Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Arsenal vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          6   16  +17      89.62     7.52    72.11    75.51    93.25    98.40    99.58    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   16  +14      76.62     8.58    41.58     9.98    41.06    73.08    87.14    96.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          6   13   +5      78.59     8.36    40.12    12.96    51.71    79.51    90.70    98.06     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        6   12   +4      56.73     8.80     4.08     0.08     0.89     3.73    11.00    34.85     0.80R    0.10  
Liverpool        6   10   +0      63.77     8.79    14.85     0.61     4.56    14.46    33.42    67.40     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham        5    9   +0      62.64     9.15    13.00     0.44     3.65    12.54    29.49    61.66     0.19R    0.02  
Stoke            6    9   -2      49.25     8.42    -7.99     0.01     0.09     0.49     1.96    10.15     4.58R    0.71  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.32     8.98    -0.74     0.02     0.23     1.22     4.25    16.91     3.44R    0.62  
Everton          5    7   +0      55.24     9.00     4.00     0.05     0.68     2.90     8.96    29.44     1.29R    0.15  
QPR              5    7   -2      40.34     8.61   -21.31     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.24     1.64    27.27R    8.23  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -3      39.63     8.23   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.11    29.32R    8.95  
Arsenal          6    7   -5      62.78     8.95    14.44     0.33     3.77    13.00    30.06    63.09     0.13R    0.01  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.29     8.87    -5.57     0.00     0.06     0.29     1.32     6.92     9.66R    2.10  
Norwich          5    5   -2      36.32     8.88   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.84    45.59R   19.39  
Wigan            6    5   -4      35.93     8.08   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35    46.38R   17.93  
Swansea          6    5   -5      37.19     8.45   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.76    40.20R   14.67  
Fulham           6    4   -3      45.56     8.46    -6.93     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.83     5.07    10.11R    1.99  
Blackburn        6    4   -5      39.94     8.57   -20.67     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18     1.27    28.61R    9.31  
West_Brom        6    4   -5      40.59     8.70   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.26     1.86    26.11R    7.79  
Bolton           6    3   -8      40.69     8.73   -20.60     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.23     1.74    26.26R    8.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       8   19  +10      80.28    10.93    23.87    21.53    38.72    75.63    47.96P    0.11R    0.01  
Middlesbrough     8   18   +8      75.44    10.27    15.97     9.63    21.43    60.70    31.01P    0.21R    0.02  
Derby             8   18   +7      67.57    10.11     3.28     2.07     6.00    30.48    10.35P    1.72R    0.20  
West_Ham          8   17   +9      84.81    10.68    32.79    36.98    56.41    87.34    66.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton          8   17   +6      68.06    10.58     4.49     2.79     7.34    32.59    12.22P    2.05R    0.32  
Hull              8   13   -1      63.86     9.70    -1.74     0.79     2.61    18.01     5.96P    3.55R    0.52  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      74.95    10.56    17.14     8.88    20.50    58.91    31.48P    0.33R    0.03  
Blackpool         8   12   +2      71.62    10.89    13.07     5.93    13.86    46.68    23.12P    1.12R    0.16  
Leeds_United      8   11   +1      65.97    10.63     4.92     1.79     5.19    27.15    10.28P    3.40R    0.55  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.25    10.62     2.40     1.93     5.41    27.18    10.50P    3.22R    0.52  
Peterborough      8   10   +3      56.70    11.10    -7.52     0.37     1.18     8.81     2.55P   17.74R    5.10  
Crystal_Palace    8   10   +0      53.47     9.55   -11.67     0.04     0.21     2.76     0.65P   22.61R    5.76  
Ipswich           8   10   -5      55.05     9.93   -16.08     0.09     0.35     4.29     1.06P   19.98R    5.06  
Portsmouth        8    9   -1      61.42    10.03    -0.08     0.43     1.62    13.45     4.39P    6.64R    1.19  
Reading           8    8   -1      65.76    10.36     7.40     1.72     4.97    26.34    11.26P    3.02R    0.42  
Birmingham        7    8   -2      69.22    11.07     9.64     3.84     9.81    38.50    18.22P    2.08R    0.35  
Barnsley          8    8   -2      52.65     9.75   -12.37     0.06     0.18     2.61     0.62P   25.93R    7.53  
