Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Fulham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.73     8.10    69.84    73.49    92.06    97.78    99.35    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      76.00     9.13    39.58     9.88    38.46    68.24    83.82    95.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.66     8.82    38.07    14.35    51.77    77.78    89.75    97.75     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.40     8.91    -2.69     0.02     0.22     1.15     3.83    16.57     2.73R    0.31  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      66.56     9.23    22.27     1.31     8.78    24.54    47.41    77.53     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.79     9.51     2.26     0.11     0.98     3.92    10.60    32.51     1.28R    0.15  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.44     8.71   -15.96     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.53     3.48    15.14R    3.20  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      51.99     9.31     0.15     0.02     0.40     1.78     5.39    19.69     2.91R    0.40  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.92     8.60   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.97    34.65R    9.83  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.14     9.52     4.33     0.09     0.92     3.47     9.84    31.17     1.42R    0.21  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.45     9.50    13.21     0.59     5.03    15.55    32.89    65.14     0.17R    0.01  
West_Brom        4    3   -2      44.20     9.37   -12.40     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.00     5.40    14.73R    3.33  
Bolton           4    3   -4      44.97     9.32   -13.10     0.00     0.05     0.27     1.12     6.02    13.02R    2.68  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.53     9.77     3.10     0.13     1.26     4.69    12.56    35.89     1.30R    0.15  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.45     9.01   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.68    46.98R   18.16  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.54     8.94   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.45     3.29    17.29R    3.90  
Norwich          4    2   -3      33.10     9.14   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.49    56.97R   26.84  
Fulham           4    2   -3      45.67     8.93    -7.39     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.03     6.13     9.72R    1.87  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.48     8.62   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.37    49.76R   19.37  
Blackburn        4    1   -4      38.52     8.90   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.29    31.86R    9.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 September 2011, Birmingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.43    11.37     6.40     4.06    10.24    39.97    16.21P    1.77R    0.22  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.56    11.84    17.04    11.88    24.30    61.14    33.23P    0.53R    0.04  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.41    11.03    16.83     8.57    19.92    58.20    29.38P    0.45R    0.04  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.63    11.59    37.78    40.19    58.69    87.47    67.79P    0.03R    0.01  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.39    10.59    -5.22     0.53     1.80    13.44     3.75P    7.56R    1.26  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.48    10.90    17.49     8.08    19.65    58.47    30.27P    0.46R    0.06  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      75.31    11.97    17.27    10.25    21.68    57.31    31.69P    0.84R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      56.97    10.23    -9.09     0.16     0.62     6.31     1.57P   14.30R    3.02  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.26    10.26    -3.41     0.55     1.79    14.29     4.53P    5.64R    1.00  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.00    11.06     0.28     1.17     3.44    20.54     7.36P    5.25R    0.95  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.61    12.05   -11.68     0.33     1.07     7.20     2.26P   24.48R    7.99  
Birmingham        5    7   +1      74.68    11.72    18.03     9.06    19.68    55.77    31.01P    0.82R    0.13  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.44    11.33     3.43     1.28     4.25    22.42     8.47P    5.29R    0.99  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.18    10.74    -0.21     0.51     1.77    13.71     4.51P    7.82R    1.57  
