Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2011, Man_City vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      46.25     9.17    -0.02     0.25     1.12     3.32     7.81    24.97     5.35R    0.85  
Man_City         1    3   +4      61.81     9.22    25.46     8.94    23.75    42.99    61.82    84.73     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      72.38     8.62    41.13    44.74    70.64    85.25    92.87    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.63     8.79   -15.35     0.02     0.10     0.47     1.35     6.45    21.50R    5.31  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      58.29     9.14    18.60     4.24    13.37    27.68    45.05    74.62     0.24R    0.02  
Norwich          1    1   +0      32.01     9.23   -26.69     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.36     2.05    49.90R   20.93  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      41.65     9.06    -7.69     0.06     0.27     1.04     2.99    11.98    13.21R    2.81  
Wigan            1    1   +0      33.67     8.47   -20.82     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.35     1.93    41.10R   12.98  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      63.15     9.12    27.74    11.26    28.29    49.42    67.84    88.06     0.05R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      46.57     9.18     0.02     0.25     1.27     3.57     8.19    25.81     5.12R    0.90  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      69.43     8.61    37.48    29.66    58.01    76.62    87.99    97.19     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.40     8.92     0.51     0.17     1.04     3.07     7.40    24.12     4.80R    0.78  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      46.92     9.18     0.50     0.29     1.30     3.65     8.48    27.11     4.84R    0.78  
Stoke            1    1   +0      42.75     8.84    -5.02     0.05     0.35     1.29     3.43    13.68    10.10R    1.94  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      38.04     8.82   -13.25     0.03     0.12     0.40     1.21     5.91    22.91R    5.78  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      40.12     9.36   -11.60     0.03     0.26     0.86     2.36    10.00    18.31R    4.64  
QPR              1    0   -4      31.25     8.73   -26.34     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.20     1.29    53.06R   22.40  
Swansea          1    0   -4      32.01     8.88   -24.67     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.30     1.60    49.43R   19.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 August 2011, Blackpool vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       3    9   +6      74.96    12.72    16.72    11.80    22.09    54.29    30.12P    1.06R    0.17  
Brighton          3    9   +4      64.45    12.32    -1.10     2.16     5.32    22.61     8.77P    6.54R    1.43  
Derby             3    9   +3      62.81    11.20    -4.32     1.05     2.90    16.66     5.30P    6.42R    1.24  
Middlesbrough     3    7   +3      69.73    11.76     8.73     4.55    10.38    37.05    16.50P    2.08R    0.37  
West_Ham          3    6   +4      81.26    12.32    28.84    24.24    39.98    73.43    50.55P    0.23R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2      55.00    10.83   -11.77     0.17     0.53     4.90     1.25P   19.47R    5.14  
Cardiff           3    6   +1      75.53    11.79    17.15    10.28    21.47    56.47    30.89P    0.65R    0.10  
Blackpool         3    6   +1      75.65    12.88    17.42    13.10    24.29    56.76    33.15P    1.13R    0.17  
Millwall          3    5   +2      66.14    11.29     5.62     2.19     5.45    25.43     9.90P    3.30R    0.59  
Reading           3    4   +1      74.37    11.84    18.38     9.34    19.13    53.05    28.67P    0.86R    0.11  
Peterborough      3    4   +0      51.37    12.79   -22.29     0.24     0.75     4.80     1.47P   34.30R   14.20  
Portsmouth        3    4   +0      63.35    11.32     1.20     1.19     3.38    18.18     6.56P    5.94R    1.23  
Nott'm_Forest     3    4   -1      67.71    11.34     6.47     2.78     6.92    30.27    13.04P    2.63R    0.44  
Leeds_United      3    3   +0      64.49    12.04     3.51     2.06     5.09    22.75     9.16P    6.01R    1.33  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.82    12.56    17.10    11.07    21.67    54.17    31.60P    1.07R    0.20  
Ipswich           3    3   -1      56.09    11.50   -10.22     0.30     0.87     7.11     2.04P   18.38R    5.13  
Leicester         3    3   -2      63.17    11.62    -0.22     1.35     3.55    18.77     6.99P    6.75R    1.45  
