Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.82     8.58    62.06    65.80    86.66    95.08    98.20    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.45     9.50    37.19    11.55    35.96    60.98    78.08    93.36     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.57     9.42    26.24     4.52    17.66    37.92    60.16    85.15     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.21     9.03    37.45    16.38    48.44    72.05    86.07    96.69     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.70     9.18   -12.77     0.01     0.10     0.43     1.27     6.42    11.72R    2.35  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.49     9.51     1.84     0.17     1.16     4.03     9.79    30.95     1.65R    0.19  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      52.02     9.60    -0.24     0.10     0.60     2.09     5.53    20.07     3.61R    0.59  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.05     8.72   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.34    31.38R    8.48  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.83     9.03    -5.11     0.01     0.13     0.65     2.39    11.16     5.74R    0.91  
Bolton           3    3   +1      47.92     9.69    -5.56     0.02     0.20     0.85     2.61    11.21     8.63R    1.65  
Everton          2    3   +0      56.09     9.65     5.28     0.21     1.46     4.83    11.45    33.98     1.36R    0.14  
QPR              3    3   -5      36.08     9.07   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.80    45.91R   17.46  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.34     9.20   -11.85     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.69     4.12    17.09R    4.01  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.98     9.64   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.90    50.94R   22.81  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.77     8.92   -26.77     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.59    50.95R   20.91  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.59     9.18    -6.55     0.02     0.08     0.43     1.49     7.55     9.72R    1.97  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.37     9.76    15.19     1.09     6.47    16.81    32.47    64.25     0.23R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.05     9.63   -14.83     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.67     3.84    22.32R    6.47  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.20     9.12   -21.10     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.33    35.66R   11.51  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.90    10.10    -0.48     0.12     0.98     3.31     8.52    26.59     3.08R    0.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.54    11.68     3.51     3.53     8.56    31.97    13.30P    3.42R    0.53  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.76    12.12    15.82    11.82    23.12    56.23    31.42P    0.96R    0.14  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.12    10.88    -0.95     1.41     4.16    21.04     7.18P    4.97R    0.84  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.54    11.25    13.02     7.25    16.14    49.06    24.12P    1.07R    0.14  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.44    11.78    35.15    37.07    54.97    83.82    64.46P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.40    10.36    -7.60     0.37     1.17     8.72     2.52P   11.94R    2.40  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.82    11.19    15.49     8.45    19.01    53.91    28.66P    0.77R    0.09  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.22    12.16    14.64     9.67    19.91    51.69    28.71P    1.57R    0.28  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      56.75    12.43    -9.46     0.76     2.08    10.98     3.67P   20.65R    6.51  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.45    11.23     2.02     2.14     5.59    25.69    10.04P    4.47R    0.81  
Millwall          5    6   +1      63.05    10.69     2.86     1.11     3.19    18.59     6.83P    5.69R    0.97  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      62.10    10.74     0.46     0.87     2.73    16.33     5.91P    6.89R    1.39  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.08    10.45    -5.13     0.46     1.46    11.48     3.66P    9.21R    1.88  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.43    10.85   -22.03     0.12     0.40     3.59     0.98P   29.99R    9.66  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.77    11.36    -0.93     1.39     3.74    19.02     7.18P    7.41R    1.62  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.46    10.58   -14.58     0.08     0.31     3.31     0.86P   28.39R    8.81  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.52    10.84   -14.01     0.18     0.61     5.16     1.54P   22.86R    6.42  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.10    10.98     0.55     1.36     3.96    21.52     8.38P    5.29R    1.01  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.31    11.57     1.72     1.26     3.74    19.08     7.31P    8.34R    1.93  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.56    11.33    11.56     3.92     9.71    35.95    17.29P    2.48R    0.42  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.69    12.01    11.57     6.47    14.26    43.42    23.12P    2.14R    0.35  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.57    11.31   -11.64     0.30     0.98     7.12     2.26P   20.95R    6.10  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.32    10.34   -13.47     0.03     0.17     1.98     0.51P   35.07R   11.61  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.60    10.27   -28.55     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   65.38R   36.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      78.30    11.45    21.64    11.23    23.85    64.73    34.20P    0.42R    0.02  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.33    11.29    23.88    14.40    29.42    71.45    40.24P    0.22R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.59    11.86    32.52    32.99    51.72    85.17    62.28P    0.05R    0.01  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.69    12.13    23.67    14.89    29.43    68.20    41.05P    0.49R    0.04  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      64.92    10.84     1.14     0.86     2.80    20.32     6.15P    5.77R    0.50  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.67    11.10     1.39     1.41     4.14    25.13     8.43P    4.74R    0.45  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.11    10.96     5.26     1.21     3.62    23.87     7.88P    4.79R    0.48  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.39    11.22    27.30    14.47    30.03    72.40    43.27P    0.26R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.55    11.47     8.70     3.38     8.47    38.10    15.63P    2.60R    0.24  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.96    11.22    -1.94     0.55     1.87    14.70     4.49P   10.47R    1.35  
