Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         2    6   +5      70.07     9.67    27.98     9.48    25.98    46.15    63.43    84.87     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    6   +4      82.00     9.05    47.36    52.54    76.58    88.50    94.56    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    2    6   +3      45.44     9.41   -13.23     0.03     0.15     0.57     1.49     6.48    13.50R    2.86  
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      53.18     9.76     1.38     0.27     1.29     3.71     8.14    23.40     3.17R    0.44  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      67.88     9.64    24.04     6.10    18.89    36.25    54.22    79.47     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      76.63     9.20    37.15    25.22    54.60    73.62    85.36    95.84     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      53.77     9.65     1.24     0.25     1.22     3.66     8.38    24.85     2.71R    0.42  
Bolton           2    3   +3      49.42     9.83    -2.68     0.12     0.56     1.69     4.01    14.02     7.01R    1.30  
QPR              2    3   -3      38.50     9.37   -23.82     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.35     1.57    36.92R   12.30  
Norwich          2    2   +0      34.92     9.65   -29.65     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.92    52.36R   23.54  
Stoke            2    2   +0      46.08     9.31    -7.31     0.01     0.13     0.59     1.62     6.89    11.31R    2.25  
Wigan            2    2   +0      36.94     8.87   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.12     0.76    41.99R   14.21  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      43.70     9.40   -11.31     0.01     0.07     0.35     0.90     4.41    17.77R    4.28  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      66.30     9.77    23.14     4.79    15.27    30.48    47.22    74.70     0.15R    0.01  
Fulham           2    1   -2      48.19     9.34    -4.64     0.05     0.26     0.91     2.65    10.23     7.71R    1.43  
Swansea          2    1   -4      34.69     9.18   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.11     0.61    52.78R   22.41  
Everton          1    0   -1      54.12     9.96     4.14     0.37     1.59     4.56     9.85    26.75     2.80R    0.41  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      44.26     9.99   -11.81     0.01     0.12     0.57     1.56     6.20    17.85R    4.69  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      39.95     9.42   -18.55     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.43     2.17    30.24R    9.18  
Tottenham        1    0   -3      56.93    10.19     6.41     0.76     3.21     8.02    15.39    37.06     1.66R    0.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Middlesbrough vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      76.82    12.25    17.90    15.67    28.11    60.77    36.10P    0.57R    0.08  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.26    11.11     1.27     2.34     5.84    25.64     9.26P    3.37R    0.49  
Middlesbrough     4   10   +5      73.82    11.45    14.36     9.11    18.37    51.54    26.34P    0.80R    0.10  
Brighton          4   10   +4      65.07    12.04     0.21     2.66     6.23    24.46     9.90P    5.61R    1.04  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.31    10.59    -8.30     0.38     1.15     8.31     2.39P   11.83R    2.48  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.73    13.06    -2.93     1.80     4.21    17.66     6.66P   13.09R    3.84  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      80.01    12.24    27.59    23.42    38.19    71.15    48.68P    0.36R    0.05  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      73.91    11.52    15.15     9.03    18.85    51.84    27.78P    0.82R    0.12  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      74.21    12.50    15.72    11.78    22.06    53.08    30.66P    1.29R    0.21  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.61    11.07     4.42     1.61     4.29    21.67     8.43P    4.59R    0.81  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      62.19    10.88     0.10     0.93     2.71    15.50     5.63P    6.47R    1.14  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.45    11.10     6.40     2.90     7.19    29.63    13.20P    2.56R    0.34  
