Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 August 2011, Man_Utd vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         2    6   +5      70.08     9.80    28.09     9.48    26.20    45.81    62.81    84.80     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    6   +4      82.08     9.02    47.47    52.57    76.68    88.53    94.60    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    2    6   +3      45.46     9.33   -13.31     0.02     0.14     0.56     1.47     6.05    13.24R    2.94  
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      53.40     9.59     1.67     0.26     1.24     3.69     8.24    23.82     2.68R    0.42  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      67.92     9.58    24.14     6.01    18.29    35.78    53.94    79.67     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      76.78     9.14    37.48    25.48    55.00    74.05    85.69    95.96     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      53.81     9.77     1.27     0.30     1.45     4.00     8.54    24.85     2.89R    0.43  
Bolton           2    3   +3      49.15     9.80    -2.99     0.09     0.47     1.54     3.79    13.29     7.34R    1.44  
QPR              2    3   -3      38.23     9.29   -24.26     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.26     1.37    37.77R   12.78  
Norwich          2    2   +0      34.77     9.62   -30.15     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.82    52.66R   23.54  
Stoke            2    2   +0      46.34     9.24    -6.88     0.02     0.17     0.63     1.65     7.39    10.45R    1.90  
Wigan            2    2   +0      36.67     8.89   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.79    43.18R   14.53  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      43.67     9.35   -11.38     0.01     0.08     0.30     0.99     4.48    17.50R    4.15  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      66.52     9.74    23.54     4.70    15.27    31.14    48.45    75.20     0.12R    0.02  
Fulham           2    1   -2      48.37     9.38    -4.41     0.05     0.34     1.09     2.73    10.36     7.46R    1.36  
Swansea          2    1   -4      34.65     9.14   -27.21     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.58    52.87R   22.32  
Everton          1    0   -1      54.11     9.90     4.15     0.34     1.60     4.32     9.43    26.86     2.68R    0.42  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      44.14     9.85   -12.03     0.03     0.16     0.51     1.34     5.67    17.82R    4.73  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      40.10     9.39   -18.37     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.46     2.22    29.55R    8.76  
Tottenham        1    0   -3      56.88    10.14     6.32     0.62     2.83     7.72    15.26    36.98     1.70R    0.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Middlesbrough vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      77.01    12.18    18.17    15.73    28.15    61.33    36.21P    0.55R    0.06  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.41    11.20     1.49     2.44     5.91    26.36     9.69P    3.26R    0.49  
Middlesbrough     4   10   +5      73.61    11.53    14.08     8.90    18.12    50.62    25.90P    0.80R    0.10  
Brighton          4   10   +4      65.25    11.94     0.46     2.52     6.07    24.54     9.96P    5.31R    0.99  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.10    10.71    -8.56     0.39     1.17     8.24     2.40P   12.75R    2.69  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.30    12.99    -3.60     1.78     4.06    16.46     6.54P   13.53R    3.73  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      79.64    12.21    27.00    22.07    36.91    70.21    47.25P    0.36R    0.06  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      74.14    11.50    15.48     9.39    19.34    52.92    28.61P    0.73R    0.09  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      74.36    12.59    15.94    11.93    21.98    53.26    30.72P    1.34R    0.24  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.59    11.05     4.38     1.66     4.25    21.39     8.12P    4.51R    0.82  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      62.28    11.03     0.16     1.01     2.75    15.84     5.77P    6.60R    1.31  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.23    11.19     6.12     2.83     6.97    29.08    12.70P    2.79R    0.45  
