Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 October 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   19  +19      89.39     7.43    68.73    70.41    91.00    98.01    99.43    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   19  +18      79.24     8.34    47.45    15.12    49.30    79.31    91.22    98.43     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        7   15   +5      58.51     8.62     5.44     0.11     0.99     4.21    13.03    40.80     0.30R    0.02  
Chelsea          6   13   +5      78.89     8.41    40.54    12.80    46.67    77.19    89.59    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        7   13   +2      66.46     8.50    18.50     0.82     5.76    18.01    42.19    77.87     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   11   +4      52.01     8.48     0.58     0.01     0.15     0.85     3.57    16.68     1.93R    0.22  
Tottenham        5    9   +0      62.58     9.25    12.71     0.37     2.89    10.28    26.64    60.40     0.17R    0.02  
Stoke            6    9   -2      49.33     8.47    -7.73     0.00     0.05     0.34     1.67    10.09     4.06R    0.68  
QPR              6    8   -2      39.78     8.41   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.26    27.33R    8.02  
Norwich          7    8   -3      39.01     8.54   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.19    31.16R   10.26  
Everton          6    7   -2      52.90     8.78     0.45     0.01     0.15     1.01     4.25    20.09     2.01R    0.31  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -4      38.11     8.03   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.54    34.11R   11.22  
Arsenal          6    7   -5      62.66     9.02    14.03     0.35     3.00    10.50    26.43    61.79     0.13R    0.01  
Sunderland       7    6   +1      43.40     8.36    -8.42     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.39     2.95    13.92R    3.35  
West_Brom        7    5   -5      40.80     8.57   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.77    23.43R    7.15  
Swansea          6    5   -5      36.99     8.44   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.60    39.67R   14.47  
Wigan            7    5   -6      34.52     7.85   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19    51.34R   21.58  
Fulham           6    4   -3      45.44     8.47    -7.04     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.68     4.79     9.44R    1.99  
Blackburn        7    4   -9      37.46     8.24   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.50    37.51R   13.40  
Bolton           6    3   -8      41.06     8.78   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.95    23.46R    7.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Barnsley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      10   22  +13      82.44    10.39    30.15    31.61    49.76    83.03    58.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    10   20   +8      75.11     9.69    16.61     9.62    21.00    60.31    30.56P    0.17R    0.02  
Derby            10   19   +3      63.85     9.55    -3.86     0.90     2.72    17.92     5.23P    3.73R    0.59  
West_Ham         10   18   +8      79.73    10.14    26.74    22.01    39.06    76.48    51.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         10   17   +2      61.82     9.90    -5.17     0.65     2.06    14.08     4.27P    6.34R    1.11  
Hull             10   17   +0      65.89     9.27     0.13     1.17     3.61    22.72     7.65P    2.04R    0.30  
Blackpool        10   16   +7      74.96    10.36    21.54    10.92    22.98    60.13    33.91P    0.39R    0.04  
Leicester        10   16   +4      69.52     9.75    10.14     3.35     8.82    38.12    15.79P    0.99R    0.08  
Cardiff          10   16   +3      73.77     9.80    15.50     7.25    16.94    55.27    27.57P    0.38R    0.04  
Ipswich          10   16   -2      61.64     9.60    -7.91     0.50     1.63    12.80     3.52P    6.18R    1.07  
Leeds_United      9   14   +2      67.65    10.33     6.03     2.81     7.23    32.08    12.63P    2.30R    0.35  
Crystal_Palace   10   14   +2      57.40     9.26    -6.44     0.13     0.52     5.73     1.44P   12.21R    2.52  
Peterborough     10   13   +3      57.41    10.57    -7.03     0.37     1.18     8.52     2.54P   15.72R    4.25  
Burnley           9   12   +1      64.07     9.96     2.69     1.11     3.32    20.07     7.11P    4.05R    0.73  
Reading          10   12   +0      66.66     9.76     7.83     2.08     5.55    27.93    11.71P    1.91R    0.28  
Barnsley         10   12   +0      55.27     9.29    -8.73     0.09     0.31     3.72     0.87P   17.55R    4.21  
Watford          10   10   -7      55.86     9.75   -13.24     0.11     0.41     4.79     1.23P   17.72R    4.64  
