Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 September 2011 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.74     8.58    61.79    64.99    86.01    94.85    98.19    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.36     9.46    36.97    11.19    35.54    60.74    78.00    93.40     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.58     9.50    26.27     4.54    17.72    37.74    59.95    84.86     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.52     9.06    37.97    17.49    49.83    73.35    86.68    96.85     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.78     9.10   -12.61     0.00     0.06     0.36     1.22     6.44    11.43R    2.17  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.68     9.64     2.23     0.20     1.28     4.29    10.40    32.00     1.61R    0.18  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      51.99     9.50    -0.33     0.08     0.49     1.88     5.50    19.94     3.36R    0.48  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.14     8.73   -20.80     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.52    30.84R    8.29  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.71     9.05    -5.29     0.01     0.17     0.67     2.37    11.05     5.93R    0.87  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.00     9.64    -5.38     0.01     0.14     0.74     2.41    11.34     8.19R    1.62  
Everton          2    3   +0      56.12     9.70     5.35     0.26     1.59     4.93    11.77    34.14     1.34R    0.15  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.83     9.07   -29.02     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.76    47.09R   17.93  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.28     9.19   -11.91     0.00     0.05     0.19     0.63     4.00    17.30R    4.16  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.95     9.68   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.98    50.97R   22.98  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.53     8.90   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.55    52.11R   21.36  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.88     9.17    -6.22     0.01     0.09     0.45     1.48     8.00     8.89R    1.76  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.23     9.85    14.93     1.11     6.10    16.47    32.08    63.61     0.28R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.05     9.70   -14.90     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.75     3.95    22.85R    6.42  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.44     9.13   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.19     1.36    34.55R   11.05  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.62     9.99    -0.92     0.09     0.87     2.99     7.85    25.51     3.24R    0.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.85    11.75     4.02     3.93     9.33    32.89    14.12P    3.21R    0.51  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.58    12.09    15.55    11.58    22.93    55.84    30.80P    0.99R    0.17  
Derby             5   12   +5      63.96    10.87    -1.16     1.38     3.99    20.76     6.96P    5.34R    0.90  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.58    11.21    12.98     7.30    16.37    49.09    23.95P    0.99R    0.12  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.25    11.85    35.03    37.11    54.47    83.48    64.01P    0.13R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.50    10.38    -7.47     0.37     1.18     8.87     2.45P   11.90R    2.57  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.83    11.27    15.49     8.69    19.33    53.86    28.91P    0.80R    0.11  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.08    12.06    14.42     9.50    19.48    51.33    28.47P    1.39R    0.23  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.24    12.49    -8.47     0.89     2.44    11.82     4.30P   19.63R    6.15  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.46    11.31     2.07     2.23     5.85    25.66    10.41P    4.72R    0.86  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.92    10.76     2.68     1.15     3.21    18.46     6.80P    6.00R    1.05  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      62.19    10.73     0.52     0.87     2.68    16.49     5.94P    6.89R    1.29  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.11    10.58    -5.15     0.57     1.72    11.75     3.96P    9.44R    1.97  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.23    10.84   -22.39     0.09     0.36     3.47     0.86P   30.81R    9.97  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.80    11.44    -0.93     1.41     3.96    19.46     7.54P    7.67R    1.71  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.69    10.53   -14.31     0.08     0.34     3.45     0.94P   27.57R    8.40  