Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.95     8.53    62.18    65.78    86.74    95.17    98.34    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.46     9.41    37.04    10.98    35.64    61.09    78.51    93.54     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.55     9.35    26.17     4.11    17.22    37.09    59.81    85.14     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.59     9.00    38.14    17.31    49.80    73.57    86.99    96.86     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.78     9.14   -12.58     0.02     0.09     0.44     1.27     6.44    11.59R    2.24  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.34     9.61     1.59     0.15     1.06     3.83     9.56    30.56     1.74R    0.25  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      52.03     9.54    -0.21     0.07     0.54     2.00     5.53    20.15     3.45R    0.53  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.12     8.71   -20.68     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.42    30.88R    8.23  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.83     9.07    -5.13     0.01     0.12     0.70     2.36    11.14     5.73R    0.84  
Bolton           3    3   +1      47.89     9.69    -5.59     0.02     0.18     0.88     2.55    11.20     8.65R    1.73  
Everton          2    3   +0      56.02     9.80     5.20     0.25     1.44     4.85    11.58    34.11     1.51R    0.20  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.82     9.01   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.70    46.87R   17.96  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.17     9.16   -12.09     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.66     3.84    17.36R    4.13  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.91     9.61   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13     0.85    51.01R   22.80  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.77     8.96   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.52    50.84R   20.82  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.77     9.30    -6.40     0.01     0.10     0.50     1.66     8.10     9.54R    1.85  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.31     9.77    15.17     1.15     6.19    16.31    31.79    64.18     0.31R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.08     9.75   -14.76     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.78     4.02    22.53R    6.50  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.23     9.07   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.26    35.05R   11.40  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.84     9.89    -0.57     0.12     0.79     3.01     8.01    26.19     2.92R    0.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.80    11.68     3.98     3.75     8.85    33.08    13.65P    3.34R    0.54  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.83    12.05    15.94    11.72    23.28    56.42    31.46P    0.91R    0.11  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.29    10.78    -0.71     1.46     4.09    21.44     7.27P    4.83R    0.73  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.22    11.26    12.48     7.02    15.78    47.98    23.18P    1.14R    0.17  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.72    11.70    35.67    38.11    55.81    84.67    65.42P    0.05R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.52    10.49    -7.49     0.39     1.21     9.17     2.61P   12.18R    2.61  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.78    11.15    15.40     8.13    18.88    53.87    28.60P    0.78R    0.10  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      72.94    12.24    14.17     9.30    19.35    50.79    28.13P    1.69R    0.35  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.69    12.51    -7.71     0.88     2.53    12.26     4.56P   18.44R    5.92  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.15    11.43     1.54     2.14     5.78    25.25    10.31P    5.11R    0.99  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.88    10.75     2.53     1.06     3.14    18.52     6.74P    5.91R    1.04  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      61.76    10.70    -0.04     0.76     2.47    15.48     5.32P    7.35R    1.44  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.00    10.53    -5.33     0.50     1.61    11.33     3.71P    9.68R    1.93  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.38    10.77   -22.18     0.08     0.33     3.39     0.90P   29.88R    9.49  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.72    11.42    -1.04     1.32     3.78    19.06     7.26P    7.57R    1.62  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.49    10.52   -14.53     0.09     0.31     3.18     0.81P   28.39R    8.61  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.22    