Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Fulham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          5   15  +17      91.64     7.71    74.89    83.05    95.96    99.10    99.79    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5   13  +12      75.20     9.01    39.78     7.16    38.72    69.51    83.94    95.36     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          5   10   +2      77.34     8.66    37.01     8.65    49.56    77.13    88.87    97.28     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.88     9.04     1.80     0.03     0.78     3.48     9.49    29.27     1.68R    0.24  
Stoke            5    8   -2      48.10     8.67   -10.41     0.00     0.08     0.53     2.03     9.51     7.08R    1.23  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.44     9.04    -0.52     0.01     0.32     1.55     4.96    18.31     3.68R    0.67  
Everton          4    7   +2      56.77     9.36     6.12     0.11     1.56     5.47    14.31    38.11     1.07R    0.11  
Liverpool        5    7   -1      63.31     9.02    15.61     0.45     5.16    16.34    35.00    67.01     0.12R    0.01  
QPR              5    7   -2      40.27     8.65   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.31     1.90    28.80R    8.85  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      39.92     8.46   -23.87     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.20     1.49    30.43R    9.42  
Tottenham        4    6   -1      61.08     9.56    11.92     0.28     3.64    12.14    27.08    56.61     0.47R    0.05  
Sunderland       5    5   +2      46.12     8.91    -5.76     0.00     0.05     0.36     1.47     7.26    10.97R    2.64  
Norwich          5    5   -2      35.92     8.96   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.98    49.12R   21.83  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.13     8.52   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.07    37.26R   13.20  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.83     8.42   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.71    43.98R   16.67  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.36     8.74   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.37     2.39    24.61R    7.42  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.63     9.36    12.23     0.25     4.06    13.52    29.26    59.50     0.41R    0.04  
Fulham           5    3   -3      46.02     8.87    -6.93     0.00     0.04     0.36     1.41     6.98    10.90R    2.50  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.29     9.04   -17.24     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.62     3.48    22.32R    6.50  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      40.95     9.10   -19.72     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.54     2.80    27.10R    8.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 September 2011, Southampton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       7   18  +10      81.22    11.41    24.94    21.80    39.16    76.16    48.62P    0.14R    0.01  
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.02    10.65    17.80    11.06    23.86    64.07    33.34P    0.20R    0.02  
Brighton          7   16   +6      68.19    10.79     4.30     2.51     6.90    31.79    11.95P    1.96R    0.23  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.12    10.35    -2.41     0.94     2.95    19.04     5.57P    4.11R    0.54  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.93    11.01    35.18    34.17    53.59    85.90    64.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      74.85    10.68    16.98     7.80    18.48    56.66    29.18P    0.36R    0.03  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      74.08    11.48    15.79     8.66    18.50    53.72    28.21P    0.82R    0.08  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.18     9.96    -1.85     0.80     2.53    18.03     5.67P    3.57R    0.45  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.53    10.71     2.79     1.86     5.15    26.84    10.10P    2.93R    0.46  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.20    11.65    -8.69     0.51     1.52     9.71     3.15P   17.17R    4.55  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      66.16    10.96     4.64     1.82     4.99    26.53     9.72P    3.38R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.53     9.88    -9.99     0.07     0.29     4.38     1.06P   17.02R    3.51  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.38    10.57     7.73     1.73     5.01    26.97    11.27P    2.67R    0.32  
Birmingham        6    7   -2      70.82    11.42    11.39     4.78    11.37    42.42    20.62P    1.66R    0.26  
