Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.83     8.46    62.02    65.26    86.98    95.26    98.31    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.49     9.46    37.21    11.36    35.73    61.19    78.54    93.40     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.63     9.40    26.32     4.41    17.46    37.53    60.23    85.28     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.52     9.07    38.03    17.39    49.43    73.06    86.58    96.77     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.57     9.11   -12.97     0.01     0.07     0.35     1.24     6.20    11.82R    2.44  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.70     9.51     2.21     0.22     1.24     4.10     9.99    31.66     1.52R    0.20  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      51.81     9.52    -0.62     0.05     0.51     1.89     5.25    19.32     3.65R    0.53  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.19     8.71   -20.58     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.18     1.44    30.53R    8.14  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.74     9.08    -5.21     0.01     0.14     0.69     2.23    11.12     5.97R    0.93  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.13     9.61    -5.21     0.02     0.15     0.78     2.57    11.29     7.96R    1.58  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.99     9.68     5.16     0.17     1.33     4.69    11.37    33.91     1.42R    0.21  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.96     9.04   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.74    46.50R   17.82  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.30     9.23   -11.94     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.67     4.00    17.28R    4.06  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.82     9.60   -30.55     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.15     0.89    51.40R   22.82  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.74     8.90   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.60    51.17R   20.85  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.66     9.22    -6.43     0.00     0.10     0.47     1.52     7.71     9.38R    1.86  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.37     9.65    15.17     1.01     6.03    16.46    32.35    64.65     0.28R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      41.86     9.60   -15.18     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.60     3.71    23.02R    6.44  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.26     9.11   -21.07     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.31    35.03R   11.53  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.80     9.93    -0.62     0.07     0.74     3.01     7.86    26.23     3.04R    0.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.85    11.57     4.02     3.73     8.98    33.10    13.67P    3.20R    0.50  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.29    12.05    15.12    10.93    21.95    54.86    30.03P    1.04R    0.17  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.13    10.73    -0.99     1.47     3.94    20.81     7.02P    4.90R    0.79  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.36    11.27    12.69     7.06    16.22    48.54    23.89P    1.09R    0.14  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.62    11.86    35.51    38.42    55.76    84.22    64.86P    0.09R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.72    10.48    -7.14     0.41     1.23     9.67     2.72P   11.86R    2.47  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.73    11.26    15.39     8.52    18.88    53.65    28.39P    0.84R    0.11  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      72.99    11.95    14.22     8.91    19.06    51.09    28.12P    1.57R    0.29  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.44    12.40    -8.23     0.90     2.31    11.54     4.01P   18.87R    6.04  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.29    11.35     1.81     2.16     5.75    25.57    10.42P    4.73R    0.91  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.98    10.71     2.70     1.05     3.27    18.66     7.00P    5.91R    1.08  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      61.86    10.71     0.10     0.85     2.49    15.58     5.54P    7.38R    1.38  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.22    10.53    -5.02     0.55     1.72    11.74     3.96P    9.44R    1.94  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.41    10.81   -22.12     0.11     0.36     3.58     0.92P   30.06R    9.60  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.66    11.38    -1.16     1.34     3.89    18.94     7.31P    7.65R    1.66  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.43    10.52   -14.64     0.10     0.34     3.31     0.91P   28.67R    8.75  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.39    10.83   -14.21     0.15     0.58     5.07     1.47P   