Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          5   15  +17      91.71     7.69    75.32    83.00    96.01    99.19    99.80    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5   13  +12      75.50     8.96    40.33     7.16    39.46    70.64    84.94    95.84     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          5   10   +2      77.51     8.55    37.31     8.71    49.81    77.95    89.44    97.56     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.90     9.08     1.81     0.06     0.79     3.49     9.68    29.77     1.64R    0.25  
Stoke            5    8   -2      48.28     8.63   -10.12     0.00     0.11     0.52     2.11     9.75     6.65R    1.27  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.28     9.04    -0.85     0.02     0.33     1.50     4.84    17.82     3.94R    0.73  
Everton          4    7   +2      56.50     9.34     5.71     0.11     1.35     5.21    13.73    37.16     1.25R    0.17  
Liverpool        5    7   -1      63.20     9.01    15.49     0.42     4.88    15.82    34.96    67.10     0.16R    0.02  
QPR              5    7   -2      39.92     8.70   -21.96     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.31     1.84    30.71R    9.60  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      39.90     8.37   -23.98     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     1.48    30.01R    9.30  
Tottenham        4    6   -1      61.22     9.53    12.20     0.28     3.53    12.27    27.55    57.45     0.40R    0.04  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.07     8.96    -5.88     0.00     0.08     0.38     1.47     7.50    11.23R    2.66  
Norwich          5    5   -2      36.18     9.01   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.91    47.83R   21.36  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.22     8.64   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.15    37.37R   12.99  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.88     8.41   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.73    43.93R   16.50  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.30     8.73   -18.30     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.36     2.40    24.83R    7.52  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.30     9.28    11.66     0.23     3.55    12.18    27.78    58.47     0.42R    0.04  
Fulham           5    3   -3      45.99     8.74    -7.01     0.00     0.05     0.29     1.26     6.62    10.76R    2.47  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.20     9.06   -17.49     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.62     3.51    22.76R    6.81  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      41.20     9.10   -19.29     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.51     2.96    26.12R    8.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 September 2011, Ipswich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       7   18  +10      81.35    11.38    25.15    22.51    39.75    76.20    49.02P    0.12R    0.02  
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.14    10.56    17.96    11.21    24.25    64.50    33.96P    0.16R    0.01  
Brighton          7   16   +6      68.16    10.79     4.21     2.51     6.71    31.78    11.61P    2.05R    0.24  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.21    10.31    -2.30     0.87     2.88    18.97     5.63P    4.05R    0.53  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.60    11.22    34.70    33.52    52.90    84.67    63.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      75.11    10.61    17.44     7.97    18.57    57.67    29.38P    0.41R    0.03  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      74.29    11.32    16.10     8.44    18.40    54.53    28.87P    0.76R    0.10  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.21     9.97    -1.84     0.76     2.43    18.06     5.71P    3.53R    0.46  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.22    10.70     2.28     1.72     4.81    25.71     9.53P    3.13R    0.46  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.51    11.87    -8.42     0.60     1.70    10.48     3.32P   17.21R    4.50  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      66.25    10.93     4.84     1.77     5.01    26.69     9.87P    3.32R    0.54  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.55     9.93    -9.92     0.09     0.40     4.37     1.08P   17.11R    3.51  
Ipswich           7    9   -5      54.47    10.33   -18.11     0.08     0.32     4.12     1.06P   21.65R    5.46  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.54    10.52     7.96     1.81     5.02    27.08    11.23P    2.80R    0.34  
Birmingham        6    7   -2      70.98    11.35    11.66     4.67    11.62    43.10    20.87P    1.55R    0.21  
