Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.53     7.98    69.12    73.40    91.98    97.86    99.41    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      75.81     9.12    39.17     9.52    37.97    68.04    83.76    95.77     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.61     8.73    37.88    14.62    51.89    78.30    90.16    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        4    8   +2      54.42     9.27     0.97     0.05     0.63     2.84     8.19    27.64     1.53R    0.18  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.52     8.77    -2.39     0.02     0.23     1.05     3.91    17.21     2.48R    0.30  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.85     9.16    22.69     1.52     9.48    25.53    49.44    79.27     0.03R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.40     8.76   -15.96     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.64     3.72    15.24R    3.16  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      52.28     9.25     0.68     0.05     0.45     1.81     5.67    21.16     2.48R    0.37  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.93     8.48   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.92    34.30R    9.35  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.21     9.48     4.45     0.08     0.92     3.65     9.97    31.42     1.46R    0.20  
QPR              4    4   -5      35.81     8.61   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.58    45.07R   15.79  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.13     9.56    12.57     0.64     5.11    15.20    32.10    64.45     0.21R    0.02  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.17     9.42   -12.46     0.00     0.05     0.28     1.07     5.67    14.72R    3.36  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.35     9.40   -12.39     0.00     0.08     0.37     1.31     6.86    12.27R    2.61  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.32     9.68     2.77     0.10     1.12     4.49    12.29    35.67     1.40R    0.22  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.40     8.98   -12.12     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.49     3.29    17.90R    4.28  
Norwich          4    2   -3      32.94     9.08   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.48    57.57R   27.69  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.65     8.96    -7.37     0.00     0.05     0.27     1.19     6.30     9.90R    1.97  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.12     8.65   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    51.79R   20.96  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.60     8.89   -19.55     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.32    31.63R    9.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      69.97    11.26     5.80     3.64     9.48    37.79    14.99P    1.60R    0.18  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.93    11.85    17.66    12.57    25.66    62.10    34.43P    0.48R    0.04  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.89    11.03    17.54     9.38    21.26    59.78    30.50P    0.41R    0.05  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.27    11.47    37.06    39.01    57.66    87.16    67.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.37    10.57    -5.20     0.55     1.89    13.24     3.89P    7.42R    1.22  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.34    10.91    17.26     8.34    19.69    58.35    30.36P    0.42R    0.04  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      75.18    11.81    17.01     9.96    21.05    56.98    31.11P    0.84R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      57.05    10.20    -8.95     0.13     0.55     6.36     1.49P   14.08R    2.91  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.34    10.39    -3.24     0.62     1.97    14.96     4.70P    5.70R    0.96  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.22    10.98     0.65     1.27     3.61    20.76     7.57P    4.94R    0.90  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.59    12.13   -11.74     0.34     1.07     7.37     2.34P   24.87R    8.18  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.62    11.71    17.91     9.11    19.41    55.32    30.63P    0.85R    0.12  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.59    11.22     3.66     1.39     3.98    22.71     8.35P    5.07R    1.02  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.05    10.64    -0.35     0.40     1.57    13.33     4.24P    8.06R    1.50  
