Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Aston_Villa vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.75     8.05    70.21    73.38    91.92    97.86    99.41    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      76.19     9.23    40.15     9.91    39.53    69.81    85.08    96.10     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.90     8.77    38.69    14.66    52.50    79.54    90.85    98.03     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        5    9   +2      54.46     9.09     1.51     0.05     0.56     2.63     8.19    28.47     1.64R    0.22  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.40     8.89    -2.79     0.02     0.17     1.13     4.11    17.70     3.31R    0.50  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.95     9.21    22.98     1.49     9.45    26.10    51.01    80.07     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      5    7   +2      51.26     9.04    -0.47     0.01     0.28     1.38     4.46    18.16     3.53R    0.65  
Everton          4    7   +2      57.00     9.35     6.56     0.10     1.22     4.93    13.96    39.84     1.05R    0.16  
QPR              5    7   -2      39.76     8.72   -21.45     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.24     1.87    29.86R    9.38  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -2      39.78     8.40   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17     1.41    29.31R    9.31  
Norwich          5    5   -2      35.98     8.91   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.89    47.03R   20.44  
Swansea          5    5   -2      38.04     8.54   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.07    36.40R   12.66  
Wigan            5    5   -3      36.66     8.36   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.63    43.08R   16.21  
Blackburn        5    4   -3      41.38     8.83   -17.46     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.39     2.75    23.61R    7.09  
Arsenal          5    4   -8      61.37     9.30    11.38     0.28     3.09    11.01    26.10    59.00     0.33R    0.04  
Bolton           5    3   -5      42.61     9.14   -15.96     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.57     4.04    20.38R    5.89  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.40     9.83     2.85     0.10     1.20     4.85    13.18    37.35     1.67R    0.27  
West_Brom        5    3   -5      40.75     9.13   -19.32     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.40     2.71    26.86R    8.53  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.47     9.04   -12.29     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.49     3.63    20.15R    5.94  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.43     8.96    -7.81     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.11     6.35    11.74R    2.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Barnsley vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Middlesbrough     7   17   +8      77.43    10.57    18.39    12.29    25.52    65.61    35.25P    0.15R    0.01  
Brighton          7   16   +6      67.77    10.83     3.83     2.54     6.75    30.69    11.57P    2.23R    0.22  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.79    11.74    17.41    13.28    26.01    62.29    34.69P    0.43R    0.06  
Derby             7   15   +4      64.36    10.34    -1.98     1.03     3.12    19.72     5.96P    3.87R    0.58  
West_Ham          7   14   +8      84.61    11.21    34.53    34.97    53.43    84.78    63.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   12   +3      74.95    10.61    17.23     8.30    19.26    57.53    29.94P    0.38R    0.05  
Blackpool         7   12   +3      74.48    11.32    16.45     9.21    19.68    55.26    29.72P    0.66R    0.07  
Hull              7   12   -1      64.00     9.97    -2.02     0.83     2.55    17.90     5.80P    3.56R    0.42  
Leicester         7   11   +0      66.02    10.75     2.10     1.79     5.00    25.58     9.77P    3.16R    0.43  
Peterborough      7   10   +4      57.18    11.65    -8.63     0.46     1.45     9.48     2.98P   17.36R    4.64  
Leeds_United      7   10   +1      65.99    10.91     4.45     1.74     5.11    26.24     9.67P    3.48R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace    7   10   +1      55.68     9.86    -9.52     0.09     0.35     4.39     1.08P   16.36R    3.32  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.62    11.71    17.86    10.12    20.87    55.61    31.74P    0.71R    0.08  
Reading           7    7   -1      66.41    10.51     7.83     1.72     5.00    27.17    11.13P    2.69R    0.34  
Millwall          7    7   -2      60.06    10.05    -1.83     0.25     1.05    10.31     3.23P    7.83R    1.37  
Barnsley          7    7   -2      52.43     9.93   -13.28     0.05     0.16     2.42     0.57P   26.25R    6.76  
