Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          5   15  +17      91.71     7.65    75.15    83.16    96.04    99.16    99.80    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5   13  +12      75.32     8.97    39.98     7.26    39.09    69.95    84.38    95.62     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          5   10   +2      77.45     8.65    37.20     8.50    49.90    77.60    89.28    97.39     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.69     9.16     1.53     0.05     0.79     3.43     9.54    29.18     1.79R    0.27  
Stoke            5    8   -2      48.25     8.66   -10.20     0.00     0.10     0.55     2.15     9.79     7.00R    1.26  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.29     9.00    -0.81     0.01     0.31     1.65     4.94    18.04     3.80R    0.62  
Everton          4    7   +2      56.77     9.30     6.13     0.08     1.55     5.85    14.36    37.97     1.03R    0.16  
Liverpool        5    7   -1      63.27     8.97    15.59     0.38     4.92    16.04    35.14    67.17     0.14R    0.01  
QPR              5    7   -2      40.07     8.62   -21.60     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.28     1.81    30.05R    9.30  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      40.21     8.43   -23.41     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     1.64    29.01R    9.00  
Tottenham        4    6   -1      61.01     9.48    11.85     0.26     3.30    11.87    27.06    56.64     0.40R    0.04  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.08     8.96    -5.87     0.00     0.08     0.42     1.53     7.35    11.15R    2.56  
Norwich          5    5   -2      36.09     8.93   -28.91     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.91    48.29R   20.87  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.02     8.61   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.04    37.92R   13.65  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.86     8.45   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.78    44.00R   16.72  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.60     8.84   -17.77     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.42     2.70    24.42R    7.23  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.42     9.32    11.87     0.28     3.80    12.66    28.22    58.75     0.35R    0.03  
Fulham           5    3   -3      45.92     8.75    -7.14     0.00     0.05     0.30     1.24     6.87    10.77R    2.52  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.16     9.04   -17.56     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.55     3.40    22.63R    6.91  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      40.98     9.16   -19.61     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.47     2.96    27.26R    8.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 September 2011, Ipswich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       7   18  +10      81.22    11.44    24.91    22.20    39.30    75.82    48.32P    0.11R    0.00  
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.30    10.71    18.26    11.77    25.11    64.57    34.68P    0.18R    0.02  
Brighton          7   16   +6      68.10    10.93     4.21     2.63     6.87    31.71    11.81P    2.25R    0.25  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.13    10.29    -2.51     0.95     2.82    18.78     5.53P    4.10R    0.54  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.79    11.14    35.01    33.82    53.00    85.40    63.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      74.97    10.58    17.26     7.57    18.14    57.57    29.14P    0.39R    0.04  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      73.93    11.40    15.55     8.18    18.25    53.42    28.14P    0.81R    0.10  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.31     9.90    -1.76     0.76     2.39    18.39     5.85P    3.43R    0.41  
Leicester         7   11   +0      65.92    10.64     1.86     1.42     4.23    24.88     8.76P    3.31R    0.45  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.21    11.74    -8.88     0.50     1.56     9.68     3.14P   17.60R    4.76  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      66.28    10.90     4.85     1.80     5.18    26.66     9.90P    3.29R    0.50  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.41     9.90   -10.12     0.09     0.30     4.38     0.99P   17.45R    3.56  
Ipswich           7    9   -5      54.77    10.27   -17.72     0.07     0.33     4.26     1.01P   20.98R    4.93  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.33    10.64     7.70     1.71     5.01    27.01    11.14P    2.93R    0.37  
Birmingham        6    7   -2      71.04    11.35    11.79     5.02    11.90    43.18    21.40P    1.44R    0.20  
