Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 14 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 4 12 +15 89.66 7.97 69.33 74.23 92.35 97.97 99.42 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 4 12 +12 75.69 9.16 38.89 9.39 37.79 67.55 83.24 95.60 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 4 10 +4 78.49 8.78 37.65 14.01 51.96 77.56 89.58 97.69 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 4 8 +2 54.63 9.32 1.24 0.08 0.71 2.99 8.63 28.63 1.53R 0.18 Stoke 4 8 +2 51.40 8.92 -2.59 0.02 0.22 1.20 3.98 17.36 2.67R 0.34 Liverpool 4 7 +3 66.55 9.14 22.21 1.36 8.94 24.96 48.04 78.11 0.03R 0.00 Wolverhampton 4 7 +1 43.39 8.79 -15.94 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.61 3.69 15.49R 3.34 Aston_Villa 4 6 +2 52.10 9.26 0.40 0.02 0.35 1.73 5.47 20.51 2.65R 0.38 Wigan 4 5 -1 37.80 8.48 -23.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.95 35.09R 9.92 Everton 3 4 +0 55.10 9.46 4.28 0.11 0.79 3.58 9.71 30.91 1.40R 0.19 QPR 4 4 -5 35.87 8.71 -27.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.66 44.75R 15.73 Arsenal 4 4 -7 63.65 9.55 13.42 0.67 5.49 16.36 34.34 66.12 0.19R 0.02 West_Brom 4 3 -2 44.32 9.35 -12.18 0.00 0.03 0.25 1.02 5.72 14.09R 3.22 Bolton 4 3 -4 45.07 9.33 -12.88 0.00 0.04 0.29 1.22 6.34 12.63R 2.76 Tottenham 3 3 -5 56.44 9.72 2.93 0.10 1.25 4.93 12.67 35.98 1.30R 0.18 Sunderland 4 2 -2 42.54 9.01 -11.92 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.54 3.49 17.53R 4.19 Norwich 4 2 -3 33.06 9.10 -31.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.48 57.55R 27.47 Fulham 4 2 -3 45.52 8.83 -7.52 0.00 0.03 0.23 1.03 6.01 9.80R 1.85 Swansea 4 2 -5 34.38 8.65 -25.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.43 50.79R 20.22 Blackburn 4 1 -4 38.49 8.95 -19.69 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.20 1.36 32.50R 10.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 6 16 +7 70.02 11.35 5.86 3.96 9.68 38.51 15.29P 1.79R 0.23 Southampton 6 15 +7 76.85 11.83 17.55 12.75 25.71 61.95 34.15P 0.51R 0.05 Middlesbrough 6 14 +7 75.69 11.01 17.24 9.30 20.63 59.03 29.65P 0.39R 0.05 West_Ham 6 13 +8 86.20 11.52 37.05 38.93 57.52 87.02 67.11P 0.04R 0.00 Derby 6 12 +3 61.20 10.57 -5.44 0.50 1.73 13.23 3.76P 7.59R 1.31 Cardiff 6 11 +3 75.23 10.91 17.09 8.04 19.18 57.80 29.86P 0.48R 0.06 Blackpool 6 11 +3 75.08 11.93 16.84 10.21 21.43 56.59 31.26P 0.87R 0.12 Crystal_Palace 6 10 +2 57.16 10.31 -8.76 0.17 0.68 6.67 1.82P 14.03R 2.92 Hull 6 9 -2 62.08 10.23 -3.59 0.50 1.81 14.05 4.51P 5.88R 0.88 Leicester 6 8 -1 64.35 10.97 0.86 1.21 3.66 21.18 7.68P 4.89R 0.77 Peterborough 6 7 +3 54.46 12.06 -12.00 0.30 0.99 7.13 2.20P 25.08R 8.22 Birmingham 5 7 +1 74.77 11.65 18.20 9.07 20.03 56.01 31.44P 0.76R 0.12 Leeds_United 6 7 +0 64.54 11.26 3.55 1.27 4.00 22.64 8.31P 5.18R 0.99 Portsmouth 6 6 -1 61.44 10.67 0.16 0.53 1.81 14.15 4.62P 7.35R 1.40 Millwall 6 6 -2 59.94 10.45 -2.80 0.37 1.22 10.77 3.29P 8.85R 1.69 