Hull              3    3   -3      60.14    10.99    -4.69     0.48     1.54    11.39     3.75P    9.36R    2.03  
Bristol_City      3    3   -4      55.66    11.32   -13.54     0.25     0.73     6.15     1.74P   19.20R    5.55  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.26    12.02    -3.74     0.89     2.53    13.90     5.09P   11.12R    2.89  
Barnsley          3    1   -3      49.20    10.87   -18.66     0.04     0.15     1.67     0.42P   37.97R   14.39  
Watford           3    1   -5      55.77    11.89   -12.46     0.39     1.07     7.16     2.30P   20.11R    6.27  
Coventry          3    0   -3      50.07    10.89   -15.01     0.06     0.17     2.11     0.53P   34.48R   12.10  
Doncaster         3    0   -3      45.69    10.90   -23.13     0.02     0.06     0.91     0.20P   50.94R   23.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         3    9   +6      78.98    11.66    22.36    15.72    32.05    70.55    42.33P    0.59R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        3    9   +5      86.10    12.47    32.38    38.25    56.48    85.51    65.27P    0.19R    0.01  
MK_Dons          3    7   +3      72.55    11.67    12.73     6.60    15.42    49.27    23.80P    1.98R    0.21  
Notts_County     3    6   +3      62.62    11.47    -0.16     1.11     3.27    19.00     6.57P   11.06R    1.76  
Brentford        3    6   +1      64.19    11.36     0.22     1.26     4.02    22.44     7.95P    8.67R    1.22  
Tranmere         3    6   +1      60.97    11.27    -4.43     0.75     2.36    15.03     4.87P   13.58R    2.26  
Wycombe          3    5   +2      57.85    12.31    -7.11     0.72     2.10    11.85     4.01P   23.08R    5.62  
Stevenage        3    5   +2      51.59    11.50   -15.54     0.12     0.44     3.98     1.13P   40.79R   12.11  
Colchester       3    4   +0      65.70    11.70     4.09     2.05     5.74    27.30    10.80P    7.20R    1.07  
Preston          3    4   +0      75.76    12.75    19.57    12.39    24.97    59.94    35.54P    1.93R    0.25  
Walsall          3    4   +0      58.31    11.51    -7.34     0.47     1.59    11.16     3.55P   20.31R    4.18  
Bury             3    4   -1      54.18    12.06   -14.54     0.28     0.91     6.78     1.99P   33.38R    9.61  
Carlisle         3    4   -1      61.60    11.33    -3.02     0.85     2.64    16.52     5.62P   12.51R    2.00  
Hartlepool       3    3   +0      56.45    11.27    -7.91     0.29     1.01     8.09     2.44P   24.42R    5.39  
Huddersfield     3    3   +0      75.41    11.66    20.10    10.10    22.14    59.50    33.83P    1.18R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        3    3   -1      66.26    11.72     5.19     2.36     6.38    29.21    12.11P    6.64R    0.94  
Yeovil           3    3   -1      56.64    11.21    -8.70     0.30     0.96     8.08     2.39P   23.83R    5.46  
Bournemouth      3    3   -3      65.54    11.72     2.21     2.00     5.42    26.81    10.67P    7.64R    1.14  
Oldham           3    3   -3      56.93    11.25    -9.90     0.29     0.97     8.50     2.48P   23.38R    4.92  
Scunthorpe       3    2   -1      64.57    12.74     4.10     2.46     6.18    26.49    11.39P   10.61R    2.11  
Rochdale         3    2   -2      62.13    11.63    -0.21     1.10     3.15    18.27     6.68P   12.16R    2.13  
Chesterfield     3    1   -3      48.27    11.98   -21.40     0.07     0.26     2.75     0.71P   52.17R   20.85  
Exeter           3    1   -3      52.02    11.28   -15.27     0.12     0.42     4.06     1.05P   38.69R   11.21  
Leyton_Orient    3    0   -4      56.76    11.54    -7.40     0.35     1.13     8.91     2.84P   24.01R    5.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             3    9   +5      78.38    11.57    20.67    17.88    43.03    72.40    50.79P    0.11R    0.03  
Crawley_Town          3    7   +5      64.80    12.27     3.40     2.91    10.65    29.82    14.81P    3.44R    1.41  
Gillingham            3    7   +2      72.06    11.46    11.17     7.17    23.27    52.11    30.58P    0.57R    0.18  
Torquay               3    7   +2      73.46    11.65    13.30     9.09    27.17    57.05    34.67P    0.49R    0.14  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    6   +3      54.99    12.03   -12.26     0.38     2.19     9.32     3.51P   15.20R    7.43  
Morecambe             3    6   +3      59.01    11.34    -5.96     0.64     3.63    14.24     5.72P    7.10R    2.94  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1      74.54    12.72    15.55    13.00    32.43    59.64    39.70P    0.62R    0.21  
Dag_&_Red             3    6   +0      72.82    12.17    11.80     9.13    26.13    54.45    33.76P    0.70R    0.22  
