Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2011, Man_City vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      46.22     9.27    -0.14     0.29     1.25     3.62     8.06    24.88     5.66R    0.88  
Man_City         1    3   +4      61.84     9.23    25.59     9.11    23.98    43.27    61.61    84.75     0.06R    0.00  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      72.20     8.57    40.92    44.95    70.63    84.89    92.83    98.44     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.61     8.77   -15.36     0.03     0.14     0.45     1.27     6.12    21.52R    5.37  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      58.44     9.09    18.96     4.41    13.74    27.88    45.62    75.40     0.23R    0.02  
Norwich          1    1   +0      32.20     9.37   -26.45     0.00     0.04     0.11     0.47     2.32    49.44R   20.64  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      41.80     9.00    -7.46     0.07     0.31     1.07     2.96    11.95    12.71R    2.69  
Wigan            1    1   +0      33.57     8.53   -21.12     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.36     1.93    41.69R   13.95  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      63.09     9.10    27.68    10.97    28.35    48.88    67.26    88.15     0.04R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      46.59     9.22     0.10     0.31     1.26     3.66     8.22    25.62     5.28R    0.91  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      69.28     8.55    37.22    29.22    57.17    76.45    88.01    97.09     0.00     0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.35     8.96     0.49     0.20     1.05     3.08     7.25    24.18     4.99R    0.73  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      47.03     9.24     0.65     0.31     1.34     3.83     8.72    27.30     4.96R    0.85  
Stoke            1    1   +0      42.70     8.85    -5.18     0.07     0.32     1.26     3.32    13.42    10.23R    2.02  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      38.11     8.95   -13.15     0.01     0.13     0.48     1.37     6.21    23.06R    5.93  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      39.91     9.29   -12.06     0.03     0.25     0.79     2.21     9.32    18.74R    4.75  
QPR              1    0   -4      31.35     8.73   -26.26     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.21     1.29    52.62R   22.04  
Swansea          1    0   -4      32.14     8.84   -24.43     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.25     1.62    48.76R   19.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 August 2011, Blackpool vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       3    9   +6      75.21    12.73    17.08    12.39    23.19    55.15    30.97P    1.10R    0.18  
Brighton          3    9   +4      64.70    12.25    -0.75     2.36     5.57    23.31     8.98P    6.30R    1.48  
Derby             3    9   +3      62.80    11.23    -4.30     1.06     2.94    16.74     5.34P    6.80R    1.31  
Middlesbrough     3    7   +3      69.76    11.67     8.79     4.33    10.33    37.60    16.57P    2.11R    0.36  
West_Ham          3    6   +4      81.07    12.36    28.53    24.50    40.02    73.21    50.67P    0.27R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2      55.39    10.78   -11.23     0.17     0.61     5.33     1.40P   18.59R    4.88  
Cardiff           3    6   +1      75.07    11.74    16.40    10.20    20.78    54.88    29.76P    0.68R    0.09  
Blackpool         3    6   +1      75.02    12.88    16.52    12.39    23.10    54.62    31.71P    1.33R    0.25  
Millwall          3    5   +2      66.33    11.29     5.98     2.22     5.58    26.21    10.51P    3.36R    0.54  
Reading           3    4   +1      74.27    11.72    18.20     9.09    18.90    53.14    28.80P    0.89R    0.12  
Peterborough      3    4   +0      51.41    12.85   -22.12     0.27     0.82     5.17     1.57P   34.69R   14.35  
Portsmouth        3    4   +0      62.94    11.30     0.63     1.09     3.13    17.57     6.32P    6.53R    1.40  
Nott'm_Forest     3    4   -1      67.54    11.32     6.19     2.74     6.97    29.83    12.85P    2.80R    0.48  
Leeds_United      3    3   +0      64.65    11.95     3.76     2.10     5.21    23.17     9.22P    5.62R    1.21  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.96    12.33    17.24    11.24    21.67    54.86    31.88P    0.94R    0.16  
Ipswich           3    3   -1      56.04    11.47   -10.19     0.32     0.94     6.96     2.11P   18.62R    5.40  
Leicester         3    3   -2      63.01    11.66    -0.41     1.32     3.67    18.47     7.06P    6.94R    1.51  