Millwall          6    6   -2      60.02    10.45    -2.70     0.31     1.16    10.80     3.34P    8.79R    1.76  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.45    10.27   -14.11     0.05     0.23     2.72     0.69P   27.23R    7.71  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.47    11.08    -5.92     0.38     1.44    11.31     3.55P   11.50R    2.56  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.78    10.43   -24.50     0.03     0.13     2.08     0.44P   34.19R   10.93  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.37    10.22    -9.49     0.05     0.23     3.34     0.86P   23.38R    6.20  
Burnley           5    5   -3      60.09    11.14    -5.11     0.51     1.71    12.40     4.10P   10.64R    2.46  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.10    10.73    -1.55     0.61     2.09    15.51     5.42P    6.74R    1.14  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.28    10.46   -16.33     0.05     0.22     2.82     0.73P   27.99R    7.93  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.74    10.91     5.70     1.30     3.93    22.64     9.02P    4.28R    0.74  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      40.97     9.98   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   70.50R   41.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.84    10.81    24.47    14.54    29.65    74.60    41.38P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        8   17   +7      84.53    10.92    30.30    24.09    43.27    83.90    56.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield     8   16   +9      84.90    10.39    34.62    24.59    45.07    86.05    58.55P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.73    10.84    21.95    10.71    23.16    67.86    34.39P    0.30R    0.03  
Brentford        8   16   +6      69.82    10.35     8.55     1.96     5.78    34.83    12.02P    1.59R    0.08  
Stevenage        8   13   +7      60.28    10.64    -0.56     0.25     0.97    10.92     2.85P   11.88R    1.66  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.58    10.46     3.43     0.79     2.63    21.71     6.27P    4.56R    0.39  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.65    11.90    25.52    18.61    34.25    74.60    46.12P    0.30R    0.01  
Notts_County     8   13   +3      63.44    10.13     0.53     0.40     1.49    15.59     4.15P    6.17R    0.64  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   -1      68.93    10.49     4.29     1.58     4.85    31.75    10.52P    2.39R    0.20  
Carlisle         8   13   -1      63.89    10.35    -3.27     0.55     1.80    16.75     4.70P    6.40R    0.65  
Tranmere         8   11   +0      60.59    10.08    -3.55     0.18     0.75     9.84     2.52P   10.34R    1.15  
Oldham           8   11   -3      59.74    10.09    -7.94     0.14     0.67     8.56     2.09P   12.30R    1.49  
Colchester       8   10   +2      66.51    10.44     8.41     0.98     3.17    24.87     8.16P    3.66R    0.28  
Walsall          8    8   -1      55.32    10.23    -8.81     0.05     0.24     4.23     1.08P   22.89R    4.14  
Yeovil           8    8   -2      56.39    10.16    -7.61     0.04     0.27     4.86     1.13P   20.08R    3.31  
Chesterfield     8    8   -4      50.24    10.61   -20.18     0.02     0.09     1.92     0.42P   42.48R   11.44  
Rochdale         8    8   -5      58.52    10.34    -7.98     0.13     0.51     7.41     1.98P   15.38R    2.36  
Bury             8    7   -7      48.24    10.59   -24.64     0.01     0.05     1.22     0.23P   50.17R   16.48  
Bournemouth      8    6   -9      56.01    10.29   -12.82     0.07     0.25     4.60     1.18P   21.80R    3.85  
Scunthorpe       8    5   -3      59.81    11.11     0.63     0.27     0.97    11.16     3.56P   13.84R    2.34  
Wycombe          7    5   -5      47.29    10.54   -22.01     0.02     0.06     1.07     0.22P   52.78R   17.94  
Exeter           8    5   -7      49.69    10.04   -18.51     0.01     0.03     1.15     0.25P   43.41R   11.61  
Leyton_Orient    8    2  -12      46.22    10.09   -24.80     0.01     0.03     0.55     0.15P   57.03R   19.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             8   17  +13      70.51    10.36    14.99     5.50    20.03    48.71    26.35P    0.46R    0.10  
Rotherham             8   17   +9      81.20    10.40    27.62    26.85    57.19    83.41    64.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale             8   14   +6      69.65    10.24    11.33     4.40    16.96    44.95    23.84P    0.58R    0.16  
Shrewsbury            8   14   +3      74.85    10.16    15.99     9.82    31.79    64.60    40.97P    0.15R    0.03  
Cheltenham            8   13   +3      60.98    10.21    -3.77     0.59     3.92    16.31     6.31P    4.45R    1.65  
Torquay               8   13   +3      71.16    10.28    12.09     5.60    20.98    50.93    28.99P    0.39R    0.12  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +2      62.54    10.30    -2.31     1.01     5.27    20.40     8.11P    3.37R    1.27  
