Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 30 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 September 2011, Norwich vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 6 16 +17 89.61 7.41 72.21 75.64 93.51 98.62 99.66 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 16 +14 76.64 8.62 41.73 10.42 41.36 73.44 87.10 96.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 6 13 +5 78.50 8.36 39.93 12.47 51.38 79.48 90.86 98.16 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 6 12 +4 56.66 8.71 3.96 0.06 0.81 3.78 11.06 34.74 0.74R 0.09 Liverpool 6 10 +0 63.79 8.66 14.86 0.47 4.25 14.44 33.58 68.50 0.08R 0.01 Tottenham 5 9 +0 62.59 9.23 12.98 0.42 3.80 12.43 30.02 62.03 0.19R 0.02 Stoke 6 9 -2 49.41 8.35 -7.81 0.00 0.06 0.46 1.95 10.58 4.44R 0.76 Aston_Villa 6 8 +2 50.62 8.76 -1.30 0.02 0.19 0.98 3.42 14.93 3.83R 0.75 Norwich 6 8 -1 38.81 8.55 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.19 1.28 35.00R 12.08 QPR 6 8 -2 40.02 8.32 -21.35 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.17 1.39 28.79R 8.69 Everton 5 7 +0 55.49 9.05 4.42 0.07 0.69 3.21 9.92 31.25 1.18R 0.14 Wolverhampton 6 7 -3 39.74 8.21 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.11 29.76R 9.15 Arsenal 6 7 -5 62.67 8.88 14.22 0.41 3.87 12.65 29.72 63.03 0.16R 0.01 Sunderland 6 5 +1 44.28 8.56 -7.70 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.61 4.27 13.73R 3.38 Wigan 6 5 -4 35.75 8.10 -26.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.38 48.01R 19.56 Swansea 6 5 -5 36.82 8.36 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.60 42.81R 16.96 Fulham 6 4 -3 45.56 8.46 -6.91 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.82 5.30 10.42R 2.29 Blackburn 6 4 -5 39.97 8.53 -20.69 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18 1.34 29.05R 9.52 West_Brom 6 4 -5 40.87 8.76 -19.04 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.29 2.15 26.00R 8.25 Bolton 6 3 -8 40.95 8.76 -20.24 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.23 2.01 25.80R 8.37Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 September 2011, Cardiff vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 9 19 +9 78.83 10.78 22.80 21.24 36.95 72.88 46.02P 0.17R 0.02 Middlesbrough 9 19 +8 75.16 10.04 16.17 10.96 22.79 61.09 32.07P 0.26R 0.02 Derby 9 19 +7 66.70 10.02 2.59 2.44 6.24 28.12 10.17P 2.36R 0.28 West_Ham 9 17 +8 80.96 10.39 27.79 27.76 45.43 79.80 56.25P 0.08R 0.00 Brighton 9 17 +4 64.35 10.44 -1.15 1.68 4.50 22.06 7.94P 4.79R 0.72 Cardiff 9 16 +4 75.67 9.98 17.23 11.65 24.17 63.15 35.18P 0.24R 0.02 Hull 9 14 -1 63.23 9.57 -2.09 0.91 2.63 17.04 5.92P 4.34R 0.64 Peterborough 9 13 +4 60.24 11.08 -3.46 1.08 2.80 14.55 5.12P 11.47R 2.83 Crystal_Palace 9 13 +2 56.79 9.47 -7.41 0.13 0.53 5.76 1.43P 14.72R 2.91 Blackpool 9 13 +2 71.24 10.76 13.12 6.89 15.04 46.35 24.02P 1.24R 0.16 Leicester 9 13 +0 66.16 10.06 3.56 2.08 5.33 27.26 10.37P 2.78R 0.42 Ipswich 9 13 -4 58.87 9.88 -11.43 0.33 1.03 8.86 2.44P 11.80R 2.47 Leeds_United 8 11 +1 65.96 10.74 4.81 2.60 6.48 28.04 11.49P 3.89R 0.65 Reading 9 11 +0 67.58 10.15 8.65 3.07 7.72 32.82 14.69P 1.99R 0.27 Watford 9 10 -3 58.75 10.15 -6.68 0.39 1.26 9.67 2.93P 12.12R 2.74 Burnley 8 9 +0 61.90 10.27 0.98 0.85 2.58 16.24 5.75P 7.21R 1.39 Portsmouth 9 9 -2 58.77 9.79 -3.02 0.29 1.02 8.79 2.77P 11.20R 2.20 Barnsley 9 9 -2 52.72 9.55 -11.78 0.04 0.20 2.44 0.61P 27.00R 7.24 Birmingham 7 8 -2 69.33 11.05 9.70 5.16 11.80 39.59 20.16P 2.18R 0.41 Nott'm_Forest 9 8 -9 58.46 9.88 -9.22 0.29 0.94 8.35 2.71P 12.33R 2.44 Coventry 9 7 -4 50.58 9.39 -13.60 0.02 0.09 1.44 0.37P 34.77R 10.50 Millwall 9 7 -6 55.26 9.68 -8.82 0.11 0.37 4.41 1.27P 19.00R 4.52 Bristol_City 9 6 -7 49.07 9.67 -18.52 0.01 0.07 1.12 0.26P 41.86R 14.35 Doncaster 9 5 -9 41.69 9.27 -30.23 0.01 0.01 0.16 0.04P 72.18R 42.82League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 September 2011, MK_Dons vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 10 24 +12 83.93 9.97 27.94 18.27 36.79 82.00 48.42P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 9 22 +8 87.45 10.85 31.72 31.96 50.97 87.23 61.09P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 20 +9 84.18 10.19 31.45 20.05 38.64 82.30 52.66P 0.03R 0.00 Hartlepool 9 19 +9 70.59 10.05 9.91 1.80 5.21 33.68 10.54P 1.00R 0.06 MK_Dons 10 19 +8 76.42 9.98 19.99 5.35 13.60 57.22 24.37P 0.21R 0.01 Notts_County 10 19 +7 69.23 9.73 8.26 1.07 3.62 28.32 8.36P 1.07R 0.06 Brentford 10 19 +6 70.26 9.75 8.71 1.30 4.25 32.03 10.04P 0.86R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 10 19 +3 73.68 10.13 10.69 3.28 8.70 45.14 16.84P 0.53R 0.03 Huddersfield 10 18 +9 82.79 9.86 32.61 15.61 33.12 79.99 48.85P 0.02R 0.00 Carlisle 10 16 -3 62.31 9.72 -8.33 0.18 0.75 10.06 2.44P 6.10R 0.49 Tranmere 10 14 +1 62.08 9.61 -0.68 0.17 0.65 9.73 2.37P 5.72R 0.43 Oldham 10 14 -3 59.78 9.68 -8.57 0.06 0.34 6.38 1.44P 9.87R 1.02 Stevenage 10 13 +4 55.77 9.92 -6.31 0.05 0.18 3.58 0.81P 18.41R 2.66 Colchester 10 13 +0 65.86 9.94 5.10 0.49 1.76 18.62 5.48P 3.05R 0.23 Chesterfield 10 11 -3 52.53 10.16 -16.36 0.01 0.08 1.99 0.39P 30.06R 5.84 Scunthorpe 10 9 -2 61.17 10.47 1.76 0.23 0.87 10.35 3.15P 8.82R 1.07 Walsall 10 9 -2 53.82 9.79 -9.46 0.02 0.09 2.18 0.49P 24.43R 4.10 Bournemouth 10 9 -8 56.68 9.96 -11.21 0.06 0.21 3.91 1.01P 16.97R 2.47 Yeovil 10 8 -4 53.16 9.68 -10.61 0.02 0.07 1.71 0.42P 26.30R 4.77 Wycombe 10 8 -7 47.54 9.81 -22.41 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.08P 49.09R 13.78 Rochdale 10 8 -8 54.77 9.84 -12.78 0.02 0.10 2.43 0.63P 22.02R 3.65 Bury 10 8 -10 45.94 9.73 -28.35 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.05P 56.15R 18.35 Exeter 10 5 -12 45.29 9.44 -26.09 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 58.36R 19.43 Leyton_Orient 10 3 -14 44.66 9.66 -26.99 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.04P 60.91R 21.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 September 2011, Macclesfield vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 11 22 +7 79.16 9.63 20.75 19.60 47.08 78.04 55.41P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 10 20 +13 70.54 9.90 14.40 5.54 18.23 45.97 24.22P 0.22R 0.05 Shrewsbury 11 20 +3 76.91 9.57 16.28 13.43 37.49 70.58 46.42P 0.04R 0.00 Crawley_Town 10 19 +2 66.81 10.49 -1.13 2.82 10.50 31.38 14.42P 1.24R 0.38 Rotherham 10 18 +5 77.05 10.09 20.07 15.38 39.38 70.44 47.56P 0.05R 0.01 Gillingham 10 17 +7 74.78 9.95 19.76 10.67 