Hull              3    3   -3      60.26    11.02    -4.51     0.58     1.76    11.49     3.95P    9.27R    2.13  
Bristol_City      3    3   -4      55.27    11.32   -14.18     0.21     0.74     5.79     1.67P   20.50R    6.10  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.30    12.03    -3.74     0.97     2.65    14.13     5.14P   11.24R    2.96  
Barnsley          3    1   -3      49.45    10.93   -18.31     0.05     0.17     1.86     0.44P   37.12R   14.22  
Watford           3    1   -5      56.00    11.83   -12.00     0.33     1.02     7.47     2.34P   19.64R    6.14  
Coventry          3    0   -3      49.99    10.83   -15.23     0.05     0.16     2.03     0.51P   34.91R   12.38  
Doncaster         3    0   -3      46.14    10.92   -22.36     0.02     0.07     1.02     0.24P   49.77R   22.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         3    9   +6      79.16    11.70    22.68    16.62    32.64    71.04    42.88P    0.51R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        3    9   +5      85.80    12.36    31.93    37.60    56.04    85.24    65.22P    0.18R    0.01  
MK_Dons          3    7   +3      72.45    11.71    12.58     6.49    15.38    49.37    23.80P    2.28R    0.23  
Notts_County     3    6   +3      62.72    11.37    -0.07     1.05     3.20    19.19     6.49P   10.98R    1.74  
Brentford        3    6   +1      63.97    11.35    -0.07     1.29     3.89    22.09     7.88P    9.01R    1.27  
Tranmere         3    6   +1      60.94    11.14    -4.46     0.69     2.27    14.88     4.90P   13.44R    2.29  
Wycombe          3    5   +2      57.82    12.04    -7.17     0.58     1.78    11.27     3.57P   22.94R    5.27  
Stevenage        3    5   +2      52.27    11.44   -14.47     0.15     0.47     4.51     1.27P   38.44R   11.09  
Colchester       3    4   +0      65.35    11.65     3.55     1.87     5.35    26.55    10.19P    7.83R    1.15  
Preston          3    4   +0      75.55    12.80    19.16    12.48    24.75    59.15    34.81P    1.97R    0.22  
Walsall          3    4   +0      58.40    11.62    -7.23     0.49     1.65    11.64     3.58P   20.47R    4.25  
Bury             3    4   -1      54.12    12.16   -14.57     0.35     0.92     6.96     2.16P   33.68R   10.01  
Carlisle         3    4   -1      61.27    11.45    -3.54     0.80     2.62    16.04     5.53P   13.59R    2.44  
Hartlepool       3    3   +0      56.44    11.26    -7.94     0.27     0.96     8.08     2.29P   24.68R    5.55  
Huddersfield     3    3   +0      75.50    11.66    20.19    10.11    22.64    60.28    34.51P    1.17R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        3    3   -1      66.14    11.74     5.01     2.40     6.42    28.88    11.93P    6.95R    0.92  
Yeovil           3    3   -1      56.83    11.31    -8.39     0.31     1.06     8.54     2.57P   23.78R    5.30  
Bournemouth      3    3   -3      65.56    11.75     2.28     2.10     5.73    26.98    11.04P    7.70R    1.12  
Oldham           3    3   -3      57.13    11.26    -9.57     0.31     1.06     9.03     2.63P   23.09R    4.96  
Scunthorpe       3    2   -1      64.31    12.69     3.66     2.39     6.03    25.99    11.18P   11.01R    2.21  
Rochdale         3    2   -2      62.21    11.51    -0.10     1.07     3.15    18.27     6.61P   11.98R    2.07  
Chesterfield     3    1   -3      48.67    12.08   -20.72     0.11     0.37     2.90     0.82P   50.91R   20.52  
Exeter           3    1   -3      52.08    11.29   -15.20     0.09     0.45     4.01     1.09P   38.73R   11.61  
Leyton_Orient    3    0   -4      56.66    11.60    -7.55     0.36     1.16     9.11     3.06P   24.67R    5.64  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             3    9   +5      78.25    11.72    20.47    18.18    42.99    71.94    50.48P    0.18R    0.05  
Crawley_Town          3    7   +5      64.66    12.43     3.16     2.97    10.74    29.85    14.76P    3.79R    1.56  
Gillingham            3    7   +2      71.81    11.45    10.84     7.09    22.67    51.16    29.95P    0.59R    0.18  
Torquay               3    7   +2      73.36    11.51    13.09     8.83    26.89    56.56    34.36P    0.42R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    6   +3      55.09    12.04   -12.05     0.47     2.40     9.68     3.65P   15.08R    7.17  
Morecambe             3    6   +3      59.05    11.26    -5.87     0.76     3.61    14.25     5.72P    6.71R    2.70  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1      74.71    12.59    15.80    12.95    32.65    60.22    39.98P    0.59R    0.21  
Dag_&_Red             3    6   +0      72.89    12.34    11.91     9.58    26.93    54.55    34.35P    0.72R    0.24  
