Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 August 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2011, Stoke vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      40.85     8.44     0.43     0.43     1.99     5.99    13.61    35.47     7.63R    1.27  
Man_Utd          1    3   +1      63.90     7.90    35.56    48.64    75.78    89.36    95.42    98.96     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      34.03     7.99   -13.34     0.02     0.19     0.89     2.81    10.97    26.38R    6.95  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      51.55     8.34    16.50     5.53    17.64    37.06    58.39    81.72     0.43R    0.06  
Norwich          1    1   +0      28.03     8.43   -23.20     0.01     0.08     0.31     0.89     3.85    55.58R   24.74  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      36.58     8.25    -6.70     0.10     0.59     2.05     5.26    18.39    17.48R    3.90  
Wigan            1    1   +0      29.60     7.78   -17.94     0.01     0.07     0.25     0.80     4.04    47.05R   16.18  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      55.53     8.32    23.92    12.34    33.22    58.94    76.29    91.32     0.13R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      41.01     8.38     0.11     0.44     1.98     5.91    13.50    35.73     7.36R    1.30  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      61.03     7.86    32.24    31.49    63.42    82.36    91.77    97.89     0.00     0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      40.96     8.18     0.67     0.32     1.64     5.49    12.83    34.85     6.85R    1.18  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      41.51     8.45     0.77     0.47     2.19     6.48    14.83    37.96     6.97R    1.24  
Stoke            1    1   +0      37.57     8.07    -4.32     0.10     0.56     2.25     6.25    21.06    13.85R    2.79  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      33.39     8.12   -11.46     0.04     0.22     0.85     2.42    10.13    28.76R    7.96  
West_Brom        1    0   -1      35.04     8.48   -10.18     0.07     0.42     1.66     4.41    15.03    23.39R    6.30  
QPR              1    0   -4      27.50     8.03   -23.05     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.52     2.62    58.14R   26.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2011, Blackpool vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           2    6   +3      77.91    11.78    20.41    16.24    29.97    66.31    40.01P    0.37R    0.06  
Southampton       2    6   +3      69.54    12.60     8.26     6.09    12.63    39.26    18.85P    3.06R    0.62  
Blackpool         2    6   +2      78.40    12.96    20.49    19.76    33.24    66.15    42.31P    0.69R    0.11  
Brighton          2    6   +2      59.43    12.12    -7.49     0.98     2.68    13.66     4.80P   13.45R    3.86  
Derby             2    6   +2      59.96    11.37    -6.77     0.78     2.12    12.87     4.09P   10.91R    2.71  
Millwall          2    4   +2      67.05    11.40     6.78     2.77     7.02    30.10    12.50P    3.19R    0.64  
Reading           2    4   +2      76.99    11.86    21.16    14.58    27.76    63.71    37.95P    0.55R    0.09  
Middlesbrough     2    4   +1      66.81    11.75     5.06     3.01     7.43    30.29    12.65P    3.77R    0.81  
Ipswich           2    3   +2      59.51    11.48    -3.17     0.79     2.13    12.63     4.24P   11.51R    3.02  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1      52.98    10.69   -12.49     0.10     0.33     3.78     0.92P   25.39R    7.89  
Peterborough      2    3   +0      51.80    12.94   -20.87     0.39     1.01     5.91     1.80P   33.89R   14.81  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.56    12.23    16.62    11.12    21.79    55.39    32.11P    0.99R    0.18  
Hull              2    3   +0      63.90    11.06     2.09     1.29     3.70    20.99     7.65P    5.11R    1.00  
West_Ham          2    3   +0      75.64    12.53    18.60    13.50    25.28    58.81    35.32P    0.99R    0.15  
Leicester         2    3   -1      65.59    11.75     2.69     2.47     6.07    26.50    10.73P    4.57R    0.97  
Portsmouth        2    1   -1      59.59    11.31    -2.60     0.64     2.05    12.46     4.28P   10.97R    2.84  
Watford           2    1   -1      59.51    11.79    -4.10     0.85     2.33    13.31     4.54P   12.46R    3.39  
