Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2011, Man_City vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      46.25     9.17    -0.08     0.24     1.09     3.45     7.87    24.86     5.49R    0.87  
Man_City         1    3   +4      61.83     9.10    25.52     8.86    23.61    42.79    61.65    85.23     0.08R    0.01  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      72.31     8.51    41.12    44.90    70.92    85.40    93.09    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.73     8.81   -15.27     0.02     0.10     0.44     1.39     6.45    21.11R    5.14  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      58.40     9.21    18.87     4.40    13.69    27.86    45.65    74.89     0.25R    0.03  
Norwich          1    1   +0      32.07     9.22   -26.75     0.01     0.04     0.16     0.45     2.06    49.59R   20.60  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      41.76     9.07    -7.42     0.03     0.27     1.09     2.86    11.90    12.95R    2.75  
Wigan            1    1   +0      33.63     8.48   -20.84     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.28     1.88    40.97R   13.27  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      63.03     9.11    27.47    10.88    28.11    48.69    66.90    87.86     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      46.63     9.25     0.10     0.33     1.28     3.75     8.50    25.95     5.22R    0.81  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      69.41     8.58    37.47    29.73    57.92    77.02    88.03    97.02     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.32     8.92     0.40     0.20     0.96     2.95     7.24    23.96     4.84R    0.78  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      47.01     9.21     0.61     0.27     1.31     3.77     8.74    27.26     4.82R    0.85  
Stoke            1    1   +0      42.97     8.87    -4.73     0.07     0.37     1.26     3.57    14.14     9.74R    1.83  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      38.11     8.84   -13.15     0.01     0.09     0.38     1.19     5.92    22.85R    5.66  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      39.95     9.23   -11.88     0.04     0.19     0.77     2.12     9.31    18.39R    4.68  
QPR              1    0   -4      31.22     8.83   -26.53     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.21     1.31    53.17R   22.75  
Swansea          1    0   -4      31.84     8.80   -24.92     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.27     1.48    50.49R   19.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 August 2011, Blackpool vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       3    9   +6      75.10    12.48    16.87    11.66    22.40    54.88    30.27P    1.04R    0.14  
Brighton          3    9   +4      65.20    12.32     0.07     2.67     6.08    24.33     9.68P    5.74R    1.17  
Derby             3    9   +3      62.59    11.32    -4.65     1.06     2.96    16.49     5.31P    7.10R    1.58  
Middlesbrough     3    7   +3      69.85    11.70     8.93     4.60    10.42    37.55    16.63P    2.07R    0.34  
West_Ham          3    6   +4      80.90    12.41    28.28    24.02    39.45    72.61    49.83P    0.29R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2      55.07    10.89   -11.74     0.23     0.70     5.18     1.47P   19.58R    5.10  
Cardiff           3    6   +1      75.31    11.87    16.81    10.63    21.73    55.79    30.94P    0.69R    0.10  
Blackpool         3    6   +1      74.85    13.11    16.23    12.58    22.80    53.98    31.26P    1.41R    0.25  
Millwall          3    5   +2      66.46    11.34     6.13     2.39     5.93    26.40    10.65P    3.32R    0.55  
Reading           3    4   +1      74.28    11.68    18.29     8.86    18.75    52.96    28.55P    0.86R    0.11  
Peterborough      3    4   +0      51.23    12.87   -22.55     0.33     0.87     5.01     1.63P   35.00R   15.06  
Portsmouth        3    4   +0      63.36    11.22     1.18     1.28     3.40    18.35     6.80P    5.77R    1.15  
Nott'm_Forest     3    4   -1      67.77    11.32     6.51     2.93     7.10    30.30    13.24P    2.63R    0.45  
Leeds_United      3    3   +0      64.64    12.12     3.70     2.19     5.54    23.45     9.61P    6.03R    1.32  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.69    12.32    16.87    10.73    20.91    53.47    30.77P    1.03R    0.16  
Ipswich           3    3   -1      56.19    11.39    -9.98     0.27     0.89     6.92     2.11P   18.06R    5.06  
Leicester         3    3   -2      63.00    11.65    -0.47     1.27     3.55    18.37     6.94P    6.95R    1.52  
