Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 22 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 5 15 +17 91.59 7.71 74.77 82.56 95.71 99.13 99.80 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 5 13 +12 75.49 8.95 40.35 7.48 39.77 70.62 84.79 95.77 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +2 77.43 8.61 37.24 8.77 49.28 77.44 89.16 97.42 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 5 9 +2 54.80 9.07 1.60 0.05 0.83 3.32 9.37 29.25 1.76R 0.27 Stoke 5 8 -2 48.10 8.68 -10.36 0.00 0.09 0.54 2.07 9.58 6.99R 1.20 Aston_Villa 5 7 +2 51.29 9.01 -0.75 0.02 0.32 1.49 4.83 18.11 3.73R 0.66 Everton 4 7 +2 56.92 9.35 6.37 0.11 1.45 5.61 14.76 38.99 1.08R 0.19 Liverpool 5 7 -1 63.20 9.03 15.46 0.45 4.98 15.94 34.66 66.73 0.15R 0.01 QPR 5 7 -2 40.01 8.66 -21.80 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.24 1.81 30.22R 9.20 Wolverhampton 5 7 -2 39.97 8.43 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.18 1.38 29.91R 9.40 Tottenham 4 6 -1 60.90 9.56 11.70 0.26 3.46 11.72 26.54 56.10 0.45R 0.05 Sunderland 5 5 +2 46.32 8.94 -5.46 0.00 0.06 0.40 1.59 7.74 10.62R 2.45 Norwich 5 5 -2 36.12 9.01 -28.87 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 0.95 47.98R 21.20 Swansea 5 5 -2 38.12 8.57 -20.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.11 37.33R 13.14 Wigan 5 5 -3 36.88 8.44 -25.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.75 43.93R 16.53 Blackburn 5 4 -3 41.33 8.89 -18.27 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.39 2.55 25.23R 7.86 Arsenal 5 4 -8 61.47 9.43 11.96 0.30 3.93 12.99 28.80 58.89 0.41R 0.04 Fulham 5 3 -3 45.83 8.84 -7.20 0.00 0.05 0.32 1.34 6.71 11.30R 2.66 Bolton 5 3 -5 42.16 9.03 -17.52 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.60 3.34 22.60R 6.68 West_Brom 5 3 -5 41.13 9.08 -19.41 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.49 2.83 26.31R 8.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 September 2011, Ipswich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 7 18 +10 81.54 11.49 25.45 23.53 40.37 76.44 49.41P 0.11R 0.01 Middlesbrough 7 17 +8 77.33 10.60 18.29 11.27 24.70 65.35 34.52P 0.22R 0.02 Brighton 7 16 +6 68.28 10.79 4.43 2.59 6.90 32.38 11.92P 2.07R 0.23 Derby 7 15 +4 64.02 10.22 -2.64 0.81 2.66 18.53 5.42P 4.17R 0.54 West_Ham 7 14 +8 84.69 11.08 34.79 33.54 52.86 85.22 63.35P 0.05R 0.00 Cardiff 7 12 +3 75.04 10.59 17.24 7.74 18.67 57.60 29.71P 0.42R 0.04 Blackpool 7 12 +3 74.27 11.32 16.10 8.30 18.37 54.39 28.66P 0.76R 0.09 Hull 7 12 -1 64.49 9.95 -1.51 0.80 2.54 18.97 6.13P 3.29R 0.46 Leicester 7 11 +0 66.29 10.61 2.44 1.54 4.68 25.97 9.48P 2.89R 0.39 Peterborough 7 10 +4 57.29 11.62 -8.67 0.46 1.53 9.47 3.06P 17.35R 4.41 Leeds_United 7 10 +1 66.22 10.91 4.82 1.71 4.84 26.95 9.91P 3.39R 0.50 Crystal_Palace 7 10 +1 55.23 9.89 -10.45 0.09 0.33 4.23 0.96P 17.57R 3.75 Ipswich 7 9 -5 54.64 10.28 -17.86 0.08 0.33 4.13 0.98P 21.33R 5.20 Reading 7 7 -1 66.14 10.54 7.45 1.57 4.73 26.10 10.50P 2.88R 0.36 Birmingham 6 7 -2 70.61 11.38 11.09 4.49 11.16 41.61 20.21P 1.68R 0.26 Millwall 7 7 -2 59.66 10.10 -2.52 0.26 0.91 9.49 2.93P 8.83R 1.64 Barnsley 7 7 -2 52.21 9.94 -13.82 0.05 0.18 2.32 0.61P 27.24R 7.15 Watford 7 7 -3 58.89 10.60 -6.25 0.32 1.11 9.59 2.80P 11.53R 2.44 Portsmouth 7 6 -2 59.14 10.28 -2.18 0.23 0.93 9.23 2.74P 10.11R 1.93 Burnley 6 5 -4 57.95 10.71 -7.18 0.28 0.97 8.51 2.57P 13.58R 2.83 Coventry 7 5 -4 50.41 9.77 -14.81 0.01 0.05 1.44 0.33P 33.09R 9.51 Nott'm_Forest 7 5 -6 59.44 10.42 -4.47 0.31 1.04 10.01 3.30P 10.01R 1.91 Bristol_City 7 5 -6 51.18 10.06 -16.81 0.03 0.14 1.98 0.48P 31.35R 8.59 Doncaster 7 1 -10 39.59 9.64 -32.93 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00P 76.09R 47.75League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 8 20 +10 82.70 10.44 25.96 14.69 30.78 78.89 43.19P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 9 20 +10 87.90 10.47 36.18 29.83 51.81 90.17 64.45P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 9 17 +9 84.71 10.01 35.10 18.97 38.87 85.13 54.21P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 8 17 +8 78.37 10.56 22.01 7.81 18.50 65.18 30.07P 0.17R 0.00 Hartlepool 8 16 +8 68.21 10.37 7.74 1.06 3.44 27.37 8.03P 2.16R 0.12 Preston 7 16 +6 84.99 11.55 30.69 23.20 40.92 82.00 52.92P 0.09R 0.00 Notts_County 9 16 +5 66.66 10.00 4.76 0.54 2.04 22.00 5.79P 2.53R 0.14 Brentford 9 16 +4 67.51 10.03 5.09 0.68 2.45 24.43 6.86P 2.14R 0.13 Sheff_Wed 9 16 +0 71.21 10.37 6.25 1.85 5.66 37.30 12.35P 1.08R 0.06 Tranmere 9 14 +2 62.70 9.92 -0.90 0.20 0.81 12.18 3.07P 5.96R 0.38 Oldham 9 14 -1 62.66 9.94 -4.24 0.24 0.80 11.88 2.77P 6.13R 0.53 Stevenage 9 13 +5 57.59 10.28 -4.69 0.08 0.35 5.86 1.29P 15.48R 1.92 Carlisle 9 13 -4 60.53 10.14 -9.72 0.17 0.62 8.71 2.10P 9.98R 0.97 Chesterfield 9 11 -1 54.23 10.54 -13.85 0.05 0.19 3.52 0.83P 25.76R 4.29 Colchester 9 10 -1 63.85 10.34 3.41 0.26 1.15 15.87 4.40P 5.41R 0.51 Walsall 9 9 -1 55.38 10.09 -8.35 0.04 0.21 3.65 0.87P 20.84R 2.94 Bournemouth 9 9 -7 59.23 10.14 -8.45 0.10 0.42 7.06 1.87P 12.00R 1.37 Yeovil 9 8 -3 54.62 9.97 -9.47 0.02 0.09 2.96 0.64P 22.89R 3.38 Rochdale 9 8 -6 57.02 10.19 -9.49 0.05 0.21 4.93 1.28P 17.15R 2.28 Bury 9 7 -10 44.99 10.10 -31.05 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.06P 60.51R 21.04 Scunthorpe 9 6 -3 59.57 10.89 0.81 0.15 0.67 9.42 2.76P 12.88R 1.75 Wycombe 8 5 -7 44.69 10.25 -26.29 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.08P 60.87R 20.85 Exeter 9 5 -9 47.36 9.64 -22.10 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.08P 50.27R 13.06 Leyton_Orient 9 2 -14 43.54 9.89 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 65.66R 24.29League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Morecambe 9 20 +14 73.16 10.15 17.44 8.02 25.42 56.43 32.11P 0.14R 0.03 Rotherham 9 18 +9 81.63 10.29 29.19 27.95 57.11 83.41 64.34P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 9 17 +4 77.56 10.15 18.63 14.98 40.44 72.02 49.20P 0.04R 0.01 Burton_Albion 9 16 +4 66.09 10.10 2.62 1.93 8.43 28.86 12.50P 1.18R 0.33 Crawley_Town 9 16 +1 63.68 10.77 -4.63 1.55 6.76 22.66 9.72P 2.82R 0.95 Southend 9 16 +0 70.94 10.10 6.32 4.88 17.92 46.48 24.84P 0.30R 0.06 