Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.66     7.97    69.33    74.23    92.35    97.97    99.42    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      75.69     9.16    38.89     9.39    37.79    67.55    83.24    95.60     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.49     8.78    37.65    14.01    51.96    77.56    89.58    97.69     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        4    8   +2      54.63     9.32     1.24     0.08     0.71     2.99     8.63    28.63     1.53R    0.18  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.40     8.92    -2.59     0.02     0.22     1.20     3.98    17.36     2.67R    0.34  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.55     9.14    22.21     1.36     8.94    24.96    48.04    78.11     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.39     8.79   -15.94     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.61     3.69    15.49R    3.34  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      52.10     9.26     0.40     0.02     0.35     1.73     5.47    20.51     2.65R    0.38  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.80     8.48   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.95    35.09R    9.92  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.10     9.46     4.28     0.11     0.79     3.58     9.71    30.91     1.40R    0.19  
QPR              4    4   -5      35.87     8.71   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.66    44.75R   15.73  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.65     9.55    13.42     0.67     5.49    16.36    34.34    66.12     0.19R    0.02  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.32     9.35   -12.18     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.02     5.72    14.09R    3.22  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.07     9.33   -12.88     0.00     0.04     0.29     1.22     6.34    12.63R    2.76  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.44     9.72     2.93     0.10     1.25     4.93    12.67    35.98     1.30R    0.18  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.54     9.01   -11.92     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.54     3.49    17.53R    4.19  
Norwich          4    2   -3      33.06     9.10   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.48    57.55R   27.47  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.52     8.83    -7.52     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.03     6.01     9.80R    1.85  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.38     8.65   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.43    50.79R   20.22  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.49     8.95   -19.69     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.20     1.36    32.50R   10.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.02    11.35     5.86     3.96     9.68    38.51    15.29P    1.79R    0.23  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.85    11.83    17.55    12.75    25.71    61.95    34.15P    0.51R    0.05  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.69    11.01    17.24     9.30    20.63    59.03    29.65P    0.39R    0.05  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.20    11.52    37.05    38.93    57.52    87.02    67.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.20    10.57    -5.44     0.50     1.73    13.23     3.76P    7.59R    1.31  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.23    10.91    17.09     8.04    19.18    57.80    29.86P    0.48R    0.06  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      75.08    11.93    16.84    10.21    21.43    56.59    31.26P    0.87R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      57.16    10.31    -8.76     0.17     0.68     6.67     1.82P   14.03R    2.92  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.08    10.23    -3.59     0.50     1.81    14.05     4.51P    5.88R    0.88  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.35    10.97     0.86     1.21     3.66    21.18     7.68P    4.89R    0.77  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.46    12.06   -12.00     0.30     0.99     7.13     2.20P   25.08R    8.22  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.77    11.65    18.20     9.07    20.03    56.01    31.44P    0.76R    0.12  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.54    11.26     3.55     1.27     4.00    22.64     8.31P    5.18R    0.99  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.44    10.67     0.16     0.53     1.81    14.15     4.62P    7.35R    1.40  
