Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Arsenal vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          4   12  +15      89.78     7.99    70.46    73.46    91.91    97.77    99.33    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         4   12  +12      76.03     9.17    39.87     9.80    38.22    67.71    83.43    95.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          4   10   +4      78.73     8.81    38.44    14.22    51.53    77.49    89.62    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            4    8   +2      51.73     8.99    -2.26     0.02     0.22     1.15     4.08    17.37     2.65R    0.34  
Liverpool        4    7   +3      67.00     9.17    23.09     1.53     9.30    25.30    48.53    78.61     0.05R    0.01  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.40     9.58     1.67     0.09     1.01     3.69     9.83    30.61     1.51R    0.20  
Wolverhampton    4    7   +1      43.57     8.80   -15.96     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.59     3.68    15.05R    3.27  
Aston_Villa      4    6   +2      52.26     9.32     0.49     0.03     0.41     1.74     5.41    20.12     2.83R    0.37  
Wigan            4    5   -1      37.84     8.63   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.00    34.99R   10.08  
Everton          3    4   +0      55.10     9.55     4.25     0.07     0.90     3.59     9.60    30.19     1.40R    0.16  
Arsenal          4    4   -7      63.71     9.57    13.77     0.69     5.21    15.83    33.22    65.62     0.17R    0.01  
Bolton           4    3   -4      45.17     9.40   -12.88     0.00     0.05     0.30     1.08     6.21    12.63R    2.69  
Tottenham        3    3   -5      56.47     9.67     3.00     0.09     1.11     4.52    11.93    35.12     1.28R    0.17  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.60     9.01   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.66    45.74R   17.56  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.85     9.61   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.86    49.71R   21.99  
Sunderland       4    2   -2      42.46     8.98   -12.31     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.47     3.18    17.68R    4.20  
Swansea          4    2   -5      34.30     8.59   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.37    51.02R   20.26  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.73     9.25    -6.43     0.00     0.07     0.44     1.64     7.92     8.76R    1.68  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.16     9.64   -14.63     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.64     3.81    21.07R    6.05  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.32     9.16   -20.87     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.22     1.38    33.45R   10.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          6   16   +7      70.31    11.39     6.31     4.41    10.68    39.86    16.46P    1.78R    0.23  
Southampton       6   15   +7      76.75    11.81    17.37    12.60    25.71    62.11    34.55P    0.58R    0.05  
Middlesbrough     6   14   +7      75.57    11.01    17.05     9.29    20.95    59.22    30.05P    0.38R    0.05  
West_Ham          6   13   +8      86.48    11.53    37.42    40.76    59.66    87.59    68.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Derby             6   12   +3      61.18    10.55    -5.42     0.57     1.87    13.17     3.88P    7.74R    1.39  
Cardiff           6   11   +3      75.42    11.12    17.36     8.83    20.67    58.67    31.41P    0.54R    0.06  
Blackpool         6   11   +3      75.15    11.67    16.99    10.05    21.67    57.56    31.67P    0.70R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    6   10   +2      56.97    10.17    -9.02     0.17     0.61     6.44     1.61P   14.46R    3.15  
Hull              6    9   -2      62.21    10.29    -3.45     0.59     1.94    14.66     4.79P    5.75R    0.99  
Leicester         6    8   -1      64.12    11.08     0.51     1.23     3.70    21.33     7.91P    5.41R    1.01  
Peterborough      6    7   +3      54.63    12.06   -11.60     0.35     1.07     7.29     2.28P   24.50R    8.04  
Leeds_United      6    7   +0      64.50    11.24     3.54     1.31     4.06    22.96     8.29P    5.26R    0.97  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.70    10.77     2.27     0.83     2.55    17.45     6.10P    6.06R    1.09  
Portsmouth        6    6   -1      61.44    10.65     0.22     0.50     1.88    14.29     4.76P    7.62R    1.48  
Barnsley          6    6   -2      52.60    10.23   -13.82     0.05     0.22     2.87     0.69P   26.90R    7.39  
Watford           6    6   -3      59.64    11.03    -5.65     0.48     1.73    11.63     3.79P   11.23R    2.55  
Ipswich           6    6   -8      50.64    10.49   -24.55     0.05     0.19     2.07     0.51P   34.94R   11.49  