Leeds_United      4    4   +0      64.96    11.75     4.76     2.09     5.42    24.27     9.88P    5.37R    1.11  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.19    11.53    14.46     6.03    13.56    43.24    22.08P    1.53R    0.25  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.90    11.52    -0.24     1.46     3.86    18.57     7.23P    6.87R    1.48  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.54    10.85   -15.21     0.10     0.34     3.09     0.80P   27.56R    8.42  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      54.90    11.05   -14.09     0.19     0.63     5.22     1.56P   21.29R    5.77  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.11    12.23    11.73     7.01    14.49    42.87    23.08P    1.97R    0.34  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.33    10.83    -7.80     0.35     0.96     7.55     2.41P   14.30R    3.39  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.65    11.02   -25.05     0.05     0.20     2.05     0.54P   37.98R   13.82  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.25    11.62    -3.27     0.81     2.40    13.60     5.02P   10.55R    2.59  
Watford           4    2   -5      54.88    11.47   -13.19     0.25     0.78     6.04     1.80P   21.97R    6.53  
Coventry          4    1   -3      49.82    10.54   -14.70     0.03     0.14     1.86     0.48P   35.37R   11.55  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.60    10.53   -29.30     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.07P   63.88R   34.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      77.01    11.67    21.14    11.67    24.34    62.62    34.19P    0.72R    0.06  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.92    11.51    23.17    14.17    28.46    68.71    39.09P    0.47R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      85.20    12.27    32.07    33.05    50.96    82.98    61.12P    0.18R    0.01  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.46    11.28    10.26     3.02     8.03    36.36    14.34P    3.04R    0.26  
Preston          4    7   +1      76.97    12.34    19.95    12.51    25.51    61.79    36.18P    1.22R    0.09  
Bury             4    7   +1      58.25    11.84    -9.16     0.48     1.44    10.35     3.11P   20.57R    4.05  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.56    10.98    -3.34     0.56     1.97    14.18     4.30P   11.28R    1.44  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.52    11.36    -0.41     1.29     3.73    21.50     7.52P    7.84R    1.03  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      61.01    11.14    -1.94     0.60     1.83    13.55     4.11P   12.82R    1.92  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.70    11.34   -15.78     0.08     0.32     3.54     0.88P   38.74R   10.01  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      77.94    11.57    22.98    12.99    26.58    65.69    38.71P    0.62R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.61    11.60     7.31     3.13     7.84    33.69    14.14P    4.10R    0.45  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.55    11.00    -5.36     0.48     1.43    12.20     3.57P   13.49R    2.03  
Walsall          4    5   +0      58.00    11.32    -7.62     0.33     1.21     9.17     2.68P   19.71R    3.56  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      54.21    11.58   -13.02     0.19     0.64     5.74     1.68P   30.97R    7.26  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      56.29    11.14    -8.26     0.22     0.78     6.95     1.94P   23.47R    4.46  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.11    11.53     2.57     1.23     3.57    21.23     7.55P    8.59R    1.14  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.92    11.11    -8.15     0.19     0.75     7.38     2.13P   22.06R    4.14  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.66    12.57     4.72     2.11     5.37    24.77    10.27P    9.71R    1.61  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.46    11.57     0.05     1.18     3.37    19.71     7.27P    9.66R    1.40  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.23    11.32    -4.72     0.39     1.34    10.88     3.41P   16.73R    2.93  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.29    11.06   -15.60     0.04     0.18     2.80     0.72P   39.65R   10.58  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.34    11.72   -31.67     0.02     0.06     1.11     0.24P   64.35R   30.39  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.45    11.29   -19.19     0.07     0.25     3.09     0.84P   40.00R   11.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Swindon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      69.10    12.21     9.35     6.08    18.37    42.74    23.68P    1.55R    0.59  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      76.94    11.44    19.04    16.11    39.55    69.10    47.32P    0.18R    0.05  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.38    11.27    18.09    14.49    37.36    67.34    45.36P    0.16R    0.05  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.62    11.20    -1.00     1.54     6.78    22.18     9.76P    3.63R    1.28  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      73.93    12.11    12.06    11.37    29.95    57.99    37.48P    0.51R    0.16  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      70.04    11.24    11.88     5.60    18.98    46.14    25.84P    0.80R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.27    11.68   -12.75     0.30     1.93     8.07     3.01P   16.60R    7.84  
