Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 August 2011 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         2    6   +5      69.99     9.73    27.87     9.41    26.25    45.75    62.89    84.56     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    6   +4      81.74     9.05    46.80    52.02    75.93    88.05    94.12    98.77     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    2    6   +3      45.34     9.32   -13.32     0.03     0.17     0.54     1.49     5.98    13.39R    2.93  
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      53.46     9.66     1.84     0.29     1.34     3.78     8.18    24.01     2.70R    0.39  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      67.83     9.60    23.96     6.33    18.82    35.93    53.92    79.24     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      76.59     9.14    37.13    25.55    54.35    73.69    85.29    95.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      53.79     9.69     1.32     0.26     1.31     3.77     8.31    24.60     2.80R    0.41  
Bolton           2    3   +3      49.46     9.83    -2.43     0.12     0.59     1.82     4.23    14.03     6.83R    1.37  
QPR              2    3   -3      38.22     9.35   -24.27     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.32     1.46    37.92R   12.80  
Norwich          2    2   +0      34.96     9.65   -29.68     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.17     0.86    52.25R   23.00  
Stoke            2    2   +0      46.39     9.28    -6.85     0.03     0.18     0.61     1.63     7.42    10.43R    1.99  
Wigan            2    2   +0      36.80     8.93   -22.97     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.81    42.89R   14.64  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      43.60     9.42   -11.46     0.01     0.08     0.34     0.96     4.29    17.59R    4.43  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      66.43     9.72    23.44     4.79    15.49    30.71    47.96    74.81     0.10R    0.01  
Fulham           2    1   -2      48.23     9.34    -4.53     0.04     0.29     1.02     2.59    10.01     7.60R    1.29  
Swansea          2    1   -4      34.62     9.18   -27.29     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.66    53.36R   22.48  
Everton          1    0   -1      54.15    10.01     4.16     0.35     1.72     4.82     9.93    26.87     2.76R    0.45  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      44.11     9.92   -12.18     0.02     0.11     0.53     1.45     5.92    17.94R    4.71  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      40.03     9.27   -18.41     0.01     0.04     0.11     0.27     2.02    29.86R    8.84  
Tottenham        1    0   -3      57.19    10.18     6.86     0.72     3.26     8.29    16.04    37.87     1.52R    0.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Middlesbrough vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      77.04    12.17    18.26    15.60    27.89    61.44    36.19P    0.58R    0.07  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.16    11.14     1.10     2.38     5.74    25.22     9.37P    3.27R    0.48  
Middlesbrough     4   10   +5      73.78    11.56    14.31     8.99    18.33    50.94    26.15P    0.86R    0.11  
Brighton          4   10   +4      64.78    12.09    -0.28     2.42     5.69    23.58     9.25P    6.07R    1.16  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.48    10.63    -8.03     0.38     1.14     8.47     2.41P   11.45R    2.37  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.44    13.08    -3.39     1.79     4.33    17.11     6.67P   13.55R    3.59  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      80.20    12.00    27.83    22.89    37.77    71.81    48.73P    0.25R    0.03  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      74.12    11.53    15.49     9.36    19.33    52.81    28.42P    0.82R    0.10  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      74.28    12.57    15.76    11.56    21.94    52.78    30.48P    1.33R    0.19  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.49    11.07     4.25     1.55     4.22    21.30     8.26P    4.60R    0.83  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      62.28    11.07     0.21     0.94     2.81    16.18     5.95P    6.65R    1.23  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.04    11.20     5.83     2.78     6.83    28.45    12.53P    2.88R    0.46  
