Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool        3    7   +4      69.26     9.18    25.55     7.38    22.04    41.37    60.36    84.59     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea          3    7   +3      76.79     8.93    36.15    26.23    55.56    74.70    86.35    96.51     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    3    7   +3      45.90     9.01   -11.26     0.03     0.15     0.53     1.32     6.19    11.32R    2.32  
Man_City         2    6   +5      69.62     9.68    27.10     9.04    24.70    44.15    61.69    84.42     0.04R    0.01  
Man_Utd          2    6   +4      81.41     9.01    45.82    51.00    75.10    87.35    93.86    98.66     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    5   +2      51.96     9.36     0.36     0.16     0.80     2.47     5.79    19.34     3.44R    0.56  
Wigan            3    5   +2      39.47     8.66   -18.73     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.45    30.38R    8.14  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      53.64     9.73     1.16     0.29     1.28     3.75     8.34    25.11     2.69R    0.41  
Bolton           3    3   +1      47.80     9.50    -4.81     0.06     0.28     0.95     2.51    10.24     8.79R    1.63  
Everton          2    3   +0      55.66     9.61     5.10     0.43     2.00     5.51    11.67    31.99     1.58R    0.19  
QPR              3    3   -5      36.08     8.92   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.67    46.80R   17.91  
Stoke            2    2   +0      46.38     9.19    -6.66     0.02     0.12     0.54     1.58     7.37    10.39R    1.91  
Sunderland       3    2   -1      43.27     9.06   -10.95     0.01     0.06     0.22     0.66     3.76    17.72R    4.22  
Norwich          3    2   -2      34.99     9.45   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13     0.87    51.51R   22.96  
Swansea          3    2   -4      34.57     8.69   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.41    53.15R   22.12  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      66.19     9.66    22.77     4.66    14.67    29.68    46.79    74.75     0.11R    0.01  
Fulham           2    1   -2      48.11     9.26    -4.55     0.04     0.26     0.87     2.37    10.03     7.66R    1.41  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      43.76     9.72   -12.42     0.01     0.10     0.41     1.15     5.26    18.27R    4.97  
Tottenham        1    0   -3      56.78    10.07     6.20     0.63     2.86     7.31    14.92    37.01     1.58R    0.22  
Blackburn        3    0   -4      38.65     9.00   -19.10     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.23     1.34    34.54R   11.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Brighton vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Brighton          5   13   +6      67.73    11.74     4.00     4.41     9.75    33.04    14.59P    3.56R    0.56  
Southampton       5   12   +6      74.86    11.86    16.14    13.24    24.80    57.07    32.75P    0.89R    0.10  
Derby             5   12   +5      64.15    10.82    -0.80     1.82     4.52    21.19     7.58P    5.21R    0.83  
Middlesbrough     5   11   +5      72.42    11.19    12.86     8.33    17.27    48.70    24.78P    0.98R    0.13  
Crystal_Palace    5   10   +3      58.36    10.31    -7.44     0.38     1.22     8.75     2.49P   12.31R    2.55  
Cardiff           5    8   +1      73.49    11.20    15.02     9.47    19.93    52.89    28.74P    0.92R    0.13  
Blackpool         5    8   +1      73.22    12.06    14.63    11.09    21.03    51.88    29.79P    1.51R    0.24  
Peterborough      5    7   +4      57.22    12.44    -8.29     1.04     2.61    11.57     4.30P   19.61R    6.15  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      79.31    12.19    26.40    24.65    39.19    71.08    49.32P    0.42R    0.07  
Leicester         5    7   -1      65.18    11.20     1.74     2.36     5.75    24.91    10.06P    4.70R    0.88  
Millwall          5    6   +1      63.25    10.59     3.19     1.29     3.60    19.11     7.25P    5.37R    0.89  
Portsmouth        5    6   +0      61.94    10.65     0.36     0.95     2.83    15.81     5.81P    7.16R    1.34  
Hull              5    6   -3      60.22    10.59    -4.82     0.72     1.99    12.03     4.22P    9.65R    2.04  
Ipswich           5    6   -6      52.53    10.67   -21.65     0.14     0.42     3.47     0.97P   29.85R    9.21  
Burnley           4    5   -1      62.92    11.38    -0.65     1.62     4.21    19.75     7.74P    7.48R    1.55  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.24    11.07     6.19     3.32     7.99    30.97    14.10P    3.10R    0.47  
Barnsley          5    5   -2      53.03    10.55   -13.49     0.13     0.45     3.69     1.06P   27.03R    8.05  