Millwall          6    6   -2      59.88    10.39    -2.98     0.31     1.15    10.35     3.11P    9.01R    1.80  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.35    10.25   -14.31     0.03     0.17     2.65     0.58P   27.44R    7.78  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.55    11.12    -5.84     0.43     1.47    11.54     3.55P   11.43R    2.64  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.85    10.40   -24.42     0.03     0.10     1.97     0.40P   33.80R   10.90  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.43    10.24    -9.44     0.07     0.26     3.34     0.89P   23.21R    6.22  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.88    11.23    -5.45     0.55     1.69    12.24     3.93P   11.07R    2.60  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.28    10.77    -1.27     0.63     2.08    15.88     5.54P    6.72R    1.20  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.42    10.50   -16.15     0.06     0.24     3.00     0.80P   27.72R    7.73  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.74    10.94     5.76     1.29     3.93    22.59     9.16P    4.11R    0.75  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      41.08     9.99   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   70.27R   40.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd        7   17  +10      89.20    11.01    38.60    39.24    59.44    91.01    69.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.78    10.71    24.47    12.69    27.84    73.54    39.59P    0.15R    0.01  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.64    10.89    21.84     9.56    21.86    65.94    32.75P    0.23R    0.01  
Brentford        7   15   +6      70.39    10.41     8.80     1.80     5.78    35.40    11.91P    1.45R    0.10  
Huddersfield     7   13   +6      81.23    10.64    28.54    13.54    29.96    75.22    44.58P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.67    10.64     3.47     0.82     2.67    21.11     6.19P    4.31R    0.38  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.24    11.81    24.92    15.72    31.22    72.54    43.06P    0.23R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        7   13   +3      73.30    10.77    13.14     3.63     9.83    46.93    18.67P    0.95R    0.07  
Notts_County     7   12   +3      64.42    10.50     1.29     0.52     1.86    17.57     4.83P    5.47R    0.53  
Tranmere         7   11   +1      62.74    10.29    -1.41     0.26     1.13    13.42     3.56P    6.90R    0.72  
Stevenage        7   10   +3      54.44    10.65   -10.64     0.07     0.29     3.94     0.93P   25.85R    5.07  
Carlisle         7   10   -2      61.39    10.42    -5.63     0.28     1.00    11.26     2.94P    9.21R    1.21  
Colchester       7    9   +2      66.77    10.68     8.24     0.91     3.23    24.79     8.05P    3.67R    0.30  
Walsall          7    8   +0      57.92    10.53    -5.99     0.13     0.52     6.74     1.69P   15.83R    2.64  
Oldham           7    8   -4      57.19    10.31   -10.46     0.08     0.33     5.50     1.32P   17.43R    2.78  
Bury             7    7   -6      50.27    10.89   -23.02     0.01     0.09     1.89     0.37P   41.22R   12.46  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -2      62.50    11.60     3.71     0.53     1.93    16.55     5.64P    9.81R    1.55  
Yeovil           7    5   -3      54.68    10.37    -8.93     0.03     0.21     3.60     0.88P   24.05R    4.85  
Wycombe          6    5   -4      49.12    10.91   -20.55     0.03     0.09     1.55     0.37P   44.78R   13.93  
Chesterfield     7    5   -5      47.71    10.93   -23.20     0.01     0.06     1.24     0.24P   49.89R   17.32  
Rochdale         7    5   -6      56.36    10.68   -10.01     0.09     0.41     5.31     1.44P   20.16R    3.90  
Exeter           7    4   -7      49.51    10.23   -19.47     0.01     0.04     1.12     0.24P   42.84R   11.93  
Bournemouth      7    3  -11      52.91    10.61   -17.20     0.04     0.16     2.66     0.69P   30.93R    7.22  
Leyton_Orient    7    2  -10      49.01    10.42   -20.54     0.01     0.05     1.18     0.30P   44.54R   13.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Aldershot vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             7   16  +13      70.92    10.61    14.88     6.17    20.73    49.81    26.92P    0.50R    0.14  
Rotherham             7   16   +9      81.75    10.62    28.07    28.80    58.04    84.23    65.33P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            7   14   +4      76.83    10.41    17.94    13.98    38.51    70.75    47.40P    0.10R    0.03  
Crawley_Town          7   13   +2      64.31    11.35    -2.18     2.30     8.88    27.17    12.50P    3.68R    1.46  
Cheltenham            7   12   +3      60.00    10.47    -6.03     0.61     3.45    14.96     5.56P    6.14R    2.53  
Torquay               7   12   +3      72.33    10.54    13.24     7.14    24.16    54.93    32.29P    0.41R    0.13  
Port_Vale             7   11   +5      68.48    10.55    10.97     3.81    14.98    40.62    21.58P    0.89R    0.27  
