Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.81     8.54    61.88    65.21    86.53    95.12    98.34    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.58     9.36    37.35    11.50    36.10    61.80    78.74    93.90     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.55     9.41    26.23     4.42    17.49    37.33    60.11    85.19     0.03R    0.01  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.44     9.06    37.85    17.20    49.37    73.02    86.62    96.71     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.62     9.03   -12.79     0.01     0.06     0.34     1.14     5.93    11.59R    2.35  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.61     9.58     2.06     0.17     1.24     4.08    10.21    31.91     1.58R    0.20  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      52.18     9.46     0.00     0.06     0.51     1.88     5.46    20.39     3.25R    0.55  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.14     8.67   -20.67     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     1.41    30.57R    7.92  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.80     9.08    -5.16     0.01     0.14     0.66     2.31    11.23     5.84R    0.94  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.13     9.65    -5.16     0.02     0.19     0.82     2.58    11.68     8.11R    1.48  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.93     9.66     5.07     0.19     1.34     4.55    11.37    33.60     1.41R    0.17  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.72     9.05   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.75    47.28R   18.28  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.48     9.18   -11.66     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.72     4.15    16.61R    3.76  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.62     9.52   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.89    52.50R   23.52  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.54     8.84   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.50    52.16R   21.07  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.95     9.19    -6.09     0.01     0.08     0.46     1.60     8.05     8.95R    1.82  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.16     9.86    14.85     1.11     6.10    16.50    32.05    63.79     0.31R    0.04  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.18     9.69   -14.57     0.00     0.04     0.20     0.74     3.99    22.28R    6.31  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.52     9.18   -20.54     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.38    34.27R   11.04  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.37     9.95    -1.34     0.09     0.76     2.89     7.39    24.77     3.26R    0.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.92    11.59     4.13     3.74     8.93    33.05    13.82P    3.23R    0.54  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.61    11.96    15.54    11.18    22.63    55.88    30.72P    0.92R    0.12  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.03    10.85    -1.02     1.29     3.96    20.95     7.03P    5.11R    0.85  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.44    11.31    12.86     7.46    16.42    48.87    24.21P    1.13R    0.15  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.72    11.80    35.60    38.10    55.92    84.47    65.21P    0.10R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.66    10.44    -7.23     0.42     1.29     9.24     2.70P   11.77R    2.44  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.91    11.24    15.62     8.49    19.22    54.23    28.95P    0.85R    0.14  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.07    12.20    14.41     9.55    19.67    51.29    28.51P    1.55R    0.28  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      56.94    12.39    -9.05     0.84     2.19    11.07     3.97P   20.18R    6.16  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.03    11.30     1.42     2.15     5.32    24.75     9.64P    4.98R    0.86  
Millwall          5    6   +1      62.90    10.62     2.57     0.97     3.16    17.96     6.73P    5.77R    1.02  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      62.21    10.73     0.56     0.79     2.62    16.57     5.77P    6.96R    1.32  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.11    10.57    -5.17     0.51     1.64    11.77     3.81P    9.47R    1.98  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.37    10.77   -22.17     0.12     0.39     3.47     0.94P   29.96R    9.57  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.62    11.39    -1.22     1.32     3.78    18.99     7.22P    7.81R    1.65  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.49    10.54   -14.50     0.09     0.34     3.31     0.84P   28.24R    8.62  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.68    10.71   -13.78     0.15     0.58     5.23     1.51P   21.92R    6.01  