Bristol_City      5    5   -4      54.51    10.70   -13.77     0.21     0.67     5.03     1.52P   22.86R    6.20  
Leeds_United      5    4   -1      62.22    11.45     1.68     1.42     3.83    18.65     7.32P    8.27R    1.92  
Reading           5    4   -1      68.54    11.26    11.60     4.64    10.22    36.31    17.68P    2.54R    0.45  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.16    12.22    11.74     8.41    16.51    45.05    25.10P    2.21R    0.38  
Coventry          5    2   -3      50.29    10.39   -13.22     0.04     0.18     2.10     0.57P   35.32R   11.69  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.04    11.42   -12.80     0.35     1.00     6.62     2.18P   22.99R    7.01  
Doncaster         5    1   -6      42.45    10.23   -28.62     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   66.07R   37.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          5   13   +8      78.16    11.43    21.41    11.13    23.71    64.26    33.88P    0.43R    0.02  
Charlton         5   13   +7      80.37    11.26    23.89    14.63    29.46    71.32    40.23P    0.26R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        5   13   +6      86.36    11.81    32.04    32.06    50.66    84.99    61.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Preston          5   10   +3      79.75    12.17    23.78    15.04    29.55    68.37    41.20P    0.56R    0.03  
Tranmere         5   10   +3      65.13    10.89     1.39     0.93     2.98    20.48     6.55P    5.74R    0.52  
Carlisle         5   10   +1      66.82    11.08     1.55     1.55     4.30    25.32     8.63P    4.43R    0.43  
Brentford        5    9   +4      66.36    11.05     5.61     1.20     3.81    24.58     8.12P    4.73R    0.42  
Huddersfield     5    9   +4      80.46    11.18    27.45    15.07    30.37    72.29    43.68P    0.25R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +1      70.76    11.41     9.07     3.25     8.64    38.68    15.78P    2.50R    0.22  
Walsall          5    8   +2      61.90    11.20    -2.05     0.62     1.92    14.48     4.35P   10.53R    1.30  
Colchester       5    7   +2      67.94    11.37     8.87     1.83     5.34    30.17    11.15P    3.90R    0.41  
Hartlepool       5    7   +2      60.04    11.12    -3.15     0.36     1.25    11.01     3.14P   13.49R    1.91  
Bury             5    7   +0      56.76    11.68   -10.32     0.24     0.90     7.43     2.08P   22.97R    4.53  
Stevenage        5    6   +1      50.97    11.05   -15.55     0.04     0.18     2.46     0.57P   39.33R    9.58  
Notts_County     5    6   +0      59.60    10.96    -3.91     0.26     1.00     9.80     2.68P   14.30R    2.16  
Oldham           5    6   -4      57.21    10.87   -11.53     0.16     0.58     6.58     1.73P   19.96R    3.24  
Wycombe          5    5   -3      51.32    11.35   -18.44     0.05     0.18     2.88     0.71P   39.11R   10.35  
Yeovil           5    4   -2      55.42    10.67    -9.21     0.07     0.33     4.59     1.05P   23.74R    4.20  
Exeter           5    4   -3      53.30    10.82   -14.01     0.07     0.24     3.30     0.84P   31.17R    6.30  
Scunthorpe       5    3   -2      62.48    12.37     2.42     1.01     2.93    18.25     6.76P   11.88R    1.90  
Bournemouth      5    3   -6      60.12    11.11    -5.00     0.29     1.07    10.78     3.32P   13.70R    2.08  
Rochdale         5    2   -6      55.95    11.05    -9.70     0.13     0.51     5.63     1.66P   23.23R    4.33  
Chesterfield     5    1   -8      42.83    11.38   -33.02     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.13P   68.11R   32.65  
Leyton_Orient    5    0  -10      49.28    11.01   -21.60     0.03     0.10     1.73     0.42P   45.61R   13.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             5   13   +8      80.94    11.21    25.76    26.92    54.28    80.30    61.23P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe             5   12   +7      66.25    10.94     4.05     2.86    10.99    32.38    15.28P    1.73R    0.57  
Crawley_Town          5   10   +5      65.45    11.88     3.76     3.14    11.67    31.26    15.82P    3.06R    1.22  
Gillingham            5   10   +2      73.19    11.11    12.47     8.95    27.31    56.77    34.86P    0.40R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red             5   10   +1      73.72    11.82    12.26    10.82    29.79    57.92    37.49P    0.54R    0.19  
Cheltenham            5    9   +2      58.89    10.98    -8.10     0.63     3.21    13.28     4.95P    7.78R    3.24  
Southend              5    9   -1      69.18    11.12     5.08     4.63    16.63    42.02    22.76P    1.03R    0.35  
