Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.69     8.02    69.40    73.98    92.10    97.89    99.45    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      75.83     9.14    39.10     9.81    38.67    68.23    83.63    95.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.38     8.80    37.44    13.81    51.28    77.68    89.86    97.69     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        4    8   +2      54.34     9.16     0.80     0.04     0.65     2.65     7.83    27.28     1.53R    0.18  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.48     8.92    -2.45     0.02     0.23     1.19     4.05    17.49     2.61R    0.33  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.69     9.19    22.42     1.50     9.35    25.37    48.76    78.51     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.47     8.76   -15.85     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.61     3.81    15.32R    3.29  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      52.21     9.29     0.59     0.03     0.43     1.88     5.67    21.00     2.71R    0.39  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.89     8.52   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.97    34.60R    9.75  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.05     9.46     4.20     0.10     0.82     3.53     9.75    31.01     1.41R    0.17  
QPR              4    4   -5      35.80     8.63   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.64    44.93R   15.99  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.46     9.50    13.08     0.62     5.14    15.76    33.63    65.89     0.16R    0.01  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.21     9.33   -12.32     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.08     5.59    14.48R    3.15  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.27     9.41   -12.57     0.00     0.04     0.32     1.22     6.84    12.49R    2.76  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.35     9.69     2.79     0.09     1.15     4.56    12.35    35.84     1.35R    0.18  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.43     8.96   -12.07     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.48     3.37    17.96R    4.37  
Norwich          4    2   -3      32.87     9.03   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.42    58.16R   27.83  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.52     8.95    -7.46     0.00     0.05     0.31     1.13     6.25    10.03R    1.95  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.29     8.56   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.42    51.35R   20.37  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.77     8.88   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.21     1.40    30.89R    9.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.25    11.33     6.15     4.13    10.20    38.83    15.80P    1.65R    0.21  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.77    11.74    17.40    12.17    24.92    61.69    33.56P    0.43R    0.06  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.66    10.96    17.25     9.08    20.62    59.12    29.92P    0.40R    0.05  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.41    11.51    37.38    39.41    57.84    87.45    67.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.58    10.57    -4.88     0.50     1.79    13.82     3.89P    7.15R    1.24  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.33    10.96    17.26     8.29    19.47    58.32    30.10P    0.44R    0.05  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      74.95    11.92    16.72     9.68    20.83    56.31    31.07P    0.95R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      57.07    10.19    -8.90     0.16     0.58     6.35     1.59P   13.84R    3.00  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.12    10.24    -3.59     0.50     1.75    13.96     4.45P    5.72R    0.92  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.13    11.15     0.47     1.36     3.77    21.01     7.52P    5.34R    0.97  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.47    12.15   -11.94     0.34     1.03     7.21     2.27P   25.16R    8.38  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.95    11.68    18.40     9.28    20.65    56.70    32.04P    0.74R    0.11  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.11    11.31     2.93     1.24     3.81    21.75     7.74P    5.57R    1.09  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.48    10.68     0.26     0.58     1.85    14.08     4.64P    7.35R    1.37  