Millwall          7    7   -2      60.10    10.08    -1.89     0.25     1.05    10.46     3.12P    8.08R    1.31  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.18     9.89   -13.81     0.03     0.11     2.20     0.48P   27.51R    7.09  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.92    10.73    -6.17     0.35     1.21     9.91     3.05P   11.49R    2.42  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      59.50    10.30    -1.63     0.27     1.03     9.94     3.12P    9.49R    1.83  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.65    10.73    -7.62     0.31     0.94     8.00     2.53P   14.05R    3.10  
Coventry          7    5   -4      50.53     9.83   -14.64     0.01     0.07     1.52     0.32P   32.96R    9.31  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.45    10.47    -4.40     0.26     1.06    10.18     3.34P   10.10R    1.81  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      51.09    10.09   -17.01     0.02     0.14     1.96     0.50P   31.80R    8.70  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.40     9.68   -33.23     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   76.21R   48.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      82.98    10.48    26.43    15.71    32.38    79.41    44.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.51    10.43    35.59    29.20    50.57    89.33    62.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.58    10.08    34.83    19.07    38.90    84.96    54.25P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.44    10.55    22.15     7.91    18.81    65.78    30.43P    0.19R    0.01  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.16    10.38     7.67     1.10     3.45    27.56     7.93P    2.15R    0.15  
Preston          7   16   +6      84.58    11.53    29.93    22.39    39.95    81.15    51.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.68     9.97     4.81     0.56     2.12    21.91     5.97P    2.67R    0.14  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.36    10.06     4.81     0.69     2.48    24.08     6.93P    2.32R    0.14  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      71.21    10.41     6.31     1.94     5.72    37.51    12.49P    1.24R    0.05  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.64     9.95    -1.01     0.19     0.86    12.23     3.01P    6.08R    0.49  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.78     9.90    -4.13     0.21     0.82    12.35     2.93P    6.05R    0.52  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.94    10.40    -4.14     0.13     0.46     6.48     1.61P   14.98R    1.95  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.60    10.05    -9.61     0.15     0.58     8.68     2.08P    9.89R    0.88  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.28    10.47   -13.67     0.07     0.22     3.40     0.80P   25.60R    4.21  
Colchester       9   10   -1      64.06    10.27     3.70     0.33     1.26    16.33     4.58P    5.17R    0.41  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.36    10.03    -8.35     0.04     0.15     3.52     0.81P   20.79R    2.99  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      58.97    10.10    -8.85     0.09     0.35     6.77     1.79P   12.32R    1.45  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.54     9.85    -9.59     0.01     0.08     2.66     0.55P   22.98R    3.29  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      57.12    10.16    -9.23     0.06     0.24     4.88     1.17P   16.89R    2.27  
Bury             9    7  -10      45.27    10.09   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   59.85R   20.07  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.56    10.80     0.84     0.15     0.59     9.55     2.84P   12.60R    1.70  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.56    10.17   -26.35     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P   61.67R   21.34  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.36     9.73   -22.19     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.13P   50.50R   13.42  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.57     9.85   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   65.90R   24.53  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.29    10.15    17.58     8.07    25.74    56.71    32.56P    0.11R    0.02  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.42    10.40    28.90    27.75    56.03    82.47    63.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.47     9.99    18.50    14.48    39.54    71.79    48.44P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.39    10.19     3.10     1.99     9.04    29.92    13.28P    1.19R    0.31  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.91    10.79    -4.29     1.64     7.04    23.25    10.18P    2.57R    0.83  
Southend              9   16   +0      71.01    10.12     6.50     4.95    18.13    46.58    25.00P    0.32R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.28     9.94     2.64     1.40     6.98    25.49    10.78P    1.25R    0.34  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      68.01    10.10     9.74     2.95    12.27    36.46    18.17P    0.59R    0.13  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.80    10.12    17.19     6.94    23.82    55.28    32.38P    0.19R    0.02  
