Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 May 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 May 2011, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 35 73 +38 79.47 1.94 42.44 85.43 99.34 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 35 70 +38 75.21 2.10 39.85 14.32 82.78 99.03 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 67 +32 72.62 2.17 34.39 0.24 17.07 90.25 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 62 +22 68.71 2.57 23.81 0.00 0.81 10.72 97.23 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 35 55 +15 59.89 2.23 16.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 99.55 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 55 +7 61.22 2.33 8.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.33 99.65 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 48 +5 52.00 2.27 4.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 Bolton 35 46 +0 50.40 2.29 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 Fulham 35 45 +7 48.78 2.21 6.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 43 +0 46.60 2.06 -0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 43 -14 46.39 2.23 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 41 -2 45.30 2.01 -2.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 41 -13 44.84 2.03 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 35 41 -13 44.91 2.19 -13.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Birmingham 35 39 -17 41.83 2.02 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.99R 0.00 Blackburn 35 38 -14 41.02 2.12 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.06R 0.17 Blackpool 35 35 -22 37.02 1.74 -26.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.40R 30.17 Wigan 35 35 -23 38.05 2.07 -24.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.24R 19.45 Wolverhampton 35 34 -23 37.96 2.23 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.58R 15.56 West_Ham 35 32 -23 36.49 2.29 -22.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.64R 34.64Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2011, Cardiff vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 45 88 +40 89.87 1.28 40.74 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 45 83 +25 84.94 1.27 25.85 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 79 +22 80.34 1.32 21.94 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.53P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 45 77 +23 78.97 1.23 23.84 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 74 +25 76.08 1.23 26.10 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.66P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 72 +16 73.54 1.30 16.25 0.00 0.00 99.81 22.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 69 +10 69.89 1.19 9.26 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 45 67 +15 68.42 1.30 15.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burnley 45 67 +4 68.42 1.33 4.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 45 65 +4 66.32 1.29 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 45 64 +3 65.77 1.31 3.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 62 -4 63.00 1.24 -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 45 61 +8 62.48 1.34 8.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 45 59 -3 60.90 1.28 -2.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 57 -6 58.40 1.30 -5.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 57 -7 58.66 1.31 -6.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 45 54 -4 54.83 1.16 -4.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 45 53 -12 54.30 1.29 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 49 -12 49.72 1.11 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 45 48 -22 49.17 1.26 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 45 48 -23 48.88 1.19 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 45 42 -31 42.78 1.11 -31.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 5.60 Scunthorpe 45 41 -44 42.09 1.26 -44.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 25.44 Preston 45 39 -27 40.29 1.32 -27.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 68.96League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 May 2011, Plymouth vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 45 94 +45 95.68 1.30 45.43 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 45 89 +46 91.30 1.12 47.50 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 86 +29 87.98 1.24 29.89 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.80P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 76 +26 78.22 1.19 27.47 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.60P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 74 +6 75.33 1.29 5.95 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.67P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 45 71 +22 72.72 1.31 22.49 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.94P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 67 +6 68.27 1.29 5.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 67 -8 67.88 1.19 -8.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 65 +7 66.03 1.24 6.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 60 -7 60.78 1.12 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 45 59 +0 60.74 1.30 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 59 -7 60.90 1.27 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 58 +1 59.89 1.28 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 45 58 -4 59.90 1.28 -3.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 56 -5 57.62 1.31 -4.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 45 56 -6 57.40 1.30 -5.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 45 56 -12 57.00 1.23 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 45 56 -18 56.87 1.18 -18.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 49 -14 50.05 1.23 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52R 0.00 Walsall 45 48 -17 48.53 0.98 -18.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.71R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 47 -13 47.62 1.07 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.77R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 45 -33 45.87 1.18 -33.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Plymouth 45 42 -20 43.47 1.31 -19.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 45 38 -24 39.11 1.25 -24.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 45 83 +32 84.66 1.32 32.42 90.06 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 45 80 +32 81.34 1.29 31.97 9.94 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 45 77 +17 78.58 1.31 17.30 0.00 63.19 100.00 74.15P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 45 76 +20 77.79 1.28 20.60 0.00 36.81 100.00 54.42P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 72 +18 73.45 1.33 18.11 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.86P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 69 +23 70.23 1.29 22.79 0.00 0.00 92.98 24.82P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 68 +17 69.38 1.29 17.03 0.00 0.00 73.34 17.63P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 45 68 +12 69.10 1.26 11.58 0.00 0.00 33.68 9.13P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 45 65 +6 66.54 1.31 6.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 45 63 +13 64.51 1.32 13.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 63 +1 63.94 1.19 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 45 62 +18 63.57 1.33 18.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 61 +8 62.16 1.26 7.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 58 -3 59.53 1.30 -2.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 54 -14 55.50 1.31 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 45 52 -16 53.24 1.29 -16.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 52 -21 53.19 1.29 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 51 -18 52.39 1.32 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 51 -21 52.44 1.33 -20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 50 -14 51.31 1.32 -14.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 45 49 -9 50.36 1.32 -9.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 47 -33 48.19 1.27 -33.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.23R 0.00 Barnet 45 45 -20 46.20 1.27 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.77R 0.00 Stockport 45 40 -48 41.33 1.32 -48.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 46 105 +63 105.00 0.00 63.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 90 +36 90.00 0.00 36.00 0.00 100.00 24.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 84 +48 84.00 0.00 48.00 0.00 100.00 45.26P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 81 +17 81.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 100.00 14.14P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 78 +26 78.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 16.50P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 72 +14 72.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Darlington 46 71 +19 71.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 71 +5 71.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 69 +18 69.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 46 63 -4 63.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 62 +10 62.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 46 62 +3 62.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 61 -2 61.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kettering 46 58 -11 58.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 57 -3 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 46 51 -24 51.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 50 -8 50.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 50 -15 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 46 49 -21 49.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 46 -19 46.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 46 -21 46.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 44 -40 44.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 46 39 -42 39.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Histon 46 28 -49 28.00 0.00 -49.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5