Barnsley 6 6 -2 52.49 10.22 -14.04 0.05 0.19 2.73 0.64P 26.87R 7.46 Watford 6 6 -3 59.35 11.04 -6.18 0.40 1.49 10.88 3.52P 11.77R 2.59 Ipswich 6 6 -8 50.79 10.46 -24.46 0.03 0.13 2.06 0.44P 34.23R 11.11 Coventry 6 5 -1 53.47 10.21 -9.38 0.06 0.24 3.36 0.86P 23.11R 6.14 Burnley 5 5 -3 59.71 11.08 -5.71 0.45 1.58 11.63 3.82P 10.96R 2.53 Nott'm_Forest 6 5 -5 62.38 10.77 -1.07 0.59 2.15 16.19 5.72P 6.74R 1.16 Bristol_City 6 5 -5 52.53 10.46 -15.99 0.06 0.20 2.91 0.73P 27.59R 7.58 Reading 6 4 -3 64.99 10.90 6.16 1.27 3.96 23.35 9.28P 4.21R 0.77 Doncaster 6 1 -8 40.87 9.91 -31.14 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 70.83R 41.85League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 7 17 +9 80.63 10.70 24.15 13.79 28.60 74.11 40.38P 0.13R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 8 17 +7 84.74 10.80 30.59 24.58 44.18 84.40 56.75P 0.05R 0.00 Huddersfield 8 16 +9 85.05 10.39 34.95 25.28 45.68 86.15 59.17P 0.04R 0.00 MK_Dons 7 16 +8 78.49 10.88 21.58 10.41 22.83 66.69 33.78P 0.26R 0.01 Brentford 8 16 +6 69.77 10.30 8.53 1.83 5.58 34.77 11.66P 1.57R 0.09 Stevenage 8 13 +7 60.63 10.70 0.02 0.37 1.29 11.82 3.30P 11.21R 1.53 Hartlepool 7 13 +5 65.64 10.52 3.48 0.95 2.82 21.87 6.57P 4.50R 0.40 Preston 6 13 +4 81.42 11.95 25.11 18.17 33.36 73.97 45.35P 0.33R 0.01 Notts_County 8 13 +3 63.55 10.19 0.64 0.36 1.43 15.77 4.11P 6.20R 0.60 Sheff_Wed 8 13 -1 69.36 10.55 4.90 1.82 5.47 33.36 11.51P 2.21R 0.20 Carlisle 8 13 -1 63.63 10.28 -3.66 0.47 1.73 16.08 4.61P 6.41R 0.66 Tranmere 8 11 +0 60.53 10.08 -3.57 0.19 0.73 9.88 2.57P 10.35R 1.14 Oldham 8 11 -3 59.79 10.14 -7.90 0.15 0.63 8.77 2.18P 12.36R 1.58 Colchester 8 10 +2 66.42 10.41 8.31 0.96 3.06 24.35 8.01P 3.77R 0.35 Walsall 8 8 -1 55.20 10.22 -8.94 0.07 0.23 4.07 0.93P 23.50R 4.28 Yeovil 8 8 -2 56.19 10.10 -7.88 0.05 0.24 4.66 1.08P 20.25R 3.38 Chesterfield 8 8 -4 49.86 10.56 -20.80 0.02 0.08 1.67 0.38P 43.62R 12.33 Rochdale 8 8 -5 58.95 10.41 -7.34 0.15 0.68 8.22 2.27P 14.42R 2.15 Bury 8 7 -7 48.02 10.36 -24.96 0.01 0.05 1.02 0.18P 50.86R 16.06 Bournemouth 8 6 -9 55.89 10.35 -13.03 0.06 0.27 4.75 1.24P 22.12R 4.09 Scunthorpe 8 5 -3 59.82 11.01 0.65 0.27 0.95 10.83 3.34P 13.47R 2.28 Wycombe 7 5 -5 47.49 10.57 -21.66 0.02 0.05 1.08 0.23P 52.14R 17.53 Exeter 8 5 -7 49.58 9.94 -18.66 0.01 0.04 1.07 0.25P 43.67R 11.82 Leyton_Orient 8 2 -12 46.42 10.12 -24.52 0.00 0.02 0.64 0.13P 56.56R 19.51League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Morecambe 8 17 +13 70.74 10.35 15.32 5.51 20.51 49.74 26.99P 0.38R 0.11 Rotherham 8 17 +9 81.52 10.33 28.16 28.15 58.83 84.34 65.92P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 8 14 +6 69.73 10.20 11.41 4.34 17.24 45.49 24.33P 0.47R 0.11 Shrewsbury 8 14 +3 74.59 10.20 15.62 9.74 30.94 63.40 39.91P 0.14R 0.04 Cheltenham 8 13 +3 61.04 10.20 -3.66 0.75 4.03 16.49 6.29P 4.33R 1.55 Torquay 8 13 +3 71.02 10.35 11.84 5.65 20.70 50.08 28.53P 0.41R 0.12 Burton_Albion 8 13 +2 62.72 