Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 23 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 5 15 +17 91.65 7.71 74.97 82.99 96.02 99.16 99.76 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_City 5 13 +12 75.34 8.93 40.01 7.17 39.20 70.39 84.44 95.82 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +2 77.46 8.58 37.24 8.78 50.02 77.59 89.39 97.57 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 5 9 +2 54.87 9.06 1.76 0.03 0.72 3.45 9.65 29.96 1.67R 0.24 Stoke 5 8 -2 48.23 8.57 -10.17 0.00 0.08 0.51 1.93 9.59 6.70R 1.24 Aston_Villa 5 7 +2 51.22 8.95 -0.84 0.02 0.27 1.36 4.54 17.73 3.91R 0.74 Everton 4 7 +2 56.75 9.35 6.06 0.13 1.53 5.78 14.40 37.95 1.13R 0.13 Liverpool 5 7 -1 63.15 9.01 15.33 0.43 4.89 15.88 34.47 66.61 0.18R 0.02 QPR 5 7 -2 39.88 8.74 -22.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.32 1.87 31.03R 9.81 Wolverhampton 5 7 -2 40.10 8.43 -23.50 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.22 1.56 29.73R 9.09 Tottenham 4 6 -1 61.00 9.55 11.76 0.21 3.44 11.90 27.16 56.93 0.40R 0.03 Sunderland 5 5 +2 46.24 8.96 -5.59 0.00 0.05 0.38 1.62 7.61 10.92R 2.51 Norwich 5 5 -2 36.29 8.95 -28.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.93 47.23R 20.81 Swansea 5 5 -2 37.99 8.64 -20.26 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 1.15 38.35R 13.89 Wigan 5 5 -3 36.81 8.36 -26.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.65 44.23R 16.62 Blackburn 5 4 -3 41.40 8.85 -18.07 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.41 2.61 24.90R 7.61 Arsenal 5 4 -8 61.46 9.33 11.92 0.23 3.69 12.85 29.03 58.90 0.40R 0.05 Fulham 5 3 -3 45.73 8.68 -7.31 0.00 0.02 0.27 1.21 6.26 10.93R 2.46 Bolton 5 3 -5 42.25 8.99 -17.33 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.60 3.47 22.21R 6.51 West_Brom 5 3 -5 41.21 9.06 -19.32 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.46 2.86 26.08R 8.24Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 23 September 2011, Brighton vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 7 18 +10 81.44 11.53 25.25 22.81 40.22 76.54 49.30P 0.15R 0.02 Middlesbrough 7 17 +8 77.18 10.69 18.07 11.35 24.48 64.77 34.18P 0.18R 0.01 Brighton 8 17 +6 67.87 10.61 4.11 2.22 6.15 30.59 11.09P 2.17R 0.24 Derby 7 15 +4 64.10 10.33 -2.60 0.84 2.73 18.88 5.52P 4.26R 0.52 West_Ham 7 14 +8 84.81 11.14 35.10 34.14 53.42 85.27 63.81P 0.05R 0.00 Cardiff 7 12 +3 74.90 10.55 17.06 7.62 18.01 57.14 28.70P 0.37R 0.03 Blackpool 7 12 +3 74.36 11.27 16.21 8.50 18.73 54.66 28.93P 0.73R 0.08 Hull 7 12 -1 64.48 9.96 -1.50 0.80 2.56 18.90 6.00P 3.35R 0.44 Leeds_United 8 11 +1 66.11 10.72 5.08 1.57 4.68 26.30 9.61P 3.18R 0.47 Leicester 7 11 +0 66.17 10.72 2.22 1.66 4.77 25.98 9.63P 3.16R 0.43 Peterborough 7 10 +4 57.00 11.58 -9.14 0.46 1.40 9.10 2.79P 17.82R 4.67 Crystal_Palace 7 10 +1 55.39 9.88 -10.26 0.08 0.33 4.28 1.00P 17.24R 3.70 Ipswich 7 9 -5 54.50 10.33 -18.06 0.09 0.36 4.12 1.00P 21.76R 5.26 Reading 7 7 -1 66.34 10.57 7.66 1.73 5.07 26.77 11.12P 2.81R 0.38 Birmingham 6 7 -2 70.95 11.35 11.59 4.71 11.63 42.50 20.94P 1.57R 