Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          3    9  +10      86.87     8.48    62.01    65.83    86.88    95.12    98.28    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         3    9   +9      74.48     9.41    37.05    11.09    35.64    61.17    78.53    93.65     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.67     9.38    26.36     4.58    17.71    37.89    60.38    85.17     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      77.37     9.06    37.83    16.87    48.97    72.50    86.19    96.67     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.74     9.05   -12.66     0.01     0.07     0.38     1.21     6.19    11.31R    2.17  
Newcastle        3    7   +2      55.59     9.60     1.99     0.17     1.26     4.16    10.05    31.75     1.60R    0.22  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      51.87     9.45    -0.49     0.05     0.53     1.90     5.28    19.49     3.43R    0.53  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.11     8.75   -20.64     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.42    31.08R    8.37  
Stoke            3    5   +1      48.82     9.16    -5.11     0.02     0.17     0.75     2.48    11.27     6.03R    0.96  
Bolton           3    3   +1      48.02     9.56    -5.40     0.02     0.17     0.76     2.40    11.02     8.14R    1.58  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.93     9.71     5.08     0.19     1.36     4.73    11.33    33.75     1.48R    0.22  
QPR              3    3   -5      35.83     8.96   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.71    46.93R   17.76  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.28     9.22   -11.90     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.68     4.01    17.41R    4.03  
Norwich          3    2   -2      35.05     9.63   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.98    50.44R   22.56  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.51     8.85   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.49    52.22R   21.72  
Fulham           3    1   -3      46.65     9.18    -6.52     0.02     0.10     0.48     1.52     7.73     9.39R    1.85  
Arsenal          3    1   -8      63.34     9.76    15.12     1.05     6.21    16.56    32.37    64.45     0.28R    0.03  
West_Brom        3    0   -3      42.09     9.66   -14.77     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.65     3.93    22.49R    6.34  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.25     9.00   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.21    34.72R   11.15  
Tottenham        2    0   -7      53.85    10.00    -0.53     0.08     0.85     3.10     8.01    26.30     3.02R    0.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 August 2011, Nott'm_Forest vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      68.03    11.73     4.27     3.86     9.24    33.87    14.27P    3.29R    0.51  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.49    12.03    15.42    11.15    22.47    55.83    30.44P    0.97R    0.14  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.09    10.88    -1.02     1.48     4.08    20.87     7.06P    5.15R    0.81  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.42    11.20    12.80     7.08    16.15    48.49    23.90P    1.01R    0.12  
West_Ham          5   10   +7      84.49    11.86    35.29    37.65    55.22    83.70    64.82P    0.11R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.39    10.46    -7.63     0.36     1.22     9.14     2.52P   12.35R    2.74  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.89    11.15    15.56     8.57    19.16    53.96    28.68P    0.77R    0.08  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.18    12.18    14.56     9.78    19.75    51.64    28.64P    1.54R    0.22  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.42    12.68    -8.22     1.02     2.58    12.14     4.38P   19.43R    6.35  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.37    11.34     1.92     2.24     5.73    25.84    10.42P    4.74R    0.89  
Millwall          5    6   +1      63.00    10.73     2.72     1.08     3.17    18.66     6.91P    5.69R    0.98  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      62.10    10.67     0.36     0.87     2.65    16.15     5.65P    6.89R    1.33  
Hull              5    6   -3      59.85    10.63    -5.53     0.47     1.56    11.40     3.67P   10.01R    2.04  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.37    10.68   -22.11     0.08     0.33     3.31     0.86P   29.98R    9.47  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.52    11.45    -1.35     1.30     3.70    18.84     7.21P    7.80R    1.64  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      52.45    10.45   -14.59     0.06     0.28     2.97     0.75P   28.17R    8.75  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.69    10.77   -13.78     0.18     0.68     5.23     1.58P   22.12R    6.01  
