Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          5   15  +17      91.59     7.71    74.77    82.56    95.71    99.13    99.80    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5   13  +12      75.49     8.95    40.35     7.48    39.77    70.62    84.79    95.77     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          5   10   +2      77.43     8.61    37.24     8.77    49.28    77.44    89.16    97.42     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.80     9.07     1.60     0.05     0.83     3.32     9.37    29.25     1.76R    0.27  
Stoke            5    8   -2      48.10     8.68   -10.36     0.00     0.09     0.54     2.07     9.58     6.99R    1.20  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.29     9.01    -0.75     0.02     0.32     1.49     4.83    18.11     3.73R    0.66  
Everton          4    7   +2      56.92     9.35     6.37     0.11     1.45     5.61    14.76    38.99     1.08R    0.19  
Liverpool        5    7   -1      63.20     9.03    15.46     0.45     4.98    15.94    34.66    66.73     0.15R    0.01  
QPR              5    7   -2      40.01     8.66   -21.80     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     1.81    30.22R    9.20  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      39.97     8.43   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.18     1.38    29.91R    9.40  
Tottenham        4    6   -1      60.90     9.56    11.70     0.26     3.46    11.72    26.54    56.10     0.45R    0.05  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.32     8.94    -5.46     0.00     0.06     0.40     1.59     7.74    10.62R    2.45  
Norwich          5    5   -2      36.12     9.01   -28.87     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.95    47.98R   21.20  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.12     8.57   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.15     1.11    37.33R   13.14  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.88     8.44   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.75    43.93R   16.53  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.33     8.89   -18.27     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.39     2.55    25.23R    7.86  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.47     9.43    11.96     0.30     3.93    12.99    28.80    58.89     0.41R    0.04  
Fulham           5    3   -3      45.83     8.84    -7.20     0.00     0.05     0.32     1.34     6.71    11.30R    2.66  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.16     9.03   -17.52     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.60     3.34    22.60R    6.68  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      41.13     9.08   -19.41     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.49     2.83    26.31R    8.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 September 2011, Ipswich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       7   18  +10      81.54    11.49    25.45    23.53    40.37    76.44    49.41P    0.11R    0.01  
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.33    10.60    18.29    11.27    24.70    65.35    34.52P    0.22R    0.02  
Brighton          7   16   +6      68.28    10.79     4.43     2.59     6.90    32.38    11.92P    2.07R    0.23  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.02    10.22    -2.64     0.81     2.66    18.53     5.42P    4.17R    0.54  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.69    11.08    34.79    33.54    52.86    85.22    63.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      75.04    10.59    17.24     7.74    18.67    57.60    29.71P    0.42R    0.04  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      74.27    11.32    16.10     8.30    18.37    54.39    28.66P    0.76R    0.09  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.49     9.95    -1.51     0.80     2.54    18.97     6.13P    3.29R    0.46  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.29    10.61     2.44     1.54     4.68    25.97     9.48P    2.89R    0.39  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.29    11.62    -8.67     0.46     1.53     9.47     3.06P   17.35R    4.41  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      66.22    10.91     4.82     1.71     4.84    26.95     9.91P    3.39R    0.50  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.23     9.89   -10.45     0.09     0.33     4.23     0.96P   17.57R    3.75  
Ipswich           7    9   -5      54.64    10.28   -17.86     0.08     0.33     4.13     0.98P   21.33R    5.20  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.14    10.54     7.45     1.57     4.73    26.10    10.50P    2.88R    0.36  
Birmingham        6    7   -2      70.61    11.38    11.09     4.49    11.16    41.61    20.21P    1.68R    0.26  