Leeds_United      4    4   +0      65.21    11.82     5.15     2.37     6.07    24.75    10.36P    5.04R    1.08  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.52    11.42    14.99     6.57    14.28    44.19    22.96P    1.30R    0.17  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.75    11.52    -0.54     1.41     3.67    18.18     7.04P    7.25R    1.52  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.41    10.84   -15.44     0.11     0.33     3.21     0.82P   27.85R    8.42  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      55.06    11.05   -13.83     0.18     0.65     5.42     1.49P   20.55R    5.69  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.06    12.26    11.58     7.05    14.60    42.73    23.04P    2.01R    0.38  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.42    10.74    -7.64     0.31     0.96     7.34     2.36P   13.87R    3.11  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.60    11.03   -25.14     0.06     0.20     2.16     0.53P   38.42R   13.83  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.03    11.65    -3.60     0.93     2.44    13.23     4.87P   11.09R    2.61  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.09    11.46   -12.85     0.30     0.93     6.26     2.10P   21.50R    6.23  
Coventry          4    1   -3      50.08    10.59   -14.37     0.05     0.17     1.95     0.51P   34.57R   11.29  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.39    10.52   -29.47     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.07P   64.02R   34.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      77.03    11.77    21.21    11.88    24.36    62.41    34.26P    0.83R    0.05  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.49    11.41    22.45    13.40    27.55    67.47    38.06P    0.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      85.24    12.13    32.07    32.97    51.03    83.33    60.96P    0.16R    0.01  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.58    11.31    10.40     3.12     8.34    37.09    14.88P    3.01R    0.27  
Preston          4    7   +1      76.61    12.61    19.43    12.50    24.85    60.34    35.27P    1.51R    0.11  
Bury             4    7   +1      57.98    11.91    -9.50     0.49     1.52    10.16     3.13P   21.44R    4.38  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.43    10.97    -3.60     0.57     1.82    13.90     4.18P   11.79R    1.47  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.50    11.40    -0.43     1.35     3.92    21.61     7.63P    7.73R    1.03  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      61.10    11.12    -1.83     0.54     1.79    13.80     4.18P   12.52R    1.77  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.88    11.21   -15.50     0.10     0.36     3.44     0.91P   37.90R    9.46  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      78.17    11.48    23.30    13.43    27.50    66.35    39.52P    0.54R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.56    11.60     7.22     3.04     7.86    33.62    14.23P    4.18R    0.43  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.62    11.07    -5.29     0.48     1.51    12.64     3.55P   13.44R    2.00  
Walsall          4    5   +0      58.03    11.32    -7.65     0.41     1.16     9.11     2.74P   19.52R    3.59  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      54.08    11.67   -13.30     0.18     0.61     5.63     1.57P   31.62R    7.76  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      56.00    11.18    -8.68     0.19     0.68     6.55     1.87P   24.51R    4.91  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.18    11.56     2.61     1.28     3.61    21.43     7.60P    8.63R    1.11  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.90    11.14    -8.15     0.25     0.83     7.49     2.22P   22.16R    4.20  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.88    12.50     5.14     2.05     5.35    25.24    10.39P    9.37R    1.55  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.65    11.59     0.25     1.21     3.39    19.99     7.41P    9.37R    1.37  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.40    11.30    -4.45     0.39     1.37    11.15     3.57P   16.28R    2.89  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.50    11.20   -15.23     0.07     0.25     3.04     0.78P   39.13R   10.41  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.48    11.81   -31.42     0.01     0.07     1.15     0.25P   64.07R   30.36  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.58    11.26   -19.07     0.09     0.26     3.06     0.85P   39.82R   10.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Swindon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      69.45    12.29     9.81     6.43    19.36    44.19    24.90P    1.60R    0.60  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      77.09    11.48    19.22    16.54    40.02    69.37    47.49P    0.18R    0.04  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.25    11.28    17.95    14.38    36.80    66.99    44.70P    0.18R    0.04  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.64    11.26    -0.86     1.55     6.80    22.36     9.81P    3.62R    1.32  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      74.40    11.89    12.75    11.74    31.14    59.98    38.79P    0.41R    0.12  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      69.95    11.17    11.74     5.40    18.51    45.33    25.21P    0.73R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.60    11.77   -12.20     0.39     2.09     8.67     3.31P   15.99R    7.57  
