Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.74     8.55    61.81    64.77    86.13    95.03    98.23    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.59     9.44    37.46    11.73    36.02    61.40    78.67    93.77     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.66     9.41    26.35     4.51    17.60    37.72    60.10    85.23     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.54     9.04    38.00    17.36    49.66    73.17    86.72    96.81     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.73     9.13   -12.72     0.00     0.07     0.36     1.26     6.41    11.53R    2.27  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.52     9.55     1.88     0.14     1.20     4.09     9.97    30.90     1.51R    0.21  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      52.08     9.54    -0.10     0.06     0.53     2.02     5.45    20.22     3.32R    0.52  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.12     8.67   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.29    30.84R    8.06  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.78     9.14    -5.14     0.02     0.14     0.73     2.37    11.13     5.88R    0.92  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.20     9.64    -5.11     0.02     0.19     0.86     2.56    11.53     8.00R    1.55  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.99     9.73     5.16     0.22     1.40     4.61    11.45    33.90     1.40R    0.17  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.77     8.96   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.75    47.07R   18.01  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.19     9.18   -12.11     0.01     0.03     0.16     0.61     3.96    17.35R    4.26  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.86     9.54   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.96    51.49R   22.75  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.70     8.89   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.49    51.28R   20.85  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.74     9.23    -6.46     0.01     0.09     0.48     1.57     8.04     9.31R    1.80  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.22     9.84    14.88     1.05     6.06    16.07    31.91    63.76     0.30R    0.04  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      41.90     9.70   -15.14     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.63     3.66    22.98R    6.65  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.41     9.19   -20.78     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.43    34.58R   11.41  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.72     9.99    -0.77     0.11     0.83     2.99     7.94    26.02     3.11R    0.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.51    11.57     3.56     3.45     8.37    32.36    13.17P    3.50R    0.58  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.68    11.99    15.69    11.37    23.08    56.32    31.19P    1.00R    0.15  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.04    10.84    -1.02     1.43     4.08    20.78     7.16P    5.09R    0.88  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.63    11.17    13.11     7.22    16.42    49.42    24.40P    1.01R    0.14  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.70    11.76    35.67    38.32    55.85    84.49    65.05P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.55    10.43    -7.36     0.39     1.20     9.13     2.64P   12.12R    2.63  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.53    11.31    15.07     8.12    18.47    52.89    27.97P    0.92R    0.11  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.17    12.24    14.55     9.80    20.25    51.59    29.06P    1.66R    0.26  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.35    12.51    -8.36     0.82     2.27    11.87     4.04P   19.59R    6.16  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.14    11.32     1.62     2.12     5.58    25.05    10.01P    5.01R    0.96  
Millwall          5    6   +1      63.02    10.67     2.75     1.05     3.04    18.51     6.75P    5.68R    1.05  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      61.95    10.77     0.24     0.87     2.65    16.03     5.78P    7.05R    1.40  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.07    10.59    -5.20     0.49     1.68    11.79     4.09P    9.71R    1.99  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.33    10.71   -22.22     0.09     0.34     3.36     0.83P   30.07R    9.22  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.67    11.49    -1.15     1.36     3.76    19.23     7.23P    7.89R    1.70  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.82    10.49   -14.09     0.07     0.31     3.40     0.91P   27.11R    8.02  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.37    