Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.78     8.49    61.92    65.38    86.71    95.21    98.32    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.38     9.43    37.01    11.35    35.42    60.94    78.13    93.40     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.81     9.39    26.62     4.58    18.04    38.08    60.79    85.84     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.53     8.97    38.02    17.08    49.56    73.27    86.89    96.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.65     9.07   -12.87     0.01     0.08     0.37     1.23     6.49    11.41R    2.22  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.47     9.58     1.83     0.18     1.19     4.04     9.88    30.99     1.64R    0.21  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      51.88     9.40    -0.46     0.07     0.49     1.89     5.16    19.22     3.39R    0.54  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.13     8.75   -20.74     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.21     1.49    31.05R    8.29  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.87     9.12    -5.03     0.01     0.16     0.74     2.47    11.60     5.83R    0.85  
Bolton           3    3   +1      47.94     9.69    -5.51     0.02     0.19     0.86     2.50    11.06     8.57R    1.80  
Everton          2    3   +0      56.00     9.76     5.22     0.21     1.39     4.66    11.52    34.03     1.57R    0.21  
QPR              3    3   -5      36.14     9.11   -28.57     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.13     0.94    45.66R   17.09  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.28     9.17   -11.83     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.64     4.08    17.33R    3.96  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.96     9.65   -30.25     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.87    50.85R   22.85  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.48     8.90   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.53    52.52R   21.89  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.94     9.13    -6.12     0.01     0.07     0.45     1.65     8.11     8.74R    1.65  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.16     9.72    14.73     1.00     5.80    15.78    31.34    63.62     0.28R    0.04  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      41.86     9.63   -15.15     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.66     3.71    22.97R    6.65  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.27     9.10   -20.94     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.34    35.07R   11.28  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.75     9.99    -0.69     0.10     0.79     3.16     8.11    25.97     3.10R    0.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.49    11.61     3.52     3.64     8.41    31.97    13.31P    3.40R    0.53  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.19    12.09    14.95    10.90    21.92    54.69    29.81P    1.20R    0.19  
Derby             5   12   +5      63.98    10.79    -1.12     1.42     3.87    20.75     6.86P    5.26R    0.92  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.39    11.31    12.77     7.48    16.30    48.65    23.93P    1.11R    0.12  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.57    11.76    35.32    37.75    55.64    84.13    65.02P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.63    10.50    -7.26     0.37     1.27     9.56     2.70P   12.12R    2.52  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.85    11.22    15.56     8.50    19.22    54.08    28.71P    0.80R    0.12  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.13    12.12    14.51     9.71    20.02    51.37    28.88P    1.45R    0.21  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.41    12.62    -8.22     0.94     2.48    12.21     4.32P   19.47R    6.40  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.11    11.26     1.62     2.00     5.38    24.93     9.78P    4.85R    0.91  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.92    10.69     2.60     0.96     3.14    18.51     6.80P    5.87R    1.06  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      62.03    10.71     0.33     0.91     2.68    16.13     5.78P    6.98R    1.29  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.13    10.49    -5.09     0.48     1.57    11.86     3.73P    9.38R    1.92  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.58    10.80   -21.82     0.10     0.37     3.69     0.97P   29.72R    9.20  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.88    11.53    -0.87     1.48     4.04    19.84     7.81P    7.73R    1.69  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.24    10.60   -14.88     0.08     0.27     3.24     0.79P   29.33R    9.12  