Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 27 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 3 7 +4 69.26 9.18 25.55 7.38 22.04 41.37 60.36 84.59 0.02R 0.00 Chelsea 3 7 +3 76.79 8.93 36.15 26.23 55.56 74.70 86.35 96.51 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 3 7 +3 45.90 9.01 -11.26 0.03 0.15 0.53 1.32 6.19 11.32R 2.32 Man_City 2 6 +5 69.62 9.68 27.10 9.04 24.70 44.15 61.69 84.42 0.04R 0.01 Man_Utd 2 6 +4 81.41 9.01 45.82 51.00 75.10 87.35 93.86 98.66 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 3 5 +2 51.96 9.36 0.36 0.16 0.80 2.47 5.79 19.34 3.44R 0.56 Wigan 3 5 +2 39.47 8.66 -18.73 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.18 1.45 30.38R 8.14 Newcastle 2 4 +1 53.64 9.73 1.16 0.29 1.28 3.75 8.34 25.11 2.69R 0.41 Bolton 3 3 +1 47.80 9.50 -4.81 0.06 0.28 0.95 2.51 10.24 8.79R 1.63 Everton 2 3 +0 55.66 9.61 5.10 0.43 2.00 5.51 11.67 31.99 1.58R 0.19 QPR 3 3 -5 36.08 8.92 -27.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.67 46.80R 17.91 Stoke 2 2 +0 46.38 9.19 -6.66 0.02 0.12 0.54 1.58 7.37 10.39R 1.91 Sunderland 3 2 -1 43.27 9.06 -10.95 0.01 0.06 0.22 0.66 3.76 17.72R 4.22 Norwich 3 2 -2 34.99 9.45 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.87 51.51R 22.96 Swansea 3 2 -4 34.57 8.69 -25.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.41 53.15R 22.12 Arsenal 2 1 -2 66.19 9.66 22.77 4.66 14.67 29.68 46.79 74.75 0.11R 0.01 Fulham 2 1 -2 48.11 9.26 -4.55 0.04 0.26 0.87 2.37 10.03 7.66R 1.41 West_Brom 2 0 -2 43.76 9.72 -12.42 0.01 0.10 0.41 1.15 5.26 18.27R 4.97 Tottenham 1 0 -3 56.78 10.07 6.20 0.63 2.86 7.31 14.92 37.01 1.58R 0.22 Blackburn 3 0 -4 38.65 9.00 -19.10 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.23 1.34 34.54R 11.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Brighton vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 5 13 +6 67.73 11.74 4.00 4.41 9.75 33.04 14.59P 3.56R 0.56 Southampton 5 12 +6 74.86 11.86 16.14 13.24 24.80 57.07 32.75P 0.89R 0.10 Derby 5 12 +5 64.15 10.82 -0.80 1.82 4.52 21.19 7.58P 5.21R 0.83 Middlesbrough 5 11 +5 72.42 11.19 12.86 8.33 17.27 48.70 24.78P 0.98R 0.13 Crystal_Palace 5 10 +3 58.36 10.31 -7.44 0.38 1.22 8.75 2.49P 12.31R 2.55 Cardiff 5 8 +1 73.49 11.20 15.02 9.47 19.93 52.89 28.74P 0.92R 0.13 Blackpool 5 8 +1 73.22 12.06 14.63 11.09 21.03 51.88 29.79P 1.51R 0.24 Peterborough 5 7 +4 57.22 12.44 -8.29 1.04 2.61 11.57 4.30P 19.61R 6.15 West_Ham 4 7 +4 79.31 12.19 26.40 24.65 39.19 71.08 49.32P 0.42R 0.07 Leicester 5 7 -1 65.18 11.20 1.74 2.36 5.75 24.91 10.06P 4.70R 0.88 Millwall 5 6 +1 63.25 10.59 3.19 1.29 3.60 19.11 7.25P 5.37R 0.89 Portsmouth 5 6 +0 61.94 10.65 0.36 0.95 2.83 15.81 5.81P 7.16R 1.34 Hull 5 6 -3 60.22 10.59 -4.82 0.72 1.99 12.03 4.22P 9.65R 2.04 Ipswich 5 6 -6 52.53 10.67 -21.65 0.14 0.42 3.47 0.97P 29.85R 9.21 Burnley 4 5 -1 62.92 11.38 -0.65 1.62 4.21 19.75 7.74P 7.48R 1.55 Nott'm_Forest 4 5 -1 67.24 11.07 