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.29    10.74   -14.34     0.16     0.52     4.92     1.41P   23.33R    6.32  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      63.92    10.86     0.29     1.22     3.70    20.73     8.13P    5.29R    0.95  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.34    11.45     1.80     1.19     3.54    18.80     6.98P    8.10R    1.75  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.60    11.26    11.62     3.99     9.72    36.10    17.48P    2.36R    0.42  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.58    11.95    11.46     5.99    13.82    43.22    22.73P    2.33R    0.42  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.64    11.31   -11.53     0.23     0.91     7.23     2.28P   20.85R    6.11  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.40    10.30   -13.32     0.04     0.13     1.97     0.51P   34.36R   11.08  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.40    10.28   -28.87     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.07P   65.90R   36.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          6   16  +10      81.25    10.97    25.73    13.66    29.99    74.84    41.42P    0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        6   16  +10      90.47    11.31    40.32    43.53    64.07    92.17    73.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.30    11.24    23.76    12.31    27.49    71.75    38.84P    0.20R    0.01  
Brentford        6   12   +5      68.89    10.70     8.05     1.41     4.93    31.66    10.53P    2.32R    0.18  
Tranmere         6   11   +3      64.43    10.46     1.05     0.50     1.89    18.07     5.12P    5.41R    0.46  
Hartlepool       6   10   +4      62.74    10.70     0.58     0.39     1.56    15.26     4.09P    7.89R    0.80  
Huddersfield     6   10   +4      79.19    10.84    25.89    10.11    23.90    69.47    38.22P    0.22R    0.01  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.30    12.01    23.07    12.14    26.13    67.56    38.48P    0.51R    0.03  
Carlisle         6   10   -1      63.92    10.85    -2.84     0.58     2.06    17.54     5.20P    6.83R    0.77  
Stevenage        6    9   +3      54.36    10.99   -11.39     0.09     0.33     4.75     1.15P   27.36R    5.25  
Notts_County     6    9   +2      62.12    10.64    -0.67     0.35     1.31    13.48     3.63P    8.64R    0.95  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.08    11.29     7.97     2.44     7.18    36.44    14.03P    2.33R    0.21  
Colchester       6    8   +2      67.82    10.95     9.25     1.30     4.34    29.18    10.15P    3.33R    0.27  
Walsall          6    8   +1      59.99    10.73    -3.81     0.20     0.81    10.12     2.57P   12.25R    1.68  
Oldham           6    7   -4      57.89    10.42   -10.03     0.09     0.37     6.53     1.46P   16.79R    2.49  
Bury             6    7   -4      53.07    11.15   -18.04     0.04     0.22     3.66     0.82P   32.14R    7.87  
Yeovil           6    5   -2      55.63    10.51    -8.24     0.06     0.28     4.71     1.15P   22.32R    3.78  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.43    11.17   -18.27     0.04     0.17     2.88     0.65P   37.70R    9.47  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -2      62.07    11.80     2.33     0.58     2.10    16.31     5.67P   10.95R    1.73  
Exeter           6    4   -5      50.86    10.49   -17.69     0.02     0.07     1.82     0.33P   38.42R    9.11  
Bournemouth      6    3   -8      57.39    10.91    -9.29     0.12     0.55     6.95     2.05P   18.60R    3.31  
Rochdale         6    2   -8      53.05    10.76   -14.41     0.03     0.18     3.08     0.77P   31.04R    6.92  
Chesterfield     6    2   -8      42.83    10.95   -31.72     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.13P   67.94R   31.78  
Leyton_Orient    6    1  -10      48.74    10.61   -21.61     0.01     0.04     1.24     0.28P   46.67R   12.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          6   13   +8      70.46    11.57    11.72     7.29    21.99    48.25    27.76P    1.14R    0.40  
Rotherham             6   13   +7      79.29    10.99    24.49    23.38    50.03    77.36    57.43P    0.08R    0.02  
Morecambe             6   13   +7      65.61    10.74     3.49     2.72    10.35    30.95    14.41P    2.04R    0.72  
Torquay               6   11   +3      73.37    11.00    14.29    10.06    28.72    58.36    36.29P    0.50R    0.16  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      74.74    10.62    15.18    11.18    32.11    63.60    40.92P    0.21R    0.06  
Gillingham            6   10   +1      70.99    10.79    10.26     6.36    21.27    49.56    28.56P    0.69R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon         6   10   +0      52.23    11.07   -20.87     0.21     1.10     5.26     1.85P   23.89R   12.89  
