Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Aston_Villa      2    4   +2      51.10     9.31     2.54     0.39     1.73     4.68    10.00    28.46     2.90R    0.43  
Liverpool        2    4   +2      64.32     9.21    22.67     7.46    20.95    38.88    56.74    81.27     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea          2    4   +1      72.80     8.81    35.24    29.66    58.26    76.13    86.96    96.46     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        2    4   +1      51.39     9.37     2.02     0.40     1.88     5.14    10.65    29.00     2.87R    0.44  
Bolton           1    3   +4      48.25     9.60    -0.73     0.23     1.13     3.14     6.78    20.06     5.80R    1.02  
Man_City         1    3   +4      64.97     9.67    25.59     9.49    24.46    42.66    59.43    82.09     0.08R    0.01  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      75.72     9.03    40.46    45.44    70.12    84.08    91.76    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      39.96     9.06   -16.58     0.01     0.09     0.32     0.93     4.25    23.62R    6.20  
QPR              2    3   -3      36.66     9.01   -22.18     0.00     0.04     0.13     0.39     2.04    36.69R   12.06  
Wigan            2    2   +0      35.27     8.64   -20.58     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.24    41.47R   13.51  
Norwich          1    1   +0      33.49     9.68   -27.53     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.28     1.43    50.81R   23.28  
Fulham           1    1   +0      48.72     9.18     0.28     0.21     0.90     2.75     6.32    19.94     4.43R    0.69  
Stoke            1    1   +0      44.86     9.18    -5.37     0.05     0.29     1.08     2.83    10.98    10.15R    1.99  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      41.71     9.06    -9.89     0.03     0.13     0.49     1.33     5.78    17.46R    4.08  
Arsenal          2    1   -2      63.03     9.35    22.17     6.07    17.62    33.62    51.20    77.27     0.11R    0.00  
Swansea          2    1   -4      32.96     8.75   -25.15     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.76    52.57R   22.09  
Everton          1    0   -1      51.58     9.59     4.46     0.53     2.14     5.85    11.79    30.96     2.87R    0.42  
West_Brom        2    0   -2      42.00     9.55   -10.61     0.03     0.19     0.67     1.76     7.34    18.03R    4.79  
Blackburn        2    0   -3      38.07     9.04   -16.79     0.00     0.05     0.18     0.55     2.79    30.09R    9.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brighton vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       4   12   +7      77.05    12.10    18.30    14.77    27.77    62.12    36.34P    0.57R    0.07  
Derby             4   12   +6      66.35    11.02     1.48     2.32     5.69    25.62     9.39P    3.14R    0.51  
Brighton          4   10   +4      64.58    12.06    -0.46     2.27     5.50    22.99     9.04P    6.08R    1.14  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3      58.35    10.59    -8.09     0.37     1.11     8.23     2.35P   11.92R    2.52  
Peterborough      4    7   +6      60.52    12.97    -3.12     1.72     4.17    17.17     6.77P   12.97R    3.57  
Middlesbrough     3    7   +3      69.93    11.84     8.98     5.21    11.44    38.45    17.62P    2.19R    0.34  
Cardiff           4    7   +1      74.10    11.47    15.43     8.83    18.56    52.67    27.81P    0.79R    0.12  
Blackpool         4    7   +1      74.15    12.50    15.63    11.11    21.38    52.89    29.89P    1.35R    0.24  
West_Ham          3    6   +4      81.01    12.45    28.49    25.52    40.93    73.41    51.27P    0.30R    0.04  
Millwall          4    5   +1      64.32    11.03     4.06     1.45     3.96    21.00     7.82P    4.53R    0.76  
Portsmouth        4    5   +0      61.92    10.95    -0.25     0.89     2.48    15.01     5.32P    6.90R    1.28  
Nott'm_Forest     4    5   -1      67.22    11.06     6.21     2.57     6.47    29.17    12.39P    2.63R    0.38  
Reading           4    4   +0      71.14    11.49    14.47     5.81    13.05    43.24    21.51P    1.40R    0.23  
Leicester         4    4   -2      62.75    11.59    -0.43     1.47     3.72    18.38     7.14P    7.16R    1.44  
Barnsley          4    4   -2      52.44    10.84   -15.30     0.07     0.33     3.26     0.85P   27.65R    8.38  
Bristol_City      4    4   -4      54.68    11.03   -14.29     0.19     0.60     5.18     1.45P   21.31R    5.89  
Leeds_United      3    3   +0      64.73    12.15     3.88     2.25     5.77    24.24     9.98P    5.98R    1.33  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.90    12.40    17.18    11.73    22.60    55.24    32.76P    1.00R    0.16  