Coventry          6    5   -1      53.61    10.29    -9.11     0.05     0.25     3.47     0.92P   23.12R    6.00  
Burnley           5    5   -3      59.80    11.11    -5.50     0.56     1.72    12.23     4.03P   10.95R    2.43  
Nott'm_Forest     6    5   -5      62.30    10.80    -1.20     0.66     2.22    16.36     5.75P    6.80R    1.31  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      52.18    10.45   -16.43     0.08     0.22     2.82     0.73P   28.75R    8.12  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.49    12.02    11.25     5.17    12.22    41.97    21.41P    2.29R    0.42  
Reading           6    4   -3      64.91    10.96     6.02     1.39     4.22    23.77     9.71P    4.33R    0.72  
Doncaster         6    1   -8      41.17    10.05   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   69.85R   40.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Bournemouth vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd        7   17  +10      89.14    10.98    38.48    39.12    59.21    91.02    69.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         7   17   +9      80.91    10.55    24.68    12.66    27.96    74.05    39.75P    0.10R    0.01  
MK_Dons          7   16   +8      78.95    10.84    22.29     9.72    22.78    67.48    33.94P    0.23R    0.01  
Brentford        7   15   +6      70.42    10.51     8.84     1.95     6.08    35.87    12.20P    1.42R    0.10  
Huddersfield     7   13   +6      81.07    10.63    28.29    13.60    29.24    74.91    43.67P    0.11R    0.01  
Hartlepool       7   13   +5      65.21    10.49     2.82     0.68     2.26    19.83     5.57P    4.61R    0.44  
Preston          6   13   +4      81.27    11.69    24.94    15.51    31.43    73.00    43.33P    0.24R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        7   13   +3      73.34    10.77    13.09     3.68     9.83    47.01    18.66P    0.93R    0.08  
Notts_County     7   12   +3      64.07    10.52     0.86     0.58     1.86    16.76     4.71P    5.90R    0.68  
Tranmere         7   11   +1      62.67    10.34    -1.51     0.32     1.25    13.36     3.57P    7.23R    0.82  
Stevenage        7   10   +3      54.82    10.67   -10.09     0.08     0.32     4.25     1.02P   24.71R    4.87  
Carlisle         7   10   -2      61.26    10.44    -5.85     0.27     1.00    11.04     2.86P    9.68R    1.23  
Colchester       7    9   +2      66.48    10.78     7.79     0.91     3.18    24.35     8.13P    3.97R    0.39  
Walsall          7    8   +0      57.71    10.54    -6.36     0.11     0.44     6.56     1.55P   16.53R    2.77  
Oldham           7    8   -4      57.16    10.25   -10.52     0.10     0.37     5.39     1.37P   17.79R    2.86  
Bury             7    7   -6      50.16    10.97   -23.19     0.01     0.08     1.92     0.43P   41.99R   12.78  
Scunthorpe       7    5   -2      62.24    11.46     3.26     0.51     1.82    15.61     5.25P    9.86R    1.64  
Yeovil           7    5   -3      55.07    10.39    -8.31     0.03     0.17     3.99     0.95P   23.24R    4.66  
Wycombe          6    5   -4      49.08    10.91   -20.67     0.02     0.08     1.62     0.37P   45.19R   14.21  
Chesterfield     7    5   -5      47.87    10.96   -22.92     0.01     0.05     1.28     0.27P   49.82R   17.29  
Rochdale         7    5   -6      56.44    10.74    -9.93     0.10     0.38     5.44     1.49P   20.46R    3.95  
Exeter           7    4   -7      49.71    10.27   -19.24     0.01     0.05     1.26     0.28P   42.17R   11.43  
Bournemouth      7    3  -11      53.03    10.60   -16.87     0.02     0.12     2.83     0.76P   30.62R    7.28  
Leyton_Orient    7    2  -10      49.42    10.42   -19.89     0.01     0.05     1.14     0.26P   43.17R   12.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, Aldershot vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Morecambe             7   16  +13      71.14    10.62    15.29     6.47    21.35    50.47    27.73P    0.41R    0.09  
Rotherham             7   16   +9      81.64    10.69    27.77    28.54    57.83    83.88    64.88P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            7   14   +4      76.81    10.44    17.96    14.12    38.38    70.81    47.46P    0.10R    0.03  
Crawley_Town          7   13   +2      64.09    11.40    -2.43     2.21     8.77    26.56    12.37P    3.91R    1.59  
Cheltenham            7   12   +3      60.05    10.42    -5.91     0.58     3.35    14.79     5.39P    6.14R    2.51  
Torquay               7   12   +3      72.63    10.51    13.67     7.63    25.15    56.00    33.25P    0.38R    0.14  
Port_Vale             7   11   +5      68.34    10.42    10.79     3.44    14.43    40.32    21.04P    0.84R    0.27  
Gillingham            7   11   +1      70.30    10.48     9.78     4.76    18.36    47.04    25.71P    0.60R    0.18  
