Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Bolton vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City         2    6   +5      66.86     9.31    27.23    11.34    28.72    48.82    66.41    87.58     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    2    6   +3      43.32     8.96   -12.17     0.02     0.19     0.66     1.82     7.82    13.83R    2.81  
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      50.67     9.36     1.79     0.32     1.44     4.23     9.27    27.31     3.41R    0.56  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      64.86     9.20    23.57     7.72    21.19    39.21    57.98    83.12     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      73.13     8.80    35.97    29.19    57.27    75.92    87.15    96.72     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      51.32     9.46     1.79     0.40     1.64     4.73    10.13    29.57     3.11R    0.51  
Bolton           2    3   +3      47.17     9.43    -1.68     0.16     0.72     2.01     4.79    17.08     7.17R    1.44  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      75.97     9.05    41.35    44.60    69.36    83.46    91.69    98.05     0.00R    0.00  
QPR              2    3   -3      36.81     9.03   -22.18     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.39     2.09    36.50R   12.25  
Norwich          2    2   +0      33.34     9.36   -27.59     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.22     1.28    52.09R   23.27  
Stoke            2    2   +0      44.33     9.02    -5.82     0.03     0.24     0.87     2.35     9.88    10.89R    2.12  
Wigan            2    2   +0      35.10     8.55   -21.22     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.16     1.17    42.71R   14.22  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      41.67     9.03   -10.16     0.02     0.12     0.41     1.16     5.84    17.65R    4.29  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      63.04     9.41    22.41     5.64    16.52    32.18    50.03    77.68     0.12R    0.01  
Fulham           2    1   -2      45.94     8.96    -3.92     0.08     0.39     1.16     3.08    12.54     7.85R    1.35  
Swansea          2    1   -4      33.13     8.92   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.88    52.27R   22.28  
Everton          1    0   -1      51.44     9.58     4.25     0.45     1.94     5.25    11.00    30.81     2.90R    0.44  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      41.99     9.60   -10.99     0.02     0.15     0.61     1.75     7.61    18.66R    4.86  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      37.99     9.09   -17.29     0.00     0.04     0.17     0.53     2.96    30.75R    9.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Middlesbrough vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      76.80    12.29    17.92    15.46    27.75    60.51    36.05P    0.63R    0.06  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.44    11.02     1.49     2.28     5.77    26.00     9.41P    3.05R    0.49  
Middlesbrough     4   10   +5      73.70    11.46    14.15     8.68    18.05    50.83    25.89P    0.81R    0.09  
Brighton          4   10   +4      64.94    12.09     0.03     2.45     5.82    23.92     9.45P    5.74R    1.05  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.34    10.70    -8.28     0.40     1.20     8.59     2.53P   12.01R    2.42  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.11    13.06    -4.04     1.71     3.92    16.14     6.20P   13.87R    4.06  
West_Ham          4    7   +4      80.33    12.01    27.96    23.54    38.66    72.12    49.39P    0.24R    0.02  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      74.09    11.61    15.42     9.40    19.24    52.45    28.20P    0.79R    0.10  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      74.17    12.60    15.66    11.46    21.77    52.51    30.08P    1.40R    0.22  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.54    11.01     4.33     1.58     4.08    21.31     8.20P    4.38R    0.77  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      62.11    10.99    -0.05     0.91     2.75    15.57     5.60P    6.83R    1.31  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.41    11.17     6.46     2.87     7.07    29.79    13.15P    2.67R    0.44  
Leeds_United      4    4   +0      65.06    11.85     4.91     2.25     5.80    24.39    10.16P    5.09R    0.97  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.36    11.48    14.79     6.36    13.50    43.14    21.86P    1.35R    0.17  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.65    11.66    -0.68     1.44     3.79    18.15     6.97P    7.44R    1.58  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.40    10.73   -15.43     0.09     0.31     3.15     0.72P   27.46R    8.10  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      54.91    11.01   -14.07     0.24     0.66     5.26     1.64P   20.75R    5.59  