Millwall          6    6   -2      59.94    10.45    -2.80     0.37     1.22    10.77     3.29P    8.85R    1.69  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.49    10.22   -14.04     0.05     0.19     2.73     0.64P   26.87R    7.46  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.35    11.04    -6.18     0.40     1.49    10.88     3.52P   11.77R    2.59  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.79    10.46   -24.46     0.03     0.13     2.06     0.44P   34.23R   11.11  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.47    10.21    -9.38     0.06     0.24     3.36     0.86P   23.11R    6.14  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.71    11.08    -5.71     0.45     1.58    11.63     3.82P   10.96R    2.53  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.38    10.77    -1.07     0.59     2.15    16.19     5.72P    6.74R    1.16  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.53    10.46   -15.99     0.06     0.20     2.91     0.73P   27.59R    7.58  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.99    10.90     6.16     1.27     3.96    23.35     9.28P    4.21R    0.77  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      40.87     9.91   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   70.83R   41.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.63    10.70    24.15    13.79    28.60    74.11    40.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        8   17   +7      84.74    10.80    30.59    24.58    44.18    84.40    56.75P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     8   16   +9      85.05    10.39    34.95    25.28    45.68    86.15    59.17P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.49    10.88    21.58    10.41    22.83    66.69    33.78P    0.26R    0.01  
Brentford        8   16   +6      69.77    10.30     8.53     1.83     5.58    34.77    11.66P    1.57R    0.09  
Stevenage        8   13   +7      60.63    10.70     0.02     0.37     1.29    11.82     3.30P   11.21R    1.53  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.64    10.52     3.48     0.95     2.82    21.87     6.57P    4.50R    0.40  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.42    11.95    25.11    18.17    33.36    73.97    45.35P    0.33R    0.01  
Notts_County     8   13   +3      63.55    10.19     0.64     0.36     1.43    15.77     4.11P    6.20R    0.60  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   -1      69.36    10.55     4.90     1.82     5.47    33.36    11.51P    2.21R    0.20  
Carlisle         8   13   -1      63.63    10.28    -3.66     0.47     1.73    16.08     4.61P    6.41R    0.66  
Tranmere         8   11   +0      60.53    10.08    -3.57     0.19     0.73     9.88     2.57P   10.35R    1.14  
Oldham           8   11   -3      59.79    10.14    -7.90     0.15     0.63     8.77     2.18P   12.36R    1.58  
Colchester       8   10   +2      66.42    10.41     8.31     0.96     3.06    24.35     8.01P    3.77R    0.35  
Walsall          8    8   -1      55.20    10.22    -8.94     0.07     0.23     4.07     0.93P   23.50R    4.28  
Yeovil           8    8   -2      56.19    10.10    -7.88     0.05     0.24     4.66     1.08P   20.25R    3.38  
Chesterfield     8    8   -4      49.86    10.56   -20.80     0.02     0.08     1.67     0.38P   43.62R   12.33  
Rochdale         8    8   -5      58.95    10.41    -7.34     0.15     0.68     8.22     2.27P   14.42R    2.15  
Bury             8    7   -7      48.02    10.36   -24.96     0.01     0.05     1.02     0.18P   50.86R   16.06  
Bournemouth      8    6   -9      55.89    10.35   -13.03     0.06     0.27     4.75     1.24P   22.12R    4.09  
Scunthorpe       8    5   -3      59.82    11.01     0.65     0.27     0.95    10.83     3.34P   13.47R    2.28  
Wycombe          7    5   -5      47.49    10.57   -21.66     0.02     0.05     1.08     0.23P   52.14R   17.53  
Exeter           8    5   -7      49.58     9.94   -18.66     0.01     0.04     1.07     0.25P   43.67R   11.82  
Leyton_Orient    8    2  -12      46.42    10.12   -24.52     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.13P   56.56R   19.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             8   17  +13      70.74    10.35    15.32     5.51    20.51    49.74    26.99P    0.38R    0.11  
Rotherham             8   17   +9      81.52    10.33    28.16    28.15    58.83    84.34    65.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale             8   14   +6      69.73    10.20    11.41     4.34    17.24    45.49    24.33P    0.47R    0.11  
Shrewsbury            8   14   +3      74.59    10.20    15.62     9.74    30.94    63.40    39.91P    0.14R    0.04  
Cheltenham            8   13   +3      61.04    10.20    -3.66     0.75     4.03    16.49     6.29P    4.33R    1.55  
Torquay               8   13   +3      71.02    10.35    11.84     5.65    20.70    50.08    28.53P    0.41R    0.12  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +2      62.72    10.22    -2.07     0.95     5.29    20.94     8.29P    3.00R    1.06  
