Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.46     8.07    69.01    72.82    91.73    97.69    99.33    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      75.77     9.14    39.13     9.96    38.46    68.08    83.54    95.73     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.58     8.78    37.83    14.69    52.05    78.04    89.92    97.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        4    8   +2      54.46     9.27     0.98     0.06     0.64     2.86     8.14    27.76     1.57R    0.20  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.55     8.84    -2.38     0.02     0.22     1.19     4.14    17.37     2.58R    0.31  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.65     9.08    22.33     1.43     9.03    25.02    48.43    78.82     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.46     8.71   -15.83     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.56     3.58    15.20R    3.24  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      51.99     9.28     0.21     0.04     0.37     1.76     5.44    20.23     2.82R    0.38  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.88     8.55   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.09    34.64R    9.81  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.22     9.37     4.43     0.10     0.87     3.48     9.80    31.02     1.35R    0.18  
QPR              4    4   -5      35.91     8.67   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.54    44.43R   15.98  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.60     9.47    13.33     0.77     5.19    16.02    34.05    66.63     0.17R    0.01  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.18     9.32   -12.36     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.03     5.37    14.73R    3.29  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.16     9.30   -12.74     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.10     6.32    12.58R    2.93  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.39     9.70     2.85     0.09     1.28     4.80    12.53    36.04     1.31R    0.17  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.18     9.03   -12.39     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.47     3.35    19.04R    4.54  
Norwich          4    2   -3      33.07     9.04   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.41    57.46R   27.40  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.51     8.81    -7.54     0.01     0.04     0.22     1.01     6.00     9.82R    1.95  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.42     8.62   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.43    50.71R   20.07  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.63     8.87   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.46    31.55R    9.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.50    11.42     6.56     4.25    10.55    39.84    16.46P    1.55R    0.20  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.57    11.80    17.08    11.95    24.38    61.04    33.15P    0.51R    0.07  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.95    11.14    17.59     9.62    21.15    59.89    30.55P    0.38R    0.03  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.34    11.55    37.26    39.06    57.84    86.92    67.11P    0.05R    0.01  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.38    10.58    -5.20     0.57     1.88    13.47     4.03P    7.41R    1.26  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.45    10.96    17.46     8.25    19.71    58.75    30.52P    0.45R    0.04  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      74.99    11.82    16.75     9.76    20.67    56.39    30.55P    0.80R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      56.93    10.34    -9.16     0.18     0.63     6.32     1.56P   14.76R    3.22  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.07    10.23    -3.63     0.49     1.74    13.86     4.34P    5.80R    0.94  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.21    11.10     0.59     1.36     3.73    20.80     7.59P    5.26R    0.95  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.96    12.20   -11.08     0.42     1.24     7.71     2.54P   23.84R    7.80  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.85    11.63    18.25     8.86    19.99    56.45    31.63P    0.71R    0.09  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.25    11.25     3.14     1.34     3.74    22.01     7.79P    5.32R    0.99  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.45    10.78     0.14     0.58     1.85    14.13     4.57P    7.60R    1.45  