Colchester       5    7   +2      68.03    11.32     8.99     1.88     5.42    30.32    11.20P    3.89R    0.41  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      59.96    11.01    -3.39     0.37     1.19    10.65     2.88P   13.65R    1.92  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.73    11.60   -10.34     0.23     0.79     7.36     2.03P   22.64R    4.60  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      50.94    11.19   -15.48     0.05     0.19     2.68     0.63P   39.71R    9.80  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.25    10.77    -4.37     0.24     0.83     8.94     2.38P   14.54R    2.19  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.54    10.87   -11.15     0.14     0.57     6.89     1.73P   19.18R    3.09  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.35    11.35   -18.32     0.07     0.24     2.95     0.73P   39.10R    9.98  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.71    10.80    -8.84     0.07     0.37     5.16     1.30P   23.57R    4.00  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.25    10.90   -14.15     0.04     0.20     3.47     0.81P   31.56R    6.43  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.78    12.33     2.92     1.07     3.16    18.60     7.07P   11.43R    1.85  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.09    11.11    -5.00     0.28     1.15    10.98     3.44P   13.79R    1.88  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      56.02    11.02    -9.58     0.12     0.42     5.73     1.63P   23.09R    4.33  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.63    11.45   -33.39     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.10P   68.66R   33.80  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.36    10.93   -21.46     0.03     0.10     1.67     0.45P   45.38R   12.62  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      80.89    11.29    25.67    26.99    54.22    80.15    61.23P    0.07R    0.02  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.32    11.06     4.14     2.92    11.37    32.86    15.64P    1.78R    0.56  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.40    11.93     3.65     3.16    11.60    31.24    15.83P    3.01R    1.17  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.02    11.15    12.29     8.58    26.84    56.06    34.26P    0.43R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      74.13    11.68    12.89    11.25    30.61    59.19    38.58P    0.46R    0.11  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      58.67    11.10    -8.43     0.66     3.27    13.17     5.10P    8.22R    3.46  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.24    11.03     5.22     4.66    16.57    42.24    22.89P    1.04R    0.32  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      68.01    10.95     9.83     3.82    14.17    38.84    20.32P    1.20R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      62.12    10.77    -0.47     1.01     5.43    20.03     8.43P    3.85R    1.41  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      70.88    11.84    11.12     7.61    22.53    48.94    29.85P    0.96R    0.32  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.62    10.90    13.54     8.04    25.41    55.17    33.59P    0.41R    0.13  
Torquay               5    8   +0      70.39    11.21     9.27     5.92    20.12    46.83    26.98P    0.79R    0.24  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.51    11.02    -1.94     0.61     3.25    13.25     5.28P    7.80R    3.24  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      49.08    11.24   -23.55     0.09     0.59     3.24     1.03P   31.37R   17.26  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      62.75    11.18    -2.80     1.49     6.80    22.44    10.37P    3.97R    1.55  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.16    10.94    -7.94     0.48     2.48    10.62     4.07P    9.97R    4.33  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.33    10.93   -20.85     0.10     0.60     3.50     1.08P   26.58R   13.84  
Bradford              5    4   -1      50.93    10.57   -14.56     0.09     0.56     3.44     1.11P   22.88R   11.60  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.56    11.02    -6.98     0.52     2.67    11.37     4.62P    9.51R    4.08  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.54    10.78    -7.83     0.34     1.95     9.16     3.56P   10.41R    4.42  
Swindon               5    3   -1      71.69    11.82    17.79     8.61    25.24    52.77    34.00P    0.91R    0.31  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.35    11.55    -0.02     1.79     7.83    24.99    12.12P    4.25R    1.71  
Hereford              5    2   -8      45.26    10.30   -26.72     0.01     0.09     0.88     0.25P   43.36R   26.46  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      60.95    11.88    -3.31     1.25     5.80    19.62     9.82P    6.75R    2.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 August 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             6   16  +11      85.46    10.49    33.15    23.65    80.07    39.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           6   16   +8      72.12    10.72     9.99     2.93    32.72     7.73P    0.43R    0.04  
Kidderminster       6   13   +5      78.47    10.73    21.55     8.55    56.89    19.58P    0.08R    0.01  
Darlington          6   11   +3      76.77    10.26    19.17     5.97    50.32    17.90P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth            6   11   +1      58.39    10.40   -10.69     0.12     4.44     0.66P    8.15R    1.30  
York                6   10   +5      71.05    10.39    14.59     2.19    29.83     8.84P    0.51R    0.03  
Forest_Green        6    9   +6      60.65    10.76     0.92     0.26     7.66     1.47P    5.48R    0.84  
Luton               5    9   +6      90.95    10.18    46.69    47.35    91.66    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield           6    9   +1      67.61    10.89     6.84     1.19    20.30     4.92P    1.52R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd       6    8   +0      64.06    10.43     2.31     0.39    11.55     2.60P    2.63R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town      6    8   -3      68.18    10.43     5.36     1.06    20.24     5.21P    1.11R    0.14  
Braintree_Town      6    7   +3      58.50    12.08    -2.48     0.34     7.30     1.69P   11.22R    2.65  
Barrow              6    7   +1      54.81    10.33    -9.80     0.04     2.24     0.41P   14.01R    2.93  
AFC_Telford         5    7   +0      54.12    12.06   -14.29     0.17     3.62     0.74P   20.36R    5.83  
Stockport           6    7   +0      71.30    11.31    14.66     3.06    32.13    10.58P    0.80R    0.10  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    6   -1      50.43    11.61   -17.25     0.06     1.77     0.37P   29.04R    9.21  
Newport_County      6    5   +0      62.54    10.76     4.10     0.41    10.07     2.48P    3.95R    0.61  
Lincoln_City        6    5   -3      68.85    11.45    10.93     1.90    25.00     7.80P    1.56R    0.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    5   -4      47.75    10.40   -24.83     0.00     0.52     0.07P   36.31R   10.81  
Southport           6    5   -7      46.90    10.10   -27.77     0.00     0.27     0.03P   39.60R   12.24  
Kettering           6    5   -7      55.32    10.43   -13.91     0.05     2.40     0.41P   13.93R    2.93  
Alfreton_Town       6    5   -9      39.89    10.73   -43.26     0.01     0.12     0.01P   66.99R   36.90  
Grimsby             6    4   -8      62.00    10.71    -3.10     0.30     8.52     1.96P    4.71R    0.76  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.13    10.13   -22.88     0.00     0.36     0.08P   37.54R   11.95