23.25R    6.50  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.00    10.99     0.36     1.36     4.06    21.31     8.55P    5.37R    0.93  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.61    11.44     2.15     1.23     3.75    19.40     7.52P    7.85R    1.77  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.69    11.24    11.77     4.14    10.02    36.59    17.70P    2.35R    0.38  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.55    12.04    11.41     6.27    14.25    43.07    23.05P    2.41R    0.44  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.61    11.34   -11.58     0.31     1.03     7.29     2.36P   20.99R    5.92  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.40    10.36   -13.34     0.04     0.16     2.04     0.51P   34.51R   11.46  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.41    10.25   -28.80     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.09P   65.97R   36.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      78.21    11.37    21.50    11.11    23.71    64.71    34.34P    0.44R    0.00  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.60    11.22    24.20    14.78    30.42    72.45    41.33P    0.25R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.41    11.83    32.25    32.41    50.90    85.06    61.29P    0.11R    0.00  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.29    11.91    23.06    14.02    27.91    67.22    39.50P    0.46R    0.03  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      64.98    10.92     1.20     0.99     2.94    20.20     6.31P    5.91R    0.47  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.53    11.01     1.15     1.42     4.10    24.50     8.16P    4.63R    0.42  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.46    11.05     5.81     1.39     4.07    24.72     8.57P    4.52R    0.37  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.63    11.11    27.65    15.49    31.00    72.87    44.44P    0.22R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.69    11.32     8.95     3.24     8.57    38.28    15.44P    2.42R    0.23  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.78    11.13    -2.25     0.49     1.68    14.18     4.16P   10.60R    1.34  
Colchester       5    7   +2      68.13    11.34     9.18     1.93     5.46    30.58    11.23P    3.74R    0.36  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      60.16    10.97    -2.90     0.34     1.18    10.96     3.09P   13.09R    1.76  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.92    11.62    -9.99     0.26     0.84     7.68     2.08P   22.39R    4.32  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      50.99    11.01   -15.39     0.04     0.19     2.46     0.60P   39.29R    9.45  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.39    10.93    -4.24     0.26     0.89     9.40     2.63P   14.69R    2.10  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.41    10.78   -11.30     0.13     0.55     6.49     1.62P   19.17R    3.01  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.30    11.19   -18.32     0.03     0.18     2.66     0.62P   38.68R    9.86  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.37    10.71    -9.29     0.08     0.29     4.64     1.13P   24.21R    4.39  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.32    10.97   -14.06     0.07     0.29     3.56     0.82P   31.36R    6.34  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.60    12.30     2.63     1.06     2.98    18.24     6.73P   11.73R    1.86  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.13    11.24    -4.98     0.33     1.26    11.27     3.68P   13.86R    2.15  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      56.03    11.00    -9.59     0.11     0.46     5.69     1.65P   23.07R    4.25  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.54    11.37   -33.58     0.01     0.04     0.61     0.13P   69.00R   33.92  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.16    10.96   -21.68     0.02     0.10     1.58     0.43P   46.18R   13.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      81.02    11.25    25.88    27.34    54.48    80.59    61.41P    0.05R    0.01  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.05    11.03     3.73     2.86    11.08    31.73    15.10P    1.83R    0.61  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.68    11.94     4.13     3.33    12.14    32.00    16.50P    3.07R    1.19  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.08    11.17    12.28     8.92    27.05    56.20    34.57P    0.46R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      73.82    11.76    12.40    10.85    29.85    58.20    37.47P    0.52R    0.18  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      59.00    11.10    -7.90     0.74     3.55    13.86     5.41P    7.78R    3.20  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.23    11.08     5.12     4.70    16.82    42.02    23.08P    0.94R    0.30  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      68.01    10.86     9.73     3.64    14.12    38.74    20.35P    1.12R    0.37  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      61.88    10.81    -0.81     1.05     5.22    19.59     8.29P    4.15R    1.52  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      70.89    11.80    11.05     7.50    22.64    48.90    29.80P    0.95R    0.31  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.61    10.82    13.51     7.70    25.02    55.03    33.38P    0.46R    0.12  
