Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 April 2011 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 April 2011, Fulham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.78     2.36    43.42    92.95    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.49     2.39    40.27     6.89    84.12    98.39   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.09     2.57    33.51     0.16    14.33    81.60    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   59  +21      68.06     2.83    24.42     0.00     1.86    19.79    93.27   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.82     2.57     7.99     0.00     0.01     0.23     6.39    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.91     2.57    14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    94.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.63     2.63     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.35     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   46   +1      51.55     2.64     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   42   +4      46.91     2.55     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42   +0      46.97     2.46    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.03     2.30    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.47     2.56   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.09     2.44   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.88     2.61   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.62     2.40   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.10  
Blackburn       34   35  -15      39.61     2.52   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.52R    5.49  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.43     2.20   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.74R   24.89  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.15     2.42   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.80R   19.44  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.90     2.55   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.49R   18.83  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.95     2.49   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.23R   31.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              44   85  +38      88.29     1.85    38.82    98.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.25     1.83    24.79     1.73    61.30   100.00    70.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.25     1.85    25.76     0.03    38.50   100.00    55.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   74  +21      77.22     1.77    21.71     0.00     0.21   100.00    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   73  +25      76.66     1.80    26.42     0.00     0.00    99.97    28.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   69  +12      72.71     1.76    13.49     0.00     0.00    73.36    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   67  +17      69.88     1.83    17.22     0.00     0.00    16.35     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   67   +5      69.54     1.86     4.64     0.00     0.00     6.44     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   66   +9      68.52     1.79     8.63     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   64   +4      67.16     1.82     4.59     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63   +3      66.28     1.87     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   61  +10      63.81     1.87    10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   59   -5      61.81     1.80    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.08     1.88    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -6      58.76     1.77    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   54   -8      56.58     1.83    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53   -4      54.99     1.73    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -12      54.44     1.82   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   49  -10      51.27     1.73   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47  -22      49.10     1.72   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   47  -23      49.15     1.78   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   41  -31      43.36     1.73   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   12.22  
Scunthorpe       44   41  -40      42.72     1.64   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.19  
Preston          44   39  -26      41.24     1.81   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         44   94  +46      97.34     1.85    46.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   83  +41      88.87     2.15    43.68     0.00    88.73   100.00    93.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   83  +28      86.03     1.78    28.42     0.00    11.27   100.00    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   75  +26      78.65     1.79    27.58     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   71   +5      74.15     1.83     5.61     0.00     0.00    94.46    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   70  +22      73.20     1.86    22.67     0.00     0.00    93.51    18.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   67   +9      70.00     1.83     9.37     0.00     0.00    12.03     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   64   +7      66.42     1.83     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   64   -9      66.34     1.78    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   60   -4      61.79     1.65    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   59   +3      62.25     1.85     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   59   -5      62.28     1.83    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   58   -2      61.39     1.85    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   +1      60.53     1.84     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   55  -18      57.09     1.75   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   53   -8      55.55     1.82    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   53   -8      55.58     1.80    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   53  -14      55.32     1.78   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   49  -13      50.97     1.72   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Walsall          44   45  -19      46.81     1.64   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.75R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        44   44  -16      45.87     1.67   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.10R    1.72  
Bristol_Rovers   44   44  -33      46.02     1.75   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.38R    2.72  
Plymouth         43   42  -17      45.67     2.22   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.85R    4.36  
Swindon          44   38  -22      40.74     1.83   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.20  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 April 2011, Torquay vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         45   83  +32      84.61     1.32    32.34    64.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   80  +34      82.93     1.84    34.30    35.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   74  +15      76.70     1.82    14.95     0.00    47.12   100.00    62.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   73  +19      76.43     1.85    19.99     0.00    50.51   100.00    63.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   69  +23      70.23     1.29    22.79     0.00     0.00    71.64    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   69  +16      72.32     1.86    16.86     0.00     1.87    89.61    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   68  +19      70.73     1.84    19.01     0.00     0.30    68.48    17.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   68  +14      71.11     1.79    14.54     0.00     0.20    70.13    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   62  +13      64.90     1.87    13.24     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   62   +1      65.11     1.85     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   60   +8      63.10     1.80     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   60   +0      62.74     1.76    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   59  +16      62.80     1.78    17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   57   -3      59.90     1.86    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -13      53.52     1.81   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         44   51  -16      53.27     1.75   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             44   51  -16      53.78     1.83   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           44   51  -20      53.56     1.85   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             44   51  -21      53.41     1.82   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   49  -14      51.17     1.78   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   47  -32      49.14     1.76   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.14R    0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -11      48.69     1.85   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.93R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -18      47.16     1.77   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.63R    1.20  
Stockport            44   40  -46      41.93     1.70   -47.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       45  104  +63     105.95     1.24    63.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      45   87  +35      88.75     1.31    35.56     0.00   100.00    23.99P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   83  +48      85.00     1.23    48.91     0.00   100.00    45.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +17      80.75     1.10    16.09     0.00   100.00    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     45   75  +25      76.27     1.28    24.89     0.00   100.00    16.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   71  +14      73.26     1.14    15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               45   70   +5      70.80     1.12     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   68  +17      69.68     1.29    17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   66  +12      67.26     1.30    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   62  +11      63.01     1.24    10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   45   62   +5      63.04     1.22     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   61   +0      62.32     1.32    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          45   60   -6      61.45     1.33    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   57   +3      58.49     1.33     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.86     1.28   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.07     1.26   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   50   -7      51.44     1.29    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   47  -17      48.70     1.32   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   46  -18      47.14     1.28   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.75R    0.00  
Southport          45   46  -19      46.90     1.19   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.85R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   46  -22      47.62     1.33   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.79R    0.00  
Altrincham         45   44  -39      45.75     1.32   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.61R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    45   36  -43      37.03     1.26   -43.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             45   27  -49      27.56     1.00   -50.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5