Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Bolton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.41     7.40    69.87    66.66    89.50    97.70    99.45    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.51     8.29    48.50    14.21    44.69    78.84    91.07    98.53     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   16   +9      81.41     7.98    47.46    17.65    55.56    84.31    94.08    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.43     8.51     5.21     0.08     0.71     3.28    11.69    39.70     0.25R    0.02  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.54     8.47    18.72     0.73     4.67    16.01    41.19    77.32     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        6   12   +1      64.68     8.96    14.74     0.47     3.25    11.74    32.44    68.81     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      51.89     8.50     0.24     0.01     0.08     0.69     3.11    16.15     1.86R    0.24  
Stoke            7    9   -4      47.36     8.20   -11.07     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.79     6.03     5.84R    0.95  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.53     8.52   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.31    28.49R    8.80  
Swansea          7    8   -3      40.01     8.29   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.19    25.32R    7.29  
QPR              7    8   -8      35.82     7.89   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    45.59R   17.13  
Fulham           7    7   +3      49.37     8.36     2.19     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.60    10.26     3.49R    0.55  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.43     8.83    -0.38     0.01     0.11     0.73     3.77    18.18     2.22R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      37.93     7.96   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.47    34.31R   10.96  
Arsenal          7    7   -6      61.40     8.69    13.43     0.18     1.38     6.24    19.84    56.19     0.22R    0.02  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.46     8.39    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.85    13.62R    3.35  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      41.55     8.53   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.90    20.30R    5.69  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.55     7.95   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    50.67R   21.16  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.47     8.24   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54    36.81R   13.08  
Bolton           7    3  -12      38.94     8.50   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.92    30.94R   10.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 October 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.47    10.35    30.20    30.70    48.91    82.89    57.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.11     9.66    16.63     9.19    20.35    59.77    29.78P    0.18R    0.02  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.99     9.63    -3.64     0.88     2.76    17.94     5.30P    3.57R    0.51  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.60    10.13    26.56    20.48    37.13    75.54    49.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.74     9.94    -5.33     0.70     1.99    13.58     4.09P    6.34R    1.14  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.91     9.32     0.14     1.13     3.45    22.34     7.36P    2.02R    0.27  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      75.34    10.52    22.12    12.03    23.59    60.71    34.85P    0.32R    0.03  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.34     9.79     9.84     3.17     8.19    36.54    15.04P    1.03R    0.11  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.60     9.76    15.22     6.86    16.12    53.91    26.13P    0.35R    0.04  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.68     9.66    -7.83     0.43     1.50    12.45     3.30P    6.24R    1.16  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.70    10.28     6.09     2.67     6.80    31.26    12.03P    2.06R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.26     9.31    -6.58     0.14     0.51     5.59     1.37P   12.32R    2.42  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      56.93    10.48    -7.89     0.25     0.90     7.52     2.21P   16.37R    4.23  
Burnley           9   12   +1      63.92    10.00     2.46     1.16     3.25    19.24     6.82P    4.09R    0.67  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.82     9.81     8.09     1.90     5.24    27.92    11.41P    1.78R    0.21  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.32     9.32    -8.63     0.07     0.28     3.71     0.91P   17.11R    4.01  
