Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          5   15  +17      91.61     7.69    74.99    82.52    95.88    99.17    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5   13  +12      75.61     8.92    40.56     7.59    40.15    70.95    85.10    96.10     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          5   10   +2      77.38     8.60    37.16     8.77    49.03    77.23    89.09    97.43     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.95     9.04     1.86     0.04     0.71     3.39     9.56    30.01     1.58R    0.26  
Stoke            5    8   -2      48.21     8.61   -10.24     0.00     0.09     0.50     1.97     9.62     6.87R    1.23  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.38     8.99    -0.58     0.01     0.31     1.49     4.89    18.26     3.72R    0.64  
Everton          4    7   +2      56.80     9.38     6.19     0.10     1.42     5.62    14.50    38.34     1.13R    0.18  
Liverpool        5    7   -1      63.16     9.07    15.47     0.43     4.91    15.77    34.58    66.07     0.14R    0.02  
QPR              5    7   -2      39.83     8.72   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.34     1.84    30.85R    9.81  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      40.04     8.42   -23.63     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.25     1.57    29.56R    9.16  
Tottenham        4    6   -1      61.12     9.54    12.04     0.27     3.51    12.05    27.34    56.81     0.48R    0.06  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.24     8.98    -5.63     0.00     0.07     0.38     1.52     7.58    10.96R    2.51  
Norwich          5    5   -2      35.96     8.95   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.86    48.66R   21.60  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.23     8.59   -19.90     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.19    37.05R   12.78  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.86     8.42   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.71    43.50R   16.47  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.21     8.81   -18.53     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.41     2.35    25.41R    7.81  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.36     9.30    11.77     0.26     3.81    12.64    28.01    58.28     0.32R    0.03  
Fulham           5    3   -3      45.76     8.78    -7.40     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.20     6.46    11.22R    2.58  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.28     9.11   -17.34     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.58     3.61    22.39R    6.71  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      41.19     9.11   -19.25     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.55     2.94    26.17R    8.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 September 2011, Ipswich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       7   18  +10      81.23    11.42    24.85    22.08    39.32    75.99    48.26P    0.13R    0.01  
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.18    10.66    18.09    11.38    24.32    64.39    33.84P    0.18R    0.01  
Brighton          7   16   +6      68.22    10.82     4.35     2.61     6.79    31.83    11.72P    2.18R    0.27  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.33    10.33    -2.17     1.00     3.11    19.41     6.02P    3.88R    0.53  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.89    11.07    35.10    34.49    53.37    85.65    63.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      74.99    10.64    17.26     7.71    18.60    57.30    29.51P    0.39R    0.04  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      74.21    11.27    15.97     8.15    17.98    54.21    28.09P    0.70R    0.08  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.39     9.94    -1.60     0.78     2.55    18.64     6.02P    3.35R    0.44  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.11    10.68     2.10     1.56     4.64    25.51     9.36P    3.13R    0.46  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.22    11.54    -8.79     0.51     1.38     9.17     2.84P   17.17R    4.49  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      66.34    10.95     4.94     1.80     5.08    26.92    10.10P    3.42R    0.46  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.26     9.78   -10.40     0.09     0.30     3.86     0.93P   17.47R    3.76  
Ipswich           7    9   -5      54.72    10.29   -17.69     0.10     0.36     4.21     1.00P   20.97R    4.78  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.46    10.47     7.83     1.55     4.84    26.84    10.98P    2.66R    0.36  
Birmingham        6    7   -2      71.10    11.33    11.82     4.82    11.88    43.40    21.36P    1.53R    0.25  
Millwall          7    7   -2      59.90    10.05    -2.14     0.29     1.03     9.76     3.11P    8.23R    1.41  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.19     9.93   -13.85     0.03     0.17     2.34     0.55P   27.26R    7.11  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.67    10.67    -6.60     0.24     1.03     9.38     2.78P   12.04R    2.54  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      59.07    10.39    -2.24     0.24     0.97     9.58     2.92P   10.16R    1.89  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.79    10.73    -7.39     0.26     0.95     8.24     2.58P   13.94R    3.04  
Coventry          7    5   -4      50.26     9.80   -15.00     0.02     0.08     1.34     0.36P   33.77R    9.67  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.53    10.39    -4.27     0.26     1.14    10.06     3.37P    9.63R    1.69  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      51.08    10.11   -16.99     0.02     0.11     1.87     0.42P   31.66R    8.79  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.45     9.68   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   76.11R   47.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      83.00    10.53    26.46    15.60    32.25    79.61    44.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.84    10.61    36.13    30.40    51.56    89.64    63.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.48    10.07    34.71    18.46    37.77    84.81    53.37P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.35    10.70    21.96     7.79    18.91    65.08    30.21P    0.22R    0.01  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.13    10.33     7.72     1.07     3.32    27.60     7.77P    2.18R    0.14  
Preston          7   16   +6      84.78    11.45    30.28    22.00    40.04    81.69    52.33P    0.09R    0.01  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.73    10.06     4.90     0.65     2.25    22.25     6.14P    2.63R    0.15  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.25    10.02     4.70     0.66     2.33    24.06     6.70P    2.35R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      71.20    10.54     6.33     2.06     5.95    37.34    12.68P    1.31R    0.06  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.72     9.90    -0.87     0.20     0.87    12.26     3.19P    5.93R    0.46  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.48     9.92    -4.57     0.18     0.82    11.67     2.80P    6.39R    0.54  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.77    10.41    -4.39     0.13     0.41     6.29     1.43P   15.50R    1.99  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.50    10.02    -9.84     0.10     0.56     8.62     2.07P    9.88R    0.95  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.26    10.52   -13.80     0.03     0.18     3.66     0.83P   25.71R    4.25  