Millwall          7    7   -2      59.89    10.09    -2.09     0.27     0.92    10.04     3.01P    8.43R    1.48  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.18     9.90   -13.83     0.03     0.13     2.27     0.56P   27.15R    7.08  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.83    10.65    -6.38     0.33     1.14     9.52     2.92P   11.56R    2.41  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      59.07    10.26    -2.28     0.23     0.86     9.11     2.63P   10.14R    1.86  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.76    10.66    -7.51     0.26     0.90     8.03     2.49P   13.61R    2.95  
Coventry          7    5   -4      50.18     9.76   -15.12     0.01     0.05     1.32     0.28P   33.97R    9.61  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.35    10.46    -4.55     0.32     1.11     9.86     3.24P   10.14R    1.84  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      51.04    10.08   -17.02     0.03     0.11     1.87     0.50P   31.33R    8.69  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.54     9.64   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   75.76R   47.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      82.73    10.48    26.04    14.73    30.77    78.78    42.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.82    10.56    36.06    30.42    51.73    89.37    63.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.56    10.00    34.83    18.54    38.39    84.87    54.14P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.56    10.56    22.27     7.92    18.94    65.72    30.62P    0.15R    0.01  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.25    10.43     7.81     1.13     3.48    27.83     8.09P    2.10R    0.15  
Preston          7   16   +6      85.02    11.42    30.65    22.80    40.81    82.39    53.16P    0.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.75    10.06     4.90     0.59     2.22    22.26     6.03P    2.62R    0.19  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.28    10.01     4.73     0.63     2.26    23.71     6.70P    2.25R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      71.37    10.39     6.56     1.89     5.83    37.91    12.57P    1.21R    0.07  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.81     9.93    -0.79     0.20     0.87    12.48     2.98P    5.80R    0.41  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.57     9.93    -4.42     0.18     0.81    11.82     2.83P    6.26R    0.50  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.49    10.35    -4.90     0.08     0.32     5.79     1.28P   15.89R    2.10  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.53    10.09    -9.72     0.14     0.56     8.65     2.06P    9.67R    0.99  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.20    10.53   -13.93     0.05     0.18     3.36     0.72P   26.09R    4.38  
Colchester       9   10   -1      64.09    10.25     3.77     0.30     1.26    16.18     4.51P    5.08R    0.42  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.36    10.09    -8.35     0.05     0.15     3.68     0.83P   20.90R    3.10  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      58.60    10.22    -9.40     0.10     0.39     6.48     1.67P   13.51R    1.58  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.63    10.00    -9.45     0.04     0.13     2.94     0.63P   22.79R    3.52  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      56.95    10.21    -9.56     0.03     0.22     4.78     1.20P   17.50R    2.43  
Bury             9    7  -10      45.50    10.06   -30.17     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P   58.71R   19.44  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.68    10.85     0.98     0.18     0.64     9.52     2.91P   12.37R    1.63  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.70    10.24   -26.25     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.10P   60.94R   20.99  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.24     9.68   -22.34     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.08P   50.52R   13.68  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.61     9.83   -29.31     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   65.53R   24.28  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.21    10.22    17.52     8.29    26.06    56.28    32.56P    0.12R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.45    10.31    28.91    27.66    56.33    83.19    63.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.60    10.00    18.74    14.85    39.98    72.33    48.95P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.02    10.10     2.53     1.76     8.15    28.60    12.16P    1.20R    0.31  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.61    10.77    -4.63     1.50     6.67    22.36     9.78P    2.79R    0.82  
Southend              9   16   +0      71.10     9.99     6.62     4.60    17.98    47.00    25.08P    0.28R    0.07  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.46     9.95     2.92     1.46     7.38    26.47    11.37P    1.12R    0.28  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      68.00    10.16     9.86     2.95    12.39    36.48    18.49P    0.64R    0.17  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.69    10.19    17.05     7.06    23.81    54.45    32.45P    0.17R    0.03  