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.46    10.77   -14.10     0.18     0.62     5.10     1.56P   22.97R    6.24  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      63.99    10.91     0.37     1.38     3.94    21.13     8.36P    5.33R    0.90  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.32    11.48     1.76     1.17     3.58    18.85     7.12P    8.24R    1.86  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.80    11.31    11.92     4.10    10.26    36.97    18.22P    2.38R    0.36  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.47    11.94    11.23     6.09    13.81    42.63    22.61P    2.33R    0.41  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.83    11.27   -11.17     0.32     1.04     7.33     2.32P   20.21R    5.81  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.47    10.30   -13.15     0.04     0.15     2.05     0.54P   34.06R   11.19  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.46    10.33   -28.82     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   65.70R   36.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          6   16  +10      81.37    11.10    25.93    14.15    31.09    74.96    42.43P    0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   16  +10      90.71    11.34    40.68    44.78    64.94    92.47    74.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.32    11.25    23.83    12.27    27.60    71.80    38.99P    0.19R    0.01  
Brentford        6   12   +5      68.91    10.74     8.06     1.37     5.00    31.87    10.82P    2.52R    0.17  
Tranmere         6   11   +3      64.52    10.47     1.19     0.50     2.01    18.61     5.20P    5.24R    0.45  
Hartlepool       6   10   +4      62.61    10.67     0.36     0.38     1.55    14.94     4.12P    7.92R    0.82  
Huddersfield     6   10   +4      78.87    10.86    25.43     9.54    23.20    68.51    37.30P    0.30R    0.02  
Preston          5   10   +3      78.73    11.95    22.17    11.02    24.55    66.20    36.94P    0.55R    0.03  
Carlisle         6   10   -1      64.19    10.65    -2.33     0.53     2.04    17.90     5.26P    6.12R    0.63  
Stevenage        6    9   +3      54.39    10.96   -11.42     0.09     0.32     4.66     1.15P   27.21R    5.14  
Notts_County     6    9   +2      62.48    10.71    -0.13     0.39     1.42    14.67     3.93P    8.29R    0.91  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      69.99    11.35     7.80     2.56     7.32    36.31    14.06P    2.55R    0.26  
Colchester       6    8   +2      67.65    11.01     9.04     1.25     4.21    29.01     9.81P    3.54R    0.35  
Walsall          6    8   +1      59.75    10.73    -4.11     0.17     0.80     9.84     2.51P   13.00R    1.77  
Oldham           6    7   -4      57.90    10.48    -9.94     0.09     0.42     6.87     1.55P   16.72R    2.43  
Bury             6    7   -4      53.47    11.24   -17.39     0.05     0.26     4.03     0.89P   31.23R    7.31  
Yeovil           6    5   -2      55.85    10.52    -7.89     0.03     0.25     5.08     1.17P   21.53R    3.67  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.12    11.36   -18.76     0.05     0.21     2.93     0.72P   39.19R   10.27  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -2      61.92    11.75     2.17     0.59     2.03    15.94     5.54P   11.11R    1.81  
Exeter           6    4   -5      50.89    10.47   -17.64     0.01     0.08     1.90     0.43P   38.31R    8.71  
Bournemouth      6    3   -8      57.20    10.84    -9.56     0.14     0.46     6.47     1.78P   19.10R    3.33  
Rochdale         6    2   -8      53.31    10.79   -14.02     0.03     0.18     3.36     0.83P   30.28R    6.67  
Chesterfield     6    2   -8      42.57    10.95   -32.17     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.12P   68.87R   32.68  
Leyton_Orient    6    1  -10      48.88    10.62   -21.33     0.01     0.05     1.24     0.34P   46.09R   12.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          6   13   +8      70.73    11.68    12.11     7.86    22.61    49.10    28.46P    1.16R    0.40  
Rotherham             6   13   +7      79.32    11.03    24.48    23.20    49.93    77.62    57.50P    0.11R    0.03  
Morecambe             6   13   +7      65.30    10.72     3.00     2.36     9.82    30.09    13.96P    2.30R    0.86  
Torquay               6   11   +3      73.16    10.87    13.96     9.51    28.15    57.81    36.07P    0.44R    0.15  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      74.90    10.71    15.45    11.50    33.30    64.17    41.86P    0.29R    0.08  
Gillingham            6   10   +1      70.88    10.85    10.09     6.38    20.93    49.40    28.18P    0.76R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon         6   10   +0      52.41    11.02   -20.58     0.18     1.11     5.45     1.85P   23.27R   12.45  