Gillingham            7   11   +1      70.26    10.44     9.70     4.58    17.96    46.84    25.47P    0.63R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon         7   11   +0      53.04    10.74   -19.16     0.15     1.03     5.47     1.68P   20.16R   10.10  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +1      60.46    10.60    -4.31     0.73     4.01    16.10     6.25P    5.81R    2.35  
Dag_&_Red             7   10   -2      68.38    11.08     5.50     3.85    15.05    40.10    21.86P    1.30R    0.40  
Southend              7   10   -3      66.55    10.59     1.67     2.35    10.69    32.93    16.17P    1.61R    0.55  
Swindon               7    9   +2      77.13    11.23    24.43    16.53    41.86    71.03    51.67P    0.24R    0.07  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +0      59.26    10.25    -4.41     0.44     2.74    13.01     4.81P    6.62R    2.66  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -2      65.70    11.34     2.61     2.85    11.13    31.81    16.54P    2.66R    0.96  
Crewe                 7    9   -2      67.93    10.95     6.07     3.49    14.18    38.72    20.43P    1.48R    0.58  
Accrington_Stanley    7    9   -2      62.69    10.44    -1.84     1.07     5.44    21.43     9.05P    3.56R    1.34  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      57.65    10.17    -7.26     0.30     1.77     9.82     3.54P    8.49R    3.50  
Macclesfield          7    7   +0      52.88    10.22   -11.76     0.12     0.74     4.50     1.42P   18.48R    9.02  
Bradford              7    6   -1      51.00    10.14   -13.96     0.04     0.48     3.22     1.03P   23.72R   12.16  
Northampton           7    6   -3      58.10    10.42    -5.22     0.37     2.31    11.41     4.41P    8.62R    3.64  
Barnet                7    6   -5      49.62    10.23   -21.37     0.04     0.28     2.26     0.61P   29.41R   16.31  
Hereford              7    5   -9      47.00     9.96   -26.15     0.02     0.11     1.13     0.29P   39.46R   23.41  
Plymouth              7    1  -12      54.90    11.12   -11.44     0.25     1.48     7.74     3.18P   16.02R    8.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.60     9.88    31.64    20.16    80.03    37.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.87    10.16     9.04     2.41    32.29     7.25P    0.32R    0.02  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.13    10.43    22.25     5.74    49.61    15.41P    0.16R    0.01  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.24    10.23    15.60     3.93    41.81    12.63P    0.23R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      59.08     9.82    -9.96     0.07     4.49     0.63P    6.47R    0.70  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      73.21    10.00    10.82     2.70    36.68    10.59P    0.26R    0.03  
Luton               7   13   +8      92.50     9.64    49.45    56.91    94.90    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.07    11.23     1.96     0.61    12.33     2.80P    4.61R    0.58  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.19    10.04    -2.21     0.23     7.11     1.32P    4.47R    0.50  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.49     9.85     3.55     0.52    13.57     3.29P    1.64R    0.12  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.05     9.83    12.41     2.04    32.80    10.18P    0.28R    0.01  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.40     9.75   -24.24     0.01     0.79     0.10P   23.99R    4.38  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.70    10.09    -0.34     0.12     4.77     0.94P    7.21R    0.90  
York                7   10   +4      68.88    10.20    12.40     1.31    23.48     6.87P    0.82R    0.04  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.78    10.11     3.24     0.76    17.19     4.37P    1.42R    0.11  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.26    10.68    14.15     1.96    28.95     9.13P    0.76R    0.07  
AFC_Telford         7    8   -1      52.24    11.13   -16.07     0.08     2.21     0.41P   23.95R    5.50  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.60    10.05   -10.03     0.07     3.46     0.61P    9.33R    1.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.77     9.84   -27.09     0.00     0.37     0.05P   37.36R    9.03  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.25    10.85   -17.85     0.02     0.94     0.15P   32.62R    8.87  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.26    10.17    -7.63     0.05     2.95     0.62P   11.51R    1.85  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.73    10.71     1.18     0.30     9.07     2.55P    5.09R    0.71  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.41     9.77   -47.01     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.82R   50.39  
Bath_City           7    2   -9      45.00     9.90   -25.24     0.00     0.18     0.03P   47.67R   14.75