Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 September 2011, QPR vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.51     8.10    69.11    73.36    91.85    97.79    99.34    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      75.76     9.19    39.12     9.89    38.45    67.65    83.45    95.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.55     8.70    37.72    14.36    51.69    78.07    90.07    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        4    8   +2      54.55     9.22     1.11     0.06     0.71     2.91     8.15    28.14     1.50R    0.15  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.45     8.88    -2.49     0.01     0.24     1.15     3.96    17.23     2.82R    0.34  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.72     9.10    22.48     1.40     9.07    25.16    48.74    78.79     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.51     8.76   -15.79     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.69     3.89    14.90R    3.25  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      52.05     9.32     0.30     0.03     0.40     1.87     5.41    20.49     2.91R    0.43  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.93     8.48   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.00    34.20R    9.47  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.03     9.48     4.23     0.08     0.94     3.68     9.70    30.78     1.43R    0.18  
QPR              4    4   -5      35.92     8.65   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.58    44.42R   15.93  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.54     9.49    13.27     0.70     5.35    15.91    33.77    66.02     0.16R    0.02  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.26     9.40   -12.21     0.00     0.05     0.26     1.06     5.78    14.53R    3.33  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.12     9.34   -12.79     0.00     0.07     0.33     1.23     6.29    12.35R    2.64  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.36     9.69     2.72     0.09     1.10     4.58    12.34    35.83     1.31R    0.18  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.38     9.00   -12.14     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.51     3.30    18.25R    4.26  
Norwich          4    2   -3      32.90     9.05   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.44    57.84R   27.55  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.65     8.96    -7.40     0.00     0.04     0.28     1.16     6.27    10.03R    1.90  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.32     8.69   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.45    51.11R   20.56  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.48     8.88   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.27    32.21R    9.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.46    11.22     6.41     4.07    10.29    39.50    16.09P    1.49R    0.18  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.61    11.90    17.12    12.34    24.88    61.19    33.68P    0.51R    0.06  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.53    10.92    17.00     8.95    20.19    58.74    29.40P    0.40R    0.03  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.42    11.53    37.43    39.37    58.32    87.37    67.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.57    10.57    -4.91     0.57     1.87    13.98     4.06P    7.22R    1.19  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.44    10.95    17.43     8.42    19.89    58.28    30.44P    0.42R    0.05  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      75.08    11.78    16.87     9.69    21.04    56.49    31.14P    0.72R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      57.15    10.23    -8.83     0.18     0.65     6.53     1.64P   13.77R    2.83  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.09    10.31    -3.62     0.56     1.83    14.04     4.41P    6.05R    0.99  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.20    11.08     0.61     1.26     3.75    20.97     7.74P    5.11R    0.94  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.41    12.14   -12.10     0.39     1.15     7.17     2.35P   25.19R    8.29  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.59    11.67    17.96     8.87    19.37    55.58    30.84P    0.85R    0.13  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.58    11.15     3.66     1.38     3.93    22.61     8.10P    4.97R    0.92  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.06    10.66    -0.36     0.49     1.63    13.38     4.28P    8.02R    1.55  