Birmingham        8   11   +0      72.85    10.83    14.64     7.83    17.46    50.66    27.24P    0.77R    0.11  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.88     9.83   -13.24     0.12     0.43     4.84     1.36P   17.53R    4.56  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.16     9.56    -4.39     0.15     0.57     5.57     1.70P   12.98R    2.89  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.56     8.97   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   60.40R   28.84  
Nott'm_Forest    10    8  -11      56.11     9.64   -12.96     0.12     0.38     4.61     1.29P   16.19R    4.09  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.54     9.15   -16.85     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.16P   41.82R   14.86  
Millwall         10    7   -7      53.01     9.29   -11.12     0.01     0.12     2.14     0.53P   23.75R    6.55  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.33     9.42   -26.08     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.09P   52.65R   22.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        11   27  +14      87.56     9.65    32.89    28.53    49.73    90.76    60.61P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.46     9.77    25.16     8.03    20.02    69.84    32.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.90    10.73    26.86    19.69    36.41    80.33    48.16P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       11   22   +4      76.18     9.87    13.06     4.64    11.50    55.86    21.16P    0.20R    0.01  
Huddersfield    11   21  +13      86.40     9.48    39.83    25.22    46.36    89.72    61.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.99     9.94    26.41    10.79    24.82    74.43    40.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool      10   19   +8      68.81     9.83     8.41     1.00     3.26    27.56     7.70P    1.47R    0.08  
Notts_County    11   19   +4      66.68     9.49     3.56     0.42     1.54    20.06     4.82P    2.25R    0.16  
Brentford       11   19   +2      66.72     9.53     1.49     0.45     1.65    20.02     5.05P    2.15R    0.13  
Carlisle        11   17   -3      62.10     9.64    -8.04     0.17     0.65     9.70     2.25P    6.69R    0.67  
Colchester      11   16   +1      67.43     9.70     6.02     0.60     2.13    23.03     6.58P    1.94R    0.13  
Tranmere        11   15   +1      60.96     9.22    -1.61     0.08     0.33     7.33     1.58P    6.81R    0.64  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.25     9.38   -12.22     0.03     0.14     3.67     0.74P   14.90R    2.06  
Stevenage       11   13   +3      54.00     9.74    -7.83     0.02     0.09     2.39     0.52P   24.45R    4.65  
Scunthorpe      11   12   -1      62.94    10.27     3.01     0.27     1.00    13.25     3.93P    6.43R    0.78  
Chesterfield    11   11   -4      51.12     9.83   -17.14     0.00     0.05     1.26     0.28P   35.66R    8.88  
Rochdale        11   11   -7      56.44     9.60   -11.70     0.02     0.09     3.29     0.72P   17.69R    2.87  
Bury            11   11   -8      49.80     9.64   -22.76     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.16P   41.41R   11.10  
Walsall         11   10   -2      53.00     9.36   -10.05     0.01     0.04     1.52     0.32P   26.94R    5.18  
Bournemouth     11   10   -8      56.63     9.65   -10.56     0.03     0.16     3.47     0.95P   17.12R    2.66  
Yeovil          11    8   -6      50.06     9.40   -15.32     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.15P   38.70R    9.62  
Wycombe         11    8   -8      46.31     9.57   -23.01     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   55.38R   19.22  
Exeter          11    8  -10      47.71     9.30   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   49.46R   15.27  
Leyton_Orient   11    6  -13      47.51     9.46   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   50.20R   15.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             11   22   +7      78.99     9.56    20.60    21.25    48.73    77.71    56.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         11   22   +4      68.99    10.20     1.86     4.44    15.02    39.00    19.62P    0.54R    0.12  
Morecambe            11   21  +13      70.93     9.70    15.63     6.09    20.32    48.02    26.41P    0.19R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   20   +3      59.39     9.80   -11.97     0.58     2.68    11.22     4.12P    4.56R    1.27  
Shrewsbury           11   20   +3      76.71     9.58    15.97    14.65    38.60    69.96    46.99P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           11   19   +4      66.01     9.40     2.90     1.85     8.08    27.62    12.09P    0.68R    0.10  
Port_Vale            11   18   +7      70.84     9.57    14.25     5.39    19.19    47.84    26.69P    0.19R    0.06  