Oxford_Utd            4    7   +2      62.07    10.98    -1.03     1.05     5.47    20.16     8.45P    3.98R    1.55  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      72.85    12.45    13.48    10.68    28.43    54.92    35.87P    0.86R    0.29  
Torquay               4    7   +0      70.10    11.33     8.30     5.44    18.63    45.61    25.31P    0.85R    0.25  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      58.99    11.23    -6.20     0.69     3.52    14.12     5.62P    7.68R    3.29  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.49    11.03   -12.50     0.28     1.65     8.28     2.87P   12.82R    5.86  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.08    11.13     2.04     2.59    10.76    31.86    15.93P    1.90R    0.64  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.57    11.06    10.49     4.78    17.19    43.98    24.67P    0.92R    0.29  
Barnet                4    5   -1      52.87    11.19   -16.31     0.18     1.11     5.69     1.84P   18.96R    9.23  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      53.87    10.93   -10.20     0.19     1.18     6.43     2.12P   15.27R    6.85  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.38    11.36    -2.73     1.00     4.57    17.38     7.41P    6.04R    2.50  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.44    11.37    -4.73     0.97     4.94    17.33     7.93P    5.99R    2.37  
Swindon               4    3   +0      73.93    12.02    19.95    11.72    30.89    59.53    40.42P    0.54R    0.20  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.34    10.85    -8.52     0.33     1.91     9.08     3.47P   10.32R    4.49  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.92    10.61   -17.95     0.02     0.25     1.96     0.59P   31.95R   17.16  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      63.99    12.25     0.13     2.53     9.58    27.72    14.72P    4.50R    1.83  
Hereford              4    1   -8      43.99    10.39   -29.46     0.01     0.07     0.74     0.17P   47.79R   30.14  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.39    11.82    -3.17     1.09     5.12    18.33     8.41P    6.93R    3.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 August 2011, AFC_Telford vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           4   10   +6      67.42    11.29     5.55     1.69    20.16     4.72P    1.71R    0.23  
Wrexham             4   10   +6      80.64    10.71    25.74    12.43    64.09    26.28P    0.03R    0.00  
York                4    9   +6      75.64    10.94    19.94     6.54    45.61    16.07P    0.15R    0.02  
Braintree_Town      4    7   +6      62.71    12.72     3.05     1.29    13.94     3.83P    6.36R    1.16  
Barrow              4    7   +3      59.76    11.01    -4.31     0.28     6.49     1.25P    6.88R    1.09  
Kidderminster       4    7   +1      73.82    11.28    15.42     4.97    39.45    12.77P    0.39R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town      4    7   -1      71.13    10.95     9.11     2.67    29.76     9.01P    0.66R    0.04  
Tamworth            4    7   -1      55.46    10.81   -15.35     0.10     2.82     0.44P   13.58R    2.27  
Stockport           4    6   +1      74.68    12.13    18.43     6.83    43.85    16.62P    0.62R    0.07  
Luton               3    5   +4      91.20    10.77    46.97    51.38    90.64    66.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green        4    5   +3      57.94    11.15    -4.52     0.20     5.10     0.97P    9.63R    1.56  
Newport_County      4    5   +3      68.02    11.46    11.44     1.92    22.88     6.65P    1.64R    0.17  
Darlington          4    5   +0      71.86    10.67    13.93     3.04    32.07    10.89P    0.47R    0.03  
Lincoln_City        4    4   -1      72.04    11.93    15.32     4.18    35.20    12.58P    0.97R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd       4    4   -1      62.73    11.04     1.15     0.48    10.37     2.41P    4.03R    0.57  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    4   -3      47.94    10.81   -26.41     0.02     0.67     0.11P   35.02R    9.53  
Kettering           4    4   -4      59.03    11.08    -7.96     0.25     5.69     1.21P    8.12R    1.30  
Grimsby             4    4   -6      65.86    11.26     0.67     1.09    16.33     4.31P    2.56R    0.33  
AFC_Telford         3    3   -1      50.22    12.76   -19.08     0.11     2.41     0.49P   30.60R   10.00  
Mansfield           4    3   -3      61.55    11.27    -1.77     0.45     9.20     2.02P    5.57R    0.81  
Ebbsfleet_United    4    2   -2      46.79    11.96   -21.74     0.03     0.92     0.22P   39.74R   13.75  
Bath_City           4    2   -3      53.24    10.75   -12.65     0.04     1.78     0.31P   17.54R    3.82  
Southport           4    2   -6      45.55    10.63   -29.01     0.01     0.35     0.07P   43.67R   13.13  
Alfreton_Town       4    2   -7      38.04    11.52   -43.91     0.00     0.19     0.03P   70.05R   39.97