Nott'm_Forest     5    5   -4      64.00    10.94     0.37     1.36     4.02    21.18     8.35P    5.32R    0.94  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.50    11.43     2.04     1.20     3.64    18.99     7.15P    8.04R    1.70  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.65    11.15    11.69     3.80     9.44    36.21    17.25P    2.32R    0.39  
Birmingham        4    4   -2      70.45    12.06    11.27     6.13    13.85    42.44    22.70P    2.29R    0.42  
Watford           5    3   -5      55.41    11.25   -11.80     0.25     0.89     6.77     2.18P   21.21R    6.20  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.30    10.36   -13.42     0.04     0.14     2.02     0.50P   34.95R   11.59  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.44    10.28   -28.80     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.08P   65.83R   36.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      78.06    11.33    21.19    10.61    23.14    64.29    33.43P    0.46R    0.02  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.35    11.31    23.88    14.69    29.97    71.51    40.68P    0.21R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.51    11.65    32.35    32.44    51.38    85.36    61.85P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.61    12.04    23.49    14.84    28.90    68.25    40.81P    0.51R    0.03  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      64.92    10.95     1.11     0.94     2.85    20.24     6.30P    5.94R    0.55  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.73    10.99     1.42     1.36     4.02    25.32     8.43P    4.45R    0.36  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.11    11.10     5.23     1.25     3.69    24.03     8.03P    5.04R    0.50  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.51    11.24    27.51    15.17    30.64    72.42    43.59P    0.24R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.61    11.32     8.78     3.33     8.57    38.05    15.55P    2.37R    0.18  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.75    11.15    -2.26     0.54     1.72    13.93     4.06P   10.94R    1.43  
Colchester       5    7   +2      68.17    11.38     9.26     2.01     5.67    30.86    11.59P    3.90R    0.33  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      60.18    10.99    -2.90     0.36     1.27    10.91     3.10P   13.02R    1.77  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.54    11.66   -10.64     0.26     0.83     7.21     1.99P   23.44R    4.63  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      51.08    11.12   -15.32     0.05     0.19     2.65     0.64P   38.98R    9.65  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.43    10.90    -4.18     0.27     0.90     9.49     2.59P   14.57R    2.02  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.29    10.78   -11.46     0.14     0.50     6.44     1.70P   19.60R    3.30  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.09    11.28   -18.66     0.06     0.21     2.67     0.65P   39.95R   10.49  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.79    10.80    -8.70     0.13     0.42     5.14     1.42P   23.12R    4.18  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.17    10.91   -14.20     0.05     0.23     3.39     0.79P   31.89R    6.54  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.75    12.30     2.85     0.98     3.08    18.82     7.09P   11.19R    1.96  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.03    11.18    -5.16     0.34     1.18    10.91     3.48P   14.00R    2.07  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      56.32    10.96    -9.14     0.14     0.50     5.84     1.67P   22.09R    4.07  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.82    11.40   -33.01     0.01     0.04     0.64     0.13P   68.44R   33.06  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.38    10.95   -21.43     0.03     0.10     1.63     0.41P   45.58R   12.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      81.16    11.24    26.01    27.32    55.18    81.12    62.28P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.06    10.98     3.74     2.78    10.78    31.53    14.96P    1.74R    0.54  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.93    11.81     4.53     3.35    12.37    32.50    16.60P    2.62R    1.02  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.03    11.06    12.30     8.51    26.47    56.32    34.36P    0.41R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      74.04    11.65    12.69    10.99    30.49    59.03    38.06P    0.41R    0.13  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      58.89    10.96    -8.06     0.65     3.26    13.32     5.12P    7.75R    3.12  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.31    11.13     5.24     4.92    16.87    42.53    23.16P    0.86R    0.24  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      67.73    10.98     9.39     3.55    14.07    37.64    19.89P    1.18R    0.38  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      62.14    10.81    -0.43     1.09     5.31    20.13     8.40P    3.89R    1.45  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      71.04    12.10    11.34     8.13    23.17    49.39    30.50P    1.08R    0.41  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.63    10.86    13.51     7.71    25.32    55.40    33.58P    0.38R    0.11  