Millwall          7    7   -2      59.66    10.10    -2.52     0.26     0.91     9.49     2.93P    8.83R    1.64  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.21     9.94   -13.82     0.05     0.18     2.32     0.61P   27.24R    7.15  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.89    10.60    -6.25     0.32     1.11     9.59     2.80P   11.53R    2.44  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      59.14    10.28    -2.18     0.23     0.93     9.23     2.74P   10.11R    1.93  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.95    10.71    -7.18     0.28     0.97     8.51     2.57P   13.58R    2.83  
Coventry          7    5   -4      50.41     9.77   -14.81     0.01     0.05     1.44     0.33P   33.09R    9.51  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.44    10.42    -4.47     0.31     1.04    10.01     3.30P   10.01R    1.91  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      51.18    10.06   -16.81     0.03     0.14     1.98     0.48P   31.35R    8.59  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.59     9.64   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P   76.09R   47.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      82.70    10.44    25.96    14.69    30.78    78.89    43.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.90    10.47    36.18    29.83    51.81    90.17    64.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.71    10.01    35.10    18.97    38.87    85.13    54.21P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.37    10.56    22.01     7.81    18.50    65.18    30.07P    0.17R    0.00  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.21    10.37     7.74     1.06     3.44    27.37     8.03P    2.16R    0.12  
Preston          7   16   +6      84.99    11.55    30.69    23.20    40.92    82.00    52.92P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.66    10.00     4.76     0.54     2.04    22.00     5.79P    2.53R    0.14  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.51    10.03     5.09     0.68     2.45    24.43     6.86P    2.14R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      71.21    10.37     6.25     1.85     5.66    37.30    12.35P    1.08R    0.06  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.70     9.92    -0.90     0.20     0.81    12.18     3.07P    5.96R    0.38  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.66     9.94    -4.24     0.24     0.80    11.88     2.77P    6.13R    0.53  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.59    10.28    -4.69     0.08     0.35     5.86     1.29P   15.48R    1.92  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.53    10.14    -9.72     0.17     0.62     8.71     2.10P    9.98R    0.97  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.23    10.54   -13.85     0.05     0.19     3.52     0.83P   25.76R    4.29  
Colchester       9   10   -1      63.85    10.34     3.41     0.26     1.15    15.87     4.40P    5.41R    0.51  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.38    10.09    -8.35     0.04     0.21     3.65     0.87P   20.84R    2.94  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      59.23    10.14    -8.45     0.10     0.42     7.06     1.87P   12.00R    1.37  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.62     9.97    -9.47     0.02     0.09     2.96     0.64P   22.89R    3.38  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      57.02    10.19    -9.49     0.05     0.21     4.93     1.28P   17.15R    2.28  
Bury             9    7  -10      44.99    10.10   -31.05     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   60.51R   21.04  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.57    10.89     0.81     0.15     0.67     9.42     2.76P   12.88R    1.75  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.69    10.25   -26.29     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   60.87R   20.85  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.36     9.64   -22.10     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   50.27R   13.06  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.54     9.89   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   65.66R   24.29  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.16    10.15    17.44     8.02    25.42    56.43    32.11P    0.14R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.63    10.29    29.19    27.95    57.11    83.41    64.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.56    10.15    18.63    14.98    40.44    72.02    49.20P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.09    10.10     2.62     1.93     8.43    28.86    12.50P    1.18R    0.33  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.68    10.77    -4.63     1.55     6.76    22.66     9.72P    2.82R    0.95  
Southend              9   16   +0      70.94    10.10     6.32     4.88    17.92    46.48    24.84P    0.30R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.38    10.02     2.80     1.47     7.42    26.46    11.49P    1.26R    0.30  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      67.80    10.08     9.48     2.71    11.68    35.88    17.69P    0.72R    0.20  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.71    10.11    17.09     6.96    23.55    54.88    32.18P    0.17R    0.03  