Barnsley          2    1   -1      51.68    10.89   -14.04     0.10     0.29     3.08     0.79P   29.88R   10.46  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.46    11.69    -3.17     0.91     2.67    14.76     5.32P   10.57R    2.83  
Nott'm_Forest     2    1   -2      65.99    11.48     5.45     2.50     6.19    27.21    11.77P    3.82R    0.78  
Doncaster         2    0   -2      47.21    10.95   -21.24     0.04     0.11     1.44     0.28P   46.43R   20.52  
Coventry          2    0   -2      52.60    10.95   -11.65     0.11     0.36     3.71     0.99P   27.16R    8.90  
Leeds_United      2    0   -3      59.62    11.81    -4.21     0.84     2.37    13.36     4.83P   12.44R    3.58  
Bristol_City      2    0   -5      52.74    11.32   -15.82     0.13     0.46     4.30     1.22P   27.82R    9.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         2    6   +4      75.64    12.05    17.93    11.91    23.65    58.62    32.67P    1.18R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        2    6   +4      83.89    12.54    30.32    32.64    49.75    80.86    59.68P    0.33R    0.02  
Tranmere         2    6   +2      63.43    11.25    -1.62     1.30     3.70    19.70     6.88P    9.04R    1.17  
Colchester       2    4   +2      68.39    11.65     8.02     3.43     8.75    34.80    14.70P    4.38R    0.50  
MK_Dons          2    4   +2      70.45    11.96    11.04     5.52    12.55    41.68    19.76P    3.28R    0.36  
Walsall          2    4   +1      59.67    11.59    -6.26     0.69     2.14    13.04     4.33P   16.73R    2.88  
Notts_County     2    3   +2      59.94    11.31    -2.43     0.66     2.02    12.80     4.22P   14.97R    2.49  
Yeovil           2    3   +0      58.42    11.44    -7.30     0.54     1.65    10.56     3.40P   19.15R    3.44  
Brentford        2    3   +0      61.63    11.51    -1.98     0.99     2.90    16.37     5.74P   12.28R    1.96  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +0      69.12    11.88     8.54     4.37    10.29    37.31    16.86P    4.05R    0.46  
Bournemouth      2    3   -1      69.21    11.80     7.74     4.17    10.07    37.28    16.75P    3.99R    0.41  
Carlisle         2    3   -1      62.15    11.77    -2.94     1.26     3.48    18.02     6.64P   12.21R    1.93  
Hartlepool       2    2   +0      55.94    11.51    -9.60     0.34     1.02     7.55     2.18P   25.64R    5.59  
Huddersfield     2    2   +0      76.81    11.92    21.89    13.50    26.89    63.14    38.34P    0.96R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       2    2   +0      67.31    13.12     7.28     4.49    10.12    33.69    16.25P    7.51R    1.33  
Wycombe          2    2   +0      53.91    12.16   -12.50     0.34     0.95     6.50     2.11P   32.92R    8.84  
Stevenage        2    2   +0      47.54    11.37   -20.87     0.05     0.18     1.86     0.48P   53.89R   19.31  
Chesterfield     2    1   -1      50.92    12.58   -17.73     0.22     0.70     4.85     1.55P   42.75R   14.65  
Preston          2    1   -2      73.62    13.19    16.92    10.77    21.17    52.34    30.34P    2.99R    0.36  
Rochdale         2    1   -2      63.12    11.77     0.55     1.43     3.89    20.11     7.68P   10.61R    1.74  
Bury             2    1   -2      50.75    12.24   -18.31     0.19     0.53     4.07     1.24P   42.86R   14.32  
Exeter           2    1   -2      53.83    11.52   -13.59     0.21     0.62     5.48     1.59P   32.17R    7.95  
Leyton_Orient    2    0   -2      60.12    11.72    -2.32     0.79     2.40    14.13     5.09P   15.51R    2.85  
Oldham           2    0   -4      54.08    11.31   -12.79     0.20     0.57     5.26     1.53P   30.63R    7.28  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             2    6   +4      76.58    11.96    19.52    12.74    34.86    65.89    42.94P    0.21R    0.05  
Gillingham            2    6   +2      73.37    11.81    12.56     7.88    25.28    55.13    32.79P    0.44R    0.15  
Southend              2    6   +2      73.54    11.68    12.89     8.04    25.28    55.72    32.92P    0.35R    0.09  
Port_Vale             2    4   +2      66.49    11.46     5.66     2.37    10.31    32.07    15.41P    1.53R    0.51  
Crawley_Town          2    4   +2      58.84    12.59    -6.29     0.97     4.44    15.67     6.71P    8.80R    4.03  
Torquay               2    4   +1      71.29    11.88    11.51     5.87    20.16    48.26    27.29P    0.72R    0.26  
Northampton           2    4   +1      65.44    11.75     2.76     2.19     9.37    29.53    13.76P    2.38R    0.91  
Morecambe             2    3   +2      57.31    11.58    -7.32     0.45     2.54    11.42     4.31P    8.77R    3.88  