Leeds_United      4    4   +0      65.19    11.73     5.05     2.34     5.74    24.60    10.07P    5.06R    1.04  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.20    11.56    14.54     6.23    13.55    43.05    21.96P    1.57R    0.22  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.60    11.49    -0.70     1.39     3.62    17.80     6.81P    7.25R    1.47  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.53    10.73   -15.26     0.10     0.33     3.14     0.79P   27.07R    7.93  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      54.93    11.04   -14.03     0.16     0.59     5.38     1.55P   20.76R    5.52  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.61    12.29    12.42     7.47    15.37    44.00    24.03P    1.86R    0.31  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.35    10.84    -7.74     0.34     1.00     7.42     2.38P   14.36R    3.24  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.69    11.07   -24.95     0.06     0.22     2.06     0.51P   37.64R   13.67  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.35    11.73    -3.14     0.88     2.48    13.83     4.90P   10.76R    2.57  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.10    11.56   -12.86     0.32     0.92     6.37     2.01P   21.43R    6.31  
Coventry          4    1   -3      49.81    10.63   -14.70     0.04     0.16     1.89     0.51P   35.23R   11.69  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.16    10.62   -29.99     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.07P   64.71R   35.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      76.89    11.69    20.96    11.68    23.91    61.66    33.78P    0.79R    0.07  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.89    11.51    23.09    14.68    28.96    68.40    39.31P    0.45R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      84.81    12.17    31.41    31.64    49.47    82.44    59.69P    0.18R    0.02  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.67    11.31    10.56     3.28     8.62    36.89    14.97P    2.93R    0.25  
Preston          4    7   +1      76.90    12.42    19.83    12.88    25.13    61.17    35.86P    1.26R    0.11  
Bury             4    7   +1      58.47    11.93    -8.76     0.57     1.67    10.81     3.44P   20.09R    3.95  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.67    11.16    -3.28     0.69     2.22    14.69     4.74P   11.32R    1.47  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.58    11.41    -0.36     1.42     3.94    21.75     7.77P    7.74R    0.95  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      61.11    11.13    -1.78     0.64     1.89    13.74     4.22P   12.23R    1.88  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.65    11.39   -15.83     0.13     0.38     3.70     0.95P   39.29R   10.06  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      77.97    11.55    23.03    12.99    26.71    65.87    39.00P    0.59R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.83    11.64     7.71     3.09     8.06    34.53    14.20P    4.05R    0.44  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.42    11.06    -5.56     0.46     1.56    12.14     3.61P   13.88R    2.09  
Walsall          4    5   +0      57.53    11.29    -8.37     0.30     1.09     8.59     2.48P   20.69R    3.71  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      54.15    11.69   -13.05     0.15     0.60     5.69     1.57P   31.40R    7.75  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      56.12    11.07    -8.54     0.18     0.62     6.44     1.75P   23.84R    4.55  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.49    11.59     3.09     1.34     3.97    22.08     8.14P    8.15R    1.14  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.67    11.02    -8.48     0.21     0.68     6.90     1.82P   22.42R    4.24  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.55    12.58     4.57     1.99     5.32    24.60    10.16P   10.02R    1.77  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.59    11.49     0.24     1.14     3.18    19.77     7.13P    9.23R    1.28  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.40    11.34    -4.44     0.39     1.40    11.10     3.59P   16.31R    2.73  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.46    11.13   -15.30     0.05     0.26     2.93     0.73P   39.16R   10.40  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.21    11.64   -31.84     0.02     0.08     1.08     0.25P   65.04R   30.65  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.63    11.16   -18.91     0.07     0.28     3.02     0.85P   38.98R   10.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Swindon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      69.13    12.27     9.37     6.18    18.92    42.80    24.21P    1.57R    0.56  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      76.91    11.45    19.05    15.91    39.17    68.83    46.96P    0.15R    0.03  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.55    11.14    18.34    14.76    37.79    67.91    45.91P    0.15R    0.03  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.66    11.20    -0.92     1.64     6.68    22.14     9.66P    3.67R    1.35  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      74.46    12.05    12.81    12.20    31.98    60.05    39.58P    0.45R    0.15  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      69.90    11.18    11.66     5.35    18.50    45.35    25.20P    0.77R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.05    11.71   -13.07     0.35     1.82     8.08     2.97P   17.25R    8.33  