Nott'm_Forest     8    8   -5      62.10    10.12    -1.76     0.59     2.07    15.21     5.42P    5.88R    1.03  
Watford           8    7   -4      56.72    10.35    -8.27     0.19     0.73     6.88     2.03P   15.97R    3.97  
Millwall          8    7   -5      56.71     9.79    -7.67     0.13     0.49     5.74     1.59P   14.47R    3.23  
Burnley           7    6   -4      57.43    10.27    -7.23     0.19     0.70     7.30     2.23P   14.20R    3.40  
Coventry          8    6   -4      50.50     9.51   -13.99     0.02     0.09     1.43     0.34P   33.47R   10.21  
Bristol_City      8    6   -6      50.86     9.85   -16.47     0.01     0.10     1.85     0.46P   32.87R   10.23  
Doncaster         8    4   -9      42.01     9.42   -30.11     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   69.40R   40.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         9   23  +12      84.17    10.22    27.68    20.22    38.58    82.23    49.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       10   20   +9      84.25    10.19    31.49    21.09    39.41    82.71    53.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       9   19   +9      70.63    10.11     9.99     1.96     5.55    34.10    10.95P    1.02R    0.05  
Notts_County    10   19   +7      69.11     9.64     8.04     1.05     3.54    28.06     8.28P    1.11R    0.07  
Preston          8   19   +7      85.79    11.12    30.19    27.51    45.78    83.85    56.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Brentford       10   19   +6      70.08     9.81     8.47     1.40     4.35    31.64    10.03P    1.00R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       10   19   +3      73.70    10.09    10.77     3.34     9.06    45.69    17.18P    0.48R    0.02  
Huddersfield    10   18   +9      82.53     9.85    32.17    15.69    32.84    79.53    48.20P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          9   18   +8      76.81    10.19    20.05     6.32    15.65    58.91    26.54P    0.25R    0.01  
Carlisle        10   16   -3      62.30     9.72    -8.31     0.26     0.81    10.21     2.50P    6.44R    0.53  
Tranmere        10   14   +1      62.14     9.63    -0.62     0.18     0.63     9.92     2.36P    5.89R    0.49  
Oldham          10   14   -3      60.02     9.57    -8.15     0.11     0.37     6.66     1.50P    9.26R    0.87  
Stevenage       10   13   +4      55.86     9.97    -6.00     0.06     0.21     3.71     0.84P   18.78R    2.84  
Colchester      10   13   +0      65.57     9.95     4.65     0.46     1.75    18.39     5.39P    3.35R    0.26  
Chesterfield    10   11   -3      52.55    10.01   -16.27     0.02     0.07     1.88     0.37P   30.10R    5.82  
Scunthorpe      10    9   -2      61.34    10.58     2.07     0.24     0.94    11.23     3.44P    8.71R    1.11  
Walsall         10    9   -2      53.78     9.71    -9.39     0.01     0.10     2.10     0.50P   24.62R    4.23  
Bournemouth     10    9   -8      56.58     9.84   -11.32     0.04     0.17     3.54     0.88P   17.24R    2.45  
Yeovil          10    8   -4      53.13     9.66   -10.55     0.01     0.06     1.65     0.36P   26.81R    4.69  
Wycombe          9    8   -6      48.52    10.02   -21.45     0.01     0.03     0.75     0.15P   45.76R   12.43  
Rochdale        10    8   -8      54.95     9.78   -12.52     0.02     0.10     2.49     0.61P   21.87R    3.50  
Bury            10    8  -10      46.09     9.69   -27.95     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   56.25R   18.43  
Exeter          10    5  -12      45.08     9.37   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   60.00R   20.24  
Leyton_Orient   10    3  -14      44.74     9.61   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   60.94R   21.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Aldershot vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe            10   20  +13      70.69     9.88    14.64     4.76    17.68    46.43    23.75P    0.17R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           10   20   +6      80.06     9.80    21.91    20.56    48.95    79.89    57.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             10   19   +4      75.83     9.77    15.28    10.39    31.72    65.62    40.52P    0.04R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         10   19   +2      66.68    10.46    -1.31     2.31     9.72    30.59    13.65P    1.13R    0.31  
Rotherham            10   18   +5      77.03    10.15    19.98    13.69    38.10    70.08    46.40P    0.05R    0.01  
Gillingham           10   17   +7      74.66     9.82    19.50     9.07    28.72    62.22    38.06P    0.08R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   17   +1      55.06     9.96   -18.35     0.16     1.00     5.58     1.73P   10.73R    3.95  
Oxford_Utd           10   16   +3      64.44     9.67     1.94     0.98     5.48    22.74     8.97P    1.25R    0.33  
