Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 September 2011, Norwich vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          6   16  +17      89.71     7.46    72.58    75.59    93.28    98.47    99.62    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   16  +14      76.70     8.55    41.77    10.28    40.95    73.44    87.53    97.08     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          6   13   +5      78.77     8.36    40.36    12.73    52.51    79.87    91.04    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        6   12   +4      56.47     8.80     3.63     0.06     0.77     3.50    10.77    34.31     0.94R    0.15  
Liverpool        6   10   +0      63.72     8.80    14.80     0.55     4.32    14.42    33.30    68.00     0.10R    0.01  
Tottenham        5    9   +0      62.52     9.20    12.85     0.40     3.58    12.18    29.44    62.01     0.18R    0.02  
Stoke            6    9   -2      49.52     8.49    -7.65     0.00     0.08     0.51     2.13    11.14     4.68R    0.84  
Aston_Villa      6    8   +2      50.79     8.75    -1.05     0.01     0.16     0.94     3.52    15.29     3.60R    0.62  
Norwich          6    8   -1      38.73     8.70   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.45    35.31R   12.49  
QPR              6    8   -2      40.00     8.32   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.33    28.54R    8.60  
Everton          5    7   +0      55.08     9.00     3.71     0.03     0.58     2.86     8.84    29.87     1.42R    0.21  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -3      39.71     8.24   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.12    29.91R    9.43  
Arsenal          6    7   -5      62.93     8.99    14.67     0.34     3.73    13.30    31.08    64.52     0.15R    0.01  
Sunderland       6    5   +1      44.19     8.55    -7.83     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.63     4.11    13.95R    3.46  
Wigan            6    5   -4      35.79     8.07   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.33    48.03R   19.54  
Swansea          6    5   -5      36.97     8.36   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.58    41.73R   16.08  
Fulham           6    4   -3      45.67     8.38    -6.77     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.77     5.19    10.02R    2.16  
Blackburn        6    4   -5      39.72     8.54   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.26    30.15R   10.11  
West_Brom        6    4   -5      40.78     8.68   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.08    26.05R    8.24  
Bolton           6    3   -8      41.02     8.74   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.27     2.00    25.24R    8.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 September 2011, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       8   19  +10      80.28    11.03    23.89    21.79    39.45    75.95    48.71P    0.11R    0.01  
Middlesbrough     8   18   +8      75.39    10.18    15.99     9.41    21.24    61.21    30.93P    0.28R    0.03  
Derby             8   18   +7      67.88    10.10     3.87     2.43     6.70    31.78    11.37P    1.65R    0.19  
West_Ham          8   17   +9      85.21    10.73    33.39    39.10    58.69    87.94    68.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton          8   17   +6      67.62    10.53     3.83     2.63     7.02    31.65    11.87P    2.13R    0.30  
Cardiff           8   13   +3      73.56    10.19    15.53     6.53    16.85    54.37    27.16P    0.42R    0.05  
Hull              8   13   -1      63.76     9.66    -1.78     0.76     2.48    18.02     5.81P    3.61R    0.50  
Blackpool         8   12   +2      71.78    10.92    13.34     6.09    14.49    48.07    23.92P    1.13R    0.13  
Leicester         8   12   +0      66.21    10.27     3.06     1.68     4.96    26.79     9.96P    2.80R    0.44  
Leeds_United      8   11   +1      65.88    10.67     4.86     1.85     5.45    26.98    10.28P    3.41R    0.70  
Peterborough      8   10   +3      56.87    11.14    -7.14     0.39     1.26     9.04     2.77P   17.39R    5.08  
Crystal_Palace    8   10   +0      53.37     9.48   -11.77     0.04     0.14     2.88     0.67P   22.91R    5.53  
Ipswich           8   10   -5      55.01    10.06   -16.03     0.10     0.39     4.62     1.19P   20.25R    5.16  
Portsmouth        8    9   -1      61.52    10.03     0.12     0.55     1.78    14.25     4.58P    6.41R    1.19  
Reading           8    8   -1      65.45    10.37     6.93     1.60     4.74    25.74    10.82P    3.09R    0.52  
Birmingham        7    8   -2      68.89    11.14     9.12     3.80     9.84    37.99    18.40P    2.29R    0.36  
Barnsley          8    8   -2      52.65     9.69   -12.35     0.04     0.18     2.47     0.60P   26.17R    7.43  