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.14    11.00     0.58     1.44     4.16    21.82     8.62P    5.28R    0.88  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.31    11.45     1.71     1.13     3.35    18.62     6.88P    8.29R    1.87  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.60    11.21    11.63     3.82     9.59    36.30    17.59P    2.38R    0.38  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.53    11.87    11.38     6.14    13.81    42.55    22.46P    2.18R    0.35  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.65    11.30   -11.48     0.23     0.85     7.18     2.23P   20.71R    6.08  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.36    10.35   -13.37     0.04     0.17     2.12     0.57P   34.74R   11.35  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.31    10.27   -29.01     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   66.48R   37.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      78.30    11.42    21.63    11.28    23.93    64.79    34.15P    0.36R    0.02  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.22    11.26    23.66    14.18    29.15    71.07    39.86P    0.21R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.71    11.74    32.69    33.08    52.10    85.71    62.77P    0.08R    0.01  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.55    12.08    23.42    14.31    28.33    67.98    40.05P    0.50R    0.05  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      64.95    10.93     1.14     0.88     2.79    20.26     6.37P    5.88R    0.51  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.64    11.07     1.31     1.44     4.21    24.70     8.56P    4.48R    0.40  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.15    11.15     5.28     1.19     3.73    24.51     8.21P    5.02R    0.48  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.68    11.25    27.66    15.30    31.14    73.05    44.44P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.61    11.38     8.84     3.30     8.39    38.26    15.30P    2.41R    0.20  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.71    11.07    -2.36     0.45     1.67    13.73     3.91P   10.61R    1.30  
Colchester       5    7   +2      68.01    11.36     9.03     1.97     5.40    30.32    11.27P    3.85R    0.38  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      59.92    11.04    -3.30     0.38     1.16    10.80     3.06P   13.72R    1.92  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.63    11.67   -10.52     0.22     0.79     7.40     1.91P   23.05R    4.76  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      51.13    11.00   -15.18     0.06     0.17     2.63     0.60P   38.77R    9.42  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.45    10.86    -4.14     0.18     0.88     9.55     2.66P   14.56R    2.00  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.44    10.91   -11.21     0.14     0.65     6.90     1.77P   19.60R    3.21  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.24    11.39   -18.39     0.06     0.25     3.00     0.79P   39.59R   10.24  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.57    10.85    -8.99     0.09     0.38     5.07     1.27P   23.91R    4.37  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.10    10.76   -14.30     0.05     0.22     3.08     0.74P   31.87R    6.63  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.48    12.18     2.36     0.94     2.87    17.80     6.50P   11.53R    1.94  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.27    11.20    -4.79     0.35     1.25    11.19     3.58P   13.56R    1.94  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      56.19    11.02    -9.35     0.11     0.44     5.92     1.68P   22.35R    4.16  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.99    11.34   -32.78     0.01     0.04     0.66     0.15P   67.88R   32.69  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.24    10.98   -21.69     0.01     0.07     1.65     0.41P   45.95R   13.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      80.95    11.17    25.75    26.84    54.58    80.58    61.56P    0.05R    0.02  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.32    11.11     4.16     3.19    11.79    32.82    15.95P    1.72R    0.54  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.91    11.91     4.51     3.52    12.33    32.76    16.69P    2.88R    1.12  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.13    11.08    12.38     8.65    26.92    56.54    34.55P    0.40R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      73.99    11.83    12.66    11.48    30.59    58.85    38.37P    0.53R    0.18  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      58.91    10.99    -8.02     0.71     3.28    13.32     5.07P    7.74R    3.18  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.27    11.04     5.20     4.59    16.48    42.50    22.83P    0.99R    0.32  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      68.00    10.98     9.79     3.88    14.49    38.69    20.54P    1.19R    0.40  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      61.84    10.76    -0.80     0.95     5.17    19.56     8.14P    4.06R    1.49  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      70.64    11.86    10.67     7.30    22.24    47.92    29.33P    0.92R    0.30  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.49    10.97    13.36     7.89    24.92    54.71    33.17P    0.42R    0.12  