Millwall          6    6   -2      59.93    10.39    -2.88     0.34     1.14    10.56     3.37P    8.94R    1.67  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.23    10.23   -14.46     0.06     0.15     2.59     0.62P   27.64R    7.74  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.60    11.07    -5.70     0.43     1.50    11.49     3.62P   11.24R    2.58  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.65    10.46   -24.68     0.05     0.15     2.03     0.48P   34.65R   11.13  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.78    10.18    -8.98     0.05     0.24     3.43     0.91P   22.04R    5.71  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.84    11.08    -5.45     0.49     1.59    11.86     3.79P   10.95R    2.45  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.23    10.71    -1.36     0.59     2.02    15.73     5.39P    6.56R    1.14  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.34    10.54   -16.28     0.05     0.23     2.87     0.76P   28.08R    8.02  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.87    10.85     5.94     1.25     3.88    22.64     9.07P    4.19R    0.73  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      40.92     9.90   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   70.94R   41.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.46    10.68    23.95    13.72    28.70    73.53    40.30P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        8   17   +7      84.54    10.92    30.39    24.48    43.46    83.56    56.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     8   16   +9      85.10    10.32    34.99    25.20    46.03    86.68    59.73P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.81    10.84    22.04    11.34    23.92    68.02    34.88P    0.23R    0.01  
Brentford        8   16   +6      69.46    10.20     8.03     1.63     5.13    33.42    10.88P    1.62R    0.13  
Stevenage        8   13   +7      60.65    10.67     0.03     0.37     1.22    11.69     3.25P   11.29R    1.53  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.67    10.57     3.48     0.90     2.89    22.24     6.61P    4.69R    0.45  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.16    11.76    24.75    17.39    32.64    73.64    44.53P    0.30R    0.02  
Notts_County     8   13   +3      63.83    10.19     1.03     0.49     1.73    16.69     4.67P    5.80R    0.53  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   -1      68.91    10.60     4.29     1.82     5.04    31.73    10.76P    2.52R    0.23  
Carlisle         8   13   -1      63.64    10.30    -3.75     0.52     1.71    16.11     4.56P    6.46R    0.67  
Tranmere         8   11   +0      60.84    10.06    -3.15     0.21     0.78    10.37     2.61P    9.80R    1.10  
Oldham           8   11   -3      59.71    10.15    -8.01     0.15     0.64     8.50     2.08P   12.68R    1.69  
Colchester       8   10   +2      66.49    10.54     8.33     1.01     3.40    25.26     8.49P    3.75R    0.33  
Walsall          8    8   -1      55.78    10.30    -8.07     0.07     0.27     4.77     1.17P   22.11R    4.00  
Yeovil           8    8   -2      56.29    10.14    -7.77     0.05     0.27     4.78     1.11P   20.21R    3.25  
Chesterfield     8    8   -4      50.11    10.47   -20.30     0.04     0.09     1.76     0.40P   42.64R   11.41  
Rochdale         8    8   -5      58.65    10.38    -7.78     0.20     0.65     7.61     2.14P   15.03R    2.18  
Bury             8    7   -7      47.94    10.47   -25.10     0.01     0.02     1.12     0.22P   51.23R   16.66  
Bournemouth      8    6   -9      55.94    10.35   -12.96     0.07     0.30     4.71     1.33P   22.23R    3.96  
Scunthorpe       8    5   -3      59.97    10.99     0.88     0.29     1.02    11.08     3.57P   13.25R    2.21  
Wycombe          7    5   -5      47.30    10.62   -21.95     0.02     0.05     1.04     0.19P   53.32R   17.75  
Exeter           8    5   -7      49.62    10.09   -18.66     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.25P   43.62R   12.02  
Leyton_Orient    8    2  -12      46.31    10.13   -24.70     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.12P   57.00R   19.86  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             8   17  +13      70.79    10.42    15.39     5.84    20.63    49.85    27.09P    0.42R    0.11  
Rotherham             8   17   +9      81.50    10.50    28.11    27.74    58.48    84.23    65.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale             8   14   +6      69.79    10.20    11.45     4.48    17.40    45.41    24.48P    0.49R    0.12  
Shrewsbury            8   14   +3      74.82    10.18    15.96     9.87    31.95    64.64    41.18P    0.14R    0.03  
Cheltenham            8   13   +3      60.83    10.28    -3.99     0.70     3.84    16.41     6.09P    4.67R    1.75  
Torquay               8   13   +3      71.12    10.31    11.99     5.48    20.66    50.50    28.59P    0.42R    0.10  
Burton_Albion         8   13   +2      62.26    10.24    -2.75     0.94     4.94    19.57     7.60P    3.42R    1.29  
