Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 August 2011 at 16:58:25 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2011, Stoke vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Bolton           1    3   +4      36.52     7.65     2.44     1.54     6.18    14.37    25.38    49.18     8.59R    1.32  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      30.55     7.33    -9.85     0.20     1.12     3.32     7.18    19.66    27.94R    7.02  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      45.77     7.54    16.07    12.82    34.44    56.95    72.03    88.53     0.65R    0.06  
Norwich          1    1   +0      24.98     7.74   -18.50     0.08     0.33     1.09     2.45     7.70    57.44R   25.59  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      32.71     7.56    -4.02     0.50     2.13     5.89    12.06    29.63    19.13R    4.26  
Wigan            1    1   +0      26.20     7.15   -14.32     0.06     0.26     0.89     2.35     8.10    50.43R   17.64  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      49.20     7.48    22.47    25.25    55.53    74.46    85.01    94.64     0.21R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      1    1   +0      36.45     7.70     1.65     1.46     5.91    13.98    25.10    48.60     9.15R    1.66  
Chelsea          1    1   +0      53.93     7.13    29.67    54.58    79.03    90.26    95.16    98.70     0.03R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      36.33     7.44     1.87     1.18     5.06    12.81    23.60    47.81     8.40R    1.41  
Newcastle        1    1   +0      37.00     7.74     2.52     1.68     6.48    15.48    27.62    51.44     8.22R    1.36  
Stoke            1    1   +0      33.63     7.43    -2.04     0.45     2.44     7.20    14.43    33.60    15.36R    2.97  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      29.44     7.46    -8.83     0.17     0.89     2.66     6.03    16.91    32.79R    9.17  
QPR              1    0   -4      24.33     7.30   -19.13     0.03     0.21     0.65     1.59     5.51    61.68R   27.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 August 2011, Blackpool vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff           2    6   +3      77.74    11.83    20.24    15.83    29.73    65.82    39.65P    0.42R    0.07  
Southampton       2    6   +3      69.73    12.51     8.58     5.99    12.68    39.83    19.18P    2.84R    0.63  
Blackpool         2    6   +2      78.56    13.21    20.81    20.58    34.22    66.35    42.92P    0.76R    0.15  
Brighton          2    6   +2      59.74    12.26    -7.00     1.18     2.98    14.32     5.14P   13.06R    3.63  
Derby             2    6   +2      60.00    11.34    -6.68     0.68     2.02    12.90     3.92P   10.74R    2.59  
Millwall          2    4   +2      67.03    11.42     6.74     2.90     7.28    30.38    12.70P    3.17R    0.64  
Reading           2    4   +2      77.17    11.65    21.41    14.58    28.10    64.60    38.53P    0.41R    0.06  
Middlesbrough     2    4   +1      66.67    11.61     4.80     2.96     7.06    29.42    12.12P    3.75R    0.71  
Ipswich           2    3   +2      59.16    11.35    -3.64     0.68     1.96    11.92     3.88P   11.85R    3.13  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1      53.10    10.69   -12.32     0.12     0.41     3.94     1.04P   25.04R    7.70  
Peterborough      2    3   +0      52.07    13.01   -20.36     0.39     1.09     6.35     2.00P   33.16R   14.47  
Birmingham        2    3   +0      74.15    12.18    16.01    10.66    20.71    54.10    31.06P    1.05R    0.15  
Hull              2    3   +0      63.80    11.02     1.98     1.29     3.70    20.61     7.54P    4.98R    1.01  
West_Ham          2    3   +0      75.60    12.67    18.52    13.38    25.34    58.58    35.23P    1.00R    0.14  
Leicester         2    3   -1      65.72    11.68     2.82     2.51     6.21    26.56    10.95P    4.55R    1.00  
Portsmouth        2    1   -1      59.76    11.26    -2.32     0.67     1.96    12.74     4.43P   10.56R    2.71  
Watford           2    1   -1      59.75    11.76    -3.68     0.91     2.34    13.73     4.73P   12.04R    3.26  
Barnsley          2    1   -1      51.40    11.02   -14.42     0.08     0.32     3.14     0.79P   31.13R   11.11  
Burnley           2    1   -2      60.25    11.70    -3.39     1.00     2.67    14.41     5.27P   10.85R    2.80  