Millwall          7    7   -2      59.89    10.15    -2.10     0.24     1.01    10.06     3.12P    8.54R    1.53  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.05     9.95   -13.98     0.02     0.09     2.27     0.47P   27.61R    7.51  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.93    10.64    -6.13     0.32     1.13     9.99     2.94P   11.26R    2.37  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      59.20    10.33    -2.07     0.28     0.98     9.48     2.92P   10.14R    1.90  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.90    10.46   -24.16     0.05     0.15     2.20     0.48P   33.83R   10.65  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.24    10.15    -9.57     0.04     0.22     3.13     0.78P   23.44R    5.80  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.78    10.67    -7.39     0.25     0.92     8.21     2.56P   13.67R    2.92  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.67    10.43    -4.00     0.28     1.08    10.30     3.50P    9.46R    1.80  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      51.16    10.14   -16.74     0.03     0.12     2.01     0.50P   31.32R    8.52  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.80     9.68   -32.45     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   74.68R   45.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      82.78    10.45    26.09    15.31    31.32    79.07    43.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.55    10.52    35.64    29.32    50.33    89.42    62.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.59    10.11    34.87    18.88    38.77    84.83    54.13P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.31    10.56    21.86     7.52    18.30    64.90    29.93P    0.22R    0.00  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.10    10.32     7.64     1.04     3.35    27.18     7.88P    2.17R    0.15  
Preston          7   16   +6      85.07    11.53    30.75    23.39    41.66    82.28    53.86P    0.09R    0.01  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.94    10.01     5.15     0.64     2.32    22.74     6.10P    2.57R    0.16  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.41    10.04     4.88     0.68     2.51    24.51     6.96P    2.25R    0.14  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      71.15    10.40     6.17     1.90     5.63    37.21    12.43P    1.30R    0.09  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.73     9.85    -0.89     0.21     0.82    12.06     2.96P    5.82R    0.43  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.53     9.90    -4.47     0.20     0.80    11.69     2.78P    6.32R    0.53  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.73    10.33    -4.52     0.08     0.37     6.03     1.47P   15.34R    2.02  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.56    10.10    -9.66     0.14     0.60     8.89     2.10P    9.73R    0.95  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.24    10.50   -13.83     0.04     0.14     3.38     0.75P   25.90R    4.38  
Colchester       9   10   -1      64.19    10.42     3.91     0.33     1.48    16.88     4.88P    5.23R    0.41  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.38    10.04    -8.33     0.04     0.18     3.50     0.85P   20.80R    3.14  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      58.56    10.16    -9.39     0.08     0.40     6.56     1.76P   13.51R    1.62  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.69     9.96    -9.39     0.02     0.11     2.97     0.62P   22.85R    3.43  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      57.07    10.15    -9.35     0.04     0.22     5.00     1.16P   16.88R    2.31  
Bury             9    7  -10      45.29    10.05   -30.50     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.09P   59.80R   19.93  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.54    10.91     0.77     0.13     0.65     9.47     2.91P   12.61R    1.85  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.71    10.12   -26.19     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P   61.16R   21.03  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.26     9.76   -22.33     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   50.81R   13.73  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.87     9.87   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   64.56R   23.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.08    10.16    17.31     7.87    25.04    55.82    31.79P    0.12R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.27    10.35    28.59    27.50    55.83    82.45    63.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.74    10.05    18.97    15.45    40.63    72.60    49.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.18    10.22     2.77     1.97     8.73    29.40    12.65P    1.23R    0.34  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.71    10.74    -4.53     1.51     6.66    22.56     9.72P    2.75R    0.86  
Southend              9   16   +0      71.23    10.06     6.79     5.11    18.54    47.31    25.72P    0.32R    0.07  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.26     9.91     2.65     1.38     7.00    25.85    10.88P    1.22R    0.33  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      67.96    10.25     9.74     3.04    12.47    36.48    18.37P    0.74R    0.17  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.74    10.00    17.09     6.64    23.58    54.99    32.41P    0.17R    0.04  