Rotherham            11   18   +3      74.51     9.88    16.13    11.33    31.22    62.02    39.26P    0.09R    0.01  
Gillingham           11   17   +5      71.72     9.70    15.20     6.67    22.03    51.23    30.12P    0.15R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        11   17   +2      63.36     9.64    -1.03     1.13     5.24    19.81     8.02P    1.72R    0.43  
Cheltenham           11   17   +2      60.67     9.56    -5.24     0.58     3.02    13.20     4.84P    3.17R    0.87  
Swindon              11   15   +5      76.48     9.89    25.57    15.98    40.01    70.18    50.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              11   15   +1      67.76     9.61     8.01     2.81    11.84    35.12    18.05P    0.62R    0.16  
Northampton          11   15   +0      62.97     9.50    -0.28     0.93     4.72    18.99     7.93P    1.74R    0.45  
Bristol_Rovers       11   15   -3      64.41    10.12    -1.15     1.80     7.52    23.89    11.68P    1.74R    0.40  
Macclesfield         11   14   +2      56.84     9.42    -6.03     0.23     1.29     6.85     2.36P    6.49R    1.97  
Aldershot            11   14   -1      59.61     9.32    -4.26     0.42     2.16    10.62     3.99P    3.40R    0.91  
Accrington_Stanley   11   14   -3      61.61     9.63    -3.78     0.68     3.70    15.30     6.45P    2.73R    0.70  
Crewe                11   13   -2      66.42     9.82     6.02     2.31     9.79    30.63    15.28P    1.03R    0.24  
Dag_&_Red            11   13   -4      62.46     9.82    -1.60     0.87     4.56    18.16     8.20P    2.44R    0.64  
Barnet               11    9  -10      45.91     9.22   -28.33     0.00     0.05     0.48     0.13P   38.45R   18.00  
Bradford             11    7   -5      45.79     9.24   -19.70     0.01     0.05     0.49     0.13P   37.62R   17.50  
Hereford             11    6  -17      39.65     8.74   -39.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.46R   45.34  
Plymouth             11    4  -16      49.47     9.84   -19.68     0.01     0.17     1.60     0.59P   24.92R   10.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead          13   27   +9      73.00     9.12     9.96     2.58    30.28     7.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   27   +8      82.25     9.01    23.31    15.33    70.08    28.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            13   26   +9      80.64     8.91    23.21    11.46    64.30    25.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     13   25  +12      72.70     9.84    15.84     3.37    31.89     9.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Kidderminster      13   24   +6      77.05     9.25    17.98     6.45    48.06    16.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              13   23  +11      89.23     8.58    44.24    46.57    91.45    64.63P    0.00     0.00  
York               13   23  +11      77.56     9.02    24.96     6.52    51.71    18.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          13   23   +8      75.58     9.30    19.49     4.83    42.57    12.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      13   22   +5      70.53     8.90    10.28     1.21    21.91     5.59P    0.14R    0.01  
Southport          13   21   -4      57.86     8.89   -17.92     0.04     1.73     0.24P    5.68R    0.41  
Tamworth           13   19   +0      58.23     8.80    -9.25     0.04     1.95     0.35P    4.55R    0.29  
Barrow             13   17   -1      57.48     8.96    -8.72     0.01     1.74     0.27P    5.59R    0.41  
AFC_Telford        13   17   -1      55.12     9.51   -11.95     0.03     1.45     0.24P   10.55R    1.12  
Grimsby            13   17   -4      65.84     9.23     1.36     0.45    10.41     2.66P    0.93R    0.03  
Forest_Green       13   16   +5      57.89     8.93    -0.19     0.03     2.00     0.35P    4.83R    0.32  
Darlington         13   16   -4      66.58     8.91     4.03     0.39    10.84     2.93P    0.59R    0.02  
Stockport          13   14   -1      66.07     9.48     9.53     0.54    12.25     3.69P    0.85R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   13   -6      48.40     8.94   -23.38     0.00     0.13     0.02P   29.35R    4.65  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -5      61.08     9.43     1.00     0.14     4.53     1.26P    3.13R    0.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   11   -4      47.22     9.41   -18.60     0.00     0.16     0.03P   34.10R    6.47  
Kettering          13   11  -11      50.94     8.93   -19.52     0.00     0.24     0.04P   20.09R    2.69  
Alfreton_Town      13    9  -17      35.70     8.54   -49.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.09R   45.66  
Newport_County     13    8   -9      51.16     9.05   -12.52     0.00     0.33     0.07P   18.39R    2.77  
Bath_City          13    3  -17      37.08     8.54   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.89R   34.81