10.81   -14.47     0.13     0.56     4.94     1.51P   23.61R    6.36  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.13    11.03     0.54     1.38     4.18    21.70     8.67P    5.35R    0.89  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.63    11.59     2.18     1.35     3.84    19.72     7.64P    7.96R    1.87  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.50    11.21    11.49     3.93     9.44    35.95    17.02P    2.43R    0.37  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.34    12.08    11.09     6.18    13.70    42.11    22.41P    2.42R    0.42  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.70    11.34   -11.38     0.27     0.90     7.26     2.19P   20.58R    5.98  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.38    10.35   -13.30     0.05     0.16     2.03     0.54P   34.57R   11.49  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.44    10.37   -28.83     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.08P   65.83R   36.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 September 2011, Charlton vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          6   16  +10      81.22    11.11    25.77    14.71    31.51    75.08    42.82P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   16  +10      90.28    11.22    39.93    44.31    64.60    92.49    73.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         6   14   +7      78.96    10.98    22.27    10.05    23.76    68.53    35.44P    0.30R    0.01  
Brentford        6   12   +5      68.88    10.70     8.05     1.55     5.17    32.39    10.93P    2.42R    0.16  
Tranmere         6   11   +3      64.56    10.48     1.29     0.54     2.16    18.78     5.37P    5.32R    0.47  
Hartlepool       6   10   +4      62.88    10.71     0.75     0.48     1.69    15.56     4.29P    7.71R    0.87  
Huddersfield     6   10   +4      78.96    10.79    25.50    10.04    23.98    68.79    37.98P    0.24R    0.02  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.22    12.01    22.98    12.30    26.69    67.66    38.89P    0.53R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +1      70.38    11.04     9.06     2.47     7.31    37.65    14.46P    2.13R    0.14  
Carlisle         6   10   -1      63.73    10.75    -3.06     0.56     2.08    17.49     5.16P    6.81R    0.70  
Stevenage        6    9   +3      54.61    10.90   -10.93     0.08     0.34     4.63     1.07P   26.46R    5.01  
Notts_County     6    9   +2      62.29    10.62    -0.42     0.35     1.35    14.18     3.94P    8.57R    1.02  
Colchester       6    8   +2      67.59    11.01     8.91     1.31     4.34    28.83     9.97P    3.62R    0.30  
Walsall          6    8   +1      59.92    10.69    -3.87     0.21     0.93    10.32     2.59P   12.42R    1.70  
Oldham           6    7   -4      57.75    10.44   -10.16     0.09     0.43     6.54     1.58P   17.20R    2.63  
Bury             6    7   -4      53.02    11.14   -18.16     0.04     0.26     3.58     0.88P   32.95R    7.62  
Yeovil           6    5   -2      55.83    10.46    -7.89     0.05     0.32     4.90     1.18P   21.68R    3.74  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.18    11.22   -18.63     0.05     0.17     2.78     0.68P   38.72R   10.20  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -2      61.97    11.77     2.20     0.62     2.09    16.32     5.66P   11.33R    1.85  
Exeter           6    4   -5      51.05    10.39   -17.35     0.01     0.06     1.80     0.38P   37.95R    8.70  
Bournemouth      6    3   -8      57.37    10.78    -9.20     0.11     0.50     6.78     1.91P   18.67R    3.19  
Rochdale         6    2   -8      53.08    10.71   -14.31     0.05     0.18     3.17     0.82P   30.97R    6.88  
Chesterfield     6    2   -8      42.86    10.91   -31.61     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.09P   68.07R   32.21  
Leyton_Orient    6    1  -10      49.00    10.63   -21.11     0.02     0.07     1.27     0.26P   45.77R   12.55  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          6   13   +8      70.59    11.73    11.98     7.71    22.61    48.60    28.22P    1.18R    0.39  
Rotherham             6   13   +7      79.25    11.00    24.41    22.75    49.91    77.39    57.56P    0.09R    0.03  
Morecambe             6   13   +7      65.56    10.75     3.38     2.68    10.34    30.59    14.55P    2.04R    0.68  
Torquay               6   11   +3      73.20    10.93    14.00     9.54    28.14    58.00    35.85P    0.42R    0.14  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      74.80    10.63    15.28    11.55    32.72    63.51    41.47P    0.21R    0.05  
Gillingham            6   10   +1      70.89    10.73    10.10     6.07    21.14    49.36    28.37P    0.66R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon         6   10   +0      52.38    11.07   -20.58     0.19     1.08     5.37     1.75P   23.47R   12.54  