Torquay               9   14   +3      70.90    10.18    12.19     4.88    18.84    47.41    26.50P    0.42R    0.11  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.19     9.86    -0.90     0.91     4.90    19.74     8.16P    1.83R    0.48  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.56    10.12   -20.89     0.08     0.58     3.71     1.07P   17.63R    7.08  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.78    10.04    -9.96     0.28     1.68     9.00     3.02P    6.84R    2.50  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.24    10.45    25.22    15.55    40.81    71.16    50.82P    0.09R    0.02  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.34    10.52     9.00     4.00    15.29    41.67    21.90P    0.69R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      64.91    10.66     1.17     1.93     8.26    26.73    13.28P    1.80R    0.49  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.19     9.80    -8.17     0.14     0.88     5.46     1.74P   10.17R    3.64  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      60.14     9.96    -4.97     0.44     2.53    12.73     4.91P    4.21R    1.38  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.42    10.47    -1.23     0.97     5.03    19.18     8.71P    3.01R    0.87  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.65     9.94    -3.91     0.30     2.07    10.27     3.97P    5.59R    1.90  
Barnet                9    9   -5      50.18     9.85   -20.65     0.02     0.22     1.93     0.52P   23.40R   10.37  
Bradford              9    6   -4      48.02     9.70   -17.70     0.01     0.15     1.17     0.37P   29.72R   14.00  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.67     9.24   -39.83     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   62.78R   42.91  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.86    10.44   -18.74     0.03     0.28     2.24     0.82P   25.23R   12.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           9   20   +8      71.25    10.04     8.78     1.68    28.28     6.28P    0.33R    0.02  
Luton               9   19  +11      94.87     9.19    50.51    67.09    96.92    79.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham             9   19   +8      81.03     9.81    25.26     9.85    66.86    25.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield           9   18   +9      78.14    10.18    23.93     6.35    55.56    17.32P    0.06R    0.01  
Kidderminster       9   17   +5      75.22    10.02    16.44     3.72    43.45    12.93P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth            9   17   +3      62.16     9.75    -5.51     0.17     7.01     1.20P    2.80R    0.19  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +2      75.32     9.77    13.55     3.39    43.13    12.85P    0.09R    0.00  
York                9   16   +8      74.33     9.67    19.41     2.69    40.26    12.28P    0.10R    0.00  
Braintree_Town      9   16   +6      65.18    10.83     3.91     0.71    14.27     3.23P    2.31R    0.22  
Southport           9   14   -4      54.40     9.66   -20.92     0.02     1.42     0.18P   14.21R    1.84  
Barrow              9   13   +3      59.49     9.82    -3.68     0.08     4.34     0.83P    5.22R    0.58  
Cambridge_Utd       9   13   +1      65.27     9.64     3.85     0.27    11.82     2.59P    1.32R    0.08  
Stockport           9   12   +2      72.61    10.44    17.25     2.29    35.13    11.62P    0.41R    0.02  
Darlington          9   12   -1      70.62     9.65    10.79     1.08    25.74     7.57P    0.37R    0.02  
AFC_Telford         9   11   -2      53.35    10.54   -15.30     0.02     1.78     0.32P   18.15R    3.42  
Forest_Green        9   10   +4      55.86     9.86    -3.68     0.03     2.33     0.43P   10.19R    1.29  
Grimsby             9   10   -6      64.55     9.97    -0.08     0.32    11.04     2.60P    1.95R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    9   -6      48.70     9.73   -24.59     0.00     0.39     0.06P   31.39R    6.37  
Kettering           9    8   -8      54.61     9.78   -14.38     0.01     1.38     0.23P   13.81R    2.01  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    7   -4      46.52    10.47   -22.29     0.00     0.37     0.06P   40.18R   11.42  
Newport_County      9    5   -7      54.08     9.87    -9.73     0.01     1.39     0.27P   14.14R    2.09  
Lincoln_City        9    5   -7      61.08    10.53     1.35     0.19     7.07     1.98P    5.15R    0.64  
Alfreton_Town       9    5  -14      35.35     9.61   -48.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.85R   51.67  
Bath_City           9    2  -11      42.51     9.42   -26.53     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.87R   17.89