Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 16 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 4 12 +15 89.46 8.07 69.01 72.82 91.73 97.69 99.33 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 4 12 +12 75.77 9.14 39.13 9.96 38.46 68.08 83.54 95.73 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 4 10 +4 78.58 8.78 37.83 14.69 52.05 78.04 89.92 97.91 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 4 8 +2 54.46 9.27 0.98 0.06 0.64 2.86 8.14 27.76 1.57R 0.20 Stoke 4 8 +2 51.55 8.84 -2.38 0.02 0.22 1.19 4.14 17.37 2.58R 0.31 Liverpool 4 7 +3 66.65 9.08 22.33 1.43 9.03 25.02 48.43 78.82 0.03R 0.00 Wolverhampton 4 7 +1 43.46 8.71 -15.83 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.56 3.58 15.20R 3.24 Aston_Villa 4 6 +2 51.99 9.28 0.21 0.04 0.37 1.76 5.44 20.23 2.82R 0.38 Wigan 4 5 -1 37.88 8.55 -23.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.09 34.64R 9.81 Everton 3 4 +0 55.22 9.37 4.43 0.10 0.87 3.48 9.80 31.02 1.35R 0.18 QPR 4 4 -5 35.91 8.67 -27.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.54 44.43R 15.98 Arsenal 4 4 -7 63.60 9.47 13.33 0.77 5.19 16.02 34.05 66.63 0.17R 0.01 West_Brom 4 3 -2 44.18 9.32 -12.36 0.00 0.03 0.24 1.03 5.37 14.73R 3.29 Bolton 4 3 -4 45.16 9.30 -12.74 0.00 0.04 0.26 1.10 6.32 12.58R 2.93 Tottenham 3 3 -5 56.39 9.70 2.85 0.09 1.28 4.80 12.53 36.04 1.31R 0.17 Sunderland 4 2 -2 42.18 9.03 -12.39 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.47 3.35 19.04R 4.54 Norwich 4 2 -3 33.07 9.04 -31.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.41 57.46R 27.40 Fulham 4 2 -3 45.51 8.81 -7.54 0.01 0.04 0.22 1.01 6.00 9.82R 1.95 Swansea 4 2 -5 34.42 8.62 -25.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.43 50.71R 20.07 Blackburn 4 1 -4 38.63 8.87 -19.55 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.23 1.46 31.55R 9.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 6 16 +7 70.50 11.42 6.56 4.25 10.55 39.84 16.46P 1.55R 0.20 Southampton 6 15 +7 76.57 11.80 17.08 11.95 24.38 61.04 33.15P 0.51R 0.07 Middlesbrough 6 14 +7 75.95 11.14 17.59 9.62 21.15 59.89 30.55P 0.38R 0.03 West_Ham 6 13 +8 86.34 11.55 37.26 39.06 57.84 86.92 67.11P 0.05R 0.01 Derby 6 12 +3 61.38 10.58 -5.20 0.57 1.88 13.47 4.03P 7.41R 1.26 Cardiff 6 11 +3 75.45 10.96 17.46 8.25 19.71 58.75 30.52P 0.45R 0.04 Blackpool 6 11 +3 74.99 11.82 16.75 9.76 20.67 56.39 30.55P 0.80R 0.10 Crystal_Palace 6 10 +2 56.93 10.34 -9.16 0.18 0.63 6.32 1.56P 14.76R 3.22 Hull 6 9 -2 62.07 10.23 -3.63 0.49 1.74 13.86 4.34P 5.80R 0.94 Leicester 6 8 -1 64.21 11.10 0.59 1.36 3.73 20.80 7.59P 5.26R 0.95 Peterborough 6 7 +3 54.96 12.20 -11.08 0.42 1.24 7.71 2.54P 23.84R 7.80 Birmingham 5 7 +1 74.85 11.63 18.25 8.86 19.99 56.45 31.63P 0.71R 0.09 Leeds_United 6 7 +0 64.25 11.25 3.14 1.34 3.74 22.01 7.79P 5.32R 0.99 Portsmouth 6 6 -1 61.45 10.78 0.14 0.58 1.85 14.13 4.57P 7.60R 1.45 Millwall 6 6 -2 59.85 10.43 -3.02 0.32 1.14 10.47 3.27P 9.25R 1.84 Barnsley 6 6 -2 