Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 April 2011, Fulham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.81     2.36    43.44    93.20    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.47     2.39    40.24     6.62    83.95    98.41   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.08     2.56    33.51     0.18    14.58    81.89    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   59  +21      68.04     2.84    24.38     0.00     1.78    19.43    93.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.77     2.57     7.91     0.00     0.01     0.27     6.28    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.92     2.57    14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56    94.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.67     2.63     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.49     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   46   +1      51.56     2.64     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   42   +4      46.93     2.55     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           34   42   +0      46.97     2.46    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.03     2.28    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.48     2.56   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.13     2.46   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.88     2.61   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.63     2.42   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.77R    0.08  
Blackburn       34   35  -15      39.61     2.52   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.49R    5.36  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.42     2.21   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.90R   24.92  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.11     2.42   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.98R   19.94  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.90     2.54   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.45R   18.83  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.95     2.49   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.98R   30.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              44   85  +38      88.25     1.84    38.76    98.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.25     1.83    24.76     1.64    61.36   100.00    70.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.24     1.85    25.74     0.02    38.37   100.00    56.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   74  +21      77.22     1.77    21.72     0.00     0.27   100.00    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   73  +25      76.65     1.82    26.40     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   69  +12      72.71     1.76    13.49     0.00     0.00    73.37    15.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   67  +16      69.86     1.83    16.20     0.00     0.00    16.01     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   67   +5      69.55     1.87     4.64     0.00     0.00     6.65     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   66   +9      68.53     1.81     8.66     0.00     0.00     3.82     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   64   +5      67.17     1.82     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63   +3      66.31     1.86     3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   61  +10      63.82     1.88    10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.08     1.88    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   57   -7      59.76     1.80    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -5      58.81     1.76    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   55   -6      57.60     1.84    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53   -3      55.01     1.73    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.43     1.81   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   49  -10      51.25     1.73   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47  -22      49.08     1.71   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   47  -24      49.10     1.77   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   41  -31      43.38     1.73   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   12.60  
Scunthorpe       44   41  -40      42.72     1.64   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.72  
Preston          44   39  -26      41.27     1.81   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         44   94  +46      97.32     1.85    46.83   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   83  +41      88.82     2.16    43.62     0.00    88.22   100.00    93.53P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   83  +28      86.04     1.78    28.41     0.00    11.78   100.00    41.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   75  +26      78.62     1.79    27.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   71   +5      74.16     1.83     5.61     0.00     0.00    94.18    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   70  +22      73.19     1.86    22.66     0.00     0.00    93.54    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   67   +9      70.00     1.84     9.37     0.00     0.00    12.27     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   64   +7      66.42     1.83     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   64   -9      66.35     1.78    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   60   -4      61.81     1.67    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   59   +3      62.24     1.85     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   59   -5      62.29     1.83    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   58   -2      61.40     1.84    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   +1      60.55     1.85     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   55  -18      57.10     1.75   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   53   -8      55.55     1.83    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   53   -8      55.57     1.80    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   53  -14      55.32     1.78   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   49  -13      50.98     1.73   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Walsall          44   45  -19      46.80     1.64   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.77R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        44   44  -16      45.88     1.68   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.86R    1.64  
Bristol_Rovers   44   44  -33      46.00     1.74   -34.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.75R    2.84  
Plymouth         43   42  -17      45.68     2.23   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.68R    4.16  
Swindon          44   38  -22      40.73     1.83   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.36  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnet vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         44   82  +32      84.90     1.86    32.21    70.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   80  +34      82.92     1.84    34.28    29.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   74  +15      76.70     1.83    14.95     0.00    46.87    99.99    61.50P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   73  +19      76.43     1.84    19.98     0.00    50.60    99.99    63.59P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   69  +16      72.32     1.86    16.86     0.00     1.83    89.19    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   68  +23      70.70     1.86    22.93     0.00     0.30    74.11    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   68  +19      70.73     1.83    19.02     0.00     0.23    68.34    17.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   68  +14      71.14     1.80    14.57     0.00     0.17    68.13    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   62  +13      64.89     1.86    13.22     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   62   +1      65.11     1.84     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   60   +8      63.10     1.80     8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   60   +0      62.75     1.76     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   59  +16      62.79     1.78    17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   57   -3      59.86     1.85    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -13      53.53     1.82   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         44   51  -16      53.26     1.73   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             44   51  -16      53.77     1.83   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           44   51  -20      53.54     1.85   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             44   51  -21      53.42     1.82   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   49  -14      51.17     1.78   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   47  -32      49.15     1.75   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.12R    0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -11      48.68     1.86   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.16R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -18      47.16     1.77   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R    1.26  
Stockport            44   40  -46      41.94     1.71   -47.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       45  104  +63     105.96     1.24    63.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      45   87  +35      88.74     1.31    35.55     0.00   100.00    23.73P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   83  +48      85.01     1.23    48.91     0.00   100.00    45.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +17      80.75     1.10    16.09     0.00   100.00    14.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     45   75  +25      76.29     1.28    24.90     0.00   100.00    16.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   71  +14      73.25     1.15    15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               45   70   +5      70.79     1.12     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   68  +17      69.69     1.29    17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   66  +12      67.26     1.30    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   62  +11      63.02     1.24    10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   45   62   +5      63.04     1.22     4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   61   +0      62.33     1.33    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          45   60   -6      61.44     1.34    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   57   +3      58.49     1.32     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.86     1.29   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.05     1.26   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   50   -7      51.43     1.30    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   47  -17      48.72     1.32   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   46  -18      47.15     1.28   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.76R    0.00  
Southport          45   46  -19      46.91     1.20   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.81R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   46  -22      47.61     1.33   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.85R    0.00  
Altrincham         45   44  -39      45.75     1.32   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.58R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    45   36  -43      37.03     1.26   -43.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             45   27  -49      27.57     1.01   -50.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5