Hull              4    3   -4      57.50    10.74    -7.46     0.28     0.98     7.60     2.42P   13.58R    2.96  
Ipswich           4    3   -7      49.55    10.96   -24.99     0.05     0.18     2.05     0.52P   38.23R   13.83  
Burnley           3    2   -2      60.27    11.59    -3.15     0.82     2.25    13.44     4.76P   10.67R    2.57  
Watford           4    2   -5      55.06    11.64   -12.78     0.25     0.85     6.37     1.99P   21.59R    6.51  
Coventry          4    1   -3      50.14    10.60   -14.17     0.03     0.17     1.97     0.57P   34.07R   11.17  
Doncaster         4    0   -6      42.33    10.45   -29.62     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.06P   63.99R   34.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
MK_Dons          4   10   +7      76.78    11.68    20.83    11.41    23.58    61.49    33.29P    0.77R    0.04  
Charlton         4   10   +6      78.63    11.55    22.72    14.02    28.44    67.91    38.67P    0.57R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        4   10   +5      85.14    12.17    32.00    32.59    51.13    83.00    61.19P    0.21R    0.01  
Brentford        4    9   +6      69.77    11.30    10.73     3.40     8.76    37.16    15.13P    2.86R    0.26  
Preston          4    7   +1      76.86    12.47    19.76    12.75    25.16    60.99    35.67P    1.25R    0.09  
Bury             4    7   +1      58.48    12.04    -8.73     0.68     1.75    11.13     3.57P   20.38R    4.14  
Tranmere         4    7   +1      61.43    10.98    -3.61     0.53     1.85    13.91     4.21P   11.69R    1.47  
Carlisle         4    7   +0      64.63    11.29    -0.27     1.26     3.85    21.64     7.62P    7.47R    0.97  
Notts_County     4    6   +2      61.19    11.19    -1.65     0.56     1.85    13.95     4.27P   12.69R    1.88  
Stevenage        4    6   +2      51.70    11.46   -15.84     0.12     0.40     3.79     0.97P   39.20R   10.32  
Huddersfield     4    6   +1      77.77    11.69    22.73    13.25    26.47    65.07    38.46P    0.69R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        4    6   +0      68.48    11.54     7.13     2.96     7.58    33.70    13.95P    4.26R    0.41  
Oldham           4    6   -1      60.64    11.06    -5.25     0.51     1.67    12.56     3.93P   13.27R    1.99  
Walsall          4    5   +0      57.93    11.25    -7.83     0.31     1.04     9.07     2.54P   19.60R    3.54  
Wycombe          4    5   +0      53.99    11.67   -13.40     0.19     0.60     5.63     1.61P   31.90R    7.50  
Hartlepool       4    4   +0      55.97    11.07    -8.76     0.19     0.62     6.46     1.68P   24.49R    4.83  
Colchester       4    4   -1      64.39    11.41     2.94     1.19     3.55    21.53     7.71P    8.16R    1.08  
Yeovil           4    4   -1      56.94    11.08    -8.03     0.24     0.78     7.41     2.09P   21.92R    4.05  
Scunthorpe       4    3   -1      64.89    12.66     5.10     2.18     5.57    25.51    10.70P    9.72R    1.50  
Bournemouth      4    3   -4      63.62    11.53     0.27     1.10     3.41    19.91     7.34P    9.39R    1.32  
Rochdale         4    2   -4      59.35    11.28    -4.62     0.42     1.37    10.91     3.47P   16.51R    2.81  
Exeter           4    1   -4      51.70    11.12   -14.89     0.06     0.24     3.18     0.82P   38.00R   10.01  
Chesterfield     4    1   -7      44.12    11.69   -32.13     0.02     0.08     1.10     0.27P   65.47R   31.10  
Leyton_Orient    4    0   -9      51.51    11.22   -19.18     0.05     0.25     3.01     0.84P   39.53R   10.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town          4   10   +7      69.19    12.29     9.43     5.80    18.61    43.07    23.86P    1.46R    0.54  
Rotherham             4   10   +5      76.99    11.38    19.13    15.30    38.61    68.92    46.69P    0.18R    0.05  
Gillingham            4   10   +5      76.12    11.19    17.71    12.98    35.36    66.56    43.59P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe             4    9   +5      62.62    11.13    -0.91     1.35     6.41    21.90     9.53P    3.51R    1.18  
Dag_&_Red             4    9   +1      74.40    11.90    12.75    11.14    30.71    59.64    38.48P    0.47R    0.14  
Port_Vale             4    8   +5      69.85    11.10    11.59     4.89    17.65    44.94    24.45P    0.78R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +3      54.07    11.69   -13.02     0.33     1.76     7.86     2.77P   16.80R    8.03  
Bristol_Rovers        4    7   +1      72.48    12.27    12.87     9.49    26.50    54.08    33.88P    0.83R    0.28  