52.49 10.25 -14.09 0.05 0.19 2.84 0.71P 27.05R 7.58 Watford 6 6 -3 59.48 11.10 -6.01 0.41 1.45 11.40 3.64P 11.63R 2.61 Ipswich 6 6 -8 51.08 10.48 -24.00 0.04 0.18 2.31 0.52P 33.18R 10.62 Coventry 6 5 -1 53.51 10.12 -9.32 0.03 0.20 3.18 0.80P 22.82R 5.93 Burnley 5 5 -3 59.63 11.10 -5.80 0.51 1.55 11.38 3.68P 11.18R 2.50 Nott'm_Forest 6 5 -5 62.18 10.71 -1.42 0.64 2.20 15.46 5.37P 6.67R 1.10 Bristol_City 6 5 -5 52.38 10.49 -16.30 0.07 0.25 2.99 0.76P 28.03R 7.66 Reading 6 4 -3 64.63 10.87 5.59 1.23 3.76 22.22 8.82P 4.37R 0.77 Doncaster 6 1 -8 40.77 9.93 -31.36 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03P 71.38R 42.24League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 7 17 +9 80.57 10.72 24.12 13.57 28.51 73.69 40.09P 0.12R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 8 17 +7 84.60 10.96 30.35 24.23 43.16 83.54 56.07P 0.07R 0.00 Huddersfield 8 16 +9 85.26 10.36 35.28 25.30 46.10 86.52 59.46P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 7 16 +8 78.98 10.86 22.33 11.32 24.04 68.73 35.11P 0.25R 0.02 Brentford 8 16 +6 69.66 10.22 8.32 1.70 5.30 34.08 11.44P 1.56R 0.06 Stevenage 8 13 +7 60.42 10.75 -0.42 0.32 1.08 11.36 2.98P 11.73R 1.72 Hartlepool 7 13 +5 65.67 10.49 3.53 0.85 2.74 21.87 6.29P 4.39R 0.43 Preston 6 13 +4 81.58 11.81 25.38 18.22 33.88 74.65 45.76P 0.27R 0.01 Notts_County 8 13 +3 63.43 10.11 0.46 0.35 1.42 15.51 4.16P 6.21R 0.69 Sheff_Wed 8 13 -1 69.16 10.57 4.60 1.78 5.06 32.54 11.25P 2.32R 0.16 Carlisle 8 13 -1 63.86 10.38 -3.35 0.53 1.86 16.79 4.79P 6.21R 0.64 Tranmere 8 11 +0 60.49 10.08 -3.66 0.18 0.69 9.89 2.52P 10.27R 1.22 Oldham 8 11 -3 59.76 10.03 -7.94 0.12 0.56 8.51 2.03P 11.88R 1.53 Colchester 8 10 +2 66.22 10.50 8.02 0.88 2.96 24.06 7.83P 3.92R 0.37 Walsall 8 8 -1 55.50 10.24 -8.50 0.05 0.26 4.35 1.04P 22.37R 4.08 Yeovil 8 8 -2 56.37 10.18 -7.61 0.07 0.28 4.98 1.14P 19.84R 3.22 Chesterfield 8 8 -4 50.28 10.65 -20.13 0.01 0.09 1.84 0.39P 41.90R 11.57 Rochdale 8 8 -5 58.73 10.27 -7.70 0.12 0.52 7.48 2.03P 14.90R 2.13 Bury 8 7 -7 48.01 10.46 -25.03 0.01 0.06 1.10 0.21P 51.05R 16.21 Bournemouth 8 6 -9 55.97 10.40 -12.91 0.06 0.27 4.73 1.26P 22.16R 4.02 Scunthorpe 8 5 -3 59.78 11.11 0.61 0.31 1.06 11.07 3.58P 13.90R 2.17 Wycombe 7 5 -5 47.18 10.59 -22.13 0.01 0.05 0.99 0.24P 53.35R 18.21 Exeter 8 5 -7 49.42 10.10 -18.88 0.01 0.04 1.17 0.22P 44.50R 12.18 Leyton_Orient 8 2 -12 46.30 10.09 -24.73 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.12P 56.80R 19.37League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Morecambe 8 17 +13 70.82 10.30 15.44 5.83 20.43 49.75 26.93P 0.42R 0.12 Rotherham 8 17 +9 81.32 10.40 27.86 26.97 57.53 84.04 64.88P 0.02R 0.01 Port_Vale 8 14 +6 69.82 10.21 11.56 4.57 17.51 45.69 24.53P 0.47R 0.12 Shrewsbury 8 14 +3 74.84 10.16 15.99 9.92 31.80 64.46 41.08P 0.14R 0.04 Cheltenham 8 13 +3 60.85 10.22 -3.94 0.68 3.81 16.17 6.06P 4.41R 1.61 Torquay 8 13 +3 70.91 10.36 11.72 5.56 20.31 49.50 27.93P 0.45R 0.13 Burton_Albion 8 