Nott'm_Forest     8    8   -5      62.16    10.06    -1.66     0.58     2.04    15.62     5.50P    5.84R    1.07  
Watford           8    7   -4      56.88    10.28    -7.96     0.21     0.78     7.11     2.18P   15.47R    3.85  
Millwall          8    7   -5      56.66     9.78    -7.65     0.12     0.53     5.99     1.78P   14.45R    3.28  
Burnley           7    6   -4      57.46    10.36    -7.14     0.25     0.82     8.03     2.50P   14.39R    3.42  
Coventry          8    6   -4      50.30     9.51   -14.22     0.02     0.08     1.41     0.31P   33.99R   10.74  
Bristol_City      8    6   -6      50.91     9.89   -16.40     0.02     0.09     1.90     0.48P   32.80R   10.53  
Doncaster         8    4   -9      42.10     9.35   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   68.97R   39.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         9   23  +12      84.53    10.18    28.25    20.74    39.21    83.21    50.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   20   +9      84.33    10.27    31.62    20.62    39.27    82.77    53.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       9   19   +9      70.48    10.09     9.76     1.81     5.22    33.59    10.50P    1.01R    0.05  
Notts_County    10   19   +7      69.09     9.65     8.07     0.99     3.33    27.69     8.08P    1.20R    0.05  
Preston          8   19   +7      86.21    11.02    30.96    28.06    46.68    84.93    57.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       10   19   +6      70.14     9.77     8.56     1.30     4.14    31.73     9.81P    0.95R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       10   19   +3      73.37    10.05    10.21     2.98     8.18    44.34    16.08P    0.56R    0.02  
Huddersfield    10   18   +9      82.85     9.79    32.66    15.87    33.29    80.42    48.69P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          9   18   +8      76.96    10.15    20.22     6.33    15.66    59.07    26.61P    0.18R    0.01  
Carlisle        10   16   -3      62.35     9.69    -8.22     0.20     0.75    10.07     2.46P    6.03R    0.52  
Tranmere        10   14   +1      61.90     9.70    -0.96     0.15     0.60     9.72     2.43P    6.26R    0.55  
Oldham          10   14   -3      59.86     9.62    -8.35     0.12     0.40     6.55     1.47P    9.67R    0.95  
Stevenage       10   13   +4      55.89     9.95    -6.05     0.05     0.23     3.71     0.91P   18.52R    2.68  
Colchester      10   13   +0      65.55     9.98     4.54     0.42     1.69    18.20     5.26P    3.43R    0.26  
Chesterfield    10   11   -3      52.64    10.22   -16.15     0.02     0.09     2.08     0.48P   30.19R    5.98  
Scunthorpe      10    9   -2      61.23    10.51     1.88     0.24     0.86    10.89     3.35P    8.92R    1.11  
Walsall         10    9   -2      53.68     9.66    -9.63     0.01     0.10     1.98     0.45P   24.74R    4.19  
Bournemouth     10    9   -8      56.75     9.76   -11.11     0.03     0.15     3.68     0.92P   16.46R    2.25  
Yeovil          10    8   -4      53.21     9.62   -10.44     0.01     0.05     1.68     0.35P   26.21R    4.49  
Wycombe          9    8   -6      48.44     9.96   -21.48     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.15P   45.87R   12.39  
Rochdale        10    8   -8      54.73     9.75   -12.83     0.02     0.09     2.30     0.48P   22.20R    3.83  
Bury            10    8  -10      45.99     9.67   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   56.39R   18.51  
Exeter          10    5  -12      45.07     9.30   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   59.78R   20.01  
Leyton_Orient   10    3  -14      44.60     9.60   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   61.30R   22.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Aldershot vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe            10   20  +13      70.68    10.04    14.64     5.00    17.80    46.66    24.05P    0.27R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           10   20   +6      79.99     9.78    21.82    20.22    49.14    79.75    57.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             10   19   +4      76.03     9.83    15.50    10.73    32.90    66.62    41.55P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         10   19   +2      66.67    10.56    -1.30     2.51     9.90    30.55    13.77P    1.18R    0.38  
Rotherham            10   18   +5      77.08    10.03    20.04    13.62    37.36    70.34    45.89P    0.08R    0.02  
Gillingham           10   17   +7      74.76     9.89    19.71     9.42    29.40    62.46    38.42P    0.07R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   17   +1      55.39     9.87   -17.77     0.16     1.05     5.58     1.71P    9.86R    3.54  
Oxford_Utd           10   16   +3      64.42     9.73     1.93     1.15     5.59    22.53     9.00P    1.20R    0.29  