Port_Vale             5    8   +4      67.62    11.05     9.34     3.53    13.75    37.98    19.69P    1.40R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd            5    8   +2      62.03    10.90    -0.61     1.10     5.42    20.16     8.63P    4.24R    1.54  
Bristol_Rovers        5    8   +1      70.97    11.96    11.21     7.78    23.27    49.38    30.40P    0.93R    0.31  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1      72.51    11.03    13.37     8.06    25.27    54.65    33.36P    0.45R    0.11  
Torquay               5    8   +0      70.15    11.19     8.90     5.63    19.12    45.71    26.09P    0.84R    0.26  
Macclesfield          5    7   +5      58.58    10.92    -1.82     0.59     3.26    13.41     5.31P    7.55R    3.04  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1      48.97    11.31   -23.79     0.11     0.66     3.34     1.07P   31.92R   17.52  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   -2      63.05    11.21    -2.28     1.65     7.11    23.10    10.85P    3.91R    1.50  
Burton_Albion         5    6   +0      57.60    11.11    -7.31     0.46     2.61    11.56     4.37P    9.78R    4.25  
Barnet                5    5   -3      50.35    10.87   -20.89     0.09     0.60     3.50     1.09P   26.14R   13.78  
Bradford              5    4   -1      50.92    10.62   -14.49     0.06     0.59     3.53     1.17P   22.72R   11.25  
Northampton           5    4   -3      57.73    10.97    -6.65     0.49     2.64    11.55     4.59P    9.16R    3.78  
Aldershot             5    4   -3      56.57    10.80    -7.83     0.33     1.95     9.60     3.68P   10.49R    4.63  
Swindon               5    3   -1      72.03    11.87    18.26     9.18    26.29    53.88    35.70P    0.93R    0.36  
Crewe                 5    3   -6      63.25    11.65    -0.11     1.83     7.97    24.83    12.08P    4.46R    1.77  
Hereford              5    2   -8      45.14    10.28   -26.91     0.02     0.11     0.94     0.24P   43.76R   26.71  
Plymouth              5    1   -9      60.69    11.78    -3.68     1.16     5.51    18.92     9.28P    6.75R    3.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             5   13   +9      83.13    10.69    30.11    16.25    71.56    31.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           5   13   +7      69.56    10.99     7.46     1.89    24.55     5.71P    0.85R    0.07  
York                5   10   +6      75.43    10.68    20.17     5.00    44.10    14.45P    0.14R    0.00  
Kidderminster       5   10   +3      75.09    10.95    16.87     4.58    42.70    13.35P    0.27R    0.02  
Tamworth            5   10   +1      58.95    10.70   -10.21     0.16     4.96     0.80P    6.83R    0.82  
Luton               4    8   +6      92.87    10.60    49.41    54.77    92.76    69.73P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington          5    8   +1      74.19    10.53    15.84     3.59    38.96    13.16P    0.22R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town      5    8   -1      70.32    10.65     8.48     1.77    25.79     7.28P    0.59R    0.05  
Braintree_Town      5    7   +4      61.80    12.47     1.93     0.72    11.64     2.91P    6.59R    1.12  
Barrow              5    7   +2      57.27    10.69    -7.07     0.10     3.73     0.61P    8.87R    1.27  
Stockport           5    7   +1      74.15    11.70    18.15     4.96    40.59    14.28P    0.47R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd       5    7   +0      64.62    10.75     2.57     0.57    12.37     2.92P    2.20R    0.23  
Forest_Green        5    6   +3      57.22    10.80    -4.84     0.10     3.83     0.64P    9.13R    1.14  
Mansfield           5    6   +0      65.14    11.10     4.54     0.73    14.58     3.41P    2.39R    0.25  
AFC_Telford         4    6   +0      54.73    12.30   -13.52     0.20     4.02     0.90P   17.36R    3.65  
Newport_County      5    5   +2      65.50    11.02     8.65     0.89    15.37     4.01P    2.09R    0.19  
Lincoln_City        5    5   -1      71.48    11.49    15.00     3.04    31.62    10.65P    0.73R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading     5    4   -4      46.64    10.57   -27.26     0.01     0.37     0.05P   37.51R    8.99  
Kettering           5    4   -7      55.84    10.79   -13.76     0.06     2.70     0.39P   11.94R    1.77  
Grimsby             5    4   -7      64.17    11.00    -0.86     0.56    11.95     2.88P    2.99R    0.29  
Ebbsfleet_United    5    3   -2      46.98    11.65   -20.74     0.02     0.86     0.17P   37.33R   10.68  
Bath_City           5    2   -5      50.00    10.46   -17.42     0.01     0.76     0.12P   24.77R    5.04  
Southport           5    2   -8      44.35    10.38   -30.31     0.00     0.17     0.03P   46.00R   12.41  
Alfreton_Town       5    2  -10      34.13    10.70   -53.18     0.00     0.05     0.00P   80.70R   51.91