Oxford_Utd            4    7   +2      62.02    10.93    -1.05     1.14     5.26    20.11     8.28P    3.94R    1.45  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      73.09    12.25    13.83    11.02    28.61    55.89    36.00P    0.75R    0.26  
Torquay               4    7   +0      70.30    11.49     8.63     5.87    19.67    46.42    26.46P    0.91R    0.29  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      59.00    11.21    -6.20     0.72     3.57    14.04     5.65P    7.50R    3.08  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.58    11.08   -12.36     0.34     1.82     8.46     3.06P   12.64R    5.61  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.50    11.12     2.63     2.77    11.24    33.12    16.49P    1.73R    0.54  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.37    11.13    10.18     4.78    17.08    43.30    24.31P    0.86R    0.27  
Barnet                4    5   -1      52.85    10.95   -16.33     0.15     1.01     5.13     1.70P   18.79R    9.11  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      54.23    11.08    -9.66     0.20     1.39     7.01     2.49P   14.96R    6.88  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.65    11.24    -2.28     1.04     4.68    17.52     7.64P    5.57R    2.28  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.96    11.34    -4.03     1.09     5.09    18.53     8.09P    5.37R    2.21  
Swindon               4    3   +0      73.66    12.17    19.55    11.56    30.64    58.65    39.75P    0.69R    0.24  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.27    10.89    -8.72     0.32     1.91     9.05     3.51P   10.66R    4.58  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.65    10.52   -18.41     0.02     0.25     1.76     0.50P   32.70R   17.56  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      63.95    12.22     0.13     2.40     9.38    27.85    14.72P    4.28R    1.83  
Hereford              4    1   -8      43.91    10.40   -29.62     0.01     0.11     0.68     0.20P   48.27R   30.65  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.56    11.87    -2.97     1.09     5.37    18.90     8.68P    6.93R    2.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           4   10   +6      67.28    11.13     5.37     1.52    19.79     4.46P    1.64R    0.19  
Wrexham             4   10   +6      80.55    11.00    25.63    13.18    63.68    26.90P    0.04R    0.00  
York                4    9   +6      75.51    10.89    19.72     6.11    45.53    15.90P    0.20R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      4    7   +6      62.67    12.66     3.06     1.18    13.86     3.71P    6.45R    1.23  
Barrow              4    7   +3      59.53    10.99    -4.65     0.28     6.49     1.17P    7.15R    1.06  
Kidderminster       4    7   +1      73.78    11.28    15.34     4.67    39.25    12.50P    0.45R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town      4    7   -1      70.95    10.86     8.91     2.57    28.85     8.56P    0.61R    0.06  
Tamworth            4    7   -1      55.43    10.84   -15.38     0.10     3.02     0.51P   13.75R    2.48  
Stockport           4    6   +1      74.45    11.97    18.03     6.58    42.71    16.14P    0.51R    0.05  
Luton               3    5   +4      91.51    10.76    47.51    51.98    91.26    67.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green        4    5   +3      57.75    11.13    -4.78     0.18     5.11     0.94P    9.75R    1.55  
Newport_County      4    5   +3      68.17    11.36    11.71     1.97    23.04     6.54P    1.49R    0.17  
Darlington          4    5   +0      71.97    10.62    14.03     2.79    32.51    10.71P    0.44R    0.03  
Lincoln_City        4    4   -1      71.98    12.05    15.26     4.27    34.93    12.48P    1.10R    0.13  
Cambridge_Utd       4    4   -1      62.67    10.87     1.08     0.44    10.31     2.34P    3.84R    0.46  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    4   -3      47.86    10.78   -26.52     0.02     0.66     0.11P   35.57R    9.40  
Kettering           4    4   -4      58.89    11.12    -8.23     0.23     5.85     1.24P    8.52R    1.38  
Grimsby             4    4   -6      66.29    11.26     1.36     1.28    17.47     4.86P    2.29R    0.25  
AFC_Telford         3    3   -1      50.79    12.59   -18.07     0.12     2.51     0.53P   28.70R    8.72  
Mansfield           4    3   -3      61.42    11.46    -1.96     0.43     9.56     2.17P    5.97R    0.97  
Ebbsfleet_United    4    2   -2      47.77    12.02   -20.19     0.05     1.18     0.26P   36.76R   12.27  
Bath_City           4    2   -3      53.16    10.91   -12.77     0.05     1.96     0.42P   18.30R    3.70  
Southport           4    2   -6      45.55    10.56   -28.94     0.01     0.33     0.04P   43.41R   12.89  
Alfreton_Town       4    2   -7      37.26    11.24   -45.51     0.00     0.12     0.01P   73.05R   42.93