Birmingham        3    3   -2      71.30    12.40    12.04     7.19    14.94    43.52    23.52P    2.05R    0.35  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.44    10.94    -7.70     0.31     1.05     7.74     2.55P   14.30R    3.18  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.41    11.22   -25.45     0.09     0.23     2.18     0.56P   39.26R   14.68  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.48    11.75    -2.98     1.00     2.63    14.09     5.29P   10.48R    2.46  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.24    11.60   -12.58     0.26     0.83     6.49     2.00P   21.20R    6.22  
Coventry          4    1   -3      49.91    10.58   -14.60     0.03     0.14     1.76     0.50P   34.82R   11.64  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.58    10.56   -29.29     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.09P   63.36R   34.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      76.99    11.68    21.17    11.71    23.96    62.15    34.00P    0.75R    0.04  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.58    11.53    22.59    13.97    28.04    67.44    38.28P    0.50R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      84.82    12.15    31.42    31.66    49.55    82.21    59.74P    0.17R    0.01  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.81    11.35    10.75     3.43     8.77    37.67    15.17P    2.87R    0.28  
Preston          4    7   +1      77.14    12.57    20.30    13.43    26.30    61.92    36.66P    1.22R    0.11  
Bury             4    7   +1      58.68    11.91    -8.35     0.59     1.71    11.26     3.53P   19.87R    3.80  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.21    11.04    -3.99     0.53     1.70    13.72     4.05P   12.37R    1.56  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.65    11.46    -0.21     1.48     4.11    22.05     7.86P    7.85R    0.96  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      60.92    11.13    -2.01     0.57     1.80    13.43     4.09P   12.83R    1.89  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.87    11.36   -15.47     0.11     0.33     3.67     0.93P   38.18R   10.04  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      77.77    11.61    22.75    12.87    26.37    65.15    38.35P    0.63R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.69    11.61     7.39     3.09     8.00    34.28    14.46P    4.09R    0.44  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.64    11.04    -5.26     0.51     1.57    12.69     3.88P   13.37R    1.90  
Walsall          4    5   +0      57.72    11.32    -8.11     0.34     1.20     8.78     2.55P   20.29R    3.77  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      53.85    11.65   -13.67     0.20     0.63     5.45     1.52P   32.50R    8.14  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      55.99    11.16    -8.69     0.23     0.65     6.48     1.72P   24.16R    5.00  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.10    11.54     2.53     1.25     3.66    21.05     7.53P    8.53R    1.20  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.89    11.11    -8.12     0.23     0.82     7.38     2.16P   21.87R    4.17  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.56    12.71     4.64     2.08     5.33    24.94    10.43P   10.03R    1.69  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.46    11.58     0.08     1.13     3.39    19.64     7.39P    9.60R    1.43  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.61    11.32    -4.14     0.46     1.51    11.59     3.74P   15.85R    2.70  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.62    11.09   -15.04     0.06     0.25     3.10     0.83P   38.83R   10.07  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.46    11.65   -31.44     0.01     0.07     1.01     0.26P   64.23R   30.20  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.49    11.13   -19.10     0.08     0.28     2.93     0.85P   39.39R   10.55  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 August 2011, Swindon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      68.96    12.30     9.11     6.08    18.55    42.36    23.70P    1.71R    0.61  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      76.81    11.61    18.88    16.11    39.51    68.40    46.96P    0.24R    0.08  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.17    11.34    17.77    14.32    36.56    66.68    44.64P    0.20R    0.05  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.60    11.29    -0.96     1.54     6.91    22.62     9.93P    3.85R    1.41  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      74.21    11.84    12.45    11.23    30.67    59.39    38.45P    0.44R    0.11  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      69.80    11.12    11.54     5.30    18.09    44.97    24.66P    0.78R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.46    11.67   -12.48     0.36     1.93     8.45     3.13P   16.26R    7.85  