Torquay               9   14   +3      70.95    10.19    12.29     5.18    19.00    47.65    26.32P    0.34R    0.10  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.33     9.84    -0.65     0.85     4.92    20.17     8.23P    1.88R    0.55  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.73    10.28   -20.66     0.10     0.67     4.04     1.20P   17.08R    7.08  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.85     9.96    -9.89     0.23     1.77     8.76     3.03P    6.73R    2.44  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.32    10.55    25.36    16.00    40.69    71.39    51.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.20    10.47     8.78     3.77    14.87    41.11    21.48P    0.71R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      65.05    10.67     1.38     1.86     8.26    26.89    13.18P    1.89R    0.55  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.23     9.78    -8.11     0.12     0.93     5.53     1.84P    9.90R    3.53  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      60.06     9.93    -5.07     0.39     2.45    12.25     4.63P    4.22R    1.35  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.40    10.43    -1.23     0.92     4.82    19.05     8.58P    2.95R    0.87  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.74    10.08    -3.85     0.37     2.24    10.84     4.27P    5.49R    1.81  
Barnet                9    9   -5      50.04     9.80   -20.85     0.03     0.21     1.84     0.51P   23.50R   10.31  
Bradford              9    6   -4      47.95     9.67   -17.85     0.01     0.14     1.15     0.30P   29.66R   14.11  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.54     9.18   -40.02     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.05P   63.14R   43.12  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.61    10.44   -19.16     0.04     0.28     2.07     0.76P   26.00R   12.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 September 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton              10   20  +11      93.23     9.05    48.64    64.88    96.24    77.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            10   20   +8      79.45     9.60    23.32     9.03    62.56    23.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          10   20   +7      69.58     9.65     7.31     1.39    23.11     5.18P    0.40R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town     10   20   +5      78.32     9.57    18.66     7.05    57.17    19.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          10   19   +9      76.28     9.78    21.40     5.18    49.92    15.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     10   19   +7      67.50    10.55     5.96     1.16    20.00     4.64P    1.26R    0.09  
York               10   17   +8      73.70     9.49    19.13     3.00    39.49    12.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Kidderminster      10   17   +2      72.55     9.92    11.38     2.79    34.02     9.60P    0.26R    0.02  
Tamworth           10   17   +2      59.83     9.37    -7.84     0.07     4.23     0.65P    4.39R    0.51  
Cambridge_Utd      10   16   +3      67.15     9.48     6.13     0.62    16.36     3.97P    0.77R    0.06  
Southport          10   15   -4      54.68     9.40   -19.65     0.02     1.46     0.18P   13.23R    2.06  
Forest_Green       10   13   +5      58.62     9.67    -0.84     0.09     4.04     0.77P    6.02R    0.70  
Barrow             10   13   +2      56.84     9.45    -6.82     0.05     2.36     0.42P    8.38R    1.09  
Stockport          10   13   +2      71.81    10.14    16.52     2.44    33.33    11.02P    0.32R    0.03  
Darlington         10   13   -1      70.98     9.47    11.74     1.41    28.29     8.52P    0.30R    0.03  
Grimsby            10   13   -5      66.07     9.72     0.74     0.54    14.14     3.51P    1.37R    0.13  
AFC_Telford        10   12   -2      54.00    10.34   -13.48     0.02     1.91     0.34P   16.57R    3.55  
Hayes_&_Yeading    10    9   -7      47.16     9.43   -26.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   38.03R   10.08  
Lincoln_City       10    8   -6      62.50    10.06     2.01     0.22     8.54     2.32P    3.39R    0.40  
Kettering          10    8   -9      53.18     9.58   -15.58     0.01     0.99     0.17P   17.36R    3.21  
Alfreton_Town      10    8  -13      38.72     9.41   -44.29     0.00     0.02     0.01P   73.12R   40.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   10    7   -6      44.94    10.01   -24.57     0.00     0.20     0.03P   47.12R   16.53  
Newport_County     10    6   -7      53.96     9.62    -9.32     0.02     1.30     0.30P   14.40R    2.56  
Bath_City          10    3  -11      43.35     9.26   -24.56     0.00     0.07     0.01P   53.09R   18.49