Torquay               5    8   +0      69.87    11.27     8.51     5.39    18.52    45.30    25.18P    1.00R    0.30  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.35    10.92    -2.21     0.62     3.05    12.73     4.92P    7.66R    3.03  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      48.96    11.20   -23.74     0.07     0.51     2.96     0.94P   31.53R   17.61  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      62.98    11.17    -2.40     1.62     6.94    22.88    10.63P    3.94R    1.46  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.60    11.06    -7.29     0.54     2.75    11.40     4.46P    9.52R    4.23  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.33    10.92   -20.85     0.08     0.55     3.43     1.04P   26.28R   13.81  
Bradford              5    4   -1      50.76    10.49   -14.71     0.07     0.53     3.31     1.04P   23.11R   11.37  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.83    11.04    -6.50     0.53     2.91    11.85     4.96P    9.07R    3.83  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.53    10.76    -7.94     0.32     1.86     9.24     3.59P   10.41R    4.50  
Swindon               5    3   -1      71.72    11.79    17.75     8.70    25.58    52.75    34.53P    0.84R    0.30  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.58    11.49     0.39     1.76     8.02    25.47    12.45P    3.97R    1.63  
Hereford              5    2   -8      44.90    10.26   -27.28     0.01     0.10     0.89     0.24P   45.01R   27.32  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      60.90    11.93    -3.39     1.29     5.89    19.53     9.83P    6.76R    2.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 August 2011, Braintree_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             6   16  +11      85.58    10.29    33.33    20.24    80.44    37.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead           6   16   +8      71.95    10.78     9.67     2.52    32.03     7.16P    0.50R    0.04  
Kidderminster       6   13   +5      78.53    10.69    21.62     7.49    57.08    18.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Darlington          6   11   +3      76.87    10.26    19.34     5.11    50.53    17.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth            6   11   +1      58.26    10.37   -10.83     0.10     4.16     0.63P    7.97R    1.27  
York                6   10   +5      71.20    10.43    14.78     1.89    30.27     8.68P    0.40R    0.03  
Forest_Green        6    9   +6      60.58    10.65     0.86     0.20     7.31     1.37P    5.28R    0.79  
Mansfield           6    9   +1      67.82    10.81     7.12     0.92    20.46     4.69P    1.48R    0.18  
Luton               4    8   +6      93.37    10.38    50.09    55.03    94.05    71.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       6    8   +0      63.96    10.42     2.15     0.34    11.20     2.30P    2.63R    0.36  
Fleetwood_Town      6    8   -3      68.16    10.43     5.29     0.92    20.18     5.12P    0.99R    0.09  
Braintree_Town      6    7   +3      58.25    12.05    -2.70     0.30     7.02     1.63P   11.09R    2.52  
Barrow              6    7   +1      54.99    10.45    -9.58     0.05     2.47     0.43P   13.83R    2.81  
AFC_Telford         5    7   +0      54.22    11.92   -14.10     0.15     3.58     0.72P   19.14R    5.16  
Stockport           6    7   +0      71.33    11.27    14.71     2.55    31.82     9.98P    0.83R    0.12  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    6   -1      50.52    11.47   -17.15     0.04     1.65     0.26P   28.03R    8.35  
Newport_County      6    5   +0      62.42    10.70     3.85     0.36     9.89     2.26P    3.84R    0.56  
Lincoln_City        6    5   -3      68.65    11.34    10.66     1.50    23.93     7.20P    1.51R    0.22  
Southport           6    5   -7      46.94    10.20   -27.61     0.00     0.37     0.05P   39.05R   11.98  
Kettering           6    5   -7      55.15    10.55   -14.19     0.06     2.37     0.44P   14.14R    3.02  
Alfreton_Town       6    5   -9      39.69    10.85   -43.65     0.00     0.16     0.02P   66.56R   36.93  
Hayes_&_Yeading     5    4   -4      46.38    10.56   -27.66     0.01     0.39     0.05P   41.28R   13.67  
Grimsby             6    4   -8      61.76    10.66    -3.46     0.22     8.21     1.80P    4.74R    0.73  
Bath_City           6    2   -8      47.35    10.26   -22.54     0.01     0.42     0.09P   36.56R   11.16