Crawley_Town          8   13   -1      60.75    10.95    -8.54     0.89     4.70    17.37     7.12P    6.02R    2.38  
Southend              8   13   -2      68.89    10.29     3.84     3.51    14.62    41.17    21.16P    0.82R    0.25  
Swindon               8   12   +5      80.92    10.75    30.78    27.12    56.89    82.49    65.49P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd            8   12   +1      62.69    10.10    -0.64     0.92     4.97    20.37     8.09P    2.97R    1.00  
Bristol_Rovers        8   12   -1      67.60    10.95     4.23     3.66    13.95    37.35    20.02P    1.41R    0.52  
Gillingham            8   11   +0      68.38    10.23     8.02     3.23    13.84    39.83    20.61P    0.80R    0.28  
Aldershot             8   11   +0      60.87    10.01    -2.84     0.63     3.55    15.84     6.27P    3.84R    1.27  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   11   -3      48.86    10.21   -26.72     0.03     0.32     2.21     0.63P   31.00R   16.16  
Accrington_Stanley    8   10   -2      62.55    10.24    -1.31     0.98     5.08    20.43     8.73P    3.06R    1.06  
Dag_&_Red             8   10   -3      65.20    10.66     1.84     1.94     9.08    29.05    14.51P    2.02R    0.66  
Northampton           8    9   +0      61.34    10.19     0.30     0.78     4.21    17.67     7.42P    3.83R    1.40  
Barnet                8    9   -3      52.51    10.09   -16.94     0.09     0.58     3.98     1.18P   18.59R    8.58  
Crewe                 8    9   -3      66.14    10.67     4.51     2.28    10.61    32.55    16.24P    1.89R    0.64  
Macclesfield          8    8   +0      52.44     9.87   -11.58     0.04     0.47     3.65     1.13P   17.43R    7.89  
Bradford              8    6   -2      50.01     9.95   -14.46     0.03     0.30     2.28     0.67P   25.19R   12.52  
Hereford              8    5  -11      44.13     9.52   -30.25     0.00     0.03     0.38     0.10P   49.42R   30.82  
Plymouth              8    1  -14      51.59    10.72   -16.16     0.09     0.66     4.05     1.59P   22.24R   11.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.39     9.86    31.21    18.02    79.33    35.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      72.11    10.24     9.44     2.43    32.89     7.52P    0.33R    0.02  
Luton               8   16  +10      93.68     9.41    50.52    61.66    96.15    75.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.08    10.33    22.09     4.77    49.89    14.93P    0.11R    0.00  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.38    10.27    15.82     3.76    42.37    12.82P    0.19R    0.02  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      58.99     9.85   -10.04     0.07     4.32     0.64P    6.45R    0.72  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      72.92     9.98    10.36     2.33    35.44     9.82P    0.24R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.27    11.32     2.30     0.58    12.91     2.91P    4.28R    0.52  
York                8   13   +5      69.95     9.86    12.63     1.24    25.73     7.15P    0.41R    0.03  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.21     9.94    -2.15     0.12     6.81     1.19P    4.13R    0.48  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.41     9.81     3.51     0.40    13.07     2.93P    1.47R    0.12  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.15     9.87    12.49     1.82    32.98    10.23P    0.27R    0.01  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.52     9.73   -23.88     0.01     0.89     0.12P   22.68R    4.20  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.79    10.12    -0.13     0.09     4.87     0.98P    6.91R    0.85  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.63    10.08     3.01     0.59    16.42     3.96P    1.41R    0.14  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.25    10.58    14.07     1.70    28.44     8.99P    0.71R    0.06  
AFC_Telford         8    8   -3      50.71    10.72   -18.03     0.02     1.27     0.26P   27.26R    6.79  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.47    10.08   -10.13     0.07     3.36     0.63P    9.16R    1.40  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.78     9.78   -26.97     0.00     0.33     0.04P   36.52R    8.90  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.24    10.84   -17.76     0.02     0.98     0.19P   32.04R    8.91  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.18    10.21    -7.77     0.04     3.00     0.65P   11.28R    1.80  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.43    10.65     0.70     0.25     8.39     2.37P    5.09R    0.69  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.84     9.83   -45.92     0.00     0.04     0.01P   78.14R   47.94  
Bath_City           8    2  -10      44.02     9.64   -25.38     0.00     0.11     0.01P   50.90R   16.40