Hull              3    3   -3      60.16    11.07    -4.65     0.59     1.69    11.69     3.84P    9.57R    2.00  
Bristol_City      3    3   -4      55.33    11.42   -14.10     0.27     0.75     6.08     1.80P   20.45R    6.04  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.22    12.00    -3.84     0.99     2.66    13.84     5.19P   11.18R    2.98  
Barnsley          3    1   -3      49.38    10.99   -18.36     0.04     0.15     1.90     0.47P   37.84R   14.12  
Watford           3    1   -5      56.08    11.75   -11.90     0.34     1.03     7.49     2.33P   19.31R    5.85  
Coventry          3    0   -3      50.30    10.89   -14.72     0.06     0.17     2.09     0.49P   33.64R   11.94  
Doncaster         3    0   -3      45.86    10.82   -22.91     0.01     0.05     0.87     0.19P   50.42R   22.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         3    9   +6      79.21    11.69    22.73    16.86    33.19    71.32    43.42P    0.54R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        3    9   +5      85.77    12.43    31.86    37.84    55.68    85.15    64.82P    0.20R    0.01  
MK_Dons          3    7   +3      71.93    11.87    11.84     5.97    14.65    47.41    22.66P    2.63R    0.29  
Notts_County     3    6   +3      62.80    11.38     0.06     1.03     3.27    19.43     6.58P   10.68R    1.73  
Brentford        3    6   +1      63.90    11.27    -0.23     1.16     3.80    21.81     7.51P    9.03R    1.26  
Tranmere         3    6   +1      61.20    11.28    -4.12     0.84     2.40    15.53     4.99P   13.59R    2.19  
Wycombe          3    5   +2      57.76    12.10    -7.22     0.59     1.81    11.45     3.69P   22.89R    5.66  
Stevenage        3    5   +2      52.22    11.49   -14.45     0.18     0.54     4.59     1.31P   38.81R   11.05  
Colchester       3    4   +0      65.70    11.61     4.09     2.06     5.65    27.55    10.69P    7.23R    1.03  
Preston          3    4   +0      75.40    12.79    18.96    12.05    24.47    58.88    34.73P    1.99R    0.24  
Walsall          3    4   +0      58.36    11.52    -7.33     0.45     1.56    11.22     3.40P   20.27R    4.39  
Bury             3    4   -1      54.25    12.11   -14.33     0.30     1.00     6.98     2.15P   33.12R    9.81  
Carlisle         3    4   -1      61.85    11.59    -2.63     1.06     3.13    17.83     6.30P   12.74R    2.10  
Hartlepool       3    3   +0      56.31    11.24    -8.10     0.29     0.95     7.92     2.37P   25.15R    5.63  
Huddersfield     3    3   +0      75.44    11.72    20.07    10.44    22.67    59.97    34.55P    1.18R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        3    3   -1      66.08    11.78     4.93     2.31     6.43    28.95    12.02P    7.08R    1.01  
Yeovil           3    3   -1      56.79    11.22    -8.47     0.27     0.98     8.28     2.50P   23.87R    5.16  
Bournemouth      3    3   -3      65.51    11.69     2.20     2.01     5.65    26.80    10.85P    7.81R    1.10  
Oldham           3    3   -3      57.06    11.24    -9.71     0.33     1.08     8.80     2.60P   22.97R    5.01  
Scunthorpe       3    2   -1      64.09    12.85     3.46     2.35     6.10    25.52    11.05P   11.57R    2.32  
Rochdale         3    2   -2      62.29    11.52    -0.03     1.05     3.14    18.50     6.86P   11.89R    1.94  
Chesterfield     3    1   -3      48.67    11.99   -20.74     0.10     0.32     2.99     0.84P   51.27R   20.60  
Exeter           3    1   -3      52.02    11.34   -15.30     0.11     0.41     4.07     1.16P   38.85R   11.58  
Leyton_Orient    3    0   -4      56.65    11.60    -7.55     0.33     1.12     9.05     2.93P   24.63R    5.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             3    9   +5      78.51    11.60    20.94    18.54    43.27    72.98    51.15P    0.10R    0.02  
Crawley_Town          3    7   +5      64.58    12.42     3.08     2.98    10.80    29.37    14.76P    3.75R    1.47  
Gillingham            3    7   +2      72.00    11.37    11.10     6.98    22.90    52.21    30.22P    0.57R    0.16  
Torquay               3    7   +2      73.37    11.52    13.15     8.92    26.57    56.74    34.18P    0.45R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    6   +3      55.07    12.03   -12.21     0.47     2.31     9.60     3.57P   15.20R    7.23  
Morecambe             3    6   +3      59.11    11.42    -5.90     0.81     4.02    14.84     6.22P    6.99R    2.74  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1      74.81    12.67    16.07    13.33    33.32    60.79    40.58P    0.65R    0.23  
Dag_&_Red             3    6   +0      72.59    12.41    11.47     9.27    26.42    53.55    33.79P    0.82R    0.25  
