Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 May 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 May 2011, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   73  +38      79.51     1.94    42.47    85.82    99.35   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   70  +38      75.19     2.09    39.83    13.95    82.49    99.03   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   67  +32      72.64     2.17    34.40     0.23    17.33    90.07   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +22      68.71     2.56    23.82     0.00     0.83    10.90    97.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   55  +15      59.86     2.25    16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   55   +7      61.25     2.33     8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   48   +5      51.99     2.26     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   46   +0      50.42     2.28     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   45   +7      48.76     2.19     6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43   +0      46.59     2.06    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   43  -14      46.39     2.22   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   41   -2      45.27     2.01    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   41  -13      44.83     2.03   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   41  -13      44.92     2.19   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   39  -17      41.85     2.02   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.01  
Blackburn       35   38  -14      41.02     2.13   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.05R    0.19  
Blackpool       35   35  -22      37.00     1.74   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.68R   30.16  
Wigan           35   35  -23      38.05     2.07   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.81R   19.50  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      37.96     2.23   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R   15.44  
West_Ham        35   32  -23      36.49     2.28   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.55R   34.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Coventry vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              45   88  +40      89.87     1.28    40.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.26     1.83    24.76     0.00    60.97   100.00    70.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.27     1.85    25.77     0.00    38.13   100.00    54.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   77  +23      78.97     1.24    23.84     0.00     0.89   100.00    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   74  +25      76.08     1.23    26.10     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   72  +16      73.54     1.30    16.23     0.00     0.00    99.76    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   69  +10      69.90     1.19     9.26     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   67  +15      68.43     1.30    15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   67   +4      68.38     1.32     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   65   +4      66.32     1.29     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   64   +3      65.76     1.31     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   62   -4      63.00     1.24    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   +8      62.46     1.34     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   57   -6      58.41     1.30    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.11     1.87    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -6      58.75     1.77    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54   -4      54.83     1.16    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -12      54.30     1.29   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   49  -12      49.72     1.11   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   48  -22      49.18     1.26   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   48  -23      48.92     1.21   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   42  -31      42.78     1.11   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.85  
Scunthorpe       45   41  -44      42.09     1.26   -44.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.94  
Preston          45   39  -27      40.31     1.33   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   68.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Brentford vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         45   94  +45      95.67     1.30    45.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   86  +44      90.09     1.72    46.10     0.00    90.89   100.00    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   86  +29      87.96     1.25    29.85     0.00     9.11   100.00    40.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   76  +26      78.20     1.20    27.44     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.49P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   74   +6      75.32     1.30     5.94     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      45   71  +22      72.70     1.31    22.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   67   +6      68.24     1.29     5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   67   -8      67.87     1.19    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65   +7      66.05     1.25     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        45   60   -7      60.80     1.13    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   59   +0      60.72     1.30     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   59   -7      60.90     1.28    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   58   +1      59.91     1.28     1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   58   -4      59.90     1.28    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   56   -5      57.61     1.31    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   56   -6      57.41     1.30    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   56  -12      57.02     1.23   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   56  -18      56.87     1.18   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   49  -14      50.06     1.23   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Walsall          45   48  -17      48.54     0.98   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.69R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        45   47  -13      47.64     1.09   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.40R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   45  -33      45.87     1.18   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   42  -18      44.44     1.79   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.24R    0.00  
Swindon          45   38  -24      39.13     1.26   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         45   83  +32      84.65     1.32    32.40    89.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   80  +32      81.33     1.29    31.97    10.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   77  +17      78.58     1.31    17.31     0.00    63.43   100.00    73.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   76  +20      77.80     1.28    20.60     0.00    36.57   100.00    54.10P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   72  +18      73.45     1.33    18.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   69  +23      70.25     1.29    22.81     0.00     0.00    92.99    25.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   68  +17      69.39     1.29    17.03     0.00     0.00    73.06    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   68  +12      69.11     1.26    11.60     0.00     0.00    33.94     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   65   +6      66.52     1.31     6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   63  +13      64.50     1.32    13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   63   +1      63.94     1.19     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   62  +18      63.55     1.33    18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   61   +8      62.15     1.26     7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   58   -3      59.53     1.31    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   54  -14      55.51     1.31   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   52  -16      53.22     1.28   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   52  -21      53.21     1.29   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   51  -18      52.39     1.32   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   51  -21      52.45     1.33   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   50  -14      51.31     1.32   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   49   -9      50.36     1.32    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   47  -33      48.20     1.27   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    0.00  
Barnet               45   45  -20      46.21     1.28   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.09R    0.00  
Stockport            45   40  -48      41.31     1.32   -48.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       46  105  +63     105.00     0.00    63.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      46   90  +36      90.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   84  +48      84.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00    45.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   81  +17      81.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     46   78  +26      78.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   72  +14      72.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   71  +19      71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   71   +5      71.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   69  +18      69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          46   63   -4      63.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   62  +10      62.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   51  -24      51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   50   -8      50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   49  -21      49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   46  -19      46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   46  -21      46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   44  -40      44.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    46   39  -42      39.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             46   28  -49      28.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5