Oxford_Utd 9 15 +3 65.38 10.02 2.80 1.47 7.42 26.46 11.49P 1.26R 0.30 Port_Vale 9 14 +5 67.80 10.08 9.48 2.71 11.68 35.88 17.69P 0.72R 0.20 Gillingham 9 14 +5 72.71 10.11 17.09 6.96 23.55 54.88 32.18P 0.17R 0.03 Torquay 9 14 +3 70.82 10.21 12.08 4.84 18.46 47.15 25.80P 0.37R 0.09 Aldershot 9 14 +1 63.30 9.83 -0.69 0.95 4.93 19.86 8.26P 1.82R 0.40 AFC_Wimbledon 9 14 +0 52.66 10.18 -20.64 0.11 0.70 3.86 1.18P 17.28R 7.00 Cheltenham 9 13 +0 57.73 9.95 -10.08 0.25 1.60 8.68 2.86P 7.16R 2.51 Swindon 9 12 +3 77.45 10.54 25.59 15.96 41.30 71.92 51.66P 0.08R 0.01 Crewe 9 12 -1 69.39 10.42 9.11 3.88 15.25 41.67 22.19P 0.59R 0.17 Bristol_Rovers 9 12 -2 64.71 10.68 0.85 1.73 7.90 26.03 12.64P 2.11R 0.62 Macclesfield 9 11 +2 55.02 9.89 -8.43 0.11 0.89 5.42 1.74P 10.73R 3.93 Accrington_Stanley 9 10 -4 60.02 9.93 -5.02 0.33 2.42 12.48 4.75P 4.34R 1.45 Dag_&_Red 9 10 -4 62.50 10.46 -1.10 0.95 4.99 19.34 8.80P 3.00R 0.92 Northampton 9 9 -2 58.81 10.01 -3.65 0.37 2.23 10.94 4.31P 5.47R 1.88 Barnet 9 9 -5 50.34 9.81 -20.40 0.02 0.20 2.04 0.52P 22.53R 9.88 Bradford 9 6 -4 47.96 9.74 -17.95 0.01 0.13 1.18 0.34P 30.05R 14.30 Hereford 9 5 -16 40.61 9.23 -39.94 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.03P 63.17R 43.07 Plymouth 9 1 -16 49.94 10.38 -18.66 0.03 0.27 2.23 0.84P 24.67R 11.86Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 10 20 +11 93.24 9.01 48.53 64.75 96.26 77.65P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 10 20 +8 79.74 9.48 23.77 9.26 63.90 24.35P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 10 20 +7 69.66 9.73 7.43 1.36 23.71 5.08P 0.41R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 10 20 +5 78.40 9.58 18.74 7.27 57.62 19.77P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 10 19 +9 76.56 9.84 21.84 5.44 51.00 15.64P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 10 19 +7 67.19 10.56 5.44 1.11 19.42 4.52P 1.29R 0.09 York 10 17 +8 73.75 9.54 19.14 3.05 39.55 12.45P 0.09R 0.00 Kidderminster 10 17 +2 72.57 10.08 11.44 2.87 34.38 9.84P 0.27R 0.01 Tamworth 10 17 +2 59.81 9.41 -7.91 0.09 4.34 0.73P 4.57R 0.50 Cambridge_Utd 10 16 +3 66.92 9.43 5.85 0.50 15.84 3.66P 0.77R 0.06 Southport 10 15 -4 54.77 9.32 -19.50 0.02 1.33 0.15P 12.70R 1.95 Forest_Green 10 13 +5 58.49 9.59 -1.05 0.07 3.83 0.71P 6.21R 0.71 Barrow 10 13 +2 56.91 9.53 -6.66 0.05 2.58 0.43P 8.41R 1.06 Stockport 10 13 +2 71.56 10.05 16.11 2.11 31.95 10.29P 0.36R 0.02 Darlington 10 13 -1 70.70 9.47 11.33 1.26 26.64 8.07P 0.29R 0.01 Grimsby 10 13 -5 66.14 9.68 0.84 0.49 13.95 3.36P 1.23R 0.13 AFC_Telford 10 12 -2 54.29 10.52 -13.11 0.05 2.38 0.46P 16.48R 3.52 Hayes_&_Yeading 10 9 -7 47.16 9.49 -25.95 0.00 0.20 0.03P 37.97R 9.92 Lincoln_City 10 8 -6 62.40 10.03 1.90 0.23 8.46 2.30P 3.40R 0.44 Kettering 10 8 -9 53.39 9.54 -15.13 0.02 1.01 0.18P 16.38R 3.06 Alfreton_Town 10 8 -13 38.61 9.38 -44.38 0.00 0.03 0.00P 73.63R 40.50 Ebbsfleet_United 10 7 -6 44.52 9.96 -25.25 0.00 0.18 0.04P 48.99R 17.58 Newport_County 10 6 -7 54.02 9.65 -9.19 0.02 1.38 0.28P 14.32R 2.59 Bath_City 10 3 -11 43.55 9.25 -24.24 0.00 0.04 0.01P 52.17R 17.82