Torquay               5    8   +0      70.07    11.10     8.77     5.40    18.74    45.49    25.34P    0.83R    0.26  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.20    10.88    -2.34     0.54     2.81    12.48     4.73P    7.83R    3.21  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      48.83    11.20   -23.86     0.11     0.62     3.11     1.07P   31.77R   17.59  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      63.06    11.09    -2.28     1.49     6.90    22.86    10.40P    3.69R    1.45  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.24    11.05    -7.86     0.47     2.54    10.87     4.23P   10.19R    4.43  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.31    10.80   -20.81     0.07     0.55     3.39     1.05P   25.98R   13.54  
Bradford              5    4   -1      50.89    10.54   -14.66     0.08     0.53     3.36     1.09P   22.87R   11.18  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.88    11.07    -6.45     0.52     2.78    12.05     4.81P    9.21R    3.96  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.67    10.81    -7.70     0.35     2.06     9.45     3.74P   10.26R    4.54  
Swindon               5    3   -1      71.88    12.01    18.07     9.07    25.95    53.19    35.04P    0.95R    0.37  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.17    11.59    -0.33     1.69     7.59    24.71    11.84P    4.43R    1.79  
Hereford              5    2   -8      44.91    10.25   -27.28     0.01     0.07     0.79     0.19P   44.71R   27.12  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      60.85    11.88    -3.51     1.18     5.57    19.32     9.55P    6.92R    3.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             5   13   +9      83.24    10.69    30.29    16.35    72.04    31.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead           5   13   +7      69.99    11.05     8.13     2.13    25.86     6.17P    0.79R    0.06  
York                5   10   +6      75.12    10.71    19.69     4.62    43.23    14.26P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster       5   10   +3      75.14    11.00    16.99     4.94    43.13    13.50P    0.20R    0.01  
Tamworth            5   10   +1      59.27    10.64    -9.71     0.13     5.03     0.84P    6.30R    0.68  
Luton               4    8   +6      92.80    10.48    49.30    54.76    92.78    69.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington          5    8   +1      74.36    10.40    16.05     3.64    39.54    13.34P    0.19R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town      5    8   -1      70.17    10.50     8.29     1.57    25.07     6.85P    0.59R    0.03  
Braintree_Town      5    7   +4      61.42    12.26     1.36     0.58    10.79     2.50P    6.51R    1.05  
Barrow              5    7   +2      57.64    10.64    -6.46     0.12     3.99     0.74P    8.25R    1.14  
Stockport           5    7   +1      74.28    11.71    18.37     5.21    40.97    14.51P    0.46R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd       5    7   +0      64.41    10.74     2.29     0.54    12.17     2.79P    2.43R    0.24  
Forest_Green        5    6   +3      57.02    10.74    -5.19     0.09     3.82     0.67P    9.01R    1.19  
Mansfield           5    6   +0      64.90    10.99     4.10     0.62    14.01     3.18P    2.44R    0.23  
AFC_Telford         4    6   +0      54.69    12.28   -13.68     0.19     3.96     0.84P   17.53R    3.64  
Newport_County      5    5   +2      65.36    10.93     8.48     0.75    14.96     3.93P    2.06R    0.20  
Lincoln_City        5    5   -1      71.47    11.58    15.01     3.08    31.78    10.80P    0.78R    0.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading     5    4   -4      46.36    10.55   -27.94     0.01     0.38     0.05P   38.88R    9.26  
Kettering           5    4   -7      55.64    10.72   -14.04     0.06     2.67     0.52P   12.39R    1.88  
Grimsby             5    4   -7      64.11    11.06    -0.86     0.57    12.02     2.95P    3.25R    0.40  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    3   -2      47.32    11.56   -20.03     0.02     0.78     0.14P   36.14R   10.02  
Bath_City           5    2   -5      50.21    10.42   -17.14     0.01     0.80     0.15P   24.22R    4.87  
Southport           5    2   -8      44.19    10.30   -30.52     0.00     0.17     0.02P   47.01R   12.92  
Alfreton_Town       5    2  -10      34.28    10.85   -52.79     0.00     0.04     0.00P   80.45R   52.03