Oxford_Utd            4    7   +2      62.10    10.93    -0.98     1.15     5.34    20.23     8.44P    3.98R    1.45  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      72.85    12.31    13.44    10.47    28.22    55.15    35.45P    0.86R    0.27  
Torquay               4    7   +0      70.36    11.46     8.68     6.10    19.55    46.34    26.15P    0.91R    0.32  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      58.93    11.18    -6.27     0.63     3.38    13.80     5.36P    7.71R    3.36  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.44    11.18   -12.61     0.36     1.84     8.42     3.01P   13.33R    6.12  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.36    11.25     2.40     2.95    11.26    32.54    16.50P    1.94R    0.69  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.69    11.10    10.64     5.11    17.77    44.76    25.37P    0.77R    0.25  
Barnet                4    5   -1      53.05    11.05   -15.95     0.18     1.15     5.58     1.94P   18.41R    8.86  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      54.01    10.94    -9.92     0.23     1.31     6.67     2.32P   15.33R    6.94  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.54    11.26    -2.50     0.99     4.80    17.80     7.69P    5.73R    2.21  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.69    11.29    -4.42     1.02     4.83    17.81     7.74P    5.68R    2.21  
Swindon               4    3   +0      73.68    12.06    19.57    11.57    30.62    58.90    40.00P    0.59R    0.21  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.53    10.94    -8.31     0.36     1.99     9.44     3.59P   10.54R    4.67  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.86    10.63   -18.13     0.03     0.27     1.96     0.60P   32.14R   17.70  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      64.23    12.29     0.50     2.72    10.14    28.58    15.57P    4.18R    1.70  
Hereford              4    1   -8      44.26    10.44   -29.05     0.02     0.14     0.88     0.30P   47.10R   29.51  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.26    11.86    -3.42     1.19     5.19    18.28     8.48P    7.31R    3.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           3    7   +4      64.54    11.35     1.74     0.88    14.54     3.15P    3.41R    0.45  
Wrexham             3    7   +3      77.57    11.06    20.64     8.04    53.39    19.72P    0.15R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town      3    7   +3      75.68    10.98    17.74     5.60    46.31    15.85P    0.24R    0.02  
Tamworth            3    7   +2      57.84    10.95   -10.43     0.14     4.77     0.82P    9.91R    1.51  
York                3    6   +2      70.47    10.97    10.85     2.36    28.59     8.54P    0.79R    0.09  
Kidderminster       3    6   +1      74.37    11.45    15.80     5.27    42.18    13.73P    0.45R    0.03  
Forest_Green        3    5   +5      61.37    11.49     0.84     0.49     9.91     2.01P    6.01R    0.82  
Stockport           3    5   +1      74.57    12.22    17.79     6.53    43.51    16.33P    0.71R    0.07  
Braintree_Town      3    4   +4      57.85    13.00    -4.03     0.57     8.10     2.09P   13.74R    3.15  
Luton               2    4   +4      92.87    11.03    49.35    57.82    92.61    71.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County      3    4   +3      69.22    11.49    12.81     2.25    26.68     7.62P    1.26R    0.12  
Kettering           3    4   +0      63.14    11.21     0.63     0.62    11.76     2.78P    4.34R    0.55  
Cambridge_Utd       3    4   +0      64.50    11.20     2.83     0.82    14.01     3.47P    3.25R    0.46  
Darlington          3    4   +0      74.07    10.74    16.60     4.18    40.80    14.37P    0.29R    0.02  
Barrow              3    4   -1      54.09    10.78   -14.19     0.06     2.43     0.38P   16.78R    2.96  
AFC_Telford         2    3   +0      52.60    12.72   -16.15     0.17     3.60     0.71P   24.64R    6.63  
Hayes_&_Yeading     3    3   -3      48.49    11.07   -25.98     0.01     0.81     0.10P   34.25R    8.71  
Mansfield           3    2   -3      60.58    11.41    -3.93     0.40     8.57     2.03P    6.89R    1.10  
Southport           3    2   -4      48.64    10.81   -23.47     0.01     0.79     0.15P   33.07R    7.87  
Lincoln_City        3    1   -2      69.99    12.02    13.64     2.88    29.37    10.17P    1.59R    0.15  
Ebbsfleet_United    3    1   -2      47.19    12.30   -21.80     0.06     1.26     0.29P   39.72R   13.33  
Bath_City           3    1   -3      53.39    11.00   -12.89     0.05     2.18     0.38P   18.56R    3.77  
Alfreton_Town       3    1   -7      36.14    11.47   -48.07     0.00     0.09     0.01P   76.08R   47.68  
Grimsby             3    1   -7      64.15    11.42    -0.31     0.78    13.74     3.61P    3.86R    0.53