Swindon               2    3   +2      80.73    12.69    28.39    23.93    49.79    76.38    58.16P    0.18R    0.05  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   +1      49.47    12.06   -21.10     0.13     0.72     4.14     1.32P   27.59R   15.70  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0      71.61    13.09    12.63     8.07    23.25    49.42    30.30P    1.22R    0.42  
Aldershot             2    3   +0      61.90    11.52    -1.78     1.06     5.22    19.59     8.32P    4.10R    1.58  
Cheltenham            2    3   +0      54.55    11.43   -13.44     0.20     1.38     7.13     2.31P   13.69R    6.47  
Barnet                2    3   -1      51.69    11.36   -19.46     0.11     0.81     4.64     1.46P   19.79R   10.05  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   -1      69.01    12.81     7.63     5.50    17.21    41.09    23.70P    1.52R    0.61  
Burton_Albion         2    2   +0      55.68    11.78   -10.74     0.38     2.07     9.33     3.45P   12.19R    5.89  
Shrewsbury            2    2   +0      70.39    11.70    12.10     4.87    17.84    45.78    25.38P    0.85R    0.29  
Bradford              2    1   -1      50.87    11.15   -16.29     0.09     0.57     3.76     1.16P   21.10R   10.78  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      62.84    11.91     1.24     1.50     6.77    22.97    10.56P    4.04R    1.65  
Oxford_Utd            2    1   -1      55.23    11.25    -9.26     0.23     1.41     7.81     2.73P   11.69R    5.18  
Plymouth              2    1   -3      74.02    12.86    16.28    10.62    29.06    57.25    37.45P    0.71R    0.24  
Macclesfield          2    0   -3      48.50    11.15   -20.92     0.06     0.40     2.48     0.76P   28.34R   15.60  
Crewe                 2    0   -4      65.88    12.38     4.16     2.68    10.91    32.02    16.09P    2.88R    1.11  
Hereford              2    0   -4      48.82    11.04   -20.72     0.05     0.36     2.51     0.72P   26.89R   14.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Barrow vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Hayes_&_Yeading     1    3   +2      48.98    11.28   -17.04     0.25     3.98     0.77P   23.76R    5.95  
Fleetwood_Town      1    3   +2      70.92    11.21    20.19    13.12    54.05    24.01P    0.42R    0.05  
Gateshead           1    3   +1      56.73    11.44    -3.75     1.38    12.91     3.35P    8.09R    1.46  
Kettering           1    3   +1      60.07    11.38     2.05     2.42    19.44     5.60P    4.49R    0.73  
York                1    3   +1      66.75    11.04    12.77     6.68    38.42    14.61P    0.99R    0.13  
Darlington          1    3   +1      72.09    11.02    20.59    14.91    57.88    27.60P    0.25R    0.02  
Lincoln_City        1    1   +0      71.23    12.28    22.63    16.33    55.06    27.98P    0.85R    0.13  
Southport           1    1   +0      47.56    11.23   -16.84     0.15     3.05     0.59P   27.55R    7.77  
Barrow              1    1   +0      49.19    10.97   -12.97     0.23     3.60     0.79P   22.07R    5.58  
Bath_City           1    1   +0      54.69    11.41    -4.43     0.82     9.86     2.48P   10.80R    2.14  
Cambridge_Utd       1    1   +0      60.68    11.27     5.49     2.47    20.81     6.38P    3.94R    0.56  
Forest_Green        1    1   +0      50.08    11.20   -12.39     0.28     4.51     0.96P   20.36R    5.09  
Mansfield           1    1   +0      60.29    11.73     4.46     2.74    21.23     6.72P    4.87R    0.78  
Stockport           1    1   +0      70.61    12.72    22.19    16.06    53.05    26.63P    1.09R    0.18  
Tamworth            1    1   +0      48.65    11.07   -14.68     0.16     3.41     0.66P   23.97R    6.25  
Wrexham             1    1   +0      67.29    11.06    15.66     7.32    40.88    16.27P    0.87R    0.09  
Kidderminster       1    0   -1      63.42    11.62    10.40     4.46    29.23    10.63P    2.72R    0.40  
Newport_County      1    0   -1      61.93    11.69     8.00     3.58    25.31     8.47P    3.70R    0.63  
Ebbsfleet_United    1    0   -1      42.57    12.86   -25.10     0.18     2.42     0.60P   45.77R   20.75  
Braintree_Town      1    0   -1      44.36    12.73   -20.98     0.22     3.06     0.76P   39.85R   15.96  
Alfreton_Town       1    0   -2      40.71    12.77   -29.25     0.15     1.88     0.47P   51.95R   25.12  
Grimsby             1    0   -2      65.63    11.49    13.00     6.09    35.96    13.67P    1.64R    0.21