Portsmouth       10    9   -3      57.13     9.46    -4.43     0.13     0.52     5.72     1.68P   13.17R    2.93  
Birmingham        7    8   -2      69.51    10.97    10.09     4.91    11.32    39.26    19.54P    2.00R    0.34  
Doncaster        10    8   -8      44.64     8.99   -27.24     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   60.97R   29.09  
Nott'm_Forest     9    8   -9      58.30     9.82    -9.57     0.24     0.88     7.70     2.43P   11.95R    2.69  
Coventry         10    7   -6      48.52     9.12   -16.89     0.01     0.02     0.69     0.14P   42.46R   15.24  
Millwall         10    7   -7      52.99     9.33   -11.11     0.03     0.14     2.25     0.58P   24.75R    6.93  
Bristol_City     10    6  -12      46.43     9.28   -25.83     0.01     0.03     0.45     0.11P   52.90R   22.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        11   27  +14      87.73     9.71    33.15    29.69    50.96    90.91    61.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         11   22  +11      79.49     9.76    25.22     8.22    20.12    70.08    33.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         10   22   +7      83.95    10.57    26.95    19.54    36.52    80.91    48.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       11   22   +4      76.17     9.84    13.06     4.44    11.76    55.98    21.44P    0.23R    0.01  
Huddersfield    11   21  +13      86.01     9.56    39.20    24.32    44.99    88.99    59.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       11   20   +7      80.78     9.99    26.09    10.67    24.40    73.67    39.57P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool      10   19   +8      68.68     9.83     8.24     0.96     3.23    27.05     7.70P    1.42R    0.08  
Notts_County    11   19   +4      66.97     9.49     3.94     0.49     1.79    20.65     5.19P    1.94R    0.12  
Brentford       11   19   +2      66.61     9.55     1.30     0.45     1.64    19.70     5.13P    2.29R    0.15  
Carlisle        11   17   -3      62.13     9.54    -7.95     0.16     0.62     9.67     2.28P    6.36R    0.70  
Colchester      11   16   +1      67.29     9.72     5.76     0.55     2.00    22.48     6.30P    2.08R    0.14  
Tranmere        11   15   +1      61.01     9.24    -1.54     0.09     0.34     7.70     1.77P    6.84R    0.64  
Oldham          11   14   -5      57.10     9.29   -12.45     0.02     0.10     3.44     0.68P   15.23R    2.16  
Stevenage       11   13   +3      53.87     9.60    -7.99     0.02     0.08     2.01     0.40P   24.70R    4.73  
Scunthorpe      11   12   -1      63.14    10.34     3.31     0.31     1.11    14.14     4.19P    6.39R    0.78  
Chesterfield    11   11   -4      51.21     9.79   -16.97     0.01     0.03     1.26     0.27P   35.49R    8.64  
Rochdale        11   11   -7      56.58     9.68   -11.41     0.03     0.12     3.57     0.79P   17.53R    2.95  
Bury            11   11   -8      49.95     9.64   -22.52     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.14P   41.43R   10.94  
Walsall         11   10   -2      52.98     9.49   -10.11     0.01     0.05     1.67     0.36P   27.34R    5.58  
Bournemouth     11   10   -8      56.54     9.62   -10.74     0.01     0.11     3.49     0.85P   17.23R    2.83  
Yeovil          11    8   -6      50.21     9.34   -15.06     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P   38.02R    9.25  
Wycombe         11    8   -8      46.23     9.61   -23.20     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   55.66R   19.72  
Exeter          11    8  -10      47.76     9.17   -22.66     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.05P   49.44R   14.68  
Leyton_Orient   11    6  -13      47.60     9.55   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P   50.21R   15.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             11   22   +7      78.98     9.55    20.52    20.75    48.46    77.81    56.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         11   22   +4      69.55    10.25     2.72     4.97    16.45    41.02    21.33P    0.53R    0.09  
Morecambe            11   21  +13      71.07     9.78    15.81     6.40    20.54    48.81    26.90P    0.16R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   20   +3      59.31     9.95   -12.18     0.56     2.77    11.35     4.22P    4.77R    1.30  
Shrewsbury           11   20   +3      76.81     9.52    16.16    14.55    39.00    70.51    47.67P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           11   19   +4      66.07     9.37     3.00     1.89     8.09    27.53    12.16P    0.68R    0.12  
Port_Vale            11   18   +7      70.68     9.71    14.00     5.35    18.93    46.90    25.96P    0.22R    0.05  
Rotherham            11   18   +3      74.42     9.90    15.93    10.82    30.72    61.35    38.79P    0.14R    0.03  