6.19 3.32 7.99 30.97 14.10P 3.10R 0.47 Barnsley 5 5 -2 53.03 10.55 -13.49 0.13 0.45 3.69 1.06P 27.03R 8.05 Bristol_City 5 5 -4 54.51 10.70 -13.77 0.21 0.67 5.03 1.52P 22.86R 6.20 Leeds_United 5 4 -1 62.22 11.45 1.68 1.42 3.83 18.65 7.32P 8.27R 1.92 Reading 5 4 -1 68.54 11.26 11.60 4.64 10.22 36.31 17.68P 2.54R 0.45 Birmingham 3 3 -2 71.16 12.22 11.74 8.41 16.51 45.05 25.10P 2.21R 0.38 Coventry 5 2 -3 50.29 10.39 -13.22 0.04 0.18 2.10 0.57P 35.32R 11.69 Watford 4 2 -5 55.04 11.42 -12.80 0.35 1.00 6.62 2.18P 22.99R 7.01 Doncaster 5 1 -6 42.45 10.23 -28.62 0.00 0.01 0.35 0.06P 66.07R 37.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 MK_Dons 5 13 +8 78.16 11.43 21.41 11.13 23.71 64.26 33.88P 0.43R 0.02 Charlton 5 13 +7 80.37 11.26 23.89 14.63 29.46 71.32 40.23P 0.26R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 5 13 +6 86.36 11.81 32.04 32.06 50.66 84.99 61.35P 0.09R 0.00 Preston 5 10 +3 79.75 12.17 23.78 15.04 29.55 68.37 41.20P 0.56R 0.03 Tranmere 5 10 +3 65.13 10.89 1.39 0.93 2.98 20.48 6.55P 5.74R 0.52 Carlisle 5 10 +1 66.82 11.08 1.55 1.55 4.30 25.32 8.63P 4.43R 0.43 Brentford 5 9 +4 66.36 11.05 5.61 1.20 3.81 24.58 8.12P 4.73R 0.42 Huddersfield 5 9 +4 80.46 11.18 27.45 15.07 30.37 72.29 43.68P 0.25R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 5 9 +1 70.76 11.41 9.07 3.25 8.64 38.68 15.78P 2.50R 0.22 Walsall 5 8 +2 61.90 11.20 -2.05 0.62 1.92 14.48 4.35P 10.53R 1.30 Colchester 5 7 +2 67.94 11.37 8.87 1.83 5.34 30.17 11.15P 3.90R 0.41 Hartlepool 5 7 +2 60.04 11.12 -3.15 0.36 1.25 11.01 3.14P 13.49R 1.91 Bury 5 7 +0 56.76 11.68 -10.32 0.24 0.90 7.43 2.08P 22.97R 4.53 Stevenage 5 6 +1 50.97 11.05 -15.55 0.04 0.18 2.46 0.57P 39.33R 9.58 Notts_County 5 6 +0 59.60 10.96 -3.91 0.26 1.00 9.80 2.68P 14.30R 2.16 Oldham 5 6 -4 57.21 10.87 -11.53 0.16 0.58 6.58 1.73P 19.96R 3.24 Wycombe 5 5 -3 51.32 11.35 -18.44 0.05 0.18 2.88 0.71P 39.11R 10.35 Yeovil 5 4 -2 55.42 10.67 -9.21 0.07 0.33 4.59 1.05P 23.74R 4.20 Exeter 5 4 -3 53.30 10.82 -14.01 0.07 0.24 3.30 0.84P 31.17R 6.30 Scunthorpe 5 3 -2 62.48 12.37 2.42 1.01 2.93 18.25 6.76P 11.88R 1.90 Bournemouth 5 3 -6 60.12 11.11 -5.00 0.29 1.07 10.78 3.32P 13.70R 2.08 Rochdale 5 2 -6 55.95 11.05 -9.70 0.13 0.51 5.63 1.66P 23.23R 4.33 Chesterfield 5 1 -8 42.83 11.38 -33.02 0.00 0.02 0.62 0.13P 68.11R 32.65 Leyton_Orient 5 0 -10 49.28 11.01 -21.60 0.03 0.10 1.73 0.42P 45.61R 13.41League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rotherham 5 13 +8 80.94 11.21 25.76 26.92 54.28 80.30 61.23P 0.04R 0.01 Morecambe 5 12 +7 66.25 10.94 4.05 2.86 10.99 32.38 15.28P 1.73R 0.57 Crawley_Town 5 10 +5 65.45 11.88 3.76 3.14 11.67 31.26 15.82P 3.06R 1.22 Gillingham 5 10 +2 73.19 11.11 12.47 8.95 27.31 56.77 34.86P 0.40R 0.11 Dag_&_Red 5 10 +1 73.72 11.82 12.26 10.82 29.79 57.92 37.49P 0.54R 0.19 Cheltenham 5 9 +2 58.89 10.98 -8.10 0.63 3.21 13.28 4.95P 7.78R 3.24 Southend 5 9 -1 69.18 11.12 5.08 4.63 16.63 