Dag_&_Red             6   10   +0      70.68    11.22     8.81     6.68    21.39    48.77    29.01P    0.96R    0.27  
Southend              6   10   -1      68.69    10.77     4.80     4.21    15.71    41.12    22.04P    1.27R    0.42  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +1      60.07    10.87    -5.17     0.82     4.06    15.98     6.28P    7.10R    3.08  
Cheltenham            6    9   +1      57.45    10.61    -9.26     0.40     2.33    10.39     3.69P   10.54R    4.85  
Port_Vale             6    8   +3      65.23    10.85     6.61     2.50    10.09    30.33    15.10P    2.45R    0.84  
Oxford_Utd            6    8   +0      59.85    10.54    -3.82     0.58     3.47    15.04     5.77P    6.64R    2.72  
Bristol_Rovers        6    8   -2      66.19    11.62     2.92     3.62    12.90    33.85    18.43P    2.77R    1.06  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   -2      62.14    10.78    -3.13     1.20     5.77    20.74     9.12P    4.69R    1.81  
Macclesfield          6    7   +2      55.48    10.56    -7.70     0.25     1.60     7.92     2.77P   13.56R    6.42  
Aldershot             6    7   -2      58.65    10.50    -6.22     0.51     2.87    12.61     5.06P    8.13R    3.43  
Swindon               6    6   +0      74.66    11.59    21.02    13.69    34.59    62.99    43.91P    0.49R    0.18  
Barnet                6    6   -3      50.48    10.43   -19.89     0.07     0.52     3.13     0.97P   27.58R   15.23  
Crewe                 6    6   -4      66.31    11.16     4.13     3.16    11.92    33.93    17.49P    2.56R    1.00  
Bradford              6    5   -1      50.77    10.34   -14.42     0.05     0.46     3.16     1.00P   25.67R   13.66  
Northampton           6    5   -3      57.60    10.81    -6.63     0.54     2.65    11.17     4.60P   10.57R    4.82  
Hereford              6    5   -7      48.00    10.09   -24.14     0.01     0.23     1.65     0.47P   36.14R   21.05  
Plymouth              6    1  -10      58.24    11.42    -6.44     0.72     3.60    13.62     6.40P   10.56R    4.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 September 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             7   19  +13      87.68    10.15    35.98    31.27    86.08    47.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           7   19  +10      73.56    10.46    11.68     3.75    37.53     9.29P    0.24R    0.01  
Kidderminster       7   13   +3      76.60    10.51    18.69     6.10    49.93    15.97P    0.17R    0.02  
Mansfield           7   12   +3      71.56    10.63    12.50     2.37    31.43     7.96P    0.53R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd       7   11   +1      66.46    10.18     4.50     0.76    15.86     3.77P    1.34R    0.11  
Darlington          7   11   +1      73.83    10.11    14.92     3.34    38.93    12.58P    0.19R    0.01  
Tamworth            7   11   +0      56.28    10.04   -12.47     0.07     2.67     0.39P   10.90R    1.75  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   -2      70.40    10.24     7.17     1.64    26.31     7.15P    0.52R    0.06  
Luton               6   10   +6      90.16     9.97    45.82    43.70    91.08    62.81P    0.00     0.00  
York                6   10   +5      70.95    10.42    14.44     2.09    29.54     8.68P    0.50R    0.04  
Braintree_Town      7   10   +4      61.39    11.55     0.84     0.48     9.86     2.17P    6.57R    1.13  
Barrow              7   10   +2      57.36    10.18    -7.27     0.07     3.53     0.64P    9.22R    1.38  
Forest_Green        7    9   +5      58.39    10.29    -1.16     0.13     4.69     0.77P    7.60R    1.15  
Stockport           7    8   +0      71.28    11.02    15.13     2.62    31.90    10.31P    0.75R    0.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    8   -3      50.05    10.14   -22.21     0.01     0.79     0.11P   28.17R    6.70  
Southport           7    8   -6      48.99     9.95   -26.14     0.00     0.49     0.05P   31.93R    8.16  
AFC_Telford         6    7   -1      52.04    11.68   -16.85     0.07     2.32     0.45P   25.05R    7.09  
Grimsby             7    7   -7      64.05    10.44    -1.40     0.41    11.26     2.70P    3.03R    0.37  
Ebbsfleet_United    7    6   -2      48.12    11.12   -19.73     0.02     0.86     0.15P   36.27R   11.72  
Newport_County      7    5   -1      60.25    10.59     1.71     0.23     6.89     1.72P    6.03R    0.94  
Lincoln_City        7    5   -4      65.70    10.97     7.19     0.84    16.12     4.70P    2.52R    0.32  
Kettering           7    5   -8      53.65    10.26   -15.50     0.03     1.50     0.27P   17.73R    3.82  
Alfreton_Town       7    5  -11      37.98    10.27   -45.61     0.00     0.06     0.01P   73.82R   44.26  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.47    10.11   -22.22     0.00     0.38     0.05P   36.93R   10.81