Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.79     2.35    43.40    91.54    99.61   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   70  +38      75.20     2.09    39.82     8.34    89.81    99.51   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.04     2.58    33.45     0.11     9.70    81.19    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   59  +21      68.05     2.84    24.40     0.00     0.88    19.25    95.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   55   +7      61.25     2.36     8.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.31    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.91     2.57    14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60    97.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   48   +5      51.98     2.26     4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   46   +0      50.40     2.28     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   45   +7      48.79     2.21     6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43   +0      46.60     2.06    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   43  -14      46.38     2.22   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.03     2.29    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   41  -13      44.86     2.04   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   41  -13      44.92     2.19   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   38  -14      41.04     2.12   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.85R    0.21  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.58     2.42   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.13R    0.13  
Blackpool       35   35  -22      37.01     1.73   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.14R   30.79  
Wigan           35   35  -23      38.07     2.07   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.54R   18.50  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.94     2.56   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.26R   19.86  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.97     2.50   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R   30.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Coventry vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              45   88  +40      89.86     1.28    40.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.24     1.83    24.74     0.00    60.98   100.00    69.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.25     1.86    25.76     0.00    38.15   100.00    54.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   77  +23      78.97     1.24    23.84     0.00     0.87   100.00    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   74  +25      76.09     1.22    26.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.43P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   72  +16      73.55     1.30    16.25     0.00     0.00    99.81    22.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   69  +10      69.90     1.19     9.27     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   67  +14      68.43     1.30    14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   67   +4      68.37     1.32     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   65   +5      66.32     1.29     4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   64   +3      65.77     1.30     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   +8      62.49     1.34     8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   60   -6      60.99     1.23    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   58   -4      59.41     1.30    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.10     1.88    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -5      58.80     1.76    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54   -3      54.85     1.17    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -13      54.29     1.29   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   49  -12      49.71     1.10   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   48  -22      49.17     1.25   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   48  -24      48.89     1.20   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   42  -31      42.78     1.11   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.62  
Scunthorpe       45   41  -44      42.09     1.26   -44.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.30  
Preston          45   39  -27      40.28     1.32   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Brentford vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         45   94  +45      95.67     1.29    45.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   86  +44      90.12     1.72    46.14     0.00    90.90   100.00    95.14P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   86  +29      87.97     1.25    29.86     0.00     9.10   100.00    40.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   76  +26      78.19     1.20    27.44     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   74   +6      75.34     1.29     5.96     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      45   71  +22      72.71     1.31    22.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   67   +6      68.25     1.29     5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   67   -8      67.88     1.19    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65   +7      66.04     1.24     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        45   60   -7      60.80     1.13    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   59   +0      60.74     1.30     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   59   -7      60.90     1.27    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   58   +1      59.90     1.28     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   58   -4      59.89     1.28    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   56   -5      57.61     1.31    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   56   -6      57.38     1.30    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   56  -12      57.01     1.23   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   56  -18      56.88     1.19   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   49  -14      50.06     1.23   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60R    0.00  
Walsall          45   48  -17      48.53     0.97   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.84R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        45   47  -13      47.64     1.09   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.21R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   45  -33      45.87     1.18   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   42  -18      44.42     1.78   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.35R    0.00  
Swindon          45   38  -24      39.13     1.26   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         45   83  +32      84.63     1.32    32.38    89.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   80  +32      81.34     1.29    31.98    10.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   77  +17      78.58     1.31    17.31     0.00    63.85   100.00    74.40P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   76  +20      77.78     1.29    20.58     0.00    36.15   100.00    54.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   72  +18      73.46     1.33    18.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   69  +23      70.23     1.29    22.79     0.00     0.00    92.83    24.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   68  +17      69.37     1.29    17.02     0.00     0.00    72.67    17.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   68  +12      69.12     1.27    11.62     0.00     0.00    34.50     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   65   +6      66.53     1.31     6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   63  +13      64.52     1.32    13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   63   +1      63.96     1.20     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   62  +18      63.56     1.33    18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   61   +8      62.15     1.26     7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   58   -3      59.55     1.31    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   54  -14      55.50     1.31   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   52  -16      53.24     1.28   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   52  -21      53.20     1.30   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   51  -18      52.38     1.32   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   51  -21      52.44     1.33   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   50  -14      51.31     1.32   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   49   -9      50.37     1.32    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   47  -33      48.18     1.27   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.55R    0.00  
Barnet               45   45  -20      46.20     1.27   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.45R    0.00  
Stockport            45   40  -48      41.33     1.32   -48.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       46  105  +63     105.00     0.00    63.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      46   90  +36      90.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    23.67P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   84  +48      84.00     0.00    48.00     0.00   100.00    45.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   81  +17      81.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     46   78  +26      78.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   72  +14      72.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   71  +19      71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   71   +5      71.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   69  +18      69.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          46   63   -4      63.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   62  +10      62.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   51  -24      51.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   50   -8      50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   49  -21      49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   46  -19      46.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   46  -21      46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   44  -40      44.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    46   39  -42      39.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             46   28  -49      28.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5