Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         2    6   +5      69.93     9.72    27.76     9.28    25.68    45.46    62.55    84.41     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    6   +4      81.88     9.05    46.95    52.14    76.39    88.44    94.41    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    2    6   +3      45.38     9.27   -13.28     0.02     0.13     0.52     1.41     5.94    13.36R    2.84  
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      53.27     9.73     1.54     0.29     1.28     3.66     8.20    23.61     2.96R    0.40  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      67.80     9.52    23.85     6.03    18.44    35.78    54.00    79.65     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      76.68     9.22    37.23    25.62    55.06    73.93    85.39    95.71     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      53.94     9.68     1.58     0.31     1.37     4.07     8.76    25.38     2.57R    0.37  
Bolton           2    3   +3      49.14     9.80    -3.02     0.10     0.53     1.62     3.85    13.27     7.52R    1.38  
QPR              2    3   -3      38.45     9.34   -23.80     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.28     1.49    36.75R   12.33  
Norwich          2    2   +0      34.86     9.68   -29.82     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.94    52.67R   23.68  
Stoke            2    2   +0      46.34     9.31    -6.87     0.03     0.17     0.60     1.67     7.40    10.83R    2.08  
Wigan            2    2   +0      36.82     8.90   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.87    42.88R   14.47  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      43.79     9.38   -11.14     0.01     0.07     0.33     1.03     4.58    17.24R    3.95  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      66.38     9.80    23.37     5.00    15.47    30.94    48.03    74.71     0.14R    0.02  
Fulham           2    1   -2      48.24     9.45    -4.52     0.05     0.34     1.03     2.70    10.34     7.96R    1.52  
Swansea          2    1   -4      34.65     9.21   -27.18     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.62    52.88R   22.66  
Everton          1    0   -1      54.17     9.98     4.25     0.39     1.67     4.62     9.88    27.07     2.80R    0.43  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      44.08     9.90   -12.13     0.00     0.12     0.58     1.45     5.79    18.10R    4.71  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      40.19     9.42   -18.25     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.34     2.21    29.60R    8.91  
Tottenham        1    0   -3      56.91    10.17     6.43     0.72     3.20     8.12    15.65    37.24     1.65R    0.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Middlesbrough vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      77.19    12.29    18.49    15.98    28.58    61.90    36.90P    0.61R    0.08  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.36    11.21     1.40     2.39     6.09    26.29     9.64P    3.49R    0.53  
Middlesbrough     4   10   +5      73.96    11.66    14.56     9.65    19.26    51.69    26.98P    0.86R    0.11  
Brighton          4   10   +4      65.00    12.19     0.13     2.62     6.18    24.56    10.03P    5.86R    1.16  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.10    10.71    -8.64     0.39     1.15     8.30     2.32P   12.60R    2.63  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.03    12.93    -4.11     1.66     3.83    15.86     6.15P   13.96R    4.03  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      79.77    12.23    27.26    22.47    37.37    70.34    47.70P    0.34R    0.04  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      74.12    11.47    15.40     9.16    19.19    52.46    28.26P    0.74R    0.11  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      73.93    12.56    15.24    11.33    21.18    51.93    29.50P    1.51R    0.25  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.26    11.09     3.95     1.43     3.99    20.94     7.98P    4.79R    0.82  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      62.37    11.04     0.33     1.01     2.79    16.40     5.85P    6.67R    1.22  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.37    11.22     6.34     2.93     7.12    29.60    12.96P    2.67R    0.40  
