Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 September 2011, QPR vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          6   16  +17      89.60     7.47    72.13    75.34    93.59    98.60    99.60    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   16  +14      76.70     8.60    41.68    10.49    41.20    73.30    87.13    96.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          6   13   +5      78.60     8.34    40.10    12.75    51.70    79.67    90.98    98.14     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        6   12   +4      56.73     8.72     4.12     0.06     0.90     3.88    11.03    34.66     0.66R    0.07  
Liverpool        6   10   +0      63.86     8.71    15.01     0.53     4.29    14.63    33.78    67.98     0.08R    0.01  
Tottenham        5    9   +0      62.56     9.17    12.86     0.41     3.51    12.09    28.91    61.61     0.18R    0.01  
Stoke            6    9   -2      49.45     8.35    -7.75     0.00     0.08     0.46     2.10    10.51     4.11R    0.59  
Aston_Villa      6    8   +2      50.74     8.78    -1.07     0.01     0.16     0.93     3.40    14.89     3.61R    0.60  
QPR              6    8   -2      39.89     8.30   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.27    27.98R    8.26  
Everton          5    7   +0      55.47     9.06     4.38     0.05     0.62     3.00     9.59    30.96     1.23R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -3      39.70     8.16   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     1.02    28.81R    8.77  
Arsenal          6    7   -5      62.70     8.99    14.30     0.35     3.87    12.72    30.08    63.07     0.17R    0.01  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.40     8.86    -5.40     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.30     6.85     9.64R    2.21  
Norwich          5    5   -2      36.37     8.99   -28.56     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.13     0.87    45.28R   19.38  
Wigan            6    5   -4      35.67     8.02   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    47.33R   18.20  
Swansea          6    5   -5      36.92     8.36   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.64    41.38R   15.26  
Fulham           6    4   -3      45.43     8.46    -7.14     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.81     4.99    10.15R    2.16  
Blackburn        6    4   -5      39.87     8.54   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.30    28.96R    9.16  
West_Brom        6    4   -5      40.92     8.68   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.31     2.08    24.78R    7.35  
Bolton           6    3   -8      40.80     8.75   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.27     1.89    25.65R    7.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 September 2011, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       8   19  +10      80.36    10.96    24.03    22.02    40.01    76.18    49.25P    0.12R    0.02  
Middlesbrough     8   18   +8      75.49    10.25    16.09     9.63    21.73    61.42    31.38P    0.26R    0.03  
Derby             8   18   +7      67.86    10.09     3.75     2.28     6.44    31.61    11.08P    1.71R    0.26  
West_Ham          8   17   +9      84.83    10.70    32.75    37.51    57.18    87.39    66.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton          8   17   +6      67.73    10.49     4.06     2.76     7.05    31.79    11.97P    2.02R    0.27  
Cardiff           8   13   +3      73.59    10.31    15.63     6.99    16.90    54.64    27.55P    0.43R    0.05  
Hull              8   13   -1      63.86     9.66    -1.70     0.77     2.49    18.07     5.84P    3.47R    0.53  
Blackpool         8   12   +2      71.96    10.92    13.66     6.37    14.88    48.47    24.43P    0.98R    0.14  
Leicester         8   12   +0      66.41    10.15     3.29     1.73     4.88    27.27     9.96P    2.46R    0.35  
Leeds_United      8   11   +1      66.21    10.61     5.37     1.97     5.59    27.87    10.53P    3.17R    0.54  
Peterborough      8   10   +3      56.80    11.26    -7.25     0.46     1.33     9.20     2.92P   17.87R    5.07  
Crystal_Palace    8   10   +0      53.39     9.58   -11.71     0.06     0.21     2.85     0.67P   23.26R    5.72  
Ipswich           8   10   -5      55.12     9.93   -15.86     0.11     0.38     4.43     1.08P   19.48R    5.02  
Portsmouth        8    9   -1      61.24     9.99    -0.31     0.44     1.61    13.34     4.25P    6.60R    1.24  
Reading           8    8   -1      65.50    10.30     7.01     1.59     4.70    25.72    10.89P    3.14R    0.51  
Birmingham        7    8   -2      69.12    11.13     9.45     4.15    10.29    38.33    18.79P    2.01R    0.34  
Barnsley          8    8   -2      52.68     9.76   -12.29     0.03     0.14     2.74     0.60P   26.02R    7.30  
