7      56.54     9.64   -11.51     0.02     0.13     3.43     0.79P   17.68R    2.78  
Bury            11   11   -8      49.81     9.56   -22.86     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.12P   41.68R   11.01  
Walsall         11   10   -2      53.20     9.50    -9.77     0.01     0.06     1.65     0.36P   26.82R    5.51  
Bournemouth     11   10   -8      56.68     9.63   -10.54     0.03     0.14     3.57     0.83P   16.87R    2.69  
Yeovil          11    8   -6      50.05     9.40   -15.26     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.16P   38.94R    9.84  
Wycombe         11    8   -8      46.16     9.51   -23.21     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   55.90R   19.86  
Exeter          11    8  -10      48.00     9.24   -22.31     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.09P   48.48R   14.26  
Leyton_Orient   11    6  -13      47.61     9.47   -23.56     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   49.92R   15.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             11   22   +7      78.98     9.54    20.53    20.94    48.51    77.90    56.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         11   22   +4      69.31    10.28     2.29     4.70    15.95    40.13    20.48P    0.54R    0.12  
Morecambe            11   21  +13      70.83     9.73    15.48     5.94    19.80    47.96    26.12P    0.21R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   20   +3      59.22     9.85   -12.34     0.51     2.66    11.07     4.11P    4.62R    1.24  
Shrewsbury           11   20   +3      77.07     9.60    16.56    15.56    39.94    71.30    48.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           11   19   +4      66.06     9.44     2.97     1.84     8.16    27.74    12.22P    0.68R    0.13  
Port_Vale            11   18   +7      70.62     9.60    13.89     5.25    18.54    46.69    25.66P    0.21R    0.04  
Rotherham            11   18   +3      74.60     9.88    16.29    11.02    31.29    62.48    39.34P    0.12R    0.03  
Gillingham           11   17   +5      71.82     9.66    15.30     6.57    22.01    51.89    30.28P    0.20R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        11   17   +2      63.40     9.58    -1.00     0.98     5.03    19.84     7.91P    1.68R    0.42  
Cheltenham           11   17   +2      60.31     9.46    -5.70     0.48     2.61    11.98     4.33P    3.37R    0.90  
Swindon              11   15   +5      76.51     9.95    25.64    16.08    40.19    70.53    50.73P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              11   15   +1      67.78     9.65     8.09     2.83    11.81    35.08    17.98P    0.66R    0.16  
Northampton          11   15   +0      63.01     9.62    -0.27     1.00     5.03    19.20     8.34P    1.92R    0.49  
Bristol_Rovers       11   15   -3      64.06    10.22    -1.62     1.74     7.09    23.34    11.18P    1.93R    0.48  
Macclesfield         11   14   +2      56.65     9.38    -6.30     0.17     1.16     6.42     2.21P    6.86R    2.01  
Aldershot            11   14   -1      59.51     9.39    -4.30     0.34     2.22    10.40     4.08P    3.71R    1.01  
Accrington_Stanley   11   14   -3      61.72     9.53    -3.64     0.60     3.49    15.17     6.12P    2.53R    0.68  
Crewe                11   13   -2      66.35     9.83     5.97     2.34     9.45    30.24    14.80P    1.00R    0.24  
Dag_&_Red            11   13   -4      62.39     9.96    -1.70     1.06     4.72    17.95     8.33P    2.43R    0.68  
Barnet               11    9  -10      45.77     9.21   -28.59     0.00     0.05     0.48     0.12P   39.73R   18.68  
Bradford             11    7   -5      45.70     9.25   -19.82     0.01     0.05     0.51     0.11P   37.92R   18.16  
Hereford             11    6  -17      39.84     8.76   -38.89     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   66.61R   44.60  
Plymouth             11    4  -16      50.00     9.80   -18.84     0.03     0.21     1.64     0.64P   23.01R    9.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 October 2011, Gateshead vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            14   29  +12      83.28     8.73    27.84    16.79    74.82    32.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   27   +8      82.21     9.01    23.28    14.52    69.65    27.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          14   27   +6      70.41     8.93     4.92     1.17    20.55     4.16P    0.15R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     13   25  +12      72.83     9.92    16.00     3.34    32.05     9.06P    0.14R    0.00  
Kidderminster      13   24   +6      77.07     9.20    17.98     5.75    48.42    15.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              13   23  +11      89.32     8.63    44.44    45.17    91.34    63.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               13   23  +11      77.48     9.06    24.85     6.26    50.84    17.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          13   23   +8      75.52     9.28    19.37     4.17    42.16    12.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      13   22   +5      70.64     9.01    10.47     1.31    22.14     5.72P    0.13R    0.00  
Southport          13   21   -4      58.09     8.88   -17.50     0.04     1.83     0.28P    5.37R    0.30  
Tamworth           13   19   +0      58.21     8.85    -9.21     0.04     1.91     0.31P    4.58R    0.30  
Barrow             13   17   -1      57.08     8.98    -9.36     0.02     1.57     0.25P    6.05R    0.49  
AFC_Telford        13   17   -1      54.99     9.47   -12.13     0.03     1.28     0.19P   10.91R    1.16  
Grimsby            13   17   -4      65.90     9.13     1.43     0.42    10.20     2.51P    0.73R    0.03  
Forest_Green       13   16   +5      57.86     9.04    -0.32     0.03     2.09     0.37P    4.97R    0.35  
Darlington         13   16   -4      66.93     8.92     4.51     0.40    11.66     3.26P    0.52R    0.01  
Stockport          13   14   -1      66.08     9.47     9.55     0.47    12.21     3.58P    0.86R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   13   -6      48.51     8.95   -23.19     0.00     0.17     0.02P   28.69R    4.53  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -5      60.95     9.40     0.84     0.09     4.34     1.14P    3.14R    0.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   11   -4      47.42     9.45   -18.23     0.00     0.21     0.04P   33.47R    6.16  
Kettering          13   11  -11      50.88     8.95   -19.63     0.00     0.24     0.05P   20.16R    2.75  
Alfreton_Town      13    9  -17      35.63     8.49   -49.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.37R   46.40  
Newport_County     13    8   -9      51.20     9.05   -12.55     0.00     0.32     0.08P   18.64R    2.78  
Bath_City          13    3  -17      37.12     8.49   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.06R   34.43