31.21 63.11 40.09P 0.07R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 10 17 +1 55.58 10.00 -17.54 0.23 1.22 6.17 2.08P 10.36R 3.60 Oxford_Utd 10 16 +3 64.27 9.63 1.72 1.07 5.48 22.52 9.08P 1.42R 0.38 Burton_Albion 10 16 +2 64.67 10.01 0.47 1.42 6.68 24.16 10.09P 1.59R 0.38 Port_Vale 10 15 +5 67.73 9.82 10.00 2.79 11.34 35.12 17.15P 0.60R 0.18 Swindon 11 15 +5 76.71 9.90 25.98 14.65 38.93 70.84 49.83P 0.06R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 10 15 -1 68.13 10.54 4.58 3.70 13.33 36.82 19.47P 0.89R 0.22 Macclesfield 11 14 +2 56.44 9.31 -6.60 0.13 0.85 5.88 1.82P 7.17R 2.41 Torquay 10 14 +1 68.49 9.88 8.62 3.22 12.64 37.70 19.10P 0.59R 0.16 Cheltenham 10 14 +0 56.70 9.65 -10.81 0.22 1.22 6.72 2.18P 7.71R 2.60 Aldershot 10 14 +0 60.95 9.55 -3.06 0.49 2.85 13.50 5.17P 2.95R 0.85 Crewe 10 13 -1 67.90 10.13 7.26 2.99 12.02 35.83 17.96P 0.74R 0.20 Northampton 10 12 -1 60.84 9.82 -2.08 0.56 3.17 14.17 5.55P 3.56R 1.12 Accrington_Stanley 10 11 -4 59.88 9.76 -4.77 0.40 2.38 11.84 4.62P 4.28R 1.25 Dag_&_Red 10 10 -5 60.54 10.29 -3.03 0.64 3.43 14.37 6.25P 4.44R 1.50 Barnet 10 9 -9 47.61 9.38 -26.73 0.01 0.10 0.82 0.21P 32.82R 15.45 Bradford 10 6 -5 45.51 9.42 -20.64 0.00 0.04 0.54 0.12P 39.87R 20.73 Hereford 10 6 -16 41.09 8.99 -38.05 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.03P 61.76R 40.89 Plymouth 10 4 -14 52.40 10.15 -15.42 0.05 0.43 3.35 1.18P 17.55R 7.62Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Gateshead 12 26 +9 74.07 9.46 11.05 4.69 35.68 9.80P 0.07R 0.00 Braintree_Town 12 25 +13 74.62 10.14 17.64 6.40 39.84 13.18P 0.12R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 12 24 +7 80.31 9.34 21.82 13.90 62.86 26.14P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 12 23 +8 79.73 9.19 23.39 12.04 61.15 25.17P 0.01R 0.00 Mansfield 12 22 +8 76.33 9.60 20.04 7.13 46.62 15.78P 0.05R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 12 22 +6 72.83 9.21 12.56 3.22 31.24 9.39P 0.08R 0.01 Kidderminster 12 21 +5 75.62 9.56 17.29 6.44 43.15 14.84P 0.05R 0.00 York 12 20 +10 75.27 9.25 23.01 5.47 43.06 15.18P 0.04R 0.00 Luton 12 20 +7 86.93 8.87 38.55 38.29 86.50 57.53P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 12 18 +0 57.72 9.09 -10.54 0.04 1.96 0.28P 6.36R 0.62 Southport 12 18 -5 55.55 9.07 -20.09 0.02 1.15 0.17P 10.35R 1.20 Barrow 12 17 +3 59.26 9.15 -3.95 0.09 3.06 0.59P 4.43R 0.36 AFC_Telford 12 16 -1 55.67 9.95 -11.78 0.07 2.10 0.41P 11.68R 1.56 Forest_Green 12 15 +5 57.97 9.25 -0.77 0.08 2.59 0.48P 5.83R 0.47 Stockport 12 14 +0 67.91 9.76 11.25 1.30 17.86 5.55P 0.76R 0.05 Grimsby 12 14 -7 63.90 9.37 -1.93 0.35 7.70 1.89P 1.84R 0.17 Darlington 12 13 -6 64.39 9.17 1.28 0.33 8.14 2.25P 1.31R 0.07 Hayes_&_Yeading 12 12 -6 48.35 9.10 -24.27 0.01 0.23 0.05P 31.97R 6.28 Ebbsfleet_United 12 11 -3 48.33 9.80 -18.21 0.01 0.34 0.07P 32.68R 7.20 Kettering 12 11 -10 51.95 9.21 -19.19 0.01 0.50 0.11P 19.14R 3.10 Lincoln_City 12 9 -7 59.01 9.67 -1.61 0.11 3.46 1.00P 5.69R 0.67 Alfreton_Town 12 9 -14 37.52 8.95 -44.05 0.00 0.01 0.00 78.14R 41.76 Newport_County 12 8 -7 53.26 9.30 -9.27 0.01 0.81 0.17P 14.62R 2.39 Bath_City 12 3 -15 38.29 8.66 -32.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.74R 34.09