10.84   -14.29     0.16     0.62     5.08     1.48P   23.46R    6.38  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      63.91    10.99     0.29     1.31     4.01    21.06     8.30P    5.47R    0.94  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.55    11.44     2.07     1.22     3.49    19.22     7.18P    7.69R    1.80  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.57    11.22    11.53     3.88     9.48    36.29    17.21P    2.38R    0.42  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.33    12.11    11.05     6.11    13.84    42.44    22.52P    2.40R    0.44  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.78    11.31   -11.31     0.29     1.00     7.20     2.35P   20.49R    5.97  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.55    10.35   -13.10     0.04     0.18     2.17     0.61P   34.11R   11.05  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.28    10.29   -29.07     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   66.48R   37.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 September 2011, Charlton vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          6   16  +10      81.17    10.96    25.66    14.21    31.04    74.85    42.20P    0.11R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        6   16  +10      90.32    11.31    40.01    44.39    64.40    92.41    73.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         6   14   +7      79.06    10.86    22.36    10.11    24.05    68.83    35.53P    0.22R    0.01  
Brentford        6   12   +5      68.59    10.84     7.61     1.52     5.07    31.37    10.75P    2.73R    0.23  
Tranmere         6   11   +3      64.22    10.49     0.80     0.51     2.06    17.89     5.27P    5.58R    0.53  
Hartlepool       6   10   +4      62.82    10.69     0.74     0.38     1.62    15.57     4.30P    7.73R    0.74  
Huddersfield     6   10   +4      78.82    10.98    25.34    10.04    23.99    68.66    38.19P    0.27R    0.02  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.39    11.91    23.17    12.85    27.23    68.11    39.35P    0.44R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        6   10   +1      70.14    10.98     8.64     2.21     6.71    36.91    13.80P    2.05R    0.15  
Carlisle         6   10   -1      64.10    10.74    -2.51     0.63     2.19    18.06     5.32P    6.41R    0.69  
Stevenage        6    9   +3      54.62    10.96   -10.91     0.09     0.37     4.82     1.17P   26.59R    4.92  
Notts_County     6    9   +2      62.44    10.76    -0.22     0.41     1.60    14.65     4.13P    8.68R    1.03  
Colchester       6    8   +2      67.68    11.01     9.11     1.38     4.47    29.05    10.21P    3.46R    0.31  
Walsall          6    8   +1      60.15    10.89    -3.52     0.26     1.01    11.07     2.80P   12.60R    1.72  
Oldham           6    7   -4      57.88    10.50    -9.96     0.07     0.47     6.70     1.59P   16.91R    2.62  
Bury             6    7   -4      53.21    11.19   -17.80     0.05     0.26     3.75     0.88P   32.15R    7.64  
Yeovil           6    5   -2      55.59    10.50    -8.24     0.06     0.31     4.78     1.22P   22.50R    3.89  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.32    11.21   -18.26     0.05     0.21     2.81     0.71P   38.37R   10.13  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -2      61.82    11.80     1.98     0.57     2.07    16.09     5.75P   11.41R    1.84  
Exeter           6    4   -5      50.81    10.41   -17.73     0.01     0.08     1.82     0.39P   38.65R    9.17  
Bournemouth      6    3   -8      57.38    10.77    -9.24     0.13     0.54     6.68     1.88P   18.47R    3.09  
Rochdale         6    2   -8      53.21    10.73   -14.20     0.05     0.20     3.18     0.82P   30.71R    6.60  
Chesterfield     6    2   -8      42.99    10.98   -31.35     0.01     0.02     0.54     0.11P   67.33R   31.43  
Leyton_Orient    6    1  -10      48.82    10.63   -21.50     0.01     0.04     1.39     0.34P   46.60R   13.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          6   13   +8      70.49    11.67    11.78     7.48    22.46    48.34    28.12P    1.18R    0.41  
Rotherham             6   13   +7      79.20    11.08    24.33    23.24    49.50    76.99    56.89P    0.09R    0.02  
Morecambe             6   13   +7      65.55    10.76     3.35     2.62    10.59    30.72    14.76P    2.18R    0.75  
Torquay               6   11   +3      73.25    10.88    14.03     9.59    28.36    58.33    36.14P    0.39R    0.12  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      74.79    10.56    15.26    11.04    32.48    64.09    41.26P    0.25R    0.08  
Gillingham            6   10   +1      71.03    10.84    10.31     6.41    21.41    49.99    28.81P    0.65R    0.18  
AFC_Wimbledon         6   10   +0      52.31    11.04   -20.68     0.20     1.05     5.43     1.76P   23.80R   12.77  