Torquay               4    7   +0      70.16    11.46     8.37     5.32    18.71    45.86    25.45P    0.94R    0.33  
Burton_Albion         4    6   +1      58.88    11.19    -6.31     0.63     3.26    13.72     5.30P    7.58R    3.15  
Cheltenham            4    6   +0      55.38    11.01   -12.67     0.26     1.67     8.18     2.76P   12.63R    5.60  
Southend              4    6   -2      66.34    11.05     2.41     2.49    10.33    32.45    15.79P    1.69R    0.56  
Shrewsbury            4    5   +0      69.62    11.15    10.54     4.73    17.35    44.03    24.76P    0.81R    0.28  
Barnet                4    5   -1      53.11    11.11   -15.94     0.17     1.07     5.80     1.91P   17.96R    8.68  
Macclesfield          4    4   +1      53.81    10.90   -10.28     0.19     1.07     6.14     2.02P   15.17R    6.75  
Oxford_Utd            3    4   +1      58.86    11.18    -4.21     0.62     3.31    13.66     5.50P    7.12R    2.81  
Northampton           4    4   -1      60.57    11.29    -2.44     0.95     4.62    17.67     7.45P    5.63R    2.28  
Accrington_Stanley    4    4   -3      60.80    11.39    -4.24     0.97     4.76    18.09     7.74P    5.61R    2.37  
Swindon               3    3   +1      77.38    12.51    23.99    18.60    41.49    69.10    50.57P    0.30R    0.09  
Aldershot             4    3   -3      56.45    10.99    -8.36     0.34     1.87     9.35     3.63P   10.29R    4.47  
Bradford              4    1   -3      47.72    10.64   -18.26     0.03     0.23     1.90     0.49P   32.13R   17.75  
Plymouth              4    1   -8      63.93    12.31     0.09     2.37     9.45    27.53    14.60P    4.32R    1.81  
Hereford              4    1   -8      44.12    10.44   -29.22     0.01     0.09     0.81     0.22P   46.92R   29.69  
Crewe                 4    0   -7      60.48    11.85    -3.03     1.06     5.11    18.76     8.56P    6.72R    2.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 August 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           3    7   +4      64.50    11.37     1.64     0.96    14.51     3.31P    3.32R    0.40  
Wrexham             3    7   +3      77.81    11.04    21.00     8.36    53.94    20.18P    0.10R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town      3    7   +3      75.54    11.02    17.60     5.86    45.64    15.79P    0.22R    0.01  
Tamworth            3    7   +2      57.91    11.11   -10.43     0.20     5.04     0.81P   10.03R    1.44  
York                3    6   +2      70.28    10.97    10.61     2.35    27.66     8.25P    0.77R    0.08  
Kidderminster       3    6   +1      74.14    11.42    15.48     5.25    40.92    13.40P    0.43R    0.03  
Forest_Green        3    5   +5      61.29    11.42     0.76     0.48     9.57     1.99P    5.98R    0.76  
Stockport           3    5   +1      75.04    12.26    18.50     7.16    45.05    17.52P    0.58R    0.04  
Braintree_Town      3    4   +4      58.25    12.98    -3.32     0.57     8.61     2.19P   12.84R    2.56  
Luton               2    4   +4      92.47    10.93    48.69    55.63    92.19    69.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County      3    4   +3      69.52    11.54    13.28     2.56    27.41     8.11P    1.19R    0.10  
Kettering           3    4   +0      63.07    11.16     0.54     0.55    11.26     2.48P    4.09R    0.52  
Cambridge_Utd       3    4   +0      64.55    11.19     2.98     0.78    13.84     3.44P    3.20R    0.38  
Darlington          3    4   +0      74.28    10.87    16.92     4.55    41.23    14.73P    0.26R    0.02  
Barrow              3    4   -1      54.37    10.87   -13.84     0.08     2.46     0.42P   16.21R    2.82  
AFC_Telford         2    3   +0      53.03    12.97   -15.51     0.25     4.05     0.89P   24.11R    6.23  
Hayes_&_Yeading     3    3   -3      48.47    11.02   -26.06     0.01     0.79     0.11P   34.13R    8.26  
Mansfield           3    2   -3      60.78    11.53    -3.60     0.43     8.82     2.06P    6.97R    1.08  
Southport           3    2   -4      48.45    10.88   -23.95     0.01     0.83     0.12P   33.70R    7.94  
Lincoln_City        3    1   -2      69.91    12.04    13.59     3.04    28.83     9.95P    1.55R    0.18  
Ebbsfleet_United    3    1   -2      46.68    12.35   -22.60     0.06     1.22     0.26P   41.09R   14.14  
Bath_City           3    1   -3      53.37    11.05   -12.99     0.06     2.20     0.44P   18.40R    3.78  
Alfreton_Town       3    1   -7      35.67    11.41   -49.02     0.00     0.10     0.01P   77.08R   48.78  
Grimsby             3    1   -7      64.20    11.46    -0.27     0.81    13.83     3.63P    3.74R    0.44