Burton_Albion        10   16   +2      64.56     9.91     0.30     1.19     5.71    23.08     9.04P    1.57R    0.42  
Swindon              10   15   +7      80.16    10.10    31.19    22.50    51.12    80.47    61.42P    0.04R    0.01  
Port_Vale            10   15   +5      67.97     9.93    10.29     2.70    11.42    35.68    17.41P    0.52R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       10   15   -1      68.07    10.46     4.47     3.21    12.45    36.03    18.45P    0.82R    0.20  
Torquay              10   14   +1      68.50     9.88     8.60     2.80    11.88    37.51    18.47P    0.58R    0.15  
Cheltenham           10   14   +0      56.72     9.67   -10.76     0.14     1.10     6.67     2.12P    7.36R    2.54  
Aldershot            10   14   +0      60.84     9.45    -3.20     0.44     2.43    12.73     4.80P    2.76R    0.75  
Crewe                10   13   -1      68.22    10.17     7.76     2.72    11.84    36.71    18.21P    0.70R    0.18  
Northampton          10   12   -1      61.01     9.88    -1.82     0.53     3.04    14.44     5.60P    3.22R    1.02  
Macclesfield         10   11   +0      53.28     9.47   -11.01     0.05     0.43     3.29     1.04P   12.57R    4.65  
Accrington_Stanley   10   11   -4      59.66     9.82    -5.11     0.36     2.17    11.20     4.27P    4.13R    1.32  
Dag_&_Red            10   10   -5      60.22    10.11    -3.49     0.51     2.71    13.26     5.46P    3.92R    1.26  
Barnet               10    9   -9      47.44     9.49   -26.89     0.01     0.08     0.84     0.21P   31.74R   15.28  
Bradford             10    6   -5      45.52     9.44   -20.55     0.00     0.04     0.52     0.12P   38.61R   19.88  
Hereford             10    6  -16      40.88     8.97   -38.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   61.35R   40.41  
Plymouth             10    4  -14      52.05    10.12   -15.95     0.03     0.43     3.01     1.12P   17.39R    7.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            11   23  +10      82.30     9.36    27.21    16.34    71.79    31.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          11   23   +8      71.41     9.44     8.58     2.11    26.83     6.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     11   22  +11      71.69    10.34    13.86     3.20    30.53     8.60P    0.29R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +5      77.09     9.50    17.34     6.74    50.23    17.17P    0.03R    0.00  
York               11   20  +11      77.39     9.42    25.04     7.17    52.56    18.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +8      89.88     9.01    42.37    49.69    91.91    66.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      11   20   +5      76.18     9.73    17.66     6.12    46.49    15.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   19   +6      73.24     9.72    15.77     3.46    34.87    10.06P    0.13R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      11   19   +5      69.51     9.29     9.23     1.30    20.56     5.21P    0.23R    0.02  
Tamworth           11   18   +2      59.92     9.26    -7.14     0.10     3.73     0.59P    3.70R    0.38  
Southport          11   15   -8      51.39     8.99   -27.05     0.01     0.41     0.04P   19.50R    3.20  
Forest_Green       11   14   +5      58.58     9.49    -0.33     0.08     3.36     0.62P    4.93R    0.57  
Barrow             11   14   +2      56.89     9.34    -6.14     0.04     2.14     0.36P    6.84R    0.79  
Stockport          11   14   +2      71.18     9.79    16.09     2.26    28.28     9.36P    0.27R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        11   13   -2      54.78    10.22   -11.92     0.04     1.98     0.37P   12.88R    2.48  
Darlington         11   13   -3      68.48     9.30     8.17     0.79    17.90     5.16P    0.41R    0.01  
Grimsby            11   13   -7      63.95     9.49    -2.44     0.33     8.26     1.95P    1.73R    0.22  
Kettering          11   11   -8      55.39     9.36   -13.54     0.02     1.25     0.23P   10.03R    1.58  
Lincoln_City       11    9   -6      61.44     9.83     0.98     0.19     5.87     1.69P    3.50R    0.48  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11    9   -8      45.37     9.30   -28.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P   42.20R   11.87  
Alfreton_Town      11    9  -13      38.37     9.12   -44.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.87R   37.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    8   -6      44.40     9.82   -24.91     0.00     0.12     0.02P   46.66R   15.11  
Newport_County     11    7   -7      53.39     9.46    -9.65     0.02     0.82     0.18P   13.57R    2.54  
Bath_City          11    3  -12      41.10     8.96   -26.83     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.03R   22.88