Nott'm_Forest     8    8   -5      61.77    10.03    -2.26     0.52     1.88    14.40     4.91P    6.19R    1.11  
Watford           8    7   -4      56.70    10.30    -8.27     0.18     0.73     6.94     2.12P   15.77R    3.94  
Millwall          8    7   -5      56.77     9.83    -7.49     0.13     0.53     5.87     1.74P   14.29R    3.18  
Burnley           7    6   -4      57.49    10.35    -7.02     0.25     0.82     8.07     2.43P   14.23R    3.40  
Coventry          8    6   -4      50.24     9.56   -14.30     0.01     0.06     1.36     0.31P   34.09R   10.83  
Bristol_City      8    6   -6      50.76     9.89   -16.69     0.04     0.14     1.89     0.46P   33.36R   10.66  
Doncaster         8    4   -9      42.05     9.44   -29.94     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   69.06R   39.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         9   23  +12      84.51    10.25    28.20    20.83    39.14    82.68    50.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   20   +9      84.13    10.25    31.25    20.01    38.62    82.37    52.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       9   19   +9      70.59    10.14     9.91     1.89     5.39    33.99    10.97P    1.07R    0.07  
Notts_County    10   19   +7      69.11     9.81     8.07     1.08     3.49    28.27     8.31P    1.20R    0.06  
Preston          8   19   +7      85.95    11.25    30.41    28.12    46.12    83.66    57.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       10   19   +6      70.18     9.74     8.64     1.34     4.32    31.59     9.90P    0.93R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       10   19   +3      73.79    10.13    10.86     3.43     9.27    45.33    17.06P    0.47R    0.03  
Huddersfield    10   18   +9      82.62     9.89    32.39    15.32    32.62    79.62    47.93P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          9   18   +8      77.18    10.20    20.58     6.70    15.83    60.14    26.43P    0.21R    0.01  
Carlisle        10   16   -3      62.14     9.77    -8.61     0.20     0.75     9.94     2.44P    6.57R    0.56  
Tranmere        10   14   +1      61.82     9.53    -1.07     0.13     0.59     9.17     2.25P    6.06R    0.57  
Oldham          10   14   -3      59.94     9.63    -8.27     0.10     0.39     6.61     1.53P    9.43R    0.90  
Stevenage       10   13   +4      55.91     9.97    -5.90     0.06     0.23     3.74     0.92P   18.49R    2.73  
Colchester      10   13   +0      65.72     9.95     4.92     0.47     1.78    18.57     5.55P    3.08R    0.21  
Chesterfield    10   11   -3      52.50    10.16   -16.43     0.02     0.10     1.98     0.38P   30.65R    6.00  
Scunthorpe      10    9   -2      61.27    10.55     2.01     0.21     0.94    10.89     3.45P    9.07R    1.04  
Walsall         10    9   -2      53.89     9.65    -9.32     0.01     0.08     2.02     0.44P   24.02R    4.08  
Bournemouth     10    9   -8      56.77     9.89   -11.10     0.04     0.15     3.92     0.99P   16.65R    2.33  
Yeovil          10    8   -4      53.13     9.68   -10.61     0.01     0.05     1.67     0.35P   26.45R    4.75  
Wycombe          9    8   -6      48.50     9.95   -21.40     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P   45.53R   12.20  
Rochdale        10    8   -8      54.72     9.81   -12.85     0.03     0.10     2.41     0.58P   22.37R    3.64  
Bury            10    8  -10      45.78     9.71   -28.52     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   57.21R   19.07  
Exeter          10    5  -12      45.14     9.42   -26.30     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   59.32R   20.13  
Leyton_Orient   10    3  -14      44.69     9.65   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   61.11R   21.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Aldershot vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe            10   20  +13      70.77     9.94    14.79     5.07    17.91    46.85    24.24P    0.25R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           10   20   +6      79.77     9.77    21.49    19.83    48.13    79.13    56.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             10   19   +4      76.18     9.90    15.73    11.02    33.63    67.05    42.36P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         10   19   +2      66.58    10.57    -1.51     2.37     9.54    30.48    13.47P    1.35R    0.39  
Rotherham            10   18   +5      76.84    10.09    19.66    13.27    37.13    69.91    45.63P    0.07R    0.01  
Gillingham           10   17   +7      74.60    10.00    19.47     9.46    29.01    62.32    38.18P    0.10R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   17   +1      55.29     9.92   -17.97     0.14     0.95     5.72     1.68P   10.32R    3.71  