Dag_&_Red             6   10   +0      70.71    11.39     8.84     6.96    21.80    48.73    29.07P    0.90R    0.32  
Southend              6   10   -1      68.59    10.80     4.63     4.27    15.38    40.69    21.52P    1.28R    0.43  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +1      60.22    10.81    -4.97     0.83     4.25    16.08     6.61P    6.85R    2.95  
Cheltenham            6    9   +1      57.40    10.62    -9.36     0.39     2.26    10.43     3.73P   10.67R    4.85  
Port_Vale             6    8   +3      65.34    10.71     6.74     2.43    10.04    30.36    15.32P    2.23R    0.87  
Oxford_Utd            6    8   +0      59.89    10.55    -3.89     0.59     3.48    15.14     5.97P    6.57R    2.74  
Bristol_Rovers        6    8   -2      66.45    11.70     3.34     3.87    13.41    34.67    19.04P    2.72R    1.05  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   -2      62.39    10.78    -2.73     1.35     6.11    21.33     9.66P    4.33R    1.70  
Macclesfield          6    7   +2      55.19    10.50    -8.13     0.23     1.43     7.51     2.59P   14.08R    6.62  
Aldershot             6    7   -2      58.53    10.53    -6.42     0.52     2.83    12.38     5.05P    8.36R    3.52  
Swindon               6    6   +0      74.46    11.61    20.76    13.11    34.38    62.83    43.57P    0.57R    0.19  
Barnet                6    6   -3      50.44    10.53   -19.92     0.07     0.54     3.17     1.04P   27.99R   15.25  
Crewe                 6    6   -4      66.25    11.25     4.01     3.02    11.94    34.04    17.42P    2.70R    1.04  
Bradford              6    5   -1      50.80    10.34   -14.40     0.07     0.52     3.20     1.01P   25.61R   13.52  
Northampton           6    5   -3      57.67    10.70    -6.52     0.42     2.37    11.29     4.40P   10.15R    4.64  
Hereford              6    5   -7      48.11    10.04   -23.94     0.01     0.17     1.50     0.39P   35.49R   20.59  
Plymouth              6    1  -10      58.11    11.41    -6.62     0.64     3.51    13.30     6.37P   10.93R    5.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 September 2011, Braintree_Town vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             7   19  +13      88.11    10.16    36.69    32.19    86.74    48.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           7   19  +10      73.65    10.41    11.86     3.43    37.78     9.04P    0.22R    0.01  
Kidderminster       7   13   +3      76.56    10.58    18.65     5.98    49.32    16.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Mansfield           7   12   +3      71.53    10.63    12.44     2.50    31.11     8.03P    0.52R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd       7   11   +1      66.52    10.20     4.60     0.70    15.87     3.77P    1.28R    0.13  
Darlington          7   11   +1      73.59    10.00    14.61     2.94    37.65    11.89P    0.18R    0.01  
Tamworth            6   11   +1      58.04    10.39   -11.05     0.12     4.30     0.74P    8.45R    1.42  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   -2      70.35    10.25     7.16     1.47    26.11     6.87P    0.56R    0.03  
Luton               6   10   +6      90.31    10.02    46.10    43.53    91.03    62.98P    0.00     0.00  
York                6   10   +5      71.04    10.33    14.57     2.12    29.61     8.44P    0.42R    0.04  
Braintree_Town      7   10   +4      61.33    11.74     0.69     0.55    10.24     2.40P    6.50R    1.22  
Barrow              7   10   +2      57.44    10.14    -7.22     0.09     3.49     0.67P    8.52R    1.39  
Forest_Green        7    9   +5      58.43    10.45    -1.21     0.13     4.64     0.87P    7.78R    1.24  
Stockport           7    8   +0      71.28    11.06    15.14     2.66    31.62    10.22P    0.74R    0.09  
Southport           7    8   -6      48.98    10.00   -26.27     0.01     0.55     0.08P   31.18R    7.76  
AFC_Telford         6    7   -1      51.59    11.75   -17.62     0.07     2.25     0.44P   26.05R    7.67  
Grimsby             7    7   -7      64.30    10.39    -0.95     0.47    11.48     2.69P    2.72R    0.34  
Ebbsfleet_United    7    6   -2      48.22    11.07   -19.60     0.01     0.89     0.14P   35.21R   11.06  
Newport_County      7    5   -1      60.09    10.46     1.54     0.17     6.44     1.49P    5.53R    0.81  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    5   -4      47.82    10.54   -24.53     0.00     0.55     0.08P   36.03R   10.44  
Lincoln_City        7    5   -4      65.85    10.94     7.39     0.85    16.41     4.69P    2.23R    0.30  
Kettering           7    5   -8      53.53    10.29   -15.72     0.03     1.50     0.25P   17.50R    3.75  
Alfreton_Town       7    5  -11      38.52    10.39   -44.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.53R   41.38  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.27    10.16   -22.48     0.00     0.34     0.04P   36.73R   10.85