Nott'm_Forest     2    1   -2      66.06    11.48     5.55     2.46     6.11    27.77    11.80P    4.02R    0.79  
Doncaster         2    0   -2      47.03    10.85   -21.48     0.04     0.09     1.26     0.30P   46.89R   21.09  
Coventry          2    0   -2      52.57    10.88   -11.56     0.09     0.33     3.73     0.95P   26.95R    8.89  
Leeds_United      2    0   -3      59.37    11.81    -4.68     0.89     2.27    13.20     4.73P   12.84R    3.47  
Bristol_City      2    0   -5      52.74    11.30   -15.93     0.13     0.43     4.34     1.14P   27.94R    9.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton         2    6   +4      76.13    11.89    18.70    12.24    24.66    60.44    33.88P    1.10R    0.07  
Sheff_Utd        2    6   +4      83.82    12.69    30.34    32.72    49.43    80.35    59.11P    0.32R    0.03  
Tranmere         2    6   +2      63.06    11.24    -2.12     1.26     3.46    18.75     6.46P    9.65R    1.32  
Colchester       2    4   +2      68.37    11.76     8.01     3.60     8.96    34.73    15.05P    4.48R    0.51  
MK_Dons          2    4   +2      70.58    12.05    11.26     5.78    12.99    42.38    20.33P    3.26R    0.42  
Walsall          2    4   +1      59.96    11.56    -5.82     0.71     2.14    13.45     4.36P   16.01R    2.67  
Notts_County     2    3   +2      60.07    11.31    -2.22     0.75     2.01    13.11     4.38P   14.67R    2.46  
Yeovil           2    3   +0      58.24    11.46    -7.52     0.50     1.57    10.34     3.23P   19.51R    3.79  
Brentford        2    3   +0      61.71    11.36    -1.93     0.95     2.80    16.18     5.65P   11.86R    1.68  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +0      69.28    12.00     8.76     4.58    10.46    37.99    17.44P    4.21R    0.51  
Bournemouth      2    3   -1      69.44    11.72     8.07     4.26    10.42    37.75    17.32P    3.59R    0.40  
Carlisle         2    3   -1      62.04    11.58    -3.13     1.16     3.12    17.49     6.10P   11.94R    1.89  
Hartlepool       2    2   +0      55.77    11.36    -9.84     0.25     0.88     7.08     2.00P   25.74R    5.70  
Huddersfield     2    2   +0      76.37    11.83    21.17    12.71    25.77    61.77    36.76P    0.96R    0.08  
Scunthorpe       2    2   +0      67.34    12.98     7.30     4.31     9.91    33.52    15.97P    7.32R    1.17  
Wycombe          2    2   +0      53.68    12.08   -12.84     0.27     0.84     6.36     1.92P   33.52R    9.24  
Stevenage        2    2   +0      47.59    11.45   -20.79     0.05     0.23     2.08     0.55P   53.65R   19.34  
Chesterfield     2    1   -1      50.65    12.37   -18.27     0.21     0.62     4.37     1.36P   43.51R   14.68  
Preston          2    1   -2      73.78    13.27    17.24    11.00    21.75    52.98    31.08P    3.05R    0.41  
Rochdale         2    1   -2      63.12    11.78     0.56     1.37     3.85    20.31     7.66P   10.46R    1.65  
Bury             2    1   -2      50.76    12.13   -18.30     0.17     0.54     4.06     1.25P   43.10R   14.22  
Exeter           2    1   -2      54.27    11.46   -12.91     0.20     0.68     5.69     1.65P   30.44R    7.30  
Leyton_Orient    2    0   -2      60.14    11.64    -2.41     0.80     2.37    13.93     5.01P   15.48R    2.74  
Oldham           2    0   -4      53.69    11.20   -13.31     0.14     0.55     4.91     1.47P   32.18R    7.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham             2    6   +4      76.47    11.89    19.39    12.72    34.60    65.57    42.62P    0.19R    0.06  
Gillingham            2    6   +2      73.53    11.62    12.81     7.97    25.34    55.64    32.85P    0.37R    0.10  
Southend              2    6   +2      73.76    11.71    13.19     8.50    25.74    56.40    33.47P    0.32R    0.09  
Port_Vale             2    4   +2      66.32    11.56     5.41     2.42    10.24    31.96    15.41P    1.75R    0.61  
Crawley_Town          2    4   +2      58.94    12.50    -6.06     1.00     4.44    15.69     6.72P    8.59R    3.87  
Torquay               2    4   +1      71.59    11.99    11.96     6.51    21.21    49.41    28.32P    0.75R    0.26  
Northampton           2    4   +1      65.54    11.85     2.97     2.39     9.60    29.88    14.07P    2.42R    0.90  
Morecambe             2    3   +2      57.26    11.58    -7.35     0.46     2.61    11.06     4.20P    9.14R    4.05  