Millwall          6    6   -2      59.85    10.43    -3.02     0.32     1.14    10.47     3.27P    9.25R    1.84  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.49    10.25   -14.09     0.05     0.19     2.84     0.71P   27.05R    7.58  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.48    11.10    -6.01     0.41     1.45    11.40     3.64P   11.63R    2.61  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      51.08    10.48   -24.00     0.04     0.18     2.31     0.52P   33.18R   10.62  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.51    10.12    -9.32     0.03     0.20     3.18     0.80P   22.82R    5.93  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.63    11.10    -5.80     0.51     1.55    11.38     3.68P   11.18R    2.50  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.18    10.71    -1.42     0.64     2.20    15.46     5.37P    6.67R    1.10  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.38    10.49   -16.30     0.07     0.25     2.99     0.76P   28.03R    7.66  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.63    10.87     5.59     1.23     3.76    22.22     8.82P    4.37R    0.77  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      40.77     9.93   -31.36     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   71.38R   42.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.57    10.72    24.12    13.57    28.51    73.69    40.09P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        8   17   +7      84.60    10.96    30.35    24.23    43.16    83.54    56.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     8   16   +9      85.26    10.36    35.28    25.30    46.10    86.52    59.46P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.98    10.86    22.33    11.32    24.04    68.73    35.11P    0.25R    0.02  
Brentford        8   16   +6      69.66    10.22     8.32     1.70     5.30    34.08    11.44P    1.56R    0.06  
Stevenage        8   13   +7      60.42    10.75    -0.42     0.32     1.08    11.36     2.98P   11.73R    1.72  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.67    10.49     3.53     0.85     2.74    21.87     6.29P    4.39R    0.43  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.58    11.81    25.38    18.22    33.88    74.65    45.76P    0.27R    0.01  
Notts_County     8   13   +3      63.43    10.11     0.46     0.35     1.42    15.51     4.16P    6.21R    0.69  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   -1      69.16    10.57     4.60     1.78     5.06    32.54    11.25P    2.32R    0.16  
Carlisle         8   13   -1      63.86    10.38    -3.35     0.53     1.86    16.79     4.79P    6.21R    0.64  
Tranmere         8   11   +0      60.49    10.08    -3.66     0.18     0.69     9.89     2.52P   10.27R    1.22  
Oldham           8   11   -3      59.76    10.03    -7.94     0.12     0.56     8.51     2.03P   11.88R    1.53  
Colchester       8   10   +2      66.22    10.50     8.02     0.88     2.96    24.06     7.83P    3.92R    0.37  
Walsall          8    8   -1      55.50    10.24    -8.50     0.05     0.26     4.35     1.04P   22.37R    4.08  
Yeovil           8    8   -2      56.37    10.18    -7.61     0.07     0.28     4.98     1.14P   19.84R    3.22  
Chesterfield     8    8   -4      50.28    10.65   -20.13     0.01     0.09     1.84     0.39P   41.90R   11.57  
Rochdale         8    8   -5      58.73    10.27    -7.70     0.12     0.52     7.48     2.03P   14.90R    2.13  
Bury             8    7   -7      48.01    10.46   -25.03     0.01     0.06     1.10     0.21P   51.05R   16.21  
Bournemouth      8    6   -9      55.97    10.40   -12.91     0.06     0.27     4.73     1.26P   22.16R    4.02  
Scunthorpe       8    5   -3      59.78    11.11     0.61     0.31     1.06    11.07     3.58P   13.90R    2.17  
Wycombe          7    5   -5      47.18    10.59   -22.13     0.01     0.05     0.99     0.24P   53.35R   18.21  
Exeter           8    5   -7      49.42    10.10   -18.88     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.22P   44.50R   12.18  
Leyton_Orient    8    2  -12      46.30    10.09   -24.73     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.12P   56.80R   19.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             8   17  +13      70.82    10.30    15.44     5.83    20.43    49.75    26.93P    0.42R    0.12  
Rotherham             8   17   +9      81.32    10.40    27.86    26.97    57.53    84.04    64.88P    0.02R    0.01  
Port_Vale             8   14   +6      69.82    10.21    11.56     4.57    17.51    45.69    24.53P    0.47R    0.12  
Shrewsbury            8   14   +3      74.84    10.16    15.99     9.92    31.80    64.46    41.08P    0.14R    0.04  
Cheltenham            8   13   +3      60.85    10.22    -3.94     0.68     3.81    16.17     6.06P    4.41R    1.61  
Torquay               8   13   +3      70.91    10.36    11.72     5.56    20.31    49.50    27.93P    0.45R    0.13  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +2      62.41    10.20    -2.52     0.98     4.99    19.97     7.84P    3.47R    1.24  