Watford           7    7   -3      58.95    10.75    -5.99     0.38     1.20    10.03     2.98P   11.65R    2.50  
Portsmouth        7    6   -2      58.96    10.24    -2.28     0.26     0.92     9.02     2.74P   10.19R    1.85  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.89    10.45   -24.00     0.05     0.17     2.18     0.50P   33.95R   10.27  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.41    10.16    -9.21     0.06     0.24     3.29     0.76P   23.09R    5.64  
Burnley           6    5   -4      57.77    10.68    -7.28     0.24     0.87     8.04     2.45P   13.86R    3.01  
Nott'm_Forest     7    5   -6      59.61    10.45    -4.07     0.30     1.14    10.45     3.50P    9.71R    1.67  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      50.89    10.11   -17.10     0.03     0.13     1.94     0.45P   32.35R    8.63  
Doncaster         7    1  -10      39.46     9.67   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   76.03R   47.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Brentford vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         8   20  +10      82.86    10.52    26.24    15.37    31.66    79.02    44.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        9   20  +10      87.72    10.48    35.96    29.77    51.16    89.66    63.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     9   17   +9      84.59    10.08    34.85    18.81    38.95    84.92    54.10P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          8   17   +8      78.71    10.57    22.46     8.19    19.52    66.43    31.09P    0.19R    0.01  
Hartlepool       8   16   +8      68.35    10.35     7.97     1.09     3.34    27.99     7.86P    2.04R    0.09  
Preston          7   16   +6      84.64    11.46    29.97    22.26    39.76    81.43    51.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Notts_County     9   16   +5      66.81    10.01     5.04     0.61     2.15    22.58     6.12P    2.54R    0.13  
Brentford        9   16   +4      67.42    10.07     4.98     0.71     2.46    24.43     6.87P    2.25R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        9   16   +0      70.97    10.40     5.92     1.88     5.57    36.50    12.04P    1.32R    0.06  
Tranmere         9   14   +2      62.89     9.91    -0.66     0.19     0.82    12.61     3.06P    5.68R    0.43  
Oldham           9   14   -1      62.64     9.97    -4.28     0.22     0.89    11.92     3.02P    6.32R    0.47  
Stevenage        9   13   +5      57.68    10.32    -4.56     0.10     0.37     5.97     1.35P   15.43R    1.97  
Carlisle         9   13   -4      60.54    10.15    -9.70     0.15     0.57     8.87     2.23P   10.05R    0.99  
Chesterfield     9   11   -1      54.26    10.49   -13.77     0.03     0.14     3.36     0.71P   25.57R    4.42  
Colchester       9   10   -1      64.04    10.32     3.72     0.31     1.27    16.31     4.59P    5.36R    0.49  
Walsall          9    9   -1      55.24    10.05    -8.60     0.02     0.12     3.50     0.76P   21.36R    3.15  
Bournemouth      9    9   -7      58.76    10.11    -9.12     0.09     0.34     6.58     1.64P   12.92R    1.52  
Yeovil           9    8   -3      54.58     9.91    -9.54     0.01     0.07     2.71     0.58P   22.92R    3.39  
Rochdale         9    8   -6      57.03    10.17    -9.41     0.02     0.20     4.89     1.14P   16.93R    2.36  
Bury             9    7  -10      45.43    10.07   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   59.11R   19.61  
Scunthorpe       9    6   -3      59.20    10.88     0.24     0.14     0.61     8.83     2.65P   13.47R    1.95  
Wycombe          8    5   -7      44.72    10.27   -26.18     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.07P   60.71R   21.28  
Exeter           9    5   -9      47.36     9.75   -22.14     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.10P   50.49R   13.58  
Leyton_Orient    9    2  -14      43.74     9.85   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   65.13R   23.96  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             9   20  +14      73.28    10.22    17.65     8.25    25.97    56.10    32.51P    0.14R    0.03  
Rotherham             9   18   +9      81.45    10.30    28.86    27.46    56.27    83.04    63.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +4      77.61    10.09    18.77    15.09    39.83    72.27    48.72P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   16   +4      66.14    10.16     2.68     1.91     8.65    28.88    12.62P    1.14R    0.34  
Crawley_Town          9   16   +1      63.75    10.76    -4.47     1.47     6.59    22.47     9.57P    2.75R    0.83  
Southend              9   16   +0      71.13    10.02     6.58     4.71    17.97    47.09    25.32P    0.30R    0.08  
Oxford_Utd            9   15   +3      65.55     9.89     3.04     1.47     7.30    26.50    11.41P    1.05R    0.25  
Port_Vale             9   14   +5      67.95    10.15     9.69     2.97    12.06    36.41    18.09P    0.67R    0.18  