AFC_Wimbledon         7   11   +0      52.74    10.76   -19.70     0.18     1.05     5.14     1.71P   21.23R   10.67  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +1      60.43    10.60    -4.41     0.73     3.92    16.12     6.25P    5.87R    2.39  
Dag_&_Red             7   10   -2      68.28    11.06     5.28     3.94    14.92    39.74    21.46P    1.33R    0.48  
Southend              7   10   -3      66.63    10.54     1.78     2.42    10.66    33.01    16.16P    1.71R    0.61  
Swindon               7    9   +2      77.07    11.07    24.36    15.99    41.32    71.43    51.22P    0.20R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +0      59.53    10.30    -3.98     0.45     2.96    13.70     5.19P    6.22R    2.54  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -2      65.63    11.29     2.63     2.89    10.99    31.76    16.54P    2.58R    1.01  
Crewe                 7    9   -2      67.97    10.87     6.16     3.41    13.78    38.76    20.04P    1.52R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley    7    9   -2      62.72    10.46    -1.80     1.15     5.63    21.03     9.22P    3.65R    1.40  
Aldershot             7    8   -2      57.89    10.19    -6.93     0.30     2.04    10.35     3.88P    8.41R    3.31  
Macclesfield          7    7   +0      53.05    10.18   -11.51     0.10     0.76     4.60     1.52P   17.73R    8.62  
Bradford              7    6   -1      50.92    10.06   -14.09     0.05     0.39     2.93     0.88P   23.65R   12.03  
Northampton           7    6   -3      57.79    10.43    -5.73     0.41     2.16    10.68     4.11P    9.03R    3.98  
Barnet                7    6   -5      49.65    10.23   -21.22     0.04     0.27     2.23     0.58P   29.39R   16.42  
Hereford              7    5   -9      46.91     9.83   -26.24     0.01     0.13     1.05     0.33P   39.30R   23.25  
Plymouth              7    1  -12      54.84    11.01   -11.51     0.20     1.42     7.61     3.09P   15.77R    7.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 September 2011, AFC_Telford vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             8   19  +11      84.52     9.87    31.45    20.18    79.98    37.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           8   19   +8      71.76    10.19     8.84     2.48    31.71     7.24P    0.37R    0.03  
Mansfield           8   15   +8      76.21    10.42    22.32     5.76    50.43    15.77P    0.15R    0.01  
Kidderminster       8   14   +3      74.14    10.14    15.43     3.64    41.37    12.15P    0.19R    0.02  
Tamworth            8   14   +1      58.90     9.80   -10.20     0.08     4.22     0.67P    6.84R    0.85  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +0      73.13    10.03    10.70     2.96    36.52    10.60P    0.26R    0.03  
Luton               7   13   +8      92.48     9.63    49.36    57.04    94.95    72.81P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town      8   13   +5      63.49    11.22     2.63     0.65    13.29     3.08P    4.11R    0.50  
Barrow              8   13   +4      61.26    10.02    -2.06     0.18     7.07     1.26P    4.53R    0.50  
Cambridge_Utd       8   12   +1      65.58     9.93     3.70     0.52    14.02     3.26P    1.55R    0.18  
Darlington          8   11   -1      72.10     9.83    12.42     2.01    32.90    10.10P    0.30R    0.01  
Southport           8   11   -5      51.33     9.78   -24.27     0.01     0.85     0.11P   24.40R    4.53  
Forest_Green        8   10   +5      58.76    10.06    -0.21     0.09     4.81     0.87P    6.94R    0.83  
York                7   10   +4      68.80    10.13    12.24     1.20    23.46     6.49P    0.83R    0.08  
Grimsby             8   10   -4      66.59    10.07     2.98     0.71    16.56     4.22P    1.39R    0.10  
Stockport           8    9   +0      70.42    10.50    14.39     2.01    29.45     9.26P    0.73R    0.05  
AFC_Telford         7    8   -1      52.10    11.23   -16.29     0.06     2.12     0.40P   24.69R    6.20  
Kettering           8    8   -6      57.45    10.13   -10.24     0.07     3.37     0.60P    9.94R    1.49  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    8   -6      47.72     9.83   -27.17     0.00     0.31     0.06P   37.61R    9.20  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    7   -2      49.24    10.67   -17.80     0.00     0.85     0.15P   32.48R    8.81  
Newport_County      8    5   -6      56.29    10.12    -7.59     0.05     2.75     0.64P   11.35R    1.79  
Lincoln_City        8    5   -6      61.65    10.64     1.13     0.30     8.84     2.41P    4.98R    0.74  
Alfreton_Town       8    5  -12      36.70     9.86   -46.48     0.00     0.03     0.00P   78.80R   49.24  
Bath_City           7    2   -9      44.95     9.78   -25.27     0.00     0.14     0.02P   47.57R   14.82