Torquay               5    8   +0      70.06    11.32     8.77     5.77    19.30    45.58    25.98P    0.97R    0.32  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.24    10.89    -2.36     0.61     2.95    12.67     4.83P    7.59R    2.98  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      49.22    11.26   -23.26     0.11     0.65     3.26     1.08P   30.84R   16.92  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      62.89    11.12    -2.51     1.49     6.75    22.46    10.38P    3.85R    1.46  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.27    11.05    -7.81     0.50     2.53    10.88     4.23P   10.07R    4.48  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.50    10.82   -20.54     0.07     0.55     3.45     1.09P   25.65R   13.36  
Bradford              5    4   -1      51.01    10.60   -14.40     0.07     0.54     3.58     1.15P   22.67R   11.08  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.73    11.11    -6.68     0.52     2.79    11.85     4.81P    9.27R    4.01  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.55    10.84    -7.87     0.34     1.90     9.56     3.52P   10.65R    4.58  
Swindon               5    3   -1      71.81    11.84    17.95     8.64    25.84    53.29    34.84P    0.97R    0.37  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.35    11.63     0.03     1.83     7.97    25.37    12.25P    4.35R    1.75  
Hereford              5    2   -8      44.70    10.27   -27.63     0.02     0.08     0.81     0.21P   45.52R   28.08  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      61.28    11.87    -2.80     1.41     6.18    20.37    10.27P    6.27R    2.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 September 2011, Stockport vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             6   16  +11      85.27    10.36    32.83    24.02    79.71    39.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           6   16   +8      71.95    10.70     9.73     2.97    32.42     7.75P    0.45R    0.03  
Kidderminster       6   13   +5      78.49    10.75    21.59     9.38    56.97    20.45P    0.08R    0.01  
Darlington          6   11   +3      76.95    10.28    19.43     6.47    51.04    18.40P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth            6   11   +1      58.26    10.32   -10.84     0.15     4.23     0.66P    8.02R    1.27  
Luton               6   10   +6      90.11    10.09    45.89    44.84    90.69    63.36P    0.00     0.00  
York                6   10   +5      71.18    10.35    14.72     2.35    30.20     8.88P    0.42R    0.04  
Forest_Green        6    9   +6      60.65    10.77     0.98     0.31     7.65     1.45P    5.49R    0.77  
Mansfield           6    9   +1      67.89    10.86     7.28     1.32    20.91     5.06P    1.48R    0.15  
Cambridge_Utd       6    8   +0      64.07    10.39     2.33     0.44    11.30     2.55P    2.57R    0.30  
Stockport           7    8   +0      71.43    10.96    15.37     2.85    32.00    10.36P    0.66R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town      6    8   -3      67.89    10.39     4.92     1.04    19.27     4.93P    1.08R    0.11  
Braintree_Town      6    7   +3      58.37    12.28    -2.65     0.41     7.57     1.78P   11.75R    2.93  
Barrow              6    7   +1      54.70    10.40   -10.01     0.04     2.17     0.37P   14.65R    2.89  
AFC_Telford         5    7   +0      54.38    12.00   -13.92     0.18     3.83     0.75P   19.55R    5.42  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    6   -1      50.75    11.49   -16.85     0.07     1.81     0.34P   27.89R    8.15  
Newport_County      6    5   +0      62.83    10.82     4.56     0.54    10.69     2.73P    3.73R    0.54  
Lincoln_City        6    5   -3      68.88    11.50    11.03     2.18    25.30     7.91P    1.50R    0.26  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    5   -4      47.63    10.36   -24.93     0.01     0.51     0.07P   36.56R   11.10  
Southport           6    5   -7      46.70    10.14   -28.09     0.00     0.29     0.05P   40.27R   12.36  
Kettering           6    5   -7      55.40    10.46   -13.80     0.05     2.41     0.44P   13.92R    2.88  
Alfreton_Town       6    5   -9      39.72    10.91   -43.47     0.01     0.14     0.02P   67.36R   37.92  
Grimsby             6    4   -8      61.89    10.68    -3.25     0.37     8.52     2.06P    4.70R    0.83  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.11    10.18   -22.85     0.00     0.37     0.06P   37.76R   11.97