Dag_&_Red             6   10   +0      70.57    11.33     8.64     7.10    21.26    48.05    28.62P    0.89R    0.26  
Southend              6   10   -1      68.76    10.82     4.86     4.44    15.97    41.15    22.17P    1.26R    0.43  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +1      60.41    10.80    -4.68     0.92     4.46    16.70     6.84P    6.49R    2.74  
Cheltenham            6    9   +1      57.33    10.68    -9.39     0.39     2.20    10.36     3.67P   10.81R    5.06  
Port_Vale             6    8   +3      65.27    10.72     6.66     2.45     9.87    30.38    14.94P    2.44R    0.89  
Oxford_Utd            6    8   +0      59.49    10.53    -4.41     0.61     3.12    14.11     5.31P    7.14R    3.05  
Bristol_Rovers        6    8   -2      66.39    11.76     3.26     3.96    13.48    34.72    19.20P    2.85R    1.19  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   -2      62.08    10.83    -3.14     1.28     5.97    20.73     9.30P    4.75R    1.95  
Macclesfield          6    7   +2      55.41    10.53    -7.75     0.22     1.48     7.72     2.73P   13.71R    6.36  
Aldershot             6    7   -2      58.86    10.43    -5.98     0.48     2.82    12.80     5.05P    7.93R    3.32  
Swindon               6    6   +0      74.49    11.61    20.73    13.17    34.16    62.79    43.42P    0.52R    0.20  
Barnet                6    6   -3      50.48    10.58   -19.83     0.08     0.52     3.15     0.97P   28.02R   15.31  
Crewe                 6    6   -4      66.06    11.33     3.68     3.10    11.96    33.30    17.37P    2.84R    1.14  
Bradford              6    5   -1      50.95    10.29   -14.16     0.06     0.52     3.34     1.08P   24.88R   13.02  
Northampton           6    5   -3      57.76    10.81    -6.32     0.48     2.72    11.70     4.77P   10.16R    4.71  
Hereford              6    5   -7      48.11    10.10   -23.97     0.02     0.17     1.64     0.45P   35.92R   20.87  
Plymouth              6    1  -10      58.13    11.46    -6.59     0.66     3.48    13.46     6.37P   10.86R    5.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             7   19  +13      87.59    10.03    35.86    30.60    86.32    46.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           7   19  +10      73.64    10.37    11.82     3.44    37.78     9.05P    0.25R    0.01  
Kidderminster       7   13   +3      76.30    10.51    18.28     5.64    48.66    15.21P    0.12R    0.01  
Mansfield           7   12   +3      71.70    10.75    12.70     2.54    32.18     8.40P    0.56R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd       7   11   +1      66.50    10.19     4.61     0.74    15.87     3.66P    1.39R    0.14  
Darlington          7   11   +1      73.59    10.04    14.63     3.09    37.66    12.25P    0.21R    0.01  
Tamworth            7   11   +0      56.51    10.00   -12.10     0.06     2.77     0.43P   10.33R    1.53  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   -2      70.41    10.18     7.16     1.64    26.37     6.93P    0.53R    0.04  
Luton               6   10   +6      90.41     9.99    46.27    45.06    91.36    63.95P    0.00R    0.00  
York                6   10   +5      70.91    10.31    14.34     2.06    29.22     8.30P    0.42R    0.03  
Braintree_Town      7   10   +4      61.46    11.64     0.97     0.53    10.13     2.32P    6.59R    1.19  
Barrow              7   10   +2      57.56    10.13    -6.96     0.07     3.62     0.61P    8.75R    1.34  
Forest_Green        7    9   +5      58.34    10.29    -1.32     0.09     4.56     0.83P    7.64R    1.11  
Stockport           7    8   +0      71.37    11.01    15.29     2.70    32.18    10.52P    0.75R    0.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    8   -3      49.98    10.10   -22.32     0.01     0.71     0.11P   28.31R    6.89  
Southport           7    8   -6      48.80     9.99   -26.42     0.01     0.47     0.07P   32.69R    8.42  
AFC_Telford         6    7   -1      51.98    11.67   -17.03     0.08     2.31     0.43P   25.14R    7.25  
Grimsby             7    7   -7      64.28    10.46    -1.02     0.47    11.83     3.00P    2.84R    0.37  
Ebbsfleet_United    7    6   -2      47.84    11.04   -20.28     0.02     0.91     0.14P   37.01R   12.16  
Newport_County      7    5   -1      59.74    10.49     0.93     0.13     6.07     1.38P    6.33R    1.02  
Lincoln_City        7    5   -4      66.09    10.99     7.83     0.98    17.14     5.20P    2.32R    0.30  
Kettering           7    5   -8      53.67    10.25   -15.46     0.02     1.47     0.25P   17.51R    3.57  
Alfreton_Town       7    5  -11      38.27    10.44   -45.27     0.00     0.07     0.00P   72.72R   43.17  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.32    10.22   -22.50     0.00     0.35     0.05P   37.59R   11.29