Millwall          6    6   -2      60.22    10.54    -2.46     0.38     1.28    11.43     3.60P    8.87R    1.68  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.32    10.31   -14.29     0.04     0.17     2.67     0.64P   27.71R    7.81  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.67    11.12    -5.67     0.47     1.52    11.88     3.78P   11.40R    2.59  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.87    10.37   -24.34     0.05     0.14     2.13     0.46P   33.66R   10.41  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.63    10.10    -9.13     0.05     0.21     3.12     0.78P   22.14R    5.77  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.82    11.14    -5.56     0.53     1.59    11.82     3.79P   11.07R    2.51  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.18    10.75    -1.39     0.63     2.17    15.47     5.48P    6.74R    1.24  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.13    10.43   -16.63     0.03     0.19     2.66     0.67P   28.87R    8.23  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.83    10.86     5.89     1.29     3.94    22.84     9.09P    4.08R    0.73  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      40.91    10.04   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   70.68R   41.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd        7   17  +10      89.24    11.11    38.69    39.63    59.47    90.88    69.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.61    10.60    24.19    11.76    26.83    72.97    38.78P    0.07R    0.00  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.80    10.94    22.10     9.48    22.01    66.79    33.36P    0.27R    0.02  
Brentford        7   15   +6      70.81    10.45     9.46     2.03     6.37    36.82    12.82P    1.28R    0.09  
Huddersfield     7   13   +6      81.14    10.74    28.38    13.75    29.75    74.67    43.86P    0.13R    0.01  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.34    10.64     2.97     0.71     2.41    20.45     5.86P    4.66R    0.42  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.58    11.77    25.49    16.11    32.32    73.38    44.27P    0.24R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        7   13   +3      73.34    10.71    13.16     3.52     9.95    46.96    18.61P    0.91R    0.06  
Notts_County     7   12   +3      63.99    10.45     0.67     0.50     1.72    16.62     4.44P    5.81R    0.66  
Tranmere         7   11   +1      62.93    10.32    -1.14     0.33     1.22    14.00     3.65P    6.65R    0.76  
Stevenage        7   10   +3      54.38    10.73   -10.87     0.06     0.30     4.03     0.90P   25.83R    5.28  
Carlisle         7   10   -2      61.24    10.53    -5.88     0.28     1.03    11.25     2.98P    9.91R    1.27  
Colchester       7    9   +2      66.53    10.73     7.88     0.96     3.07    24.07     8.05P    3.74R    0.37  
Walsall          7    8   +0      57.90    10.48    -6.03     0.11     0.50     6.62     1.62P   15.87R    2.58  
Oldham           7    8   -4      57.19    10.32   -10.45     0.08     0.35     5.51     1.29P   17.65R    2.90  
Bury             7    7   -6      50.14    10.84   -23.29     0.02     0.09     1.77     0.37P   41.56R   12.46  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -2      62.48    11.58     3.57     0.48     1.78    16.44     5.55P    9.74R    1.63  
Yeovil           7    5   -3      54.77    10.36    -8.79     0.05     0.18     3.72     0.88P   23.95R    4.72  
Wycombe          6    5   -4      49.18    11.01   -20.57     0.01     0.08     1.61     0.34P   44.82R   14.25  
Chesterfield     7    5   -5      48.03    10.82   -22.59     0.01     0.06     1.22     0.24P   48.87R   16.74  
Rochdale         7    5   -6      56.40    10.62    -9.95     0.06     0.32     5.24     1.35P   20.07R    3.76  
Exeter           7    4   -7      49.57    10.19   -19.43     0.01     0.03     1.14     0.22P   42.35R   11.73  
Bournemouth      7    3  -11      52.78    10.62   -17.35     0.02     0.12     2.61     0.63P   31.55R    7.34  
Leyton_Orient    7    2  -10      49.20    10.47   -20.23     0.01     0.05     1.24     0.30P   44.05R   12.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Aldershot vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             7   16  +13      71.15    10.66    15.31     6.45    21.38    50.59    27.76P    0.56R    0.17  
Rotherham             7   16   +9      81.97    10.64    28.37    29.41    59.26    84.65    66.30P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            7   14   +4      76.71    10.43    17.75    13.70    38.02    70.25    46.80P    0.10R    0.02  
Crawley_Town          7   13   +2      64.22    11.20    -2.24     2.08     8.53    26.33    12.02P    3.67R    1.41  
Cheltenham            7   12   +3      59.72    10.29    -6.37     0.47     2.99    14.04     5.02P    6.12R    2.41  
Torquay               7   12   +3      72.49    10.48    13.52     7.30    24.53    55.42    32.58P    0.38R    0.10  
Port_Vale             7   11   +5      68.44    10.53    10.90     3.76    14.62    40.63    21.17P    0.95R    0.31  