0.22 Millwall 7 7 -2 59.99 10.12 -2.09 0.24 1.00 10.25 3.16P 8.46R 1.60 Barnsley 7 7 -2 52.21 9.92 -13.91 0.01 0.11 2.32 0.44P 27.23R 7.12 Watford 7 7 -3 59.01 10.69 -6.15 0.30 1.15 9.92 2.92P 11.34R 2.37 Portsmouth 7 6 -2 59.27 10.29 -2.01 0.27 1.02 9.66 3.02P 9.79R 1.84 Burnley 6 5 -4 57.84 10.71 -7.39 0.24 0.85 8.31 2.57P 13.65R 3.03 Coventry 7 5 -4 50.34 9.88 -15.01 0.03 0.08 1.48 0.38P 33.28R 9.67 Nott'm_Forest 7 5 -6 59.64 10.44 -4.18 0.30 1.14 10.25 3.43P 9.58R 1.68 Bristol_City 7 5 -6 50.96 10.16 -17.17 0.03 0.11 1.93 0.44P 32.33R 8.99 Doncaster 7 1 -10 39.66 9.66 -32.87 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 75.54R 47.24League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 8 20 +10 82.59 10.46 25.83 14.47 30.49 78.54 42.87P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 9 20 +10 87.74 10.51 35.96 29.51 50.92 89.64 63.45P 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 9 17 +9 84.85 10.18 35.28 19.82 39.90 85.29 55.10P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 8 17 +8 78.60 10.58 22.34 8.06 19.05 65.98 30.78P 0.19R 0.01 Hartlepool 8 16 +8 68.23 10.40 7.83 1.11 3.52 27.63 8.04P 2.06R 0.12 Preston 7 16 +6 84.88 11.51 30.44 22.66 40.52 82.05 52.65P 0.08R 0.00 Notts_County 9 16 +5 66.64 10.04 4.74 0.60 2.14 21.98 5.79P 2.65R 0.18 Brentford 9 16 +4 67.28 10.08 4.75 0.68 2.41 23.95 6.82P 2.43R 0.13 Sheff_Wed 9 16 +0 71.04 10.29 6.01 1.79 5.34 36.69 12.07P 1.21R 0.06 Tranmere 9 14 +2 62.95 9.95 -0.52 0.20 0.85 12.73 3.12P 5.62R 0.36 Oldham 9 14 -1 62.58 9.97 -4.43 0.17 0.82 12.00 2.97P 6.36R 0.55 Stevenage 9 13 +5 57.53 10.39 -4.86 0.08 0.38 5.98 1.34P 16.12R 2.20 Carlisle 9 13 -4 60.68 10.16 -9.49 0.17 0.67 8.94 2.21P 9.60R 0.98 Chesterfield 9 11 -1 54.09 10.40 -14.05 0.03 0.15 3.25 0.66P 25.96R 4.38 Colchester 9 10 -1 64.09 10.38 3.81 0.32 1.32 16.53 4.69P 5.31R 0.51 Walsall 9 9 -1 55.18 10.09 -8.65 0.02 0.12 3.41 0.73P 21.54R 3.17 Bournemouth 9 9 -7 58.73 10.11 -9.19 0.07 0.34 6.59 1.63P 13.03R 1.54 Yeovil 9 8 -3 54.84 9.91 -9.18 0.01 0.11 3.06 0.69P 22.04R 3.29 Rochdale 9 8 -6 57.08 10.14 -9.38 0.05 0.23 4.80 1.19P 17.00R 2.34 Bury 9 7 -10 45.49 10.14 -30.28 0.00 0.02 0.42 0.07P 58.96R 19.62 Scunthorpe 9 6 -3 59.48 10.99 0.60 0.17 0.69 9.53 2.92P 12.96R 1.97 Wycombe 8 5 -7 44.77 10.13 -26.12 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.05P 60.89R 20.95 Exeter 9 5 -9 47.24 9.76 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.09P 50.91R 13.86 Leyton_Orient 9 2 -14 43.72 9.80 -29.06 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.07P 65.00R 23.79League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Morecambe 9 20 +14 73.19 10.23 17.50 8.31 25.73 56.20 32.32P 0.14R 0.04 Rotherham 9 18 +9 81.36 10.30 28.73 27.33 55.94 82.83 63.46P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 9 17 +4 77.52 10.03 18.55 14.60 39.76 71.85 48.69P 0.04R 0.01 Burton_Albion 9 16 +4 66.06 10.11 2.58 1.84 8.35 28.77 12.28P 1.24R 0.38 Crawley_Town 9 16 +1 63.52 10.71 -4.93 1.53 6.53 22.22 9.48P 2.80R 0.88 Southend 9 16 +0 71.14 10.06 6.66 4.85 18.23 47.23 