Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 September 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.66     8.64    61.79    64.56    85.66    94.72    98.17    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.73     9.45    37.58    11.93    36.76    62.38    79.20    93.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.58     9.43    26.26     4.44    17.65    37.42    60.15    84.86     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.53     9.05    38.03    17.36    49.55    73.05    86.77    96.76     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.66     9.12   -12.80     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.21     6.20    11.68R    2.36  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.65     9.56     2.16     0.19     1.28     4.15    10.16    31.46     1.53R    0.18  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      52.06     9.53    -0.15     0.09     0.58     2.07     5.47    19.85     3.44R    0.52  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.00     8.71   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.36    31.01R    8.60  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.77     9.07    -5.18     0.01     0.15     0.68     2.30    11.08     5.89R    0.90  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.13     9.72    -5.20     0.03     0.16     0.85     2.63    11.56     8.22R    1.63  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.93     9.66     5.07     0.24     1.39     4.43    10.99    33.49     1.44R    0.16  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.69     8.96   -29.30     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.73    47.64R   17.90  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.35     9.13   -11.73     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.66     4.11    16.70R    3.75  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.73     9.64   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.97    51.64R   23.05  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.48     8.89   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.54    52.23R   21.38  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.94     9.22    -6.14     0.01     0.08     0.46     1.62     8.24     9.07R    1.75  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.09     9.71    14.74     1.00     5.71    15.87    31.39    63.60     0.25R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.10     9.68   -14.72     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.74     4.04    22.10R    6.13  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.47     9.14   -20.66     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.42    34.12R   11.16  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.81     9.93    -0.60     0.13     0.86     3.04     7.91    26.07     3.02R    0.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.64    11.66     3.74     3.43     8.56    32.22    13.36P    3.33R    0.54  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.65    12.16    15.69    11.47    22.93    55.65    31.09P    1.03R    0.17  
Derby             5   12   +5      63.98    10.85    -1.17     1.39     3.91    20.61     6.93P    5.18R    0.94  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.64    11.22    13.11     7.10    16.11    49.20    23.85P    1.11R    0.13  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.80    11.69    35.79    38.11    55.87    84.60    65.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.55    10.44    -7.39     0.35     1.08     9.04     2.45P   11.97R    2.49  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.77    11.29    15.39     8.32    18.85    53.62    28.54P    0.84R    0.09  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.47    12.21    15.02    10.05    20.32    52.35    29.18P    1.42R    0.23  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      56.90    12.56    -9.17     0.83     2.27    11.15     4.03P   20.06R    6.51  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.08    11.41     1.50     2.01     5.44    24.96     9.93P    5.21R    0.95  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.97    10.68     2.62     1.07     3.05    18.20     6.65P    5.70R    1.08  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      61.71    10.66    -0.15     0.72     2.37    15.33     5.31P    7.20R    1.38  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.29    10.64    -4.87     0.57     1.74    12.18     4.11P    9.34R    1.86  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.36    10.86   -22.22     0.11     0.39     3.56     0.94P   29.80R    9.68  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.86    11.50    -0.92     1.45     3.92    19.62     7.43P    7.55R    1.69  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.61    10.49   -14.36     0.09     0.31     3.29     0.87P   27.66R    8.30  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.27    10.77   -14.37     0.18     0.60     4.73     1.45P   23.03R    6.31  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.30    10.99     0.77     1.46     4.31    21.88     8.77P    5.10R    0.83  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.38    11.45     1.80     1.13     3.41    18.74     6.91P    7.96R    1.83  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.77    11.29    11.88     3.86     9.93    36.60    17.74P    2.41R    0.37  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.68    11.97    11.61     6.01    13.56    43.16    22.40P    2.18R    0.40  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.54    11.30   -11.63     0.26     0.90     6.91     2.18P   20.65R    6.01  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.09    10.46   -13.81     0.03     0.15     2.02     0.50P   35.52R   12.02  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.43    10.26   -28.86     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.08P   65.69R   36.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      77.97    11.40    21.09    10.81    23.30    63.69    33.34P    0.46R    0.02  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.38    11.29    23.91    14.66    29.51    71.51    40.49P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.54    11.82    32.42    32.92    51.73    85.11    62.19P    0.10R    0.01  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.70    12.04    23.70    14.87    29.23    68.14    40.89P    0.44R    0.02  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      65.00    10.89     1.26     0.85     2.74    20.43     6.40P    5.83R    0.56  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.57    11.06     1.21     1.36     4.07    24.76     8.30P    4.70R    0.43  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.51    11.08     5.87     1.31     4.10    25.35     8.75P    4.70R    0.40  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.45    11.09    27.36    14.88    30.09    72.43    43.40P    0.22R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.51    11.36     8.65     3.13     8.42    37.87    15.20P    2.53R    0.18  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.71    11.04    -2.30     0.45     1.65    13.69     3.97P   10.67R    1.31  