Leeds_United      4    4   +0      64.90    11.87     4.72     2.25     5.66    24.41    10.08P    5.57R    1.17  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.18    11.55    14.52     6.28    13.48    43.09    22.28P    1.55R    0.28  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.84    11.51    -0.35     1.37     3.65    18.23     7.00P    6.96R    1.51  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.58    10.85   -15.18     0.10     0.34     3.34     0.89P   27.56R    8.28  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      55.01    11.09   -13.89     0.24     0.73     5.43     1.61P   20.86R    5.74  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.20    12.25    11.82     6.99    14.49    42.70    22.98P    1.82R    0.30  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.50    10.81    -7.54     0.36     1.00     7.63     2.46P   13.93R    3.10  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.87    11.09   -24.64     0.06     0.22     2.29     0.56P   37.34R   13.58  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.35    11.76    -3.18     1.00     2.66    13.87     5.26P   10.84R    2.55  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.18    11.52   -12.69     0.27     0.85     6.43     2.03P   21.19R    5.96  
Coventry          4    1   -3      50.12    10.74   -14.31     0.06     0.18     1.92     0.51P   34.34R   11.31  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.41    10.64   -29.63     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.07P   63.93R   34.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      76.89    11.69    21.02    11.45    23.90    62.12    33.84P    0.78R    0.05  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.69    11.56    22.85    14.38    28.66    67.98    38.94P    0.49R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      84.99    12.22    31.64    32.48    50.20    82.65    60.39P    0.16R    0.01  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.65    11.32    10.56     3.34     8.71    36.95    14.79P    2.95R    0.26  
Preston          4    7   +1      77.27    12.42    20.37    13.62    26.04    62.33    36.75P    1.08R    0.11  
Bury             4    7   +1      58.20    11.87    -9.18     0.48     1.50    10.53     3.12P   20.97R    4.13  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.27    11.02    -3.89     0.56     1.90    13.73     4.22P   11.96R    1.59  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.62    11.36    -0.24     1.38     3.91    21.96     7.83P    7.62R    0.94  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      61.18    11.05    -1.65     0.57     1.91    13.74     4.24P   12.25R    1.74  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.63    11.24   -15.83     0.09     0.33     3.41     0.86P   39.22R    9.96  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      77.54    11.48    22.38    12.07    25.32    64.59    37.36P    0.63R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.73    11.55     7.44     3.04     8.06    34.37    14.33P    4.00R    0.46  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.66    11.05    -5.23     0.51     1.73    12.75     3.95P   13.30R    1.97  
Walsall          4    5   +0      57.83    11.26    -7.95     0.29     1.05     9.05     2.59P   20.13R    3.60  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      54.09    11.66   -13.24     0.20     0.69     5.68     1.69P   31.63R    7.62  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      56.35    11.15    -8.08     0.22     0.77     6.99     1.94P   23.51R    4.57  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.14    11.43     2.61     1.27     3.51    20.98     7.62P    8.27R    1.16  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.98    11.01    -8.05     0.22     0.79     7.37     2.16P   21.89R    3.89  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.68    12.56     4.84     2.06     5.49    24.80    10.49P    9.80R    1.58  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.51    11.60     0.12     1.19     3.47    19.85     7.39P    9.63R    1.40  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.38    11.29    -4.53     0.39     1.42    10.99     3.54P   16.44R    2.76  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.42    11.16   -15.39     0.06     0.25     2.95     0.73P   39.63R   10.78  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.37    11.71   -31.56     0.02     0.10     1.12     0.28P   64.50R   30.69  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.64    11.30   -19.01     0.10     0.31     3.11     0.92P   39.16R   10.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Swindon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      69.10    12.21     9.33     6.06    18.74    43.08    24.09P    1.54R    0.52  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      76.49    11.48    18.40    15.47    38.16    67.36    45.72P    0.21R    0.05  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.31    11.32    17.99    14.68    36.98    67.26    44.99P    0.18R    0.05  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.45    11.20    -1.23     1.36     6.27    21.84     9.34P    3.95R    1.47  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      74.06    12.04    12.21    11.73    30.65    58.51    38.21P    0.55R    0.18  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      70.13    11.27    11.96     5.78    19.29    46.22    26.15P    0.79R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.25    11.71   -12.71     0.44     1.89     8.09     2.91P   16.68R    7.86  
