Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 August 2011, Man_City vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      46.35     9.31     0.13     0.30     1.35     3.86     8.44    25.30     5.41R    0.84  
Man_City         1    3   +4      61.43     9.18    24.86     8.33    22.48    41.31    60.15    84.07     0.10R    0.01  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      72.23     8.50    40.75    44.82    70.43    85.16    92.96    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.66     8.82   -15.32     0.02     0.12     0.47     1.33     6.38    21.36R    5.13  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      58.49     9.10    18.97     4.50    13.68    28.05    45.95    75.35     0.22R    0.01  
Norwich          1    1   +0      32.34     9.34   -26.05     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.41     2.28    48.14R   20.31  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      41.73     8.98    -7.40     0.04     0.30     1.10     2.84    11.85    12.71R    2.59  
Wigan            1    1   +0      33.47     8.46   -21.12     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.33     1.96    42.26R   13.48  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      63.17     9.06    27.73    11.37    28.93    49.67    67.78    88.26     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      46.62     9.21     0.21     0.24     1.20     3.71     8.32    25.90     5.10R    0.80  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      69.43     8.56    37.41    29.75    58.40    77.02    88.32    97.13     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.52     8.89     0.72     0.21     1.00     3.05     7.36    24.50     4.66R    0.69  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      46.96     9.25     0.54     0.29     1.37     3.92     8.66    27.09     4.93R    0.79  
Stoke            1    1   +0      42.75     8.82    -4.98     0.05     0.33     1.18     3.33    13.59    10.04R    1.79  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      38.02     8.87   -13.27     0.02     0.10     0.42     1.18     5.77    23.32R    5.80  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      39.81     9.31   -12.10     0.04     0.23     0.76     2.21     9.30    19.09R    4.95  
QPR              1    0   -4      31.21     8.86   -26.35     0.01     0.01     0.06     0.22     1.32    52.80R   23.05  
Swansea          1    0   -4      31.90     8.77   -24.72     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.22     1.41    49.80R   19.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2011, Blackpool vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           2    6   +3      77.92    11.74    20.49    16.06    29.97    66.37    39.88P    0.37R    0.06  
Southampton       2    6   +3      69.82    12.57     8.67     6.26    13.00    39.65    19.33P    2.71R    0.52  
Blackpool         2    6   +2      78.65    12.97    20.91    20.37    34.10    66.91    43.11P    0.65R    0.12  
Brighton          2    6   +2      59.80    12.07    -6.93     0.90     2.53    13.86     4.76P   12.66R    3.44  
Derby             2    6   +2      59.90    11.31    -6.89     0.81     2.04    12.56     3.85P   10.89R    2.74  
Millwall          2    4   +2      67.14    11.28     6.89     2.89     6.84    30.46    12.21P    2.92R    0.51  
Reading           2    4   +2      77.25    11.74    21.52    14.52    28.06    64.61    38.50P    0.41R    0.08  
Middlesbrough     2    4   +1      66.70    11.54     4.99     2.82     6.99    29.64    12.05P    3.61R    0.66  
Ipswich           2    3   +2      59.36    11.37    -3.37     0.71     1.96    12.08     4.01P   11.58R    2.93  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1      53.31    10.78   -12.03     0.15     0.45     4.11     1.04P   24.43R    7.54  
Peterborough      2    3   +0      51.63    13.07   -21.24     0.40     1.05     6.00     1.88P   34.55R   15.26  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.52    12.04    16.55    10.61    21.18    55.35    31.77P    0.96R    0.15  
Hull              2    3   +0      63.50    11.11     1.57     1.34     3.68    19.82     7.26P    5.40R    1.14  
West_Ham          2    3   +0      75.80    12.60    18.86    13.94    26.03    59.27    36.23P    0.96R    0.18  
Leicester         2    3   -1      65.53    11.72     2.62     2.28     5.86    26.29    10.58P    4.80R    0.98  
Portsmouth        2    1   -1      59.54    11.34    -2.67     0.63     1.90    12.32     4.21P   11.19R    2.91  