Torquay               9   14   +3      70.82    10.21    12.08     4.84    18.46    47.15    25.80P    0.37R    0.09  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.30     9.83    -0.69     0.95     4.93    19.86     8.26P    1.82R    0.40  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.66    10.18   -20.64     0.11     0.70     3.86     1.18P   17.28R    7.00  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.73     9.95   -10.08     0.25     1.60     8.68     2.86P    7.16R    2.51  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.45    10.54    25.59    15.96    41.30    71.92    51.66P    0.08R    0.01  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.39    10.42     9.11     3.88    15.25    41.67    22.19P    0.59R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      64.71    10.68     0.85     1.73     7.90    26.03    12.64P    2.11R    0.62  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.02     9.89    -8.43     0.11     0.89     5.42     1.74P   10.73R    3.93  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      60.02     9.93    -5.02     0.33     2.42    12.48     4.75P    4.34R    1.45  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.50    10.46    -1.10     0.95     4.99    19.34     8.80P    3.00R    0.92  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.81    10.01    -3.65     0.37     2.23    10.94     4.31P    5.47R    1.88  
Barnet                9    9   -5      50.34     9.81   -20.40     0.02     0.20     2.04     0.52P   22.53R    9.88  
Bradford              9    6   -4      47.96     9.74   -17.95     0.01     0.13     1.18     0.34P   30.05R   14.30  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.61     9.23   -39.94     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.03P   63.17R   43.07  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.94    10.38   -18.66     0.03     0.27     2.23     0.84P   24.67R   11.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton              10   20  +11      93.24     9.01    48.53    64.75    96.26    77.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            10   20   +8      79.74     9.48    23.77     9.26    63.90    24.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          10   20   +7      69.66     9.73     7.43     1.36    23.71     5.08P    0.41R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town     10   20   +5      78.40     9.58    18.74     7.27    57.62    19.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          10   19   +9      76.56     9.84    21.84     5.44    51.00    15.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     10   19   +7      67.19    10.56     5.44     1.11    19.42     4.52P    1.29R    0.09  
York               10   17   +8      73.75     9.54    19.14     3.05    39.55    12.45P    0.09R    0.00  
Kidderminster      10   17   +2      72.57    10.08    11.44     2.87    34.38     9.84P    0.27R    0.01  
Tamworth           10   17   +2      59.81     9.41    -7.91     0.09     4.34     0.73P    4.57R    0.50  
Cambridge_Utd      10   16   +3      66.92     9.43     5.85     0.50    15.84     3.66P    0.77R    0.06  
Southport          10   15   -4      54.77     9.32   -19.50     0.02     1.33     0.15P   12.70R    1.95  
Forest_Green       10   13   +5      58.49     9.59    -1.05     0.07     3.83     0.71P    6.21R    0.71  
Barrow             10   13   +2      56.91     9.53    -6.66     0.05     2.58     0.43P    8.41R    1.06  
Stockport          10   13   +2      71.56    10.05    16.11     2.11    31.95    10.29P    0.36R    0.02  
Darlington         10   13   -1      70.70     9.47    11.33     1.26    26.64     8.07P    0.29R    0.01  
Grimsby            10   13   -5      66.14     9.68     0.84     0.49    13.95     3.36P    1.23R    0.13  
AFC_Telford        10   12   -2      54.29    10.52   -13.11     0.05     2.38     0.46P   16.48R    3.52  
Hayes_&_Yeading    10    9   -7      47.16     9.49   -25.95     0.00     0.20     0.03P   37.97R    9.92  
Lincoln_City       10    8   -6      62.40    10.03     1.90     0.23     8.46     2.30P    3.40R    0.44  
Kettering          10    8   -9      53.39     9.54   -15.13     0.02     1.01     0.18P   16.38R    3.06  
Alfreton_Town      10    8  -13      38.61     9.38   -44.38     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.63R   40.50  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    7   -6      44.52     9.96   -25.25     0.00     0.18     0.04P   48.99R   17.58  
Newport_County     10    6   -7      54.02     9.65    -9.19     0.02     1.38     0.28P   14.32R    2.59  
Bath_City          10    3  -11      43.55     9.25   -24.24     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.17R   17.82