Oxford_Utd            4    7   +2      61.81    10.93    -1.29     1.07     5.26    19.61     8.10P    4.00R    1.44  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      73.05    12.36    13.81    10.95    28.72    55.88    36.16P    0.81R    0.31  
Torquay               4    7   +0      70.08    11.42     8.25     5.74    19.16    45.54    25.76P    0.90R    0.31  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      59.10    11.23    -5.97     0.67     3.57    14.30     5.62P    7.54R    3.15  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.48    11.11   -12.55     0.30     1.77     8.34     2.85P   13.20R    5.94  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.41    11.13     2.51     2.78    11.09    32.75    16.52P    1.80R    0.61  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.99    11.11    11.06     5.26    18.44    46.00    26.22P    0.82R    0.28  
Barnet                4    5   -1      53.24    11.06   -15.70     0.16     1.09     5.71     1.90P   18.04R    8.69  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      54.27    10.92    -9.59     0.19     1.24     6.72     2.29P   14.62R    6.61  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.72    11.27    -2.21     1.01     5.08    17.98     7.96P    5.45R    2.17  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.68    11.31    -4.40     1.07     4.83    17.77     7.79P    5.74R    2.32  
Swindon               4    3   +0      73.61    11.99    19.40    11.24    30.41    58.84    39.62P    0.62R    0.20  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.70    10.95    -8.05     0.35     2.10     9.80     3.81P   10.14R    4.20  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.63    10.57   -18.44     0.03     0.27     1.71     0.56P   32.72R   18.06  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      64.13    12.28     0.31     2.56     9.91    28.18    15.13P    4.17R    1.69  
Hereford              4    1   -8      43.96    10.37   -29.54     0.01     0.08     0.73     0.17P   48.12R   30.46  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.14    11.76    -3.55     1.07     5.00    17.78     8.12P    7.41R    3.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           4   10   +6      67.11    11.21     5.11     1.49    19.61     4.50P    1.82R    0.18  
Wrexham             4   10   +6      80.39    10.90    25.40    12.22    63.16    25.75P    0.03R    0.00  
York                4    9   +6      75.58    11.06    19.85     6.23    45.66    15.99P    0.20R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      4    7   +6      62.97    12.65     3.51     1.29    14.27     3.90P    6.03R    1.06  
Barrow              4    7   +3      59.18    10.97    -5.18     0.21     5.97     1.06P    7.64R    1.17  
Kidderminster       4    7   +1      73.75    11.26    15.33     4.74    39.00    12.49P    0.42R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town      4    7   -1      70.74    10.96     8.60     2.56    28.43     8.32P    0.77R    0.06  
Tamworth            4    7   -1      55.33    10.77   -15.61     0.10     2.68     0.40P   13.76R    2.62  
Stockport           4    6   +1      74.88    11.96    18.70     6.89    43.99    16.58P    0.52R    0.06  
Luton               3    5   +4      91.49    10.77    47.56    51.92    91.00    67.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green        4    5   +3      58.27    11.15    -3.89     0.16     5.49     1.00P    8.86R    1.36  
Newport_County      4    5   +3      68.26    11.35    11.87     2.04    23.44     6.81P    1.43R    0.14  
Darlington          4    5   +0      72.16    10.66    14.29     3.02    32.97    11.23P    0.37R    0.02  
Lincoln_City        4    4   -1      72.10    12.15    15.39     4.64    35.38    13.18P    0.98R    0.11  
Cambridge_Utd       4    4   -1      62.99    11.02     1.52     0.58    10.79     2.65P    3.86R    0.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    4   -3      48.00    10.77   -26.20     0.02     0.68     0.11P   34.84R    8.87  
Kettering           4    4   -4      58.75    11.11    -8.49     0.20     5.42     1.06P    8.56R    1.38  
Grimsby             4    4   -6      65.91    11.31     0.85     1.11    16.57     4.38P    2.58R    0.30  
AFC_Telford         3    3   -1      50.33    12.61   -19.03     0.09     2.24     0.44P   29.92R    9.25  
Mansfield           4    3   -3      61.56    11.31    -1.81     0.41     9.37     2.17P    5.62R    0.87  
Ebbsfleet_United    4    2   -2      46.91    12.21   -21.70     0.05     1.25     0.25P   39.71R   13.80  
Bath_City           4    2   -3      53.44    10.86   -12.38     0.05     2.05     0.35P   17.45R    3.55  
Southport           4    2   -6      45.67    10.75   -28.76     0.00     0.41     0.06P   43.13R   13.12  
Alfreton_Town       4    2   -7      37.63    11.42   -44.92     0.00     0.15     0.02P   71.50R   41.60