Watford           2    1   -1      59.54    11.95    -4.04     0.89     2.42    13.62     4.77P   12.65R    3.67  
Barnsley          2    1   -1      51.38    10.98   -14.49     0.10     0.31     3.14     0.80P   31.06R   10.82  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.44    11.74    -3.13     0.98     2.66    14.76     5.37P   10.71R    2.78  
Nott'm_Forest     2    1   -2      65.85    11.35     5.27     2.24     5.70    26.34    11.13P    3.77R    0.70  
Doncaster         2    0   -2      46.90    10.94   -21.79     0.02     0.10     1.34     0.31P   47.14R   21.30  
Coventry          2    0   -2      52.62    10.89   -11.62     0.08     0.31     3.62     0.92P   26.58R    8.64  
Leeds_United      2    0   -3      59.55    11.82    -4.41     0.83     2.34    13.37     4.79P   12.40R    3.26  
Bristol_City      2    0   -5      52.82    11.39   -15.70     0.18     0.51     4.49     1.26P   27.59R    9.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         2    6   +4      76.26    11.86    18.92    12.28    24.61    61.01    34.24P    1.00R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        2    6   +4      83.61    12.72    30.05    32.11    48.84    79.89    58.45P    0.37R    0.02  
Tranmere         2    6   +2      63.66    11.21    -1.32     1.37     3.81    20.16     7.10P    8.55R    1.01  
Colchester       2    4   +2      68.27    11.73     7.80     3.52     8.88    34.23    14.78P    4.54R    0.57  
MK_Dons          2    4   +2      70.64    11.89    11.31     5.57    12.83    42.18    20.19P    3.10R    0.34  
Walsall          2    4   +1      59.48    11.58    -6.53     0.74     2.02    12.72     4.12P   17.15R    3.01  
Notts_County     2    3   +2      59.65    11.32    -2.86     0.63     1.87    12.34     4.02P   15.68R    2.66  
Yeovil           2    3   +0      58.19    11.45    -7.63     0.45     1.42    10.30     3.08P   19.49R    3.79  
Brentford        2    3   +0      61.67    11.47    -2.05     0.99     2.90    16.35     5.79P   12.34R    1.99  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +0      69.51    11.98     9.12     4.79    11.14    38.35    17.86P    4.13R    0.50  
Bournemouth      2    3   -1      69.36    11.74     7.95     4.33    10.37    37.34    16.95P    3.92R    0.42  
Carlisle         2    3   -1      61.57    11.73    -3.86     1.09     3.06    16.60     5.92P   13.11R    2.20  
Hartlepool       2    2   +0      55.93    11.48    -9.72     0.32     0.99     7.42     2.17P   25.62R    5.67  
Huddersfield     2    2   +0      76.74    11.85    21.77    13.45    26.84    62.91    38.20P    0.94R    0.08  
Scunthorpe       2    2   +0      67.23    12.93     7.18     4.20     9.55    33.13    15.63P    7.40R    1.19  
Wycombe          2    2   +0      53.93    12.14   -12.39     0.36     1.02     6.48     2.13P   32.89R    9.03  
Stevenage        2    2   +0      47.77    11.43   -20.62     0.05     0.20     1.97     0.49P   52.65R   19.04  
Chesterfield     2    1   -1      50.87    12.44   -17.97     0.24     0.67     4.61     1.45P   42.84R   14.14  
Preston          2    1   -2      73.57    13.33    16.87    10.80    21.11    52.38    30.43P    3.09R    0.42  
Rochdale         2    1   -2      63.01    11.71     0.39     1.36     3.74    19.90     7.51P   10.62R    1.67  
Bury             2    1   -2      50.72    12.27   -18.45     0.14     0.52     4.17     1.23P   43.27R   14.61  
Exeter           2    1   -2      54.25    11.53   -13.03     0.21     0.66     5.85     1.58P   30.91R    7.33  
Leyton_Orient    2    0   -2      60.31    11.73    -2.06     0.83     2.37    14.50     5.15P   15.26R    2.70  
Oldham           2    0   -4      54.04    11.30   -12.86     0.16     0.60     5.21     1.52P   31.14R    7.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             2    6   +4      76.32    11.81    19.05    12.46    34.00    65.19    41.86P    0.19R    0.04  
Gillingham            2    6   +2      73.49    11.72    12.76     8.04    25.01    55.46    32.72P    0.45R    0.15  
Southend              2    6   +2      73.41    11.81    12.71     8.15    25.34    55.05    32.91P    0.44R    0.12  
Port_Vale             2    4   +2      66.41    11.58     5.46     2.38    10.54    32.23    15.65P    1.68R    0.62  
Crawley_Town          2    4   +2      58.81    12.44    -6.35     0.96     4.34    15.39     6.69P    8.65R    3.98  
Torquay               2    4   +1      71.67    11.79    12.03     6.19    21.15    49.58    28.48P    0.65R    0.23  
Northampton           2    4   +1      65.31    11.66     2.67     2.11     9.03    28.79    13.39P    2.23R    0.81  