13 +2 62.41 10.20 -2.52 0.98 4.99 19.97 7.84P 3.47R 1.24 Crawley_Town 8 13 -1 61.13 11.02 -7.88 1.00 4.97 18.33 7.39P 5.58R 2.24 Southend 8 13 -2 68.97 10.28 3.89 3.51 14.91 41.16 21.48P 0.73R 0.18 Swindon 8 12 +5 80.84 10.69 30.67 26.49 56.59 82.33 65.36P 0.04R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 8 12 +1 62.43 10.11 -1.03 0.81 4.84 19.94 7.90P 2.91R 0.98 Bristol_Rovers 8 12 -1 67.87 10.99 4.65 4.13 14.48 38.20 20.94P 1.29R 0.39 Gillingham 8 11 +0 68.34 10.21 7.95 3.02 13.60 39.73 20.51P 0.81R 0.25 Aldershot 8 11 +0 60.74 9.95 -3.06 0.56 3.43 15.30 6.07P 3.85R 1.29 AFC_Wimbledon 8 11 -3 48.84 10.29 -26.86 0.05 0.31 2.10 0.63P 31.69R 16.75 Accrington_Stanley 8 10 -2 62.68 10.19 -1.09 0.96 5.20 20.67 8.82P 3.04R 1.12 Dag_&_Red 8 10 -3 65.15 10.64 1.78 1.81 8.88 29.03 14.35P 2.04R 0.65 Northampton 8 9 +0 61.28 10.19 0.15 0.72 4.20 17.53 7.19P 4.02R 1.57 Barnet 8 9 -3 52.43 10.02 -17.07 0.08 0.54 3.81 1.10P 18.53R 8.53 Crewe 8 9 -3 66.09 10.57 4.38 2.19 10.28 32.22 15.63P 1.84R 0.65 Macclesfield 8 8 +0 52.32 9.76 -11.75 0.06 0.47 3.52 1.04P 17.46R 7.61 Bradford 8 6 -2 50.17 9.95 -14.18 0.03 0.30 2.31 0.74P 24.83R 12.37 Hereford 8 5 -11 44.17 9.55 -30.16 0.00 0.04 0.40 0.10P 49.05R 30.46 Plymouth 8 1 -14 51.40 10.69 -16.50 0.08 0.58 3.84 1.48P 22.90R 11.69Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 8 19 +11 84.23 10.00 31.05 17.82 78.49 35.59P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 8 19 +8 71.77 10.18 8.91 2.18 31.57 7.12P 0.38R 0.02 Luton 8 16 +10 93.75 9.39 50.71 61.76 96.26 76.08P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 8 15 +8 76.26 10.43 22.36 5.13 50.50 15.49P 0.12R 0.00 Kidderminster 8 14 +3 74.19 10.26 15.50 3.45 41.61 12.11P 0.18R 0.01 Tamworth 8 14 +1 58.88 9.90 -10.17 0.10 4.27 0.65P 6.69R 0.80 Fleetwood_Town 8 14 +0 73.12 9.89 10.70 2.33 35.97 9.93P 0.23R 0.02 Braintree_Town 8 13 +5 63.77 11.17 3.03 0.63 13.45 3.13P 3.90R 0.46 York 8 13 +5 70.23 9.88 12.99 1.38 26.68 7.73P 0.40R 0.02 Barrow 8 13 +4 60.86 9.99 -2.68 0.13 6.62 1.19P 4.59R 0.53 Cambridge_Utd 8 12 +1 65.14 9.86 3.13 0.41 12.78 2.83P 1.70R 0.15 Darlington 8 11 -1 72.14 9.84 12.50 1.82 32.91 10.16P 0.31R 0.02 Southport 8 11 -5 51.48 9.70 -23.91 0.01 0.80 0.11P 22.98R 4.11 Forest_Green 8 10 +5 58.85 10.14 -0.08 0.10 5.00 0.87P 6.79R 0.81 Grimsby 8 10 -4 66.55 10.15 2.86 0.61 16.53 4.04P 1.41R 0.15 Stockport 8 9 +0 70.31 10.62 14.21 1.73 28.64 8.89P 0.70R 0.06 AFC_Telford 8 8 -3 50.88 10.90 -17.82 0.02 1.45 0.24P 26.98R 6.85 Kettering 8 8 -6 57.22 10.08 -10.55 0.06 3.14 0.54P 9.78R 1.42 Hayes_&_Yeading 8 8 -6 47.87 9.81 -26.84 0.00 0.36 0.03P 36.15R 8.63 Ebbsfleet_United 8 7 -2 49.48 10.81 -17.38 0.00 0.99 0.19P 31.21R 8.33 Newport_County 8 5 -6 56.09 10.10 -7.85 0.04 2.66 0.55P 11.13R 1.84 Lincoln_City 8 5 -6 61.85 10.73 1.36 0.30 9.17 2.49P 4.72R 0.68 Alfreton_Town 8 5 -12 36.43 9.91 -46.78 0.00 0.03 0.00P 79.21R 49.62 Bath_City 8 2 -10 44.15 9.59 -25.26 0.00 0.12 0.02P 50.43R 15.47