Gillingham           11   17   +5      71.63     9.63    15.04     6.34    21.53    51.04    29.87P    0.17R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        11   17   +2      63.45     9.66    -0.89     1.13     5.20    20.15     8.08P    1.74R    0.44  
Cheltenham           11   17   +2      60.41     9.53    -5.56     0.49     2.71    12.39     4.47P    3.33R    0.91  
Swindon              11   15   +5      76.75     9.96    26.00    16.82    40.96    71.02    51.26P    0.05R    0.01  
Torquay              11   15   +1      67.55     9.68     7.70     2.77    11.34    34.29    17.32P    0.71R    0.18  
Northampton          11   15   +0      62.94     9.59    -0.41     0.91     4.78    19.02     8.09P    1.85R    0.45  
Bristol_Rovers       11   15   -3      64.20    10.12    -1.45     1.62     6.85    23.36    11.00P    1.78R    0.51  
Macclesfield         11   14   +2      56.62     9.31    -6.35     0.14     1.04     6.38     2.05P    6.66R    1.96  
Aldershot            11   14   -1      59.58     9.37    -4.23     0.38     2.27    10.76     4.20P    3.62R    0.96  
Accrington_Stanley   11   14   -3      61.52     9.55    -3.91     0.65     3.30    14.82     5.92P    2.65R    0.66  
Crewe                11   13   -2      66.51     9.97     6.18     2.48    10.16    31.05    15.62P    0.99R    0.23  
Dag_&_Red            11   13   -4      62.37     9.89    -1.78     0.94     4.62    17.81     8.11P    2.42R    0.64  
Barnet               11    9  -10      45.94     9.19   -28.29     0.00     0.04     0.49     0.10P   38.92R   18.17  
Bradford             11    7   -5      45.94     9.31   -19.44     0.00     0.06     0.55     0.15P   36.94R   17.02  
Hereford             11    6  -17      39.57     8.77   -39.26     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.81R   45.98  
Plymouth             11    4  -16      49.72     9.76   -19.30     0.02     0.19     1.53     0.56P   23.80R   10.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 October 2011, AFC_Telford vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead          13   27   +9      72.97     9.17     9.88     2.70    30.29     7.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   27   +8      82.23     9.08    23.34    15.32    70.05    28.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   26   +9      80.56     8.92    23.12    11.16    63.82    25.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     13   25  +12      72.80     9.91    15.89     3.46    32.06     9.17P    0.14R    0.01  
Kidderminster      13   24   +6      77.13     9.25    18.09     6.47    48.59    16.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              13   23  +11      89.25     8.53    44.31    46.84    91.42    65.31P    0.00     0.00  
York               13   23  +11      77.50     9.03    24.94     6.56    51.46    18.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          13   23   +8      75.45     9.25    19.33     4.47    42.03    12.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      13   22   +5      70.76     8.95    10.58     1.36    22.53     5.71P    0.11R    0.00  
Southport          13   21   -4      57.82     8.86   -18.03     0.02     1.74     0.19P    5.64R    0.34  
Tamworth           13   19   +0      58.04     8.85    -9.49     0.04     1.83     0.31P    4.88R    0.35  
Barrow             13   17   -1      57.32     8.98    -8.94     0.03     1.73     0.29P    5.99R    0.43  
AFC_Telford        13   17   -1      54.83     9.51   -12.39     0.02     1.30     0.29P   11.33R    1.25  
Grimsby            13   17   -4      65.77     9.17     1.25     0.39    10.13     2.60P    0.81R    0.03  
Forest_Green       13   16   +5      57.89     9.00    -0.22     0.04     2.17     0.42P    4.91R    0.37  
Darlington         13   16   -4      66.68     8.90     4.16     0.38    11.31     2.95P    0.52R    0.02  
Stockport          13   14   -1      66.12     9.51     9.64     0.57    12.30     3.64P    0.95R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   13   -6      48.31     8.82   -23.44     0.01     0.12     0.02P   29.42R    4.66  
Lincoln_City       13   12   -5      61.03     9.43     0.95     0.15     4.40     1.22P    3.14R    0.25  
Ebbsfleet_United   13   11   -4      47.36     9.48   -18.32     0.00     0.20     0.04P   33.97R    6.68  
Kettering          13   11  -11      50.93     8.91   -19.51     0.00     0.21     0.03P   19.78R    2.76  
Alfreton_Town      13    9  -17      35.97     8.52   -48.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.05R   44.69  
Newport_County     13    8   -9      51.27     9.02   -12.35     0.01     0.31     0.08P   18.00R    2.74  
Bath_City          13    3  -17      37.02     8.44   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.21R   35.36