Morecambe             2    3   +2      57.10    11.55    -7.62     0.43     2.40    10.88     4.07P    9.32R    4.17  
Swindon               2    3   +2      80.55    12.62    28.17    23.21    49.01    76.38    57.70P    0.15R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   +1      49.70    12.16   -20.69     0.12     0.78     4.48     1.39P   26.98R   15.12  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0      71.89    13.26    13.07     8.68    24.36    50.50    31.41P    1.31R    0.46  
Aldershot             2    3   +0      61.44    11.59    -2.38     1.07     4.94    18.90     7.80P    4.34R    1.75  
Cheltenham            2    3   +0      54.78    11.43   -13.08     0.21     1.40     7.53     2.47P   13.18R    6.29  
Barnet                2    3   -1      51.43    11.37   -19.84     0.11     0.71     4.42     1.28P   20.59R   10.52  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   -1      69.21    12.64     7.94     5.28    17.52    41.89    23.93P    1.56R    0.58  
Burton_Albion         2    2   +0      55.92    11.88   -10.44     0.40     2.09     9.64     3.44P   12.02R    5.65  
Shrewsbury            2    2   +0      70.86    11.66    12.79     5.24    18.81    47.13    26.69P    0.72R    0.24  
Bradford              2    1   -1      50.86    11.14   -16.22     0.08     0.53     3.74     1.11P   21.09R   10.79  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      63.07    11.74     1.56     1.32     6.51    23.19    10.43P    3.67R    1.44  
Oxford_Utd            2    1   -1      54.87    11.14    -9.69     0.19     1.30     7.18     2.38P   11.95R    5.26  
Plymouth              2    1   -3      73.81    12.86    16.01    10.45    28.56    56.57    36.87P    0.76R    0.26  
Macclesfield          2    0   -3      48.51    11.23   -21.03     0.05     0.38     2.55     0.74P   28.32R   15.76  
Crewe                 2    0   -4      65.61    12.44     3.77     2.84    10.91    30.87    15.81P    3.05R    1.22  
Hereford              2    0   -4      48.91    11.03   -20.63     0.04     0.39     2.47     0.78P   26.69R   14.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Barrow vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Hayes_&_Yeading     1    3   +2      49.05    11.32   -17.01     0.27     4.14     0.90P   23.66R    6.18  
Fleetwood_Town      1    3   +2      70.99    11.23    20.26    13.14    54.35    24.33P    0.46R    0.05  
Gateshead           1    3   +1      56.86    11.47    -3.51     1.37    13.12     3.41P    8.10R    1.44  
Kettering           1    3   +1      59.99    11.50     2.02     2.37    19.38     5.69P    4.76R    0.84  
York                1    3   +1      66.65    11.16    12.62     6.77    38.43    14.44P    1.12R    0.12  
Darlington          1    3   +1      72.28    11.04    20.93    15.18    58.69    28.03P    0.24R    0.01  
Lincoln_City        1    1   +0      71.08    12.43    22.37    16.14    54.62    27.97P    0.85R    0.11  
Southport           1    1   +0      47.30    11.10   -17.35     0.17     2.70     0.52P   28.24R    8.10  
Barrow              1    1   +0      48.99    10.93   -13.36     0.16     3.42     0.68P   22.61R    5.75  
Bath_City           1    1   +0      54.95    11.49    -4.06     1.02    10.21     2.61P   10.60R    2.36  
Cambridge_Utd       1    1   +0      60.71    11.29     5.53     2.62    20.93     6.47P    3.91R    0.57  
Forest_Green        1    1   +0      49.87    11.07   -12.75     0.22     4.09     0.82P   20.88R    5.39  
Mansfield           1    1   +0      60.36    11.81     4.55     2.86    21.40     6.77P    4.91R    0.91  
Stockport           1    1   +0      70.43    12.61    21.83    15.18    52.58    25.81P    1.13R    0.19  
Tamworth            1    1   +0      48.84    11.27   -14.45     0.24     3.78     0.81P   23.72R    6.40  
Wrexham             1    1   +0      67.15    11.13    15.38     7.25    40.57    16.41P    1.05R    0.13  
Kidderminster       1    0   -1      63.46    11.56    10.46     4.57    29.42    10.59P    2.50R    0.36  
Newport_County      1    0   -1      62.02    11.70     8.18     3.65    25.58     8.52P    3.61R    0.58  
Ebbsfleet_United    1    0   -1      42.83    12.78   -24.50     0.19     2.46     0.63P   45.00R   19.86  
Braintree_Town      1    0   -1      44.29    12.79   -21.13     0.27     3.18     0.83P   40.22R   16.32  
Alfreton_Town       1    0   -2      41.17    12.65   -28.54     0.15     1.84     0.43P   50.53R   24.05  
Grimsby             1    0   -2      65.32    11.60    12.51     6.20    35.11    13.32P    1.90R    0.26