Swindon               2    3   +2      80.56    12.64    28.12    23.56    49.09    75.96    57.64P    0.16R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   +1      49.42    12.14   -21.22     0.11     0.70     4.16     1.26P   27.93R   15.98  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0      71.91    13.18    13.03     8.65    24.27    50.61    31.45P    1.23R    0.46  
Aldershot             2    3   +0      61.53    11.56    -2.27     1.00     5.03    19.01     8.19P    4.39R    1.75  
Cheltenham            2    3   +0      54.58    11.42   -13.35     0.21     1.42     7.25     2.42P   13.29R    6.19  
Barnet                2    3   -1      51.69    11.34   -19.35     0.11     0.76     4.53     1.35P   19.85R   10.26  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   -1      68.84    12.66     7.45     5.07    16.66    40.93    23.14P    1.67R    0.60  
Burton_Albion         2    2   +0      55.86    11.71   -10.43     0.37     2.08     9.43     3.37P   11.69R    5.44  
Shrewsbury            2    2   +0      70.47    11.61    12.13     4.83    18.01    46.04    25.69P    0.77R    0.24  
Bradford              2    1   -1      51.00    11.19   -16.01     0.10     0.62     3.76     1.22P   20.65R   10.55  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      63.01    11.75     1.50     1.41     6.64    23.17    10.47P    3.63R    1.48  
Oxford_Utd            2    1   -1      55.06    11.26    -9.50     0.20     1.48     7.71     2.70P   11.89R    5.29  
Plymouth              2    1   -3      73.57    12.82    15.55     9.87    28.08    55.91    36.41P    0.73R    0.28  
Macclesfield          2    0   -3      48.29    11.19   -21.24     0.05     0.32     2.31     0.69P   29.00R   16.12  
Crewe                 2    0   -4      65.58    12.40     3.64     2.46    10.76    31.02    15.63P    2.93R    1.21  
Hereford              2    0   -4      49.04    11.08   -20.38     0.04     0.31     2.58     0.72P   26.65R   14.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 August 2011, Barrow vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Hayes_&_Yeading     1    3   +2      49.17    11.32   -16.79     0.28     4.11     0.87P   23.23R    5.89  
Fleetwood_Town      1    3   +2      71.12    11.17    20.50    13.12    54.47    24.43P    0.39R    0.04  
Gateshead           1    3   +1      56.54    11.54    -4.05     1.33    12.71     3.23P    8.69R    1.66  
Kettering           1    3   +1      59.99    11.39     1.92     2.30    18.94     5.42P    4.76R    0.76  
York                1    3   +1      66.67    11.01    12.65     6.48    38.16    14.20P    0.97R    0.09  
Darlington          1    3   +1      72.10    10.87    20.67    14.49    57.83    27.25P    0.26R    0.02  
Lincoln_City        1    1   +0      71.50    12.26    23.03    16.72    55.85    28.71P    0.75R    0.10  
Southport           1    1   +0      47.60    10.99   -16.80     0.15     2.63     0.51P   26.67R    7.32  
Barrow              1    1   +0      48.96    10.91   -13.44     0.19     3.29     0.71P   22.61R    5.73  
Bath_City           1    1   +0      54.71    11.32    -4.39     0.88     9.62     2.44P   10.64R    2.07  
Cambridge_Utd       1    1   +0      60.85    11.23     5.79     2.35    21.17     6.39P    3.78R    0.57  
Forest_Green        1    1   +0      49.81    11.11   -12.82     0.25     4.19     0.86P   20.89R    5.24  
Mansfield           1    1   +0      60.46    11.76     4.76     2.88    21.36     6.77P    4.67R    0.82  
Stockport           1    1   +0      70.82    12.65    22.58    16.09    53.68    26.69P    0.99R    0.16  
Tamworth            1    1   +0      48.96    11.14   -14.32     0.22     3.69     0.77P   22.77R    5.77  
Wrexham             1    1   +0      66.97    11.10    15.10     6.86    39.68    15.68P    1.03R    0.12  
Kidderminster       1    0   -1      63.69    11.53    10.78     4.79    29.76    10.78P    2.55R    0.41  
Newport_County      1    0   -1      62.08    11.72     8.21     3.67    25.77     8.63P    3.47R    0.57  
Ebbsfleet_United    1    0   -1      42.52    12.79   -25.02     0.23     2.38     0.58P   45.71R   20.43  
Braintree_Town      1    0   -1      43.71    12.75   -22.13     0.21     2.76     0.69P   41.89R   17.26  
Alfreton_Town       1    0   -2      40.81    12.64   -29.32     0.15     1.83     0.44P   51.40R   24.74  
Grimsby             1    0   -2      65.64    11.69    13.11     6.35    36.12    13.91P    1.86R    0.22