Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2011, Man_City vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      46.29     9.24     0.01     0.29     1.22     3.58     8.07    25.06     5.44R    0.82  
Man_City         1    3   +4      61.59     9.21    25.17     8.55    22.99    42.09    60.80    84.31     0.09R    0.01  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      72.28     8.53    40.92    44.74    70.58    84.95    92.79    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.54     8.78   -15.45     0.02     0.11     0.45     1.26     6.29    21.73R    5.43  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      58.51     9.17    19.00     4.61    13.84    28.48    46.09    75.32     0.21R    0.02  
Norwich          1    1   +0      32.32     9.39   -26.10     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.48     2.36    48.87R   19.93  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      41.78     9.03    -7.52     0.07     0.35     1.12     2.99    12.00    12.76R    2.61  
Wigan            1    1   +0      33.67     8.43   -20.86     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.28     1.82    40.83R   13.13  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      63.07     9.07    27.58    10.73    28.03    49.01    67.58    88.17     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      46.77     9.15     0.32     0.28     1.26     3.73     8.44    26.25     4.94R    0.86  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      69.50     8.58    37.63    30.14    58.64    77.05    88.30    97.12     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.60     8.88     0.88     0.18     0.96     3.15     7.47    24.75     4.49R    0.76  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      46.78     9.20     0.20     0.29     1.23     3.56     8.33    26.47     5.05R    0.84  
Stoke            1    1   +0      42.65     8.79    -5.22     0.05     0.36     1.26     3.25    13.40    10.22R    1.86  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      37.94     8.90   -13.41     0.01     0.11     0.40     1.24     5.95    23.64R    6.23  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      39.82     9.34   -12.06     0.03     0.22     0.78     2.15     9.32    19.46R    5.08  
QPR              1    0   -4      31.35     8.81   -26.23     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.22     1.27    52.31R   22.09  
Swansea          1    0   -4      31.93     8.86   -24.87     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.26     1.67    49.88R   20.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton       3    9   +6      74.88    12.58    16.56     9.98    19.88    53.01    28.04P    0.99R    0.16  
Middlesbrough     3    7   +3      69.98    11.56     9.08     3.88     9.29    36.54    15.52P    1.65R    0.24  
West_Ham          3    6   +4      81.92    12.39    29.85    23.81    39.86    74.63    50.76P    0.22R    0.03  
Cardiff           2    6   +3      78.88    11.97    22.10    15.02    28.90    66.36    39.08P    0.31R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2      55.36    10.85   -11.22     0.14     0.55     5.10     1.25P   17.54R    4.32  
Blackpool         2    6   +2      78.68    13.16    21.12    17.34    30.40    64.22    39.52P    0.62R    0.12  
Brighton          2    6   +2      59.63    12.31    -7.72     0.85     2.30    12.71     4.28P   12.40R    3.30  
Derby             2    6   +2      59.71    11.59    -7.77     0.59     1.67    11.32     3.37P   10.71R    2.49  
Millwall          2    4   +2      67.28    11.62     6.83     2.29     6.13    28.43    11.22P    2.90R    0.51  
Reading           3    4   +1      74.47    11.61    18.49     7.99    17.25    52.61    27.39P    0.67R    0.09  
Portsmouth        3    4   +0      62.85    11.20     0.45     0.92     2.61    16.32     5.64P    5.71R    1.18  
Nott'm_Forest     3    4   -1      67.70    11.24     6.41     2.23     5.99    28.97    11.92P    2.32R    0.37  
Leeds_United      3    3   +0      64.49    11.99     3.46     1.79     4.58    21.93     8.43P    5.32R    1.23  
Peterborough      2    3   +0      51.16    13.10   -22.89     0.26     0.72     4.99     1.42P   34.23R   14.59  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.39    12.33    16.47     8.92    18.45    51.93    28.49P    0.95R    0.16  
Ipswich           3    3   -1      55.79    11.46   -10.67     0.24     0.79     6.36     1.91P   17.85R    5.05  
Leicester         2    3   -1      65.86    12.03     2.83     2.14     5.42    25.18     9.74P    4.36R    0.89  