Oxford_Utd            4    7   +2      62.30    10.91    -0.63     1.12     5.45    20.88     8.65P    3.61R    1.27  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      72.33    12.31    12.68     9.87    26.64    53.47    33.77P    0.90R    0.30  
Torquay               4    7   +0      69.90    11.37     7.98     5.55    18.44    45.04    25.00P    0.95R    0.30  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      58.61    11.26    -6.78     0.63     3.30    13.49     5.19P    8.14R    3.43  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.66    11.02   -12.13     0.34     1.72     8.47     2.88P   12.55R    5.64  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.25    11.14     2.30     2.64    10.89    32.23    16.16P    1.84R    0.58  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.73    11.04    10.69     4.96    17.77    44.89    25.17P    0.84R    0.28  
Barnet                4    5   -1      52.98    10.98   -16.08     0.15     0.95     5.41     1.68P   18.45R    8.84  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      53.94    10.94   -10.05     0.18     1.25     6.46     2.25P   15.28R    7.07  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.57    11.32    -2.42     1.00     4.77    17.80     7.75P    5.74R    2.28  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.77    11.42    -4.20     1.11     4.97    18.13     8.03P    5.93R    2.43  
Swindon               4    3   +0      73.97    12.09    20.01    11.95    31.42    59.65    40.86P    0.60R    0.19  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.38    10.86    -8.56     0.31     1.88     9.14     3.51P   10.22R    4.42  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.55    10.60   -18.52     0.02     0.23     1.72     0.50P   33.24R   18.41  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      64.24    12.23     0.45     2.60     9.87    28.39    15.14P    4.25R    1.72  
Hereford              4    1   -8      44.24    10.42   -29.09     0.01     0.10     0.78     0.22P   46.61R   29.18  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.60    11.88    -2.88     1.17     5.48    18.88     8.76P    6.85R    2.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 August 2011, Fleetwood_Town vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           4   10   +6      67.34    11.27     5.58     1.62    20.78     4.83P    1.82R    0.21  
York                5   10   +6      75.13    10.56    19.63     5.62    45.22    15.13P    0.15R    0.01  
Wrexham             4   10   +6      80.39    10.81    25.35    12.90    64.08    26.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      5    8   -1      70.39    10.53     8.61     2.25    27.28     7.85P    0.56R    0.05  
Braintree_Town      4    7   +6      63.06    12.62     3.74     1.39    15.01     4.09P    5.91R    1.03  
Barrow              4    7   +3      59.42    10.86    -4.73     0.28     6.21     1.24P    7.25R    1.06  
Kidderminster       4    7   +1      73.40    11.27    14.85     4.88    39.11    12.60P    0.50R    0.04  
Stockport           5    7   +1      74.29    11.48    18.33     5.91    42.74    15.59P    0.47R    0.06  
Tamworth            4    7   -1      55.30    10.79   -15.53     0.11     2.85     0.46P   13.99R    2.53  
Luton               3    5   +4      91.41    10.69    47.19    53.35    91.66    68.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green        4    5   +3      58.04    11.15    -4.22     0.22     5.54     1.05P    9.40R    1.56  
Newport_County      4    5   +3      68.11    11.26    11.67     1.95    23.25     6.65P    1.53R    0.17  
Darlington          4    5   +0      72.03    10.69    14.14     3.34    33.70    11.52P    0.45R    0.03  
Lincoln_City        5    5   -1      71.12    11.60    14.39     3.48    32.31    11.18P    0.94R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd       4    4   -1      62.96    11.02     1.62     0.60    11.16     2.90P    3.82R    0.54  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    4   -3      47.76    10.73   -26.41     0.01     0.66     0.08P   35.92R    9.53  
Kettering           4    4   -4      58.71    11.04    -8.33     0.22     5.58     1.12P    8.61R    1.40  
Grimsby             4    4   -6      65.96    11.16     0.86     1.18    16.98     4.55P    2.38R    0.29  
AFC_Telford         3    3   -1      50.36    12.55   -18.75     0.14     2.50     0.58P   30.04R    9.21  
Mansfield           4    3   -3      61.49    11.28    -1.83     0.46     9.65     2.19P    5.72R    0.93  
Ebbsfleet_United    4    2   -2      47.49    12.05   -20.41     0.05     1.23     0.25P   37.68R   12.64  
Bath_City           4    2   -3      53.06    10.82   -12.75     0.06     1.96     0.36P   18.47R    3.85  
Southport           4    2   -6      45.84    10.63   -28.18     0.01     0.38     0.06P   42.37R   12.61  
Alfreton_Town       4    2   -7      37.49    11.43   -44.81     0.00     0.17     0.04P   71.99R   42.15