Crawley_Town          8   13   -1      60.97    10.96    -8.15     0.95     4.73    17.93     7.26P    5.83R    2.40  
Southend              8   13   -2      68.74    10.28     3.56     3.36    14.55    40.59    20.91P    0.84R    0.26  
Swindon               8   12   +5      80.61    10.70    30.30    26.02    55.76    81.84    64.45P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd            8   12   +1      62.62    10.05    -0.72     0.77     4.83    20.53     8.19P    2.90R    0.98  
Bristol_Rovers        8   12   -1      67.82    11.03     4.60     3.85    14.36    38.52    20.84P    1.40R    0.46  
Gillingham            8   11   +0      68.23    10.26     7.81     3.22    13.64    39.17    20.22P    0.80R    0.25  
Aldershot             8   11   +0      60.78     9.94    -2.96     0.53     3.37    15.63     6.06P    3.97R    1.37  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   11   -3      49.09    10.33   -26.40     0.07     0.40     2.43     0.72P   30.74R   16.36  
Accrington_Stanley    8   10   -2      62.48    10.25    -1.39     0.96     5.21    20.51     8.78P    3.16R    1.12  
Dag_&_Red             8   10   -3      64.94    10.73     1.49     1.86     8.79    28.44    14.19P    2.17R    0.80  
Northampton           8    9   +0      61.27    10.17     0.20     0.74     4.17    17.31     7.26P    3.86R    1.39  
Barnet                8    9   -3      52.60    10.02   -16.82     0.09     0.61     3.82     1.18P   18.51R    8.42  
Crewe                 8    9   -3      66.05    10.66     4.32     2.32    10.57    32.39    16.12P    1.88R    0.63  
Macclesfield          8    8   +0      52.40     9.83   -11.71     0.07     0.54     3.72     1.22P   17.84R    7.77  
Bradford              8    6   -2      50.08     9.93   -14.26     0.03     0.29     2.32     0.69P   25.22R   12.66  
Hereford              8    5  -11      44.18     9.45   -30.22     0.01     0.04     0.40     0.11P   49.43R   30.61  
Plymouth              8    1  -14      51.54    10.69   -16.27     0.07     0.58     4.00     1.55P   22.65R   11.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.47     9.93    31.36    18.12    79.25    36.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.88    10.29     8.99     2.20    31.85     6.93P    0.39R    0.01  
Luton               8   16  +10      93.98     9.38    51.20    61.99    96.45    76.41P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.37    10.41    22.53     5.08    50.72    15.20P    0.13R    0.00  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.16    10.27    15.49     3.33    41.13    12.15P    0.20R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      58.83     9.92   -10.32     0.09     4.15     0.60P    6.74R    0.78  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      73.06     9.88    10.62     2.26    35.76     9.96P    0.20R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.29    11.22     2.40     0.54    12.62     2.94P    4.24R    0.52  
York                8   13   +5      70.09     9.86    12.82     1.35    26.33     7.33P    0.44R    0.02  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.10    10.02    -2.34     0.15     6.81     1.17P    4.20R    0.52  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.41     9.87     3.48     0.40    13.16     3.06P    1.50R    0.13  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.15     9.81    12.48     1.75    32.66     9.76P    0.24R    0.02  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.30     9.75   -24.16     0.00     0.74     0.09P   23.67R    4.38  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.76    10.08    -0.14     0.08     4.93     0.89P    6.71R    0.77  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.83    10.12     3.32     0.62    16.80     4.18P    1.39R    0.11  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.39    10.62    14.29     1.64    29.17     9.10P    0.78R    0.06  
AFC_Telford         8    8   -3      50.63    10.78   -18.24     0.03     1.30     0.25P   27.22R    6.68  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.46    10.06   -10.16     0.05     3.23     0.54P    9.35R    1.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.77     9.77   -26.92     0.00     0.34     0.05P   36.17R    8.65  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.03    10.74   -18.18     0.02     0.88     0.16P   32.48R    8.79  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.25    10.14    -7.62     0.04     2.85     0.68P   10.79R    1.78  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.63    10.63     1.03     0.26     8.75     2.36P    4.76R    0.67  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.67     9.92   -46.62     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.27R   48.63  
Bath_City           8    2  -10      44.07     9.67   -25.30     0.00     0.09     0.02P   50.13R   16.07