Southend              3    6   -1      68.94    11.46     5.18     4.33    15.61    41.08    21.91P    1.08R    0.34  
Port_Vale             3    5   +2      65.80    11.25     5.23     2.34    10.07    31.21    15.09P    1.91R    0.67  
Oxford_Utd            3    4   +1      58.50    11.08    -4.72     0.54     2.93    12.77     4.89P    7.00R    2.93  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      64.39    11.56     2.32     2.04     8.94    27.52    13.27P    2.77R    1.01  
Northampton           3    4   +0      63.22    11.43     0.65     1.62     7.08    23.95    10.75P    3.55R    1.28  
Barnet                3    4   -1      51.79    11.09   -18.51     0.13     0.81     4.55     1.53P   20.71R   10.15  
Macclesfield          3    3   +1      53.27    11.17   -11.97     0.19     1.13     6.04     2.04P   16.51R    7.87  
Swindon               3    3   +1      77.16    12.35    23.72    17.02    40.40    68.81    49.47P    0.29R    0.10  
Burton_Albion         3    3   +0      56.06    11.44    -9.31     0.37     2.13     9.78     3.59P   11.73R    5.39  
Aldershot             3    3   -1      59.80    11.18    -3.52     0.70     3.61    15.54     6.24P    5.90R    2.39  
Cheltenham            3    3   -1      52.33    11.03   -15.62     0.13     0.83     4.87     1.54P   18.89R    9.11  
Shrewsbury            3    2   -2      66.77    11.41     6.84     2.99    11.76    34.44    17.83P    1.67R    0.53  
Bradford              3    1   -2      49.01    10.79   -17.52     0.04     0.32     2.58     0.74P   27.85R   14.62  
Plymouth              3    1   -5      68.37    12.60     7.68     5.34    17.22    40.62    24.27P    2.10R    0.80  
Crewe                 3    0   -5      63.36    12.24     1.38     2.00     8.56    26.26    13.06P    4.51R    1.92  
Hereford              3    0   -8      44.39    10.69   -29.53     0.01     0.09     0.93     0.23P   45.30R   28.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           2    6   +4      65.21    11.62     1.78     1.45    15.47     3.74P    3.43R    0.56  
York                2    6   +3      74.01    11.09    15.10     5.10    38.88    12.88P    0.38R    0.05  
Wrexham             2    4   +2      74.68    11.23    18.06     5.78    41.55    14.86P    0.37R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town      2    4   +2      74.93    11.13    18.38     6.08    42.33    15.06P    0.33R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd       2    4   +1      66.69    11.24     4.99     1.48    17.53     4.62P    2.22R    0.30  
Stockport           2    4   +1      77.18    12.69    21.98    11.65    50.30    21.80P    0.50R    0.07  
Tamworth            2    4   +1      54.52    11.09   -15.07     0.11     2.62     0.46P   16.90R    3.96  
Darlington          2    4   +1      77.11    10.92    20.34     8.16    50.07    19.53P    0.13R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      2    3   +4      58.97    13.42    -3.46     0.93     9.55     2.58P   13.08R    3.59  
Newport_County      2    3   +3      70.26    11.82    13.92     3.46    28.76     9.09P    1.43R    0.23  
Kettering           2    3   +0      63.54    11.40     0.45     0.79    11.97     2.77P    4.36R    0.73  
Kidderminster       2    3   +0      71.64    11.61    13.20     4.07    32.08    10.37P    0.98R    0.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading     2    3   -2      49.98    11.28   -26.30     0.03     1.18     0.17P   30.47R    9.24  
Forest_Green        2    2   +0      55.85    11.26   -10.48     0.13     3.44     0.62P   14.42R    3.20  
Southport           2    2   +0      51.66    10.93   -17.63     0.06     1.43     0.25P   24.21R    5.98  
Luton               1    1   +0      89.22    11.29    42.65    43.28    85.90    59.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City        2    1   -1      72.63    12.25    17.01     5.61    36.26    14.22P    0.96R    0.13  
Barrow              2    1   -2      51.53    11.01   -17.73     0.04     1.36     0.24P   24.48R    6.62  
Alfreton_Town       2    1   -2      44.35    12.28   -30.20     0.03     0.79     0.17P   49.94R   22.67  
Bath_City           2    1   -2      56.45    11.36   -10.09     0.18     3.98     0.75P   13.25R    3.05  
Mansfield           2    1   -3      60.82    11.74    -4.57     0.50     8.79     1.98P    7.56R    1.53  
AFC_Telford         1    0   -1      47.34    12.94   -24.69     0.07     1.60     0.35P   40.44R   17.09  
Ebbsfleet_United    2    0   -2      45.61    12.61   -26.48     0.05     1.12     0.26P   45.89R   20.09  
Grimsby             2    0   -7      64.07    11.54    -1.17     0.98    13.03     3.50P    4.26R    0.73