10.22 -2.07 0.95 5.29 20.94 8.29P 3.00R 1.06 Crawley_Town 8 13 -1 60.97 10.96 -8.15 0.95 4.73 17.93 7.26P 5.83R 2.40 Southend 8 13 -2 68.74 10.28 3.56 3.36 14.55 40.59 20.91P 0.84R 0.26 Swindon 8 12 +5 80.61 10.70 30.30 26.02 55.76 81.84 64.45P 0.05R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 8 12 +1 62.62 10.05 -0.72 0.77 4.83 20.53 8.19P 2.90R 0.98 Bristol_Rovers 8 12 -1 67.82 11.03 4.60 3.85 14.36 38.52 20.84P 1.40R 0.46 Gillingham 8 11 +0 68.23 10.26 7.81 3.22 13.64 39.17 20.22P 0.80R 0.25 Aldershot 8 11 +0 60.78 9.94 -2.96 0.53 3.37 15.63 6.06P 3.97R 1.37 AFC_Wimbledon 8 11 -3 49.09 10.33 -26.40 0.07 0.40 2.43 0.72P 30.74R 16.36 Accrington_Stanley 8 10 -2 62.48 10.25 -1.39 0.96 5.21 20.51 8.78P 3.16R 1.12 Dag_&_Red 8 10 -3 64.94 10.73 1.49 1.86 8.79 28.44 14.19P 2.17R 0.80 Northampton 8 9 +0 61.27 10.17 0.20 0.74 4.17 17.31 7.26P 3.86R 1.39 Barnet 8 9 -3 52.60 10.02 -16.82 0.09 0.61 3.82 1.18P 18.51R 8.42 Crewe 8 9 -3 66.05 10.66 4.32 2.32 10.57 32.39 16.12P 1.88R 0.63 Macclesfield 8 8 +0 52.40 9.83 -11.71 0.07 0.54 3.72 1.22P 17.84R 7.77 Bradford 8 6 -2 50.08 9.93 -14.26 0.03 0.29 2.32 0.69P 25.22R 12.66 Hereford 8 5 -11 44.18 9.45 -30.22 0.01 0.04 0.40 0.11P 49.43R 30.61 Plymouth 8 1 -14 51.54 10.69 -16.27 0.07 0.58 4.00 1.55P 22.65R 11.52Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 8 19 +11 84.47 9.93 31.36 18.12 79.25 36.18P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 8 19 +8 71.88 10.29 8.99 2.20 31.85 6.93P 0.39R 0.01 Luton 8 16 +10 93.98 9.38 51.20 61.99 96.45 76.41P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 8 15 +8 76.37 10.41 22.53 5.08 50.72 15.20P 0.13R 0.00 Kidderminster 8 14 +3 74.16 10.27 15.49 3.33 41.13 12.15P 0.20R 0.01 Tamworth 8 14 +1 58.83 9.92 -10.32 0.09 4.15 0.60P 6.74R 0.78 Fleetwood_Town 8 14 +0 73.06 9.88 10.62 2.26 35.76 9.96P 0.20R 0.01 Braintree_Town 8 13 +5 63.29 11.22 2.40 0.54 12.62 2.94P 4.24R 0.52 York 8 13 +5 70.09 9.86 12.82 1.35 26.33 7.33P 0.44R 0.02 Barrow 8 13 +4 61.10 10.02 -2.34 0.15 6.81 1.17P 4.20R 0.52 Cambridge_Utd 8 12 +1 65.41 9.87 3.48 0.40 13.16 3.06P 1.50R 0.13 Darlington 8 11 -1 72.15 9.81 12.48 1.75 32.66 9.76P 0.24R 0.02 Southport 8 11 -5 51.30 9.75 -24.16 0.00 0.74 0.09P 23.67R 4.38 Forest_Green 8 10 +5 58.76 10.08 -0.14 0.08 4.93 0.89P 6.71R 0.77 Grimsby 8 10 -4 66.83 10.12 3.32 0.62 16.80 4.18P 1.39R 0.11 Stockport 8 9 +0 70.39 10.62 14.29 1.64 29.17 9.10P 0.78R 0.06 AFC_Telford 8 8 -3 50.63 10.78 -18.24 0.03 1.30 0.25P 27.22R 6.68 Kettering 8 8 -6 57.46 10.06 -10.16 0.05 3.23 0.54P 9.35R 1.38 Hayes_&_Yeading 8 8 -6 47.77 9.77 -26.92 0.00 0.34 0.05P 36.17R 8.65 Ebbsfleet_United 8 7 -2 49.03 10.74 -18.18 0.02 0.88 0.16P 32.48R 8.79 Newport_County 8 5 -6 56.25 10.14 -7.62 0.04 2.85 0.68P 10.79R 1.78 Lincoln_City 8 5 -6 61.63 10.63 1.03 0.26 8.75 2.36P 4.76R 0.67 Alfreton_Town 8 5 -12 36.67 9.92 -46.62 0.00 0.02 0.00P 78.27R 48.63 Bath_City 8 2 -10 44.07 9.67 -25.30 0.00 0.09 0.02P 50.13R 16.07