Dag_&_Red             6   10   +0      70.59    11.29     8.69     6.93    21.01    47.96    28.37P    1.03R    0.31  
Southend              6   10   -1      68.64    10.73     4.67     4.25    15.25    40.78    21.50P    1.28R    0.39  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +1      60.06    10.87    -5.18     0.88     4.13    15.88     6.39P    7.05R    3.05  
Cheltenham            6    9   +1      57.33    10.69    -9.43     0.42     2.41    10.59     3.77P   10.90R    5.00  
Port_Vale             6    8   +3      65.25    10.72     6.65     2.34     9.89    30.26    14.97P    2.28R    0.77  
Oxford_Utd            6    8   +0      59.66    10.54    -4.20     0.56     3.33    14.55     5.81P    6.97R    2.85  
Bristol_Rovers        6    8   -2      66.57    11.72     3.56     4.06    13.71    35.32    19.40P    2.72R    1.07  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   -2      62.15    10.74    -3.09     1.30     5.77    20.72     9.19P    4.50R    1.80  
Macclesfield          6    7   +2      55.59    10.62    -7.56     0.27     1.75     8.35     3.04P   13.50R    6.16  
Aldershot             6    7   -2      58.85    10.53    -5.93     0.54     2.95    12.79     5.02P    7.95R    3.37  
Swindon               6    6   +0      74.50    11.65    20.77    13.31    34.25    62.88    43.80P    0.60R    0.20  
Barnet                6    6   -3      50.26    10.51   -20.28     0.06     0.43     2.97     0.85P   28.70R   16.03  
Crewe                 6    6   -4      66.17    11.40     3.87     3.24    12.22    33.92    17.50P    2.82R    1.11  
Bradford              6    5   -1      51.08    10.32   -13.98     0.08     0.58     3.50     1.14P   24.59R   12.95  
Northampton           6    5   -3      57.68    10.81    -6.53     0.51     2.64    11.56     4.67P   10.29R    4.66  
Hereford              6    5   -7      47.98    10.01   -24.21     0.02     0.18     1.44     0.35P   36.21R   21.13  
Plymouth              6    1  -10      58.24    11.44    -6.38     0.73     3.55    13.70     6.45P   10.56R    5.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             7   19  +13      87.87    10.07    36.21    31.41    86.77    47.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead           7   19  +10      73.54    10.35    11.67     3.32    37.65     8.82P    0.27R    0.01  
Kidderminster       7   13   +3      76.19    10.50    18.06     5.62    48.23    15.25P    0.14R    0.02  
Mansfield           7   12   +3      71.56    10.58    12.48     2.45    31.48     8.35P    0.53R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd       7   11   +1      66.36    10.15     4.40     0.69    15.71     3.58P    1.39R    0.14  
Darlington          7   11   +1      73.63     9.94    14.64     2.95    37.88    12.06P    0.18R    0.02  
Tamworth            7   11   +0      56.36    10.10   -12.34     0.06     2.78     0.41P   10.67R    1.79  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   -2      70.62    10.18     7.44     1.62    27.08     7.10P    0.54R    0.04  
Luton               6   10   +6      90.44    10.01    46.25    44.80    91.46    63.96P    0.00     0.00  
York                6   10   +5      70.99    10.40    14.53     2.20    29.87     8.83P    0.48R    0.04  
Braintree_Town      7   10   +4      61.19    11.69     0.47     0.50     9.98     2.26P    6.89R    1.16  
Barrow              7   10   +2      57.31    10.16    -7.38     0.08     3.55     0.62P    9.14R    1.40  
Forest_Green        7    9   +5      58.51    10.27    -1.01     0.09     4.55     0.80P    7.62R    1.16  
Stockport           7    8   +0      71.25    10.91    15.12     2.43    31.53    10.00P    0.76R    0.08  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    8   -3      49.99    10.09   -22.26     0.01     0.70     0.11P   28.38R    6.68  
Southport           7    8   -6      48.80     9.93   -26.38     0.00     0.45     0.07P   32.82R    8.32  
AFC_Telford         6    7   -1      51.98    11.56   -16.89     0.07     2.23     0.45P   24.59R    7.28  
Grimsby             7    7   -7      64.20    10.45    -1.14     0.47    11.49     2.71P    2.86R    0.35  
Ebbsfleet_United    7    6   -2      47.62    10.96   -20.55     0.02     0.72     0.17P   37.59R   12.60  
Newport_County      7    5   -1      60.01    10.41     1.38     0.18     6.17     1.36P    5.79R    0.96  
Lincoln_City        7    5   -4      66.13    11.06     7.79     1.00    17.71     5.29P    2.30R    0.31  
Kettering           7    5   -8      53.56    10.32   -15.70     0.02     1.55     0.22P   18.02R    4.00  
Alfreton_Town       7    5  -11      38.30    10.36   -45.05     0.00     0.06     0.01P   72.86R   43.27  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.72    10.16   -21.73     0.00     0.41     0.06P   36.19R   10.31