Southend              3    6   -1      69.14    11.47     5.44     4.57    16.32    41.68    22.50P    1.04R    0.38  
Port_Vale             3    5   +2      65.59    11.23     4.90     2.33     9.81    30.62    14.73P    1.97R    0.68  
Oxford_Utd            3    4   +1      59.18    11.15    -3.71     0.65     3.43    14.31     5.73P    6.68R    2.75  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      64.21    11.54     2.06     1.97     8.38    27.13    13.00P    2.96R    1.08  
Northampton           3    4   +0      63.26    11.37     0.63     1.60     7.00    24.04    10.92P    3.39R    1.21  
Barnet                3    4   -1      51.97    11.13   -18.13     0.15     0.93     4.77     1.58P   20.15R    9.95  
Macclesfield          3    3   +1      53.08    11.14   -12.23     0.16     1.10     5.96     2.07P   16.90R    8.01  
Swindon               3    3   +1      76.66    12.19    22.98    16.12    38.76    67.46    47.93P    0.35R    0.10  
Burton_Albion         3    3   +0      55.58    11.50   -10.05     0.34     2.02     9.21     3.37P   12.85R    5.90  
Aldershot             3    3   -1      59.79    11.16    -3.53     0.72     3.76    15.50     6.30P    5.90R    2.28  
Cheltenham            3    3   -1      52.76    11.17   -15.01     0.15     0.98     5.37     1.76P   18.22R    8.96  
Shrewsbury            3    2   -2      66.72    11.42     6.81     3.01    11.98    34.40    18.15P    1.81R    0.64  
Bradford              3    1   -2      49.11    10.89   -17.39     0.06     0.40     2.67     0.88P   27.62R   14.64  
Plymouth              3    1   -5      68.67    12.59     8.15     5.43    17.93    41.84    24.92P    2.00R    0.83  
Crewe                 3    0   -5      63.37    12.04     1.37     1.90     8.22    25.96    12.66P    4.32R    1.82  
Hereford              3    0   -8      44.30    10.62   -29.66     0.01     0.10     0.87     0.25P   45.77R   28.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 August 2011, Lincoln_City vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham             3    7   +3      78.19    10.94    21.90     9.23    53.57    20.73P    0.11R    0.01  
Gateshead           2    6   +4      65.13    11.66     1.72     1.31    14.94     3.51P    3.43R    0.57  
York                2    6   +3      73.82    11.24    14.80     4.91    37.52    12.31P    0.37R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town      2    4   +2      75.15    11.38    18.78     6.38    42.63    15.53P    0.35R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd       2    4   +1      66.98    11.27     5.41     1.56    18.05     4.94P    1.91R    0.25  
Stockport           2    4   +1      77.44    12.55    22.24    11.34    51.10    21.90P    0.46R    0.05  
Tamworth            2    4   +1      54.48    11.18   -15.21     0.10     2.57     0.42P   17.21R    3.93  
Darlington          2    4   +1      76.90    11.10    19.98     7.99    48.73    19.18P    0.17R    0.02  
Braintree_Town      2    3   +4      58.46    13.43    -4.38     0.86     8.87     2.45P   13.62R    3.66  
Newport_County      2    3   +3      70.60    11.94    14.45     3.52    29.22     9.19P    1.40R    0.21  
Kettering           2    3   +0      63.51    11.45     0.31     0.76    11.61     2.72P    4.28R    0.72  
Kidderminster       2    3   +0      71.62    11.62    13.21     3.85    31.70    10.28P    0.97R    0.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading     2    3   -2      50.14    11.28   -25.91     0.04     1.16     0.19P   29.56R    8.68  
Forest_Green        2    2   +0      55.87    11.39   -10.54     0.14     3.55     0.65P   14.48R    3.27  
Southport           2    2   +0      51.44    11.17   -18.10     0.06     1.49     0.27P   24.85R    6.69  
Luton               1    1   +0      89.37    11.31    42.78    42.86    85.93    58.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City        3    1   -2      69.60    12.01    13.31     3.09    26.53     9.21P    1.70R    0.28  
Barrow              2    1   -2      51.33    11.02   -18.07     0.05     1.29     0.26P   24.93R    6.76  
Alfreton_Town       2    1   -2      44.78    12.36   -29.23     0.04     0.83     0.15P   48.40R   21.32  
Bath_City           2    1   -2      56.29    11.33   -10.26     0.17     3.79     0.76P   13.47R    3.04  
Mansfield           2    1   -3      61.00    11.76    -4.33     0.62     8.79     2.17P    7.13R    1.33  
AFC_Telford         1    0   -1      47.66    13.17   -24.11     0.09     1.82     0.35P   39.27R   16.55  
Ebbsfleet_United    2    0   -2      44.76    12.57   -28.10     0.04     0.83     0.16P   48.13R   21.91  
Grimsby             2    0   -7      64.42    11.58    -0.68     0.99    13.48     3.74P    3.79R    0.56