Crawley_Town          8   13   -1      61.01    10.93    -8.08     0.92     4.73    17.94     7.15P    5.91R    2.27  
Southend              8   13   -2      68.83    10.31     3.66     3.44    14.54    40.59    21.02P    0.79R    0.26  
Swindon               8   12   +5      80.96    10.71    30.84    26.71    56.59    82.70    65.40P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd            8   12   +1      62.33    10.02    -1.14     0.70     4.63    19.53     7.77P    3.02R    1.05  
Bristol_Rovers        8   12   -1      67.76    10.94     4.43     3.75    14.03    37.70    20.36P    1.32R    0.40  
Gillingham            8   11   +0      68.28    10.16     7.84     2.86    13.32    39.42    20.07P    0.84R    0.24  
Aldershot             8   11   +0      60.65     9.99    -3.18     0.60     3.40    15.21     5.95P    4.20R    1.40  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   11   -3      49.01    10.31   -26.55     0.05     0.33     2.27     0.63P   30.85R   16.26  
Accrington_Stanley    8   10   -2      62.61    10.26    -1.26     0.88     5.26    20.78     8.77P    3.21R    1.15  
Dag_&_Red             8   10   -3      65.11    10.66     1.80     1.77     8.88    28.83    14.39P    2.04R    0.61  
Northampton           8    9   +0      61.34    10.15     0.27     0.78     4.05    17.50     7.22P    3.93R    1.32  
Barnet                8    9   -3      52.52    10.04   -16.86     0.08     0.55     3.99     1.13P   18.24R    8.56  
Crewe                 8    9   -3      65.92    10.68     4.11     2.20    10.16    32.04    15.76P    1.99R    0.71  
Macclesfield          8    8   +0      52.48     9.96   -11.58     0.08     0.56     3.66     1.18P   17.58R    7.93  
Bradford              8    6   -2      50.19     9.98   -14.18     0.04     0.36     2.53     0.77P   24.91R   12.28  
Hereford              8    5  -11      44.09     9.53   -30.35     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.09P   49.70R   30.94  
Plymouth              8    1  -14      51.79    10.83   -15.93     0.10     0.67     4.29     1.68P   21.83R   11.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.49     9.85    31.40    18.12    79.45    35.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.98    10.18     9.21     2.16    32.53     7.27P    0.34R    0.02  
Luton               8   16  +10      93.85     9.41    50.92    61.86    96.30    76.34P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.15    10.33    22.21     5.00    49.92    15.04P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.44    10.30    15.88     3.59    42.52    12.79P    0.17R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      59.04     9.80    -9.99     0.06     4.24     0.60P    6.31R    0.72  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      72.90     9.95    10.38     2.41    35.37     9.98P    0.22R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.29    11.11     2.35     0.48    12.49     2.77P    4.20R    0.47  
York                8   13   +5      70.07     9.88    12.77     1.28    26.50     7.31P    0.38R    0.02  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.00     9.91    -2.48     0.16     6.47     1.12P    4.14R    0.51  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.39     9.87     3.46     0.46    13.34     3.03P    1.56R    0.14  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.09     9.79    12.46     1.67    32.70     9.77P    0.27R    0.01  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.38     9.79   -24.18     0.01     0.82     0.12P   23.69R    4.33  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.89    10.11     0.01     0.09     4.92     0.93P    6.68R    0.78  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.86    10.12     3.34     0.66    16.98     4.10P    1.39R    0.15  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.13    10.61    13.88     1.61    28.25     8.77P    0.73R    0.06  
AFC_Telford         8    8   -3      50.64    10.93   -18.22     0.02     1.34     0.26P   27.69R    7.03  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.22    10.03   -10.53     0.07     3.02     0.56P    9.80R    1.58  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.89     9.81   -26.78     0.00     0.38     0.03P   36.14R    8.53  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.21    10.93   -17.89     0.03     1.15     0.22P   32.07R    8.92  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.18    10.13    -7.71     0.03     2.70     0.57P   10.88R    1.86  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.58    10.57     0.97     0.23     8.48     2.43P    4.81R    0.65  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.77     9.85   -46.18     0.00     0.03     0.00P   78.29R   48.01  
Bath_City           8    2  -10      44.11     9.71   -25.28     0.00     0.10     0.02P   50.12R   16.20