Oxford_Utd           10   16   +3      64.45     9.68     1.95     0.99     5.53    22.53     8.99P    1.32R    0.34  
Burton_Albion        10   16   +2      64.74     9.85     0.63     1.19     6.01    23.95     9.45P    1.44R    0.42  
Swindon              10   15   +7      80.20    10.23    31.23    23.26    51.54    80.38    61.44P    0.03R    0.01  
Port_Vale            10   15   +5      67.96     9.94    10.26     2.55    11.35    36.13    17.62P    0.59R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       10   15   -1      67.63    10.58     3.84     3.00    11.93    34.40    17.78P    0.95R    0.26  
Torquay              10   14   +1      68.56     9.99     8.62     2.90    12.50    37.83    18.94P    0.57R    0.16  
Cheltenham           10   14   +0      56.50     9.66   -11.06     0.13     1.05     6.51     1.98P    7.58R    2.55  
Aldershot            10   14   +0      60.68     9.46    -3.45     0.37     2.41    12.43     4.69P    2.79R    0.78  
Crewe                10   13   -1      68.48    10.18     8.21     2.98    12.48    37.61    18.79P    0.68R    0.17  
Northampton          10   12   -1      60.90     9.74    -1.96     0.50     2.85    13.83     5.34P    3.04R    0.93  
Macclesfield         10   11   +0      53.16     9.55   -11.23     0.06     0.44     3.33     1.01P   13.17R    5.04  
Accrington_Stanley   10   11   -4      59.74     9.68    -4.98     0.28     1.98    11.07     4.12P    3.98R    1.28  
Dag_&_Red            10   10   -5      60.39    10.23    -3.20     0.56     3.06    13.78     5.94P    4.04R    1.27  
Barnet               10    9   -9      47.73     9.46   -26.38     0.01     0.09     0.90     0.23P   30.99R   14.81  
Bradford             10    6   -5      45.52     9.46   -20.53     0.01     0.06     0.56     0.17P   38.62R   20.11  
Hereford             10    6  -16      41.02     8.95   -38.06     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   60.96R   40.06  
Plymouth             10    4  -14      52.27    10.19   -15.52     0.04     0.40     3.22     1.22P   17.11R    7.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            11   23  +10      82.36     9.31    27.30    16.40    71.82    31.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          11   23   +8      71.43     9.52     8.67     2.20    27.13     6.25P    0.16R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     11   22  +11      71.94    10.40    14.13     3.41    31.52     9.01P    0.28R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +5      77.27     9.46    17.64     6.76    50.76    17.23P    0.03R    0.00  
York               11   20  +11      77.38     9.43    25.09     6.89    52.76    19.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +8      89.96     8.98    42.44    50.17    92.01    66.40P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      11   20   +5      76.13     9.63    17.58     5.90    46.26    15.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   19   +6      73.00     9.62    15.43     3.09    33.93     9.48P    0.14R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      11   19   +5      69.65     9.31     9.40     1.28    21.13     5.46P    0.26R    0.01  
Tamworth           11   18   +2      59.90     9.29    -7.19     0.12     3.90     0.72P    3.57R    0.38  
Southport          11   15   -8      51.36     9.11   -27.10     0.00     0.43     0.05P   19.87R    3.47  
Forest_Green       11   14   +5      58.67     9.50    -0.21     0.11     3.36     0.65P    4.82R    0.55  
Barrow             11   14   +2      56.99     9.30    -5.97     0.04     2.11     0.35P    6.58R    0.79  
Stockport          11   14   +2      70.79     9.85    15.49     2.11    27.00     8.92P    0.31R    0.03  
AFC_Telford        11   13   -2      54.58    10.30   -12.19     0.06     1.83     0.38P   13.68R    2.68  
Darlington         11   13   -3      68.21     9.32     7.82     0.83    17.04     5.06P    0.52R    0.03  
Grimsby            11   13   -7      63.71     9.66    -2.76     0.31     8.26     1.95P    1.97R    0.23  
Kettering          11   11   -8      55.47     9.37   -13.39     0.03     1.33     0.26P   10.07R    1.55  
Lincoln_City       11    9   -6      61.56     9.87     1.17     0.26     6.24     1.82P    3.38R    0.46  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11    9   -8      45.02     9.16   -28.46     0.00     0.08     0.00P   43.50R   12.52  
Alfreton_Town      11    9  -13      38.78     9.17   -43.69     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.10R   36.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    8   -6      44.48     9.94   -24.86     0.00     0.15     0.03P   46.10R   15.83  
Newport_County     11    7   -7      53.36     9.48    -9.69     0.02     0.93     0.22P   13.80R    2.56  
Bath_City          11    3  -12      41.23     8.91   -26.65     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.79R   22.58