42.02 22.76P 1.03R 0.35 Port_Vale 5 8 +4 67.62 11.05 9.34 3.53 13.75 37.98 19.69P 1.40R 0.50 Oxford_Utd 5 8 +2 62.03 10.90 -0.61 1.10 5.42 20.16 8.63P 4.24R 1.54 Bristol_Rovers 5 8 +1 70.97 11.96 11.21 7.78 23.27 49.38 30.40P 0.93R 0.31 Shrewsbury 5 8 +1 72.51 11.03 13.37 8.06 25.27 54.65 33.36P 0.45R 0.11 Torquay 5 8 +0 70.15 11.19 8.90 5.63 19.12 45.71 26.09P 0.84R 0.26 Macclesfield 5 7 +5 58.58 10.92 -1.82 0.59 3.26 13.41 5.31P 7.55R 3.04 AFC_Wimbledon 5 7 -1 48.97 11.31 -23.79 0.11 0.66 3.34 1.07P 31.92R 17.52 Accrington_Stanley 5 7 -2 63.05 11.21 -2.28 1.65 7.11 23.10 10.85P 3.91R 1.50 Burton_Albion 5 6 +0 57.60 11.11 -7.31 0.46 2.61 11.56 4.37P 9.78R 4.25 Barnet 5 5 -3 50.35 10.87 -20.89 0.09 0.60 3.50 1.09P 26.14R 13.78 Bradford 5 4 -1 50.92 10.62 -14.49 0.06 0.59 3.53 1.17P 22.72R 11.25 Northampton 5 4 -3 57.73 10.97 -6.65 0.49 2.64 11.55 4.59P 9.16R 3.78 Aldershot 5 4 -3 56.57 10.80 -7.83 0.33 1.95 9.60 3.68P 10.49R 4.63 Swindon 5 3 -1 72.03 11.87 18.26 9.18 26.29 53.88 35.70P 0.93R 0.36 Crewe 5 3 -6 63.25 11.65 -0.11 1.83 7.97 24.83 12.08P 4.46R 1.77 Hereford 5 2 -8 45.14 10.28 -26.91 0.02 0.11 0.94 0.24P 43.76R 26.71 Plymouth 5 1 -9 60.69 11.78 -3.68 1.16 5.51 18.92 9.28P 6.75R 3.02Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 5 13 +9 83.13 10.69 30.11 16.25 71.56 31.55P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 5 13 +7 69.56 10.99 7.46 1.89 24.55 5.71P 0.85R 0.07 York 5 10 +6 75.43 10.68 20.17 5.00 44.10 14.45P 0.14R 0.00 Kidderminster 5 10 +3 75.09 10.95 16.87 4.58 42.70 13.35P 0.27R 0.02 Tamworth 5 10 +1 58.95 10.70 -10.21 0.16 4.96 0.80P 6.83R 0.82 Luton 4 8 +6 92.87 10.60 49.41 54.77 92.76 69.73P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 5 8 +1 74.19 10.53 15.84 3.59 38.96 13.16P 0.22R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 5 8 -1 70.32 10.65 8.48 1.77 25.79 7.28P 0.59R 0.05 Braintree_Town 5 7 +4 61.80 12.47 1.93 0.72 11.64 2.91P 6.59R 1.12 Barrow 5 7 +2 57.27 10.69 -7.07 0.10 3.73 0.61P 8.87R 1.27 Stockport 5 7 +1 74.15 11.70 18.15 4.96 40.59 14.28P 0.47R 0.05 Cambridge_Utd 5 7 +0 64.62 10.75 2.57 0.57 12.37 2.92P 2.20R 0.23 Forest_Green 5 6 +3 57.22 10.80 -4.84 0.10 3.83 0.64P 9.13R 1.14 Mansfield 5 6 +0 65.14 11.10 4.54 0.73 14.58 3.41P 2.39R 0.25 AFC_Telford 4 6 +0 54.73 12.30 -13.52 0.20 4.02 0.90P 17.36R 3.65 Newport_County 5 5 +2 65.50 11.02 8.65 0.89 15.37 4.01P 2.09R 0.19 Lincoln_City 5 5 -1 71.48 11.49 15.00 3.04 31.62 10.65P 0.73R 0.06 Hayes_&_Yeading 5 4 -4 46.64 10.57 -27.26 0.01 0.37 0.05P 37.51R 8.99 Kettering 5 4 -7 55.84 10.79 -13.76 0.06 2.70 0.39P 11.94R 1.77 Grimsby 5 4 -7 64.17 11.00 -0.86 0.56 11.95 2.88P 2.99R 0.29 Ebbsfleet_United 5 3 -2 46.98 11.65 -20.74 0.02 0.86 0.17P 37.33R 10.68 Bath_City 5 2 -5 50.00 10.46 -17.42 0.01 0.76 0.12P 24.77R 5.04 Southport 5 2 -8 44.35 10.38 -30.31 0.00 0.17 0.03P 46.00R 12.41 Alfreton_Town 5 2 -10 34.13 10.70 -53.18 0.00 0.05 0.00P 80.70R 51.91