Torquay               9   14   +3      71.08    10.17    12.48     5.20    18.96    47.89    26.55P    0.34R    0.07  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.25     9.75    -0.79     0.80     4.65    19.48     7.84P    1.84R    0.49  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.57    10.26   -20.83     0.10     0.70     3.95     1.26P   17.49R    7.06  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.83     9.95    -9.91     0.27     1.65     8.74     2.93P    6.77R    2.32  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.31    10.52    25.35    15.80    40.87    71.35    51.11P    0.12R    0.02  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.43    10.44     9.21     3.92    15.58    41.54    22.22P    0.63R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      64.82    10.63     1.03     1.82     8.14    25.97    12.80P    1.91R    0.52  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.05     9.80    -8.36     0.12     0.84     5.25     1.69P   10.31R    3.54  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      59.83    10.00    -5.37     0.35     2.40    12.18     4.63P    4.55R    1.47  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.80    10.48    -0.68     1.06     4.99    19.99     9.11P    2.83R    0.81  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.61    10.10    -4.05     0.33     2.03    10.49     4.06P    5.84R    2.04  
Barnet                9    9   -5      49.91     9.69   -21.04     0.03     0.21     1.80     0.47P   23.51R   10.19  
Bradford              9    6   -4      48.03     9.74   -17.79     0.02     0.14     1.21     0.38P   29.05R   13.72  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.37     9.25   -40.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   63.64R   44.21  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.83    10.35   -18.85     0.03     0.27     2.09     0.80P   24.87R   11.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           9   20   +8      71.09    10.02     8.49     1.56    27.70     6.05P    0.37R    0.02  
Luton               9   19  +11      94.88     9.16    50.57    67.30    97.04    79.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham             9   19   +8      80.99     9.78    25.14     9.64    67.17    25.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield           9   18   +9      78.23    10.18    24.00     6.43    56.16    18.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster       9   17   +5      75.11    10.18    16.27     3.81    43.22    13.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Tamworth            9   17   +3      62.10     9.79    -5.60     0.20     7.03     1.14P    2.97R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +2      75.34     9.77    13.55     3.37    43.08    12.60P    0.10R    0.00  
York                9   16   +8      73.93     9.77    18.88     2.53    39.27    11.87P    0.15R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      9   16   +6      65.15    10.87     3.88     0.60    14.55     3.23P    2.36R    0.20  
Southport           9   14   -4      54.28     9.76   -21.15     0.02     1.49     0.21P   14.73R    2.03  
Barrow              9   13   +3      59.53     9.80    -3.63     0.09     4.36     0.80P    5.40R    0.59  
Cambridge_Utd       9   13   +1      65.07     9.60     3.56     0.32    11.34     2.56P    1.41R    0.11  
Stockport           9   12   +2      72.85    10.41    17.57     2.51    35.88    12.05P    0.36R    0.01  
Darlington          9   12   -1      70.72     9.61    10.89     1.01    25.83     7.48P    0.29R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   11   -2      53.09    10.62   -15.80     0.03     1.82     0.34P   19.36R    3.73  
Forest_Green        9   10   +4      56.01     9.93    -3.41     0.03     2.55     0.44P   10.22R    1.25  
Grimsby             9   10   -6      64.52     9.96    -0.16     0.32    10.74     2.63P    2.03R    0.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    9   -6      48.66     9.71   -24.62     0.00     0.34     0.06P   31.87R    6.59  
Kettering           9    8   -8      54.65     9.92   -14.32     0.02     1.57     0.29P   13.89R    2.16  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    7   -4      46.97    10.47   -21.46     0.01     0.44     0.09P   39.01R   10.92  
Newport_County      9    5   -7      54.20     9.94    -9.56     0.02     1.51     0.35P   14.15R    2.24  
Lincoln_City        9    5   -7      60.76    10.47     0.90     0.18     6.85     1.93P    4.97R    0.65  
Alfreton_Town       9    5  -14      35.67     9.69   -47.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.73R   51.08  
Bath_City           9    2  -11      42.66     9.42   -26.35     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.42R   18.01