Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 May 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 May 2011, Fulham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         36   76  +39      80.82     1.43    42.97    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         36   70  +37      74.13     1.66    39.26     0.25    94.65    99.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   67  +30      70.90     1.73    31.86     0.00     5.20    90.83   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   62  +21      67.46     2.22    22.98     0.00     0.16     9.36    96.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   58  +18      61.53     1.82    19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   56   +7      59.81     2.06     6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86    98.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   51   +6      53.52     1.83     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   46   +2      48.66     1.64     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   46   -1      48.58     1.86    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   45   +4      47.47     1.79     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   44   -1      46.38     1.54    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   44  -12      46.98     1.81   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   43  -16      45.10     1.77   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   42  -13      43.71     1.61   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   39  -14      40.91     1.69   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.91R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   39  -18      41.04     1.66   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.02  
Wolverhampton   36   37  -21      39.44     1.77   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.03R    1.37  
Blackpool       36   36  -22      37.59     1.47   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   20.79  
Wigan           36   36  -23      38.33     1.74   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.95R   21.92  
West_Ham        36   33  -23      35.81     1.84   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.49R   55.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2011, Barnsley vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   84  +25      84.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   80  +27      80.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   80  +22      80.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   77  +26      77.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   75  +19      75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   72  +11      72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   68   +4      68.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   67  +13      67.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   67   +5      67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   62   +1      62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   61   +6      61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   61   -1      61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60   -8      60.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   58   -7      58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   49  -13      49.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   48  -27      48.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   42  -25      42.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   42  -35      42.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   42  -44      42.00     0.00   -44.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2011, Bournemouth vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   92  +48      92.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   87  +29      87.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   79  +31      79.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   77   +7      77.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      46   71  +21      71.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   70   +9      70.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70   -7      70.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   68   +8      68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   62   -6      62.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        46   61   -7      61.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   59   -2      59.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   59   -4      59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   59  -10      59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   +0      58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   57  -18      57.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -14      50.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   48  -19      48.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red        46   47  -18      47.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   45  -34      45.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         46   42  -23      42.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   41  -22      41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 May 2011, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         46   86  +34      86.00     0.00    34.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   81  +32      81.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   80  +19      80.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   79  +23      79.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.76P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   73  +18      73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   69  +21      69.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   68  +10      68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   66  +15      66.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   65  +22      65.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   65   +5      65.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   63   -2      63.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6      61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   61   +0      61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             46   53  -16      53.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   52   -8      52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   52  -21      52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   52  -25      52.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   51  -19      51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -19      48.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   47  -36      47.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport            46   41  -48      41.00     0.00   -48.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       46  105  +63     105.00     0.00    63.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      46   90  +36      90.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   84  +48      84.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   81  +17      81.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     46   78  +26      78.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   72  +14      72.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   71  +19      71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   71   +5      71.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   69  +18      69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          46   63   -4      63.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   62  +10      62.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   51  -24      51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   50   -8      50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   49  -21      49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   46  -19      46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   46  -21      46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   44  -40      44.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    46   39  -42      39.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             46   28  -49      28.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5