Colchester       5    7   +2      68.12    11.44     9.17     1.90     5.72    30.81    11.50P    4.00R    0.41  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      60.21    11.00    -2.94     0.34     1.21    11.18     3.12P   12.96R    1.68  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.85    11.62   -10.26     0.27     0.80     7.52     2.00P   22.50R    4.23  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      50.86    10.86   -15.64     0.02     0.15     2.30     0.53P   39.64R    9.26  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.54    10.98    -3.99     0.29     1.00     9.67     2.78P   14.46R    2.15  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.66    10.75   -10.88     0.15     0.56     6.84     1.69P   18.60R    2.78  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.21    11.33   -18.53     0.05     0.22     2.83     0.69P   39.61R   10.19  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.52    10.74    -9.04     0.08     0.34     4.77     1.21P   23.58R    4.22  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.27    10.81   -14.05     0.06     0.23     3.45     0.80P   31.21R    6.13  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.73    12.27     2.91     1.06     3.06    18.57     7.12P   11.32R    1.90  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.09    11.25    -4.98     0.36     1.22    10.99     3.46P   13.94R    2.12  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      56.14    11.07    -9.45     0.14     0.51     5.91     1.64P   22.86R    4.12  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.32    11.38   -33.84     0.01     0.04     0.57     0.14P   69.67R   34.58  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.26    10.96   -21.65     0.01     0.09     1.62     0.39P   45.74R   13.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      80.90    11.34    25.68    26.97    54.25    80.36    61.16P    0.07R    0.02  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.14    11.04     3.86     2.95    11.22    32.11    15.49P    1.75R    0.54  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.49    11.89     3.77     3.18    11.65    31.69    15.84P    2.98R    1.15  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.11    11.05    12.35     8.49    26.96    56.52    34.52P    0.39R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      74.16    11.78    12.90    11.71    31.20    59.21    38.70P    0.48R    0.15  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      59.00    10.90    -7.86     0.65     3.19    13.39     5.07P    7.52R    3.08  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.11    11.05     4.92     4.48    16.42    41.85    22.80P    1.04R    0.33  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      67.96    11.02     9.74     3.68    14.26    38.86    20.45P    1.37R    0.47  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      62.15    10.82    -0.40     1.15     5.50    20.38     8.58P    3.84R    1.36  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      70.56    11.96    10.59     7.45    22.16    47.73    29.34P    1.15R    0.36  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.58    10.95    13.44     7.84    25.21    54.90    33.43P    0.46R    0.15  
Torquay               5    8   +0      70.11    11.26     8.88     5.66    19.30    46.04    26.13P    0.89R    0.28  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.17    10.93    -2.50     0.51     2.93    12.62     4.80P    8.13R    3.13  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      49.30    11.29   -23.22     0.10     0.61     3.46     1.09P   30.62R   16.83  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      63.11    11.13    -2.25     1.51     7.03    23.22    10.73P    3.75R    1.37  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.56    11.05    -7.39     0.53     2.69    11.24     4.44P    9.53R    4.21  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.37    10.88   -20.82     0.07     0.59     3.42     1.05P   26.28R   13.90  
Bradford              5    4   -1      50.72    10.52   -14.84     0.06     0.51     3.37     1.04P   23.49R   11.65  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.76    10.99    -6.57     0.48     2.59    11.50     4.61P    9.08R    3.98  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.53    10.79    -7.86     0.33     1.82     9.22     3.51P   10.57R    4.58  
Swindon               5    3   -1      71.97    11.92    18.28     9.07    26.15    53.44    35.13P    0.91R    0.34  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.27    11.62    -0.12     1.82     7.75    24.90    11.96P    4.31R    1.73  
Hereford              5    2   -8      44.91    10.17   -27.23     0.00     0.07     0.79     0.20P   44.72R   27.37  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      60.90    11.93    -3.35     1.30     5.94    19.78     9.93P    6.68R    2.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 August 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             6   16  +11      85.62    10.48    33.34    23.87    80.30    39.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           6   16   +8      71.94    10.72     9.65     2.77    32.21     7.65P    0.53R    0.06  
Kidderminster       6   13   +5      78.44    10.74    21.51     8.60    56.65    19.80P    0.10R    0.00  
Darlington          6   11   +3      77.00    10.26    19.48     5.97    51.14    18.07P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth            6   11   +1      58.24    10.41   -10.88     0.13     4.34     0.67P    8.27R    1.28  
York                6   10   +5      71.08    10.34    14.55     2.17    29.82     8.66P    0.45R    0.03  
Forest_Green        6    9   +6      60.49    10.66     0.75     0.23     7.29     1.29P    5.56R    0.84  
Luton               5    9   +6      90.96    10.26    46.72    47.13    91.48    64.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           6    9   +1      67.86    10.93     7.23     1.31    20.99     5.23P    1.49R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd       6    8   +0      63.97    10.42     2.23     0.52    11.44     2.59P    2.64R    0.32  
Fleetwood_Town      6    8   -3      68.17    10.36     5.27     0.98    20.04     5.14P    1.04R    0.09  
Braintree_Town      6    7   +3      58.32    12.14    -2.71     0.35     7.29     1.65P   11.36R    2.71  
Barrow              6    7   +1      55.00    10.45    -9.60     0.05     2.40     0.42P   13.83R    2.75  
AFC_Telford         5    7   +0      54.59    12.14   -13.54     0.17     3.98     0.85P   19.23R    5.44  
Stockport           6    7   +0      71.18    11.35    14.47     2.98    31.80    10.39P    0.91R    0.11  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    6   -1      50.30    11.41   -17.60     0.04     1.48     0.28P   29.44R    9.23  
Newport_County      6    5   +0      62.61    10.84     4.17     0.50    10.30     2.50P    4.09R    0.61  
Lincoln_City        6    5   -3      68.90    11.34    11.08     1.83    24.82     7.56P    1.49R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    5   -4      47.70    10.43   -24.88     0.01     0.51     0.07P   36.42R   10.94  
Southport           6    5   -7      46.81    10.11   -27.87     0.01     0.34     0.06P   39.73R   12.53  
Kettering           6    5   -7      55.21    10.47   -14.12     0.05     2.35     0.44P   14.40R    3.02  
Alfreton_Town       6    5   -9      39.73    10.72   -43.60     0.00     0.15     0.03P   67.50R   37.33  
Grimsby             6    4   -8      61.85    10.76    -3.31     0.32     8.48     1.93P    4.97R    0.78  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.46    10.24   -22.34     0.00     0.40     0.07P   36.44R   11.51