Gillingham            9   14   +5      72.75    10.05    17.08     6.68    23.54    54.93    32.26P    0.14R    0.03  
Torquay               9   14   +3      70.94    10.20    12.30     5.13    18.83    47.37    26.38P    0.36R    0.09  
Aldershot             9   14   +1      63.10     9.80    -0.98     0.92     4.71    19.22     7.89P    1.88R    0.48  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +0      52.48    10.13   -20.98     0.08     0.62     3.68     1.16P   17.32R    6.94  
Cheltenham            9   13   +0      57.87     9.97    -9.82     0.26     1.59     8.71     2.85P    6.64R    2.36  
Swindon               9   12   +3      77.41    10.59    25.51    16.05    41.45    71.45    51.64P    0.10R    0.02  
Crewe                 9   12   -1      69.61    10.42     9.38     3.91    15.56    42.86    22.64P    0.61R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers        9   12   -2      65.04    10.60     1.36     1.80     8.18    26.62    12.81P    1.79R    0.52  
Macclesfield          9   11   +2      55.10     9.90    -8.32     0.13     0.98     5.50     1.82P   10.30R    3.62  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -4      59.77     9.88    -5.43     0.33     2.29    11.59     4.28P    4.43R    1.42  
Dag_&_Red             9   10   -4      62.58    10.43    -1.02     0.94     4.83    19.56     8.72P    2.78R    0.88  
Northampton           9    9   -2      58.72    10.08    -3.86     0.35     2.14    10.66     4.12P    5.59R    1.97  
Barnet                9    9   -5      49.96     9.81   -20.99     0.02     0.21     1.80     0.49P   23.86R   10.43  
Bradford              9    6   -4      47.77     9.64   -18.15     0.01     0.11     1.04     0.28P   30.20R   14.50  
Hereford              9    5  -16      40.53     9.23   -40.04     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   62.91R   43.08  
Plymouth              9    1  -16      49.79    10.39   -18.84     0.04     0.30     2.14     0.86P   25.00R   11.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           9   20   +8      71.16     9.97     8.58     1.59    27.71     5.95P    0.35R    0.02  
Luton               9   19  +11      94.76     9.21    50.48    66.21    96.89    78.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham             9   19   +8      81.18     9.83    25.48    10.12    67.33    25.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield           9   18   +9      78.32    10.09    24.24     6.57    56.31    17.77P    0.06R    0.00  
Kidderminster       9   17   +5      75.27    10.13    16.55     3.94    43.70    13.08P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth            9   17   +3      62.04     9.70    -5.71     0.16     6.66     1.05P    2.89R    0.21  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +2      75.21     9.77    13.38     3.47    42.38    12.58P    0.07R    0.00  
York                9   16   +8      74.01     9.79    19.02     2.77    39.23    12.25P    0.15R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      9   16   +6      65.34    10.84     4.23     0.67    14.76     3.45P    2.27R    0.20  
Southport           9   14   -4      54.62     9.71   -20.57     0.01     1.57     0.21P   13.42R    1.69  
Barrow              9   13   +3      59.40     9.82    -3.82     0.07     4.25     0.75P    5.40R    0.54  
Cambridge_Utd       9   13   +1      65.21     9.66     3.80     0.37    11.82     2.77P    1.37R    0.09  
Stockport           9   12   +2      72.72    10.37    17.36     2.32    35.26    11.63P    0.34R    0.02  
Darlington          9   12   -1      70.79     9.64    11.00     1.10    26.36     7.79P    0.29R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   11   -2      52.83    10.68   -16.28     0.03     1.70     0.28P   19.58R    3.82  
Forest_Green        9   10   +4      56.13     9.91    -3.34     0.04     2.43     0.45P    9.77R    1.20  
Grimsby             9   10   -6      64.55     9.95    -0.10     0.29    10.85     2.58P    2.00R    0.17  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    9   -6      48.52     9.70   -24.93     0.01     0.32     0.05P   31.94R    6.45  
Kettering           9    8   -8      54.45     9.81   -14.60     0.03     1.33     0.23P   13.88R    2.11  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    7   -4      46.78    10.61   -21.84     0.00     0.45     0.09P   39.57R   11.29  
Newport_County      9    5   -7      54.11     9.94    -9.63     0.02     1.47     0.32P   14.00R    2.19  
Lincoln_City        9    5   -7      61.16    10.51     1.49     0.18     7.16     1.98P    4.95R    0.61  
Alfreton_Town       9    5  -14      35.45     9.52   -48.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.53R   51.54  
Bath_City           9    2  -11      42.46     9.37   -26.61     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.08R   17.78