Burton_Albion        10   16   +2      64.59     9.95     0.37     1.15     5.85    23.19     9.29P    1.64R    0.46  
Swindon              10   15   +7      80.46    10.18    31.69    23.65    52.55    81.31    62.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            10   15   +5      68.03     9.85    10.44     2.70    11.29    36.14    17.30P    0.49R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       10   15   -1      67.67    10.48     3.83     2.94    11.69    34.75    17.54P    0.89R    0.23  
Torquay              10   14   +1      68.40     9.90     8.41     2.62    12.15    37.21    18.58P    0.52R    0.11  
Cheltenham           10   14   +0      56.56     9.67   -11.01     0.13     1.03     6.48     2.04P    7.44R    2.61  
Aldershot            10   14   +0      60.91     9.42    -3.13     0.40     2.45    12.78     4.68P    2.64R    0.80  
Crewe                10   13   -1      68.67    10.15     8.51     3.01    12.69    38.27    19.32P    0.65R    0.15  
Northampton          10   12   -1      60.95     9.84    -1.94     0.52     3.02    14.06     5.48P    3.28R    1.12  
Macclesfield         10   11   +0      53.02     9.51   -11.43     0.06     0.45     3.15     0.97P   13.19R    5.03  
Accrington_Stanley   10   11   -4      59.64     9.78    -5.15     0.33     1.98    11.27     4.08P    4.25R    1.42  
Dag_&_Red            10   10   -5      60.43    10.14    -3.12     0.52     2.92    13.60     5.80P    3.88R    1.21  
Barnet               10    9   -9      47.81     9.40   -26.22     0.00     0.06     0.89     0.19P   30.39R   14.21  
Bradford             10    6   -5      45.34     9.42   -20.81     0.00     0.04     0.47     0.12P   39.27R   20.38  
Hereford             10    6  -16      41.08     8.96   -38.11     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   60.58R   39.85  
Plymouth             10    4  -14      52.05    10.18   -15.91     0.05     0.46     3.19     1.20P   17.42R    7.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            11   23  +10      82.40     9.34    27.38    16.58    72.05    31.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          11   23   +8      71.58     9.56     8.88     2.32    27.82     6.69P    0.16R    0.02  
Braintree_Town     11   22  +11      71.87    10.26    14.08     3.30    31.00     8.67P    0.24R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +5      77.12     9.38    17.45     6.45    49.77    16.67P    0.01R    0.00  
York               11   20  +11      77.28     9.34    24.91     6.67    51.98    18.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              11   20   +8      90.02     8.94    42.50    50.38    92.23    66.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      11   20   +5      76.37     9.66    17.90     6.26    47.17    15.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   19   +6      73.06     9.70    15.45     3.14    34.30     9.48P    0.13R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      11   19   +5      69.82     9.22     9.67     1.35    21.43     5.55P    0.21R    0.02  
Tamworth           11   18   +2      59.81     9.27    -7.33     0.09     3.75     0.59P    3.58R    0.38  
Southport          11   15   -8      51.43     8.99   -26.97     0.00     0.40     0.05P   19.32R    3.19  
Forest_Green       11   14   +5      58.74     9.43    -0.10     0.07     3.23     0.58P    4.77R    0.56  
Barrow             11   14   +2      56.83     9.40    -6.19     0.04     2.13     0.40P    7.13R    0.87  
Stockport          11   14   +2      70.89     9.83    15.66     2.01    27.62     9.27P    0.34R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        11   13   -2      54.70    10.15   -11.99     0.03     1.89     0.31P   13.06R    2.41  
Darlington         11   13   -3      68.04     9.30     7.56     0.79    16.55     4.81P    0.42R    0.02  
Grimsby            11   13   -7      63.87     9.58    -2.61     0.31     8.32     2.10P    1.77R    0.21  
Kettering          11   11   -8      55.37     9.34   -13.60     0.02     1.27     0.24P    9.96R    1.53  
Lincoln_City       11    9   -6      61.55     9.85     1.20     0.19     6.08     1.69P    3.29R    0.39  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11    9   -8      45.19     9.22   -28.15     0.00     0.10     0.01P   43.33R   11.98  
Alfreton_Town      11    9  -13      38.20     9.10   -44.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.65R   38.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   11    8   -6      44.68     9.86   -24.56     0.00     0.14     0.01P   44.97R   14.62  
Newport_County     11    7   -7      53.21     9.46    -9.93     0.01     0.76     0.18P   13.92R    2.61  
Bath_City          11    3  -12      41.22     9.00   -26.62     0.00     0.02     0.01P   59.66R   22.83