Gillingham            7   11   +1      70.32    10.48     9.85     4.65    18.19    47.05    25.61P    0.63R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon         7   11   +0      52.62    10.76   -19.89     0.20     0.96     5.03     1.66P   21.20R   10.70  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +1      60.59    10.63    -4.13     0.79     4.08    16.44     6.50P    5.82R    2.36  
Dag_&_Red             7   10   -2      68.13    10.94     5.10     3.56    14.26    39.06    21.10P    1.37R    0.45  
Southend              7   10   -3      66.78    10.50     2.02     2.57    10.67    33.65    16.26P    1.53R    0.53  
Swindon               7    9   +2      77.16    11.02    24.49    16.11    41.47    71.65    51.55P    0.17R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +0      59.49    10.21    -4.06     0.42     2.63    13.53     4.95P    6.03R    2.39  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -2      65.71    11.32     2.69     2.86    11.05    31.65    16.44P    2.60R    1.02  
Crewe                 7    9   -2      68.25    11.00     6.62     3.68    14.80    39.60    21.02P    1.43R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley    7    9   -2      62.63    10.56    -1.90     0.98     5.60    21.35     9.17P    3.81R    1.39  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      57.69    10.20    -7.26     0.25     1.92    10.08     3.77P    8.46R    3.61  
Macclesfield          7    7   +0      52.86    10.16   -11.81     0.10     0.68     4.25     1.37P   18.41R    8.88  
Bradford              7    6   -1      51.17    10.08   -13.62     0.05     0.41     3.13     0.88P   22.74R   11.51  
Northampton           7    6   -3      57.51    10.45    -6.15     0.33     2.03    10.26     3.90P    9.26R    4.07  
Barnet                7    6   -5      49.59    10.21   -21.35     0.02     0.32     2.38     0.63P   29.50R   16.09  
Hereford              7    5   -9      46.73     9.80   -26.54     0.00     0.10     1.07     0.26P   39.65R   23.82  
Plymouth              7    1  -12      55.04    11.10   -11.27     0.25     1.47     7.90     3.28P   15.56R    7.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.47     9.94    31.42    19.71    79.58    37.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.82    10.24     8.89     2.42    31.99     7.25P    0.36R    0.01  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.09    10.49    22.09     5.59    49.77    15.32P    0.15R    0.01  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.17    10.23    15.52     3.66    41.46    12.48P    0.22R    0.02  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      59.02     9.95   -10.09     0.10     4.55     0.66P    6.88R    0.90  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      72.96     9.99    10.47     2.70    35.78    10.22P    0.27R    0.01  
Luton               7   13   +8      92.60     9.67    49.74    57.81    94.87    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.38    11.35     2.49     0.68    12.96     2.98P    4.59R    0.64  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.13    10.01    -2.36     0.18     6.92     1.24P    4.46R    0.54  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.58     9.90     3.72     0.48    14.03     3.18P    1.44R    0.13  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.12     9.85    12.43     1.99    33.07    10.17P    0.28R    0.01  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.70     9.76   -23.67     0.01     0.93     0.13P   23.20R    4.02  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.80    10.09    -0.15     0.10     4.89     0.87P    7.01R    0.84  
York                7   10   +4      69.06    10.17    12.61     1.32    24.45     6.99P    0.78R    0.05  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.64    10.19     3.03     0.74    16.83     4.21P    1.66R    0.16  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.30    10.70    14.21     2.01    29.34     9.43P    0.86R    0.08  
AFC_Telford         7    8   -1      52.35    11.12   -15.87     0.05     2.13     0.39P   23.61R    5.64  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.12    10.06   -10.73     0.06     3.07     0.58P   10.34R    1.59  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.52     9.80   -27.46     0.00     0.37     0.04P   38.35R    9.38  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.20    10.88   -18.02     0.02     1.00     0.18P   33.11R    9.47  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.08    10.15    -7.90     0.04     2.78     0.55P   11.78R    1.95  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.61    10.73     0.98     0.34     9.03     2.57P    5.13R    0.76  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.77     9.89   -46.35     0.00     0.03     0.00P   78.58R   49.27  
Bath_City           7    2   -9      45.10     9.84   -25.02     0.00     0.18     0.02P   46.95R   14.52