Colchester       9   10   -1      63.98    10.34     3.58     0.30     1.26    16.16     4.42P    5.34R    0.43  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.28    10.01    -8.50     0.05     0.17     3.53     0.86P   21.09R    3.05  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      58.96    10.15    -8.91     0.09     0.32     6.86     1.65P   12.63R    1.52  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.53     9.99    -9.65     0.03     0.10     2.93     0.61P   23.39R    3.66  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      57.11    10.15    -9.32     0.05     0.21     4.90     1.17P   16.96R    2.26  
Bury             9    7  -10      45.29    10.07   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   59.76R   20.11  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.70    10.82     1.06     0.15     0.69     9.58     2.95P   12.32R    1.66  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.78    10.26   -26.17     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   60.65R   20.76  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.37     9.77   -22.15     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P   50.47R   13.77  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.70     9.84   -29.06     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   65.11R   24.06  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.16    10.20    17.42     8.14    25.57    56.31    32.11P    0.15R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.57    10.23    29.11    28.01    56.87    83.48    64.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.45    10.01    18.44    14.36    39.25    71.79    48.33P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.27    10.11     2.91     1.84     8.60    29.53    12.62P    1.15R    0.31  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.68    10.77    -4.63     1.56     6.72    22.26     9.64P    2.84R    0.89  
Southend              9   16   +0      71.23    10.12     6.75     5.04    18.62    47.69    25.80P    0.29R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.41     9.97     2.81     1.46     7.18    26.37    11.24P    1.30R    0.36  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      67.83    10.09     9.54     2.78    11.74    35.81    17.64P    0.70R    0.17  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.78    10.20    17.19     7.15    23.85    55.09    32.58P    0.19R    0.04  
Torquay               9   14   +3      70.94    10.28    12.24     5.09    18.89    47.82    26.52P    0.39R    0.09  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.35     9.81    -0.63     0.92     4.91    19.87     8.33P    1.75R    0.48  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.73    10.24   -20.59     0.10     0.73     4.04     1.34P   17.02R    6.76  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.49     9.90   -10.43     0.25     1.49     8.08     2.60P    7.04R    2.31  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.24    10.58    25.21    15.64    40.80    70.90    50.87P    0.08R    0.02  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.41    10.56     9.18     4.03    15.65    41.89    22.31P    0.64R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      64.78    10.60     0.99     1.74     7.93    25.84    12.42P    1.97R    0.53  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.16     9.79    -8.16     0.12     0.86     5.45     1.70P    9.99R    3.53  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      60.12     9.96    -4.94     0.36     2.64    12.70     5.04P    4.24R    1.38  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.53    10.46    -1.04     0.99     4.97    19.23     8.78P    2.94R    0.90  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.65    10.02    -3.96     0.33     2.09    10.48     4.01P    5.55R    1.91  
Barnet                9    9   -5      50.01     9.78   -20.90     0.05     0.22     1.86     0.49P   23.49R   10.50  
Bradford              9    6   -4      48.01     9.74   -17.74     0.01     0.12     1.18     0.33P   29.63R   14.26  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.62     9.28   -39.90     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.05P   63.04R   43.18  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.77    10.48   -18.87     0.02     0.28     2.19     0.83P   25.59R   12.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton              10   20  +11      93.40     9.01    48.86    65.23    96.41    78.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            10   20   +8      79.63     9.52    23.55     9.19    63.24    24.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          10   20   +7      69.65     9.70     7.43     1.30    23.82     5.18P    0.42R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town     10   20   +5      78.38     9.62    18.76     7.28    57.69    19.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          10   19   +9      76.45     9.92    21.70     5.35    50.88    15.30P    0.08R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     10   19   +7      67.37    10.47     5.76     1.07    19.41     4.58P    1.19R    0.07  
York               10   17   +8      73.56     9.48    18.89     2.82    38.53    11.77P    0.11R    0.00  
Kidderminster      10   17   +2      72.65     9.97    11.49     2.64    34.92     9.94P    0.25R    0.02  
Tamworth           10   17   +2      59.71     9.41    -8.04     0.10     4.22     0.70P    4.57R    0.48  
Cambridge_Utd      10   16   +3      66.79     9.46     5.63     0.57    15.41     3.70P    0.79R    0.05  
Southport          10   15   -4      54.70     9.36   -19.66     0.02     1.31     0.16P   13.29R    1.91  
Forest_Green       10   13   +5      58.59     9.55    -0.88     0.07     3.94     0.73P    5.96R    0.68  
Barrow             10   13   +2      56.68     9.49    -7.01     0.03     2.41     0.41P    8.66R    1.08  
Stockport          10   13   +2      71.66    10.05    16.24     2.14    32.47    10.50P    0.37R    0.02  
Darlington         10   13   -1      70.61     9.56    11.27     1.38    27.12     8.28P    0.30R    0.01  
Grimsby            10   13   -5      66.18     9.65     0.92     0.51    14.03     3.36P    1.19R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        10   12   -2      54.34    10.37   -12.89     0.03     2.24     0.39P   15.99R    3.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    10    9   -7      47.01     9.30   -26.20     0.00     0.23     0.03P   38.41R    9.86  
Lincoln_City       10    8   -6      62.75    10.07     2.37     0.22     8.95     2.50P    3.20R    0.39  
Kettering          10    8   -9      53.42     9.65   -15.17     0.01     1.16     0.20P   16.56R    3.18  
Alfreton_Town      10    8  -13      38.52     9.41   -44.65     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.96R   41.39  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    7   -6      44.67    10.10   -25.04     0.00     0.20     0.04P   48.34R   17.37  
Newport_County     10    6   -7      54.09     9.62    -9.09     0.03     1.34     0.28P   14.20R    2.42  
Bath_City          10    3  -11      43.58     9.32   -24.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.13R   17.78