Southend              3    6   -1      68.63    11.50     4.74     4.12    15.42    40.26    21.34P    1.18R    0.42  
Port_Vale             3    5   +2      65.65    11.28     5.09     2.43    10.06    30.75    15.02P    1.97R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd            3    4   +1      58.90    11.03    -4.19     0.46     2.99    13.58     5.11P    6.60R    2.66  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      64.48    11.50     2.38     2.03     8.69    27.75    13.14P    2.99R    1.13  
Northampton           3    4   +0      63.32    11.43     0.74     1.63     7.15    24.02    10.92P    3.51R    1.38  
Barnet                3    4   -1      52.06    11.15   -18.13     0.15     0.91     4.88     1.59P   20.26R   10.04  
Macclesfield          3    3   +1      52.92    11.03   -12.47     0.14     0.89     5.55     1.75P   17.31R    8.18  
Swindon               3    3   +1      77.01    12.24    23.48    16.56    40.16    68.61    49.63P    0.28R    0.07  
Burton_Albion         3    3   +0      56.09    11.45    -9.34     0.36     2.06     9.72     3.58P   11.96R    5.44  
Aldershot             3    3   -1      59.61    11.14    -3.88     0.69     3.66    14.93     6.16P    6.05R    2.50  
Cheltenham            3    3   -1      52.37    11.01   -15.49     0.13     0.84     4.93     1.54P   18.81R    9.12  
Shrewsbury            3    2   -2      66.51    11.34     6.44     2.79    11.24    33.84    17.42P    1.77R    0.65  
Bradford              3    1   -2      49.21    10.86   -17.27     0.03     0.42     2.71     0.87P   27.41R   14.41  
Plymouth              3    1   -5      68.50    12.41     7.85     5.23    17.21    40.74    24.22P    1.81R    0.67  
Crewe                 3    0   -5      63.75    11.99     1.95     1.93     8.60    26.78    13.00P    3.95R    1.63  
Hereford              3    0   -8      44.31    10.64   -29.63     0.02     0.10     0.88     0.22P   45.60R   28.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           2    6   +4      65.10    11.40     1.71     1.14    14.81     3.36P    3.24R    0.46  
York                2    6   +3      73.90    11.09    14.94     5.01    38.46    12.73P    0.39R    0.04  
Wrexham             2    4   +2      74.84    11.23    18.31     6.24    42.25    15.38P    0.37R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town      2    4   +2      75.03    11.26    18.53     6.27    42.90    15.46P    0.32R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd       2    4   +1      66.71    11.21     5.00     1.28    17.94     4.48P    1.95R    0.25  
Stockport           2    4   +1      76.96    12.56    21.55    10.93    50.07    21.15P    0.45R    0.06  
Tamworth            2    4   +1      54.56    11.06   -14.95     0.11     2.72     0.47P   16.85R    3.56  
Darlington          2    4   +1      76.76    11.04    19.77     7.97    48.86    19.16P    0.19R    0.02  
Braintree_Town      2    3   +4      58.56    13.53    -4.17     0.96     9.26     2.59P   13.97R    3.99  
Newport_County      2    3   +3      70.47    11.66    14.28     3.49    29.18     9.09P    1.14R    0.15  
Kettering           2    3   +0      63.44    11.42     0.33     0.81    11.71     2.75P    4.58R    0.74  
Kidderminster       2    3   +0      71.43    11.59    12.89     3.89    31.35    10.21P    0.93R    0.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading     2    3   -2      50.27    11.29   -25.69     0.04     1.35     0.20P   29.55R    8.81  
Forest_Green        2    2   +0      55.93    11.33   -10.37     0.18     3.59     0.63P   14.53R    3.33  
Southport           2    2   +0      51.77    11.05   -17.43     0.08     1.60     0.28P   23.90R    6.11  
Luton               1    1   +0      89.40    11.23    42.87    44.08    86.46    60.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City        2    1   -1      72.67    12.28    17.03     5.58    36.75    14.03P    1.08R    0.14  
Barrow              2    1   -2      51.44    11.09   -17.88     0.02     1.40     0.23P   25.21R    6.84  
Alfreton_Town       2    1   -2      44.18    12.34   -30.41     0.03     0.89     0.18P   50.77R   23.46  
Bath_City           2    1   -2      56.47    11.35    -9.97     0.18     4.05     0.84P   13.36R    2.99  
Mansfield           2    1   -3      60.73    11.70    -4.73     0.50     8.60     1.97P    7.58R    1.55  
AFC_Telford         1    0   -1      48.36    12.95   -22.71     0.13     1.91     0.42P   37.50R   14.96  
Ebbsfleet_United    2    0   -2      44.96    12.51   -27.69     0.05     0.83     0.18P   47.94R   21.78  
Grimsby             2    0   -7      64.06    11.54    -1.21     1.02    13.06     3.51P    4.18R    0.65