25.48P 0.29R 0.06 Oxford_Utd 9 15 +3 65.54 9.89 3.08 1.46 7.38 26.66 11.40P 1.11R 0.26 Port_Vale 9 14 +5 67.87 10.10 9.54 2.75 11.94 36.10 17.92P 0.65R 0.20 Gillingham 9 14 +5 72.99 10.12 17.45 7.29 24.57 56.03 33.15P 0.17R 0.04 Torquay 9 14 +3 70.74 10.19 12.00 4.91 18.21 46.74 25.77P 0.37R 0.10 Aldershot 9 14 +1 63.45 9.86 -0.47 0.92 4.94 20.32 8.34P 1.81R 0.41 AFC_Wimbledon 9 14 +0 52.72 10.21 -20.56 0.13 0.76 4.09 1.30P 16.85R 6.88 Cheltenham 9 13 +0 57.58 9.94 -10.30 0.24 1.59 8.36 2.82P 7.10R 2.57 Swindon 9 12 +3 77.30 10.62 25.36 16.04 41.20 71.19 51.21P 0.10R 0.02 Crewe 9 12 -1 69.57 10.40 9.41 3.90 15.47 42.33 22.36P 0.58R 0.14 Bristol_Rovers 9 12 -2 64.90 10.71 1.12 1.99 8.42 26.42 13.23P 1.90R 0.49 Macclesfield 9 11 +2 55.10 9.78 -8.26 0.13 0.88 5.30 1.71P 10.16R 3.67 Accrington_Stanley 9 10 -4 59.84 9.97 -5.30 0.36 2.45 12.13 4.58P 4.48R 1.45 Dag_&_Red 9 10 -4 62.54 10.46 -1.05 0.96 4.91 19.19 8.70P 2.75R 0.84 Northampton 9 9 -2 58.69 10.07 -3.85 0.37 2.15 10.68 4.11P 5.74R 1.91 Barnet 9 9 -5 50.30 9.78 -20.47 0.03 0.23 1.97 0.55P 22.59R 9.87 Bradford 9 6 -4 47.83 9.74 -18.05 0.02 0.11 1.15 0.32P 30.56R 14.77 Hereford 9 5 -16 40.68 9.23 -39.79 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 62.83R 42.77 Plymouth 9 1 -16 49.76 10.39 -18.96 0.04 0.26 2.15 0.81P 25.71R 12.22Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 10 20 +11 93.24 8.99 48.62 64.81 96.34 77.83P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 10 20 +8 79.59 9.47 23.59 8.92 63.31 23.81P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 10 20 +7 69.68 9.68 7.49 1.37 23.84 5.09P 0.45R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 10 20 +5 78.52 9.64 18.93 7.52 58.03 20.00P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 10 19 +9 76.47 9.89 21.70 5.36 50.70 15.42P 0.06R 0.00 Braintree_Town 10 19 +7 67.54 10.60 6.09 1.22 19.89 4.70P 1.17R 0.10 York 10 17 +8 73.48 9.52 18.76 2.88 38.03 11.82P 0.07R 0.00 Kidderminster 10 17 +2 72.60 9.87 11.49 2.56 34.48 9.41P 0.22R 0.02 Tamworth 10 17 +2 59.62 9.38 -8.21 0.08 4.04 0.64P 4.64R 0.51 Cambridge_Utd 10 16 +3 66.99 9.45 5.94 0.64 15.91 4.02P 0.66R 0.06 Southport 10 15 -4 54.74 9.39 -19.56 0.02 1.40 0.19P 13.15R 2.06 Forest_Green 10 13 +5 58.63 9.65 -0.82 0.08 3.93 0.71P 6.01R 0.73 Barrow 10 13 +2 57.01 9.49 -6.48 0.04 2.53 0.46P 8.31R 1.01 Stockport 10 13 +2 71.65 10.10 16.23 2.25 32.64 10.63P 0.35R 0.03 Darlington 10 13 -1 70.80 9.53 11.51 1.37 27.37 8.42P 0.29R 0.02 Grimsby 10 13 -5 65.99 9.69 0.60 0.55 13.63 3.35P 1.29R 0.11 AFC_Telford 10 12 -2 53.92 10.38 -13.73 0.06 2.01 0.43P 16.90R 3.53 Hayes_&_Yeading 10 9 -7 47.07 9.40 -26.11 0.00 0.17 0.02P 38.21R 10.08 Lincoln_City 10 8 -6 62.71 10.04 2.35 0.22 9.10 2.46P 3.09R 0.33 Kettering 10 8 -9 53.21 9.63 -15.58 0.01 0.98 0.18P 17.35R 3.45 Alfreton_Town 10 8 -13 38.94 9.36 -43.80 0.00 0.02 0.00P 72.48R 39.35 Ebbsfleet_United 10 7 -6 44.77 10.09 -24.87 0.00 0.22 0.04P 47.65R 16.97 Newport_County 10 6 -7 53.81 9.65 -9.58 0.03 1.40 0.38P 14.78R 2.76 Bath_City 10 3 -11 43.39 9.31 -24.59 0.00 0.04 0.01P 52.83R 18.82