Crawley_Town          8   13   -1      61.13    11.02    -7.88     1.00     4.97    18.33     7.39P    5.58R    2.24  
Southend              8   13   -2      68.97    10.28     3.89     3.51    14.91    41.16    21.48P    0.73R    0.18  
Swindon               8   12   +5      80.84    10.69    30.67    26.49    56.59    82.33    65.36P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd            8   12   +1      62.43    10.11    -1.03     0.81     4.84    19.94     7.90P    2.91R    0.98  
Bristol_Rovers        8   12   -1      67.87    10.99     4.65     4.13    14.48    38.20    20.94P    1.29R    0.39  
Gillingham            8   11   +0      68.34    10.21     7.95     3.02    13.60    39.73    20.51P    0.81R    0.25  
Aldershot             8   11   +0      60.74     9.95    -3.06     0.56     3.43    15.30     6.07P    3.85R    1.29  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   11   -3      48.84    10.29   -26.86     0.05     0.31     2.10     0.63P   31.69R   16.75  
Accrington_Stanley    8   10   -2      62.68    10.19    -1.09     0.96     5.20    20.67     8.82P    3.04R    1.12  
Dag_&_Red             8   10   -3      65.15    10.64     1.78     1.81     8.88    29.03    14.35P    2.04R    0.65  
Northampton           8    9   +0      61.28    10.19     0.15     0.72     4.20    17.53     7.19P    4.02R    1.57  
Barnet                8    9   -3      52.43    10.02   -17.07     0.08     0.54     3.81     1.10P   18.53R    8.53  
Crewe                 8    9   -3      66.09    10.57     4.38     2.19    10.28    32.22    15.63P    1.84R    0.65  
Macclesfield          8    8   +0      52.32     9.76   -11.75     0.06     0.47     3.52     1.04P   17.46R    7.61  
Bradford              8    6   -2      50.17     9.95   -14.18     0.03     0.30     2.31     0.74P   24.83R   12.37  
Hereford              8    5  -11      44.17     9.55   -30.16     0.00     0.04     0.40     0.10P   49.05R   30.46  
Plymouth              8    1  -14      51.40    10.69   -16.50     0.08     0.58     3.84     1.48P   22.90R   11.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.23    10.00    31.05    17.82    78.49    35.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.77    10.18     8.91     2.18    31.57     7.12P    0.38R    0.02  
Luton               8   16  +10      93.75     9.39    50.71    61.76    96.26    76.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.26    10.43    22.36     5.13    50.50    15.49P    0.12R    0.00  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.19    10.26    15.50     3.45    41.61    12.11P    0.18R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      58.88     9.90   -10.17     0.10     4.27     0.65P    6.69R    0.80  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      73.12     9.89    10.70     2.33    35.97     9.93P    0.23R    0.02  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.77    11.17     3.03     0.63    13.45     3.13P    3.90R    0.46  
York                8   13   +5      70.23     9.88    12.99     1.38    26.68     7.73P    0.40R    0.02  
Barrow              8   13   +4      60.86     9.99    -2.68     0.13     6.62     1.19P    4.59R    0.53  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.14     9.86     3.13     0.41    12.78     2.83P    1.70R    0.15  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.14     9.84    12.50     1.82    32.91    10.16P    0.31R    0.02  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.48     9.70   -23.91     0.01     0.80     0.11P   22.98R    4.11  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.85    10.14    -0.08     0.10     5.00     0.87P    6.79R    0.81  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.55    10.15     2.86     0.61    16.53     4.04P    1.41R    0.15  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.31    10.62    14.21     1.73    28.64     8.89P    0.70R    0.06  
AFC_Telford         8    8   -3      50.88    10.90   -17.82     0.02     1.45     0.24P   26.98R    6.85  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.22    10.08   -10.55     0.06     3.14     0.54P    9.78R    1.42  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.87     9.81   -26.84     0.00     0.36     0.03P   36.15R    8.63  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.48    10.81   -17.38     0.00     0.99     0.19P   31.21R    8.33  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.09    10.10    -7.85     0.04     2.66     0.55P   11.13R    1.84  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.85    10.73     1.36     0.30     9.17     2.49P    4.72R    0.68  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.43     9.91   -46.78     0.00     0.03     0.00P   79.21R   49.62  
Bath_City           8    2  -10      44.15     9.59   -25.26     0.00     0.12     0.02P   50.43R   15.47