Hull              3    3   -3      60.31    11.08    -4.43     0.39     1.48    11.27     3.51P    8.72R    1.81  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.36    11.95    -3.58     0.79     2.30    13.44     4.71P   10.18R    2.49  
Barnsley          3    1   -3      49.29    10.96   -18.42     0.04     0.13     1.68     0.42P   36.15R   13.36  
Watford           3    1   -5      55.85    11.67   -12.27     0.26     0.78     6.65     1.86P   18.49R    5.58  
Coventry          3    0   -3      50.22    10.81   -14.84     0.04     0.13     1.90     0.46P   32.24R   10.87  
Doncaster         3    0   -3      45.86    10.96   -22.92     0.00     0.05     0.85     0.19P   48.49R   21.92  
Bristol_City      2    0   -5      52.41    11.48   -16.93     0.13     0.35     3.60     0.87P   26.98R    9.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         3    9   +6      79.12    11.63    22.61    16.58    32.49    71.47    43.04P    0.52R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        3    9   +5      85.91    12.41    32.11    38.03    56.31    85.34    65.27P    0.19R    0.03  
MK_Dons          3    7   +3      72.41    11.74    12.50     6.54    15.40    48.70    23.70P    2.12R    0.20  
Notts_County     3    6   +3      62.57    11.30    -0.28     1.08     3.22    18.72     6.39P   11.06R    1.68  
Brentford        3    6   +1      63.72    11.30    -0.43     1.20     3.84    21.35     7.43P    9.50R    1.43  
Tranmere         3    6   +1      61.35    11.08    -3.84     0.75     2.27    15.51     4.88P   12.72R    1.96  
Wycombe          3    5   +2      57.76    12.06    -7.27     0.54     1.83    11.48     3.79P   23.23R    5.48  
Stevenage        3    5   +2      52.16    11.61   -14.63     0.15     0.55     4.71     1.35P   38.95R   11.49  
Colchester       3    4   +0      65.60    11.60     3.90     1.82     5.46    27.38    10.38P    7.41R    1.06  
Preston          3    4   +0      75.58    12.96    19.25    12.58    25.25    59.78    35.62P    2.19R    0.30  
Walsall          3    4   +0      58.43    11.49    -7.10     0.49     1.52    11.42     3.51P   20.07R    4.04  
Bury             3    4   -1      54.24    12.10   -14.41     0.32     1.02     7.09     2.18P   33.43R    9.86  
Carlisle         3    4   -1      61.56    11.55    -3.06     0.90     2.87    17.11     5.89P   13.44R    2.39  
Hartlepool       3    3   +0      56.33    11.19    -8.05     0.24     0.88     7.72     2.25P   24.93R    5.71  
Huddersfield     3    3   +0      75.48    11.68    20.19    10.34    22.68    60.35    34.62P    1.26R    0.13  
Sheff_Wed        3    3   -1      65.80    11.61     4.59     2.16     6.00    27.83    11.51P    6.94R    0.91  
Yeovil           3    3   -1      56.76    11.20    -8.63     0.28     1.04     8.46     2.47P   23.76R    5.27  
Bournemouth      3    3   -3      65.53    11.61     2.21     1.92     5.52    26.78    10.67P    7.75R    1.16  
Oldham           3    3   -3      57.03    11.12    -9.80     0.27     1.04     8.48     2.58P   22.90R    4.79  
Scunthorpe       3    2   -1      64.03    12.73     3.40     2.30     5.93    25.38    10.98P   11.54R    2.33  
Rochdale         3    2   -2      62.25    11.49    -0.01     0.99     3.08    18.64     6.66P   12.06R    2.07  
Chesterfield     3    1   -3      48.56    12.04   -20.89     0.09     0.31     3.06     0.82P   51.81R   21.02  
Exeter           3    1   -3      52.18    11.29   -15.04     0.11     0.40     4.18     1.15P   38.59R   11.20  
Leyton_Orient    3    0   -4      56.85    11.46    -7.32     0.31     1.08     9.07     2.85P   23.64R    5.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             3    9   +5      78.29    11.55    20.51    18.12    42.89    72.47    50.53P    0.13R    0.03  
Crawley_Town          3    7   +5      64.76    12.40     3.33     3.09    11.07    29.75    15.13P    3.63R    1.48  
Gillingham            3    7   +2      71.96    11.47    11.05     7.11    22.90    51.71    30.21P    0.62R    0.20  
Torquay               3    7   +2      73.25    11.61    13.02     8.97    26.81    56.14    34.36P    0.45R    0.16  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    6   +3      54.97    11.97   -12.16     0.40     2.26     9.37     3.45P   15.14R    7.27  
Morecambe             3    6   +3      58.95    11.45    -6.08     0.73     3.74    14.53     5.89P    7.14R    2.94  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1      74.50    12.77    15.54    12.91    32.33    59.65    39.46P    0.69R    0.20  
Dag_&_Red             3    6   +0      72.82    12.24    11.79     9.20    26.47    54.32    34.02P    0.75R    0.27  
Southend              3    6   -1      68.96    11.36     5.16     4.33    15.54    40.88    21.61P    1.09R    0.33  
Port_Vale             3    5   +2      65.80    11.20     5.24     2.41     9.96    30.96    15.01P    1.93R    0.69  
Oxford_Utd            3    4   +1      58.76    11.13    -4.30     0.58     3.08    13.55     5.25P    6.99R    2.80  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      64.57    11.54     2.54     2.14     8.88    27.99    13.33P    2.78R    1.02  
Northampton           3    4   +0      63.55    11.52     1.09     1.67     7.73    25.00    11.64P    3.43R    1.27  
Barnet                3    4   -1      52.19    11.11   -17.88     0.12     0.94     4.93     1.54P   19.54R    9.49  
Macclesfield          3    3   +1      53.30    11.17   -11.85     0.19     1.18     6.12     2.13P   16.48R    7.86  
Swindon               3    3   +1      76.90    12.26    23.37    16.62    39.80    68.18    49.04P    0.32R    0.11  
Burton_Albion         3    3   +0      55.84    11.44    -9.65     0.40     2.16     9.31     3.55P   12.27R    5.48  
Aldershot             3    3   -1      59.65    11.21    -3.81     0.72     3.78    15.23     6.34P    6.27R    2.45  
Cheltenham            3    3   -1      52.59    11.17   -15.17     0.15     1.00     5.41     1.83P   18.73R    9.07  
Shrewsbury            3    2   -2      66.70    11.37     6.69     2.86    11.63    34.15    17.72P    1.67R    0.59  
Bradford              3    1   -2      48.97    10.85   -17.65     0.04     0.35     2.67     0.80P   27.75R   14.77  
Plymouth              3    1   -5      68.67    12.48     8.11     5.41    17.41    41.73    24.57P    1.79R    0.70  
Crewe                 3    0   -5      63.13    12.13     0.99     1.84     7.99    25.18    12.37P    4.67R    1.96  
Hereford              3    0   -8      44.12    10.59   -29.87     0.01     0.10     0.79     0.23P   45.75R   28.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 August 2011, Alfreton_Town vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Gateshead           2    6   +4      65.45    11.50     2.19     1.33    15.72     3.72P    3.17R    0.54  
York                2    6   +3      73.31    11.18    14.09     4.86    36.49    11.98P    0.44R    0.04  
Wrexham             2    4   +2      74.88    11.18    18.39     6.16    42.38    15.37P    0.31R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town      2    4   +2      74.88    11.19    18.35     6.05    42.37    14.95P    0.33R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd       2    4   +1      66.86    11.29     5.26     1.54    18.40     4.99P    2.19R    0.27  
Stockport           2    4   +1      76.62    12.52    20.97    10.39    49.15    20.61P    0.56R    0.04  
Tamworth            2    4   +1      54.91    11.20   -14.43     0.15     3.14     0.62P   16.07R    3.59  
Darlington          2    4   +1      76.87    11.03    19.98     8.22    49.18    19.67P    0.21R    0.01  
Braintree_Town      2    3   +4      58.46    13.49    -4.44     0.87     9.21     2.41P   13.91R    3.89  
Newport_County      2    3   +3      70.46    11.69    14.22     3.49    29.21     9.09P    1.21R    0.14  
Kettering           2    3   +0      63.47    11.30     0.28     0.78    11.59     2.71P    4.41R    0.68  
Kidderminster       2    3   +0      71.60    11.55    13.17     3.83    32.00    10.19P    0.90R    0.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading     2    3   -2      50.28    11.13   -25.65     0.02     1.18     0.19P   29.44R    8.47  
Forest_Green        2    2   +0      55.92    11.35   -10.40     0.15     3.64     0.71P   14.55R    3.37  
Southport           2    2   +0      51.50    11.15   -17.95     0.05     1.54     0.26P   24.85R    6.79  
Luton               1    1   +0      89.30    11.29    42.73    44.02    86.17    60.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City        2    1   -1      72.73    12.39    17.08     6.03    36.91    14.37P    1.09R    0.13  
Barrow              2    1   -2      51.31    11.03   -18.07     0.05     1.42     0.24P   25.33R    7.02  
Alfreton_Town       2    1   -2      44.75    12.40   -29.41     0.04     0.89     0.18P   48.91R   21.65  
Bath_City           2    1   -2      56.55    11.33    -9.83     0.17     4.02     0.85P   13.02R    2.96  
Mansfield           2    1   -3      60.99    11.77    -4.28     0.57     9.14     2.17P    7.59R    1.42  
AFC_Telford         1    0   -1      48.09    13.17   -23.18     0.15     2.02     0.51P   38.68R   16.01  
Ebbsfleet_United    2    0   -2      44.74    12.58   -28.01     0.06     0.92     0.22P   48.63R   